Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Norwich City v Sheffield Wednesday

Kickoff: 2026-02-25 19:45 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

59 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Norwich City (Local)

Prediction 79.22%1.26fair odd
EV -4.14%
Edge -3.42%
Kelly -19.71%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.21

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
76.94%79.10%79.27%81.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.081.181.181.2192.59%84.98%84.75%82.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sheffield Wednesday (Visit)

Prediction 6.95%14.39fair odd
EV +10.50%
Edge +0.660%
Kelly +0.704%
Growth +0.074%

assuming max odds 15.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
6.12%7.01%6.87%8.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
10.5013.3313.0015.909.52%7.50%7.69%6.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 13.83%7.23fair odd
EV +10.61%
Edge +1.33%
Kelly +1.52%
Growth +0.161%

assuming max odds 8.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
11.89%13.89%13.86%15.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.906.736.758.0016.95%14.85%14.81%12.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Norwich City (Local): 79.22%; Sheffield Wednesday (Visit): 6.95%; Draw: 13.83%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.23. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 8.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +10.61%.

Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
Sky Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.31%EV -7.31%E -6.25%K -42.99%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.80%EV -2.71%E -0.193%K -0.208%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +10.61%E +1.33%K +1.52%G +0.161%5.1%2026-02-25 19:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 80.28%EV -4.93%E -4.11%K -24.66%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.88%EV -2.71%E -0.193%K -0.208%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.84%EV +3.70%E +0.493%K +0.569%G +0.021%3.8%2026-02-25 19:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 80.28%EV -4.93%E -4.11%K -24.66%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.88%EV -2.71%E -0.193%K -0.208%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.84%EV +3.70%E +0.493%K +0.569%G +0.021%3.8%2026-02-25 19:34
SportsBet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.81%EV -8.10%E -6.98%K -50.63%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.70%EV -2.71%E -0.193%K -0.208%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.50%EV +3.70%E +0.493%K +0.569%G +0.021%6.7%2026-02-25 19:24
FanDuel🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.05%EV -8.89%E -7.73%K -59.28%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.67%EV -16.61%E -1.38%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.27%EV +3.70%E +0.493%K +0.569%G +0.021%8.6%2026-02-25 19:24
1xBet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 80.45%EV -4.14%E -3.42%K -19.71%G +0.000%15.90I 6.29%NM 6.12%EV +10.50%E +0.660%K +0.704%G +0.074%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.43%EV +0.242%E +0.033%K +0.039%G +0.000%2.7%2026-02-25 19:34
BetMGM🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.99%EV -4.14%E -3.42%K -19.71%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.35%EV -9.66%E -0.743%K -0.805%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.65%EV -3.21%E -0.459%K -0.536%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-25 19:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.55%EV -4.93%E -4.11%K -24.66%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.82%EV -2.71%E -0.193%K -0.208%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.64%EV -3.21%E -0.459%K -0.536%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-25 19:29
ATG (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.55%EV -4.93%E -4.11%K -24.66%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.82%EV -2.71%E -0.193%K -0.208%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.64%EV -3.21%E -0.459%K -0.536%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-25 19:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.55%EV -4.93%E -4.11%K -24.66%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.82%EV -2.71%E -0.193%K -0.208%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.64%EV -3.21%E -0.459%K -0.536%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-25 19:30
Coolbet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.04%EV -5.72%E -4.81%K -30.12%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.35%EV +4.24%E +0.283%K +0.303%G +0.013%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.61%EV -3.21%E -0.459%K -0.536%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-25 19:18
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.13%EV -4.93%E -4.11%K -24.66%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.30%EV -9.66%E -0.743%K -0.805%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.57%EV -3.21%E -0.459%K -0.536%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-25 18:49
Coral🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.13%EV -4.93%E -4.11%K -24.66%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.30%EV -9.66%E -0.743%K -0.805%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.57%EV -3.21%E -0.459%K -0.536%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-25 08:29
Bet Victor🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.18%EV -6.52%E -5.52%K -36.20%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV +4.24%E +0.283%K +0.303%G +0.013%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.52%EV -3.21%E -0.459%K -0.536%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-25 19:19
Fanatics🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.82%EV -6.52%E -5.52%K -36.20%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73%EV -2.71%E -0.193%K -0.208%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.45%EV -3.21%E -0.459%K -0.536%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-25 19:29
theScore Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.31%EV -7.31%E -6.25%K -42.99%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.26%EV +4.24%E +0.283%K +0.303%G +0.013%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -3.21%E -0.459%K -0.536%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-25 19:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 79.82%EV -8.89%E -7.73%K -59.28%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.06%EV -9.66%E -0.743%K -0.805%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.11%EV -3.21%E -0.459%K -0.536%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-25 17:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 80.37%EV -9.68%E -8.50%K -69.18%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.54%EV -2.71%E -0.193%K -0.208%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.09%EV -3.21%E -0.459%K -0.536%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-25 19:39
LiveScore Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 80.37%EV -9.68%E -8.50%K -69.18%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.54%EV -2.71%E -0.193%K -0.208%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.09%EV -3.21%E -0.459%K -0.536%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-25 19:40
Paddy Power🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 80.37%EV -9.68%E -8.50%K -69.18%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.54%EV -2.71%E -0.193%K -0.208%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.09%EV -3.21%E -0.459%K -0.536%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-25 19:25
Marathon Bet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.37%EV -8.10%E -6.98%K -50.63%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.22%EV +4.24%E +0.283%K +0.303%G +0.013%6.95I 14.39%NM 13.41%EV -3.91%E -0.562%K -0.656%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-25 19:40
Pinnacle🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.39%EV -4.93%E -4.11%K -24.66%G +0.000%14.16I 7.06%NM 6.73%EV -1.60%E -0.113%K -0.121%G +0.000%6.86I 14.58%NM 13.89%EV -5.15%E -0.751%K -0.879%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-25 19:30
BetUS🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.04%EV -5.72%E -4.81%K -30.12%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.23%EV -9.66%E -0.743%K -0.805%G +0.000%6.85I 14.60%NM 13.73%EV -5.29%E -0.772%K -0.904%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-25 19:39
Codere (IT)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.68%EV -4.14%E -3.42%K -19.71%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.32%EV -9.66%E -0.743%K -0.805%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.00%EV -5.98%E -0.879%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-25 19:40
Unibet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 78.87%EV -5.72%E -4.81%K -30.12%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.22%EV -9.66%E -0.743%K -0.805%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.91%EV -6.67%E -0.988%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-25 19:40
Casumo🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 78.87%EV -5.72%E -4.81%K -30.12%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.22%EV -9.66%E -0.743%K -0.805%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.91%EV -6.67%E -0.988%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-25 19:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 78.87%EV -5.72%E -4.81%K -30.12%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.22%EV -9.66%E -0.743%K -0.805%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.91%EV -6.67%E -0.988%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-25 19:39
Unibet (NL)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 78.87%EV -5.72%E -4.81%K -30.12%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.22%EV -9.66%E -0.743%K -0.805%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.91%EV -6.67%E -0.988%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-25 19:39
Grosvenor🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 78.87%EV -5.72%E -4.81%K -30.12%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.22%EV -9.66%E -0.743%K -0.805%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.91%EV -6.67%E -0.988%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-25 19:40
betPARX🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 78.87%EV -5.72%E -4.81%K -30.12%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.22%EV -9.66%E -0.743%K -0.805%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.91%EV -6.67%E -0.988%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-25 19:39
Bally Bet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 78.87%EV -5.72%E -4.81%K -30.12%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.22%EV -9.66%E -0.743%K -0.805%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.91%EV -6.67%E -0.988%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-25 19:40
BetRivers🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.42%EV -6.52%E -5.52%K -36.20%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.69%EV -2.71%E -0.193%K -0.208%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.88%EV -6.67%E -0.988%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-25 19:30
Neds🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 78.40%EV -5.72%E -4.81%K -30.12%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.77%EV -16.61%E -1.38%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.82%EV -6.67%E -0.988%K -1.16%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-25 18:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 78.40%EV -5.72%E -4.81%K -30.12%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.77%EV -16.61%E -1.38%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.82%EV -6.67%E -0.988%K -1.16%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-25 18:50
TABtouch🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.01%EV -6.52%E -5.52%K -36.20%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.17%EV -9.66%E -0.743%K -0.805%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.81%EV -6.67%E -0.988%K -1.16%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-25 19:39
LeoVegas🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 79.30%EV -8.10%E -6.98%K -50.63%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.08%EV -9.66%E -0.743%K -0.805%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.63%EV -6.67%E -0.988%K -1.16%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-25 19:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 78.14%EV -7.31%E -6.25%K -42.99%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.31%EV -23.56%E -2.14%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.54%EV -6.67%E -0.988%K -1.16%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-25 19:30
GTbets🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.65%EV -4.93%E -4.11%K -24.66%G +0.000%13.42I 7.45%NM 7.03%EV -6.74%E -0.502%K -0.543%G +0.000%6.59I 15.17%NM 14.32%EV -8.88%E -1.35%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-25 19:39
Unibet (UK)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 78.86%EV -5.72%E -4.81%K -30.12%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.70%EV -2.71%E -0.193%K -0.208%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -10.13%E -1.56%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-25 19:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.35%EV -6.52%E -5.52%K -36.20%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.24%EV +4.24%E +0.283%K +0.303%G +0.013%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.41%EV -10.13%E -1.56%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-25 19:39
Bet Right🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.00%EV -6.52%E -5.52%K -36.20%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.66%EV -2.71%E -0.193%K -0.208%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.34%EV -10.13%E -1.56%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-25 19:19
888sport🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.60%EV -6.52%E -5.52%K -36.20%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.13%EV -9.66%E -0.743%K -0.805%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -10.13%E -1.56%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-25 19:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.60%EV -6.52%E -5.52%K -36.20%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.13%EV -9.66%E -0.743%K -0.805%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -10.13%E -1.56%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-25 19:34
888sport (SE)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.60%EV -6.52%E -5.52%K -36.20%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.13%EV -9.66%E -0.743%K -0.805%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -10.13%E -1.56%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-25 19:35
William Hill🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.60%EV -6.52%E -5.52%K -36.20%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.13%EV -9.66%E -0.743%K -0.805%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -10.13%E -1.56%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-25 19:35
Everygame🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.60%EV -6.52%E -5.52%K -36.20%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.13%EV -9.66%E -0.743%K -0.805%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -10.13%E -1.56%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-25 19:20
Betway🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.13%EV -6.52%E -5.52%K -36.20%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.68%EV -16.61%E -1.38%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -10.13%E -1.56%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-25 19:40
Bovada🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 78.28%EV -7.31%E -6.25%K -42.99%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.63%EV -16.61%E -1.38%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV -10.13%E -1.56%K -1.84%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-25 19:34
Fliff🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 79.13%EV -9.68%E -8.50%K -69.18%G +0.000%12.90I 7.75%NM 6.99%EV -10.35%E -0.803%K -0.870%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.88%EV -10.13%E -1.56%K -1.84%G +0.000%10.9%2026-02-25 19:39
Unibet (FR)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 78.55%EV -8.89%E -7.73%K -59.28%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.23%EV -13.13%E -1.05%K -1.14%G +0.000%6.35I 15.75%NM 14.23%EV -12.20%E -1.92%K -2.28%G +0.000%10.7%2026-02-25 19:35
Winamax (FR)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 77.16%EV -8.10%E -6.98%K -50.63%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.52%EV -27.03%E -2.57%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.32%EV -13.58%E -2.17%K -2.59%G +0.000%11.7%2026-02-25 19:30
PMU (FR)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 78.68%EV -14.44%E -13.37%K -180.47%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 7.72%EV -23.56%E -2.14%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 13.60%EV -13.58%E -2.17%K -2.59%G +0.000%17.7%2026-02-25 19:25
TAB🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.13%EV -4.93%E -4.11%K -24.66%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.25%EV +4.24%E +0.283%K +0.303%G +0.013%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -17.04%E -2.84%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-25 19:29
PlayUp🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 78.27%EV -5.72%E -4.81%K -30.12%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.21%EV +4.24%E +0.283%K +0.303%G +0.013%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.52%EV -17.04%E -2.84%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-25 19:29
Caesars🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.41%EV -6.52%E -5.52%K -36.20%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.17%EV +4.24%E +0.283%K +0.303%G +0.013%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.42%EV -17.04%E -2.84%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-25 19:38
BoyleSports🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 77.37%EV -7.31%E -6.25%K -42.99%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.54%EV -16.61%E -1.38%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.09%EV -17.04%E -2.84%K -3.41%G +0.000%10.5%2026-02-25 19:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 78.65%EV -9.68%E -8.50%K -69.18%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.40%EV -2.71%E -0.193%K -0.208%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.94%EV -17.04%E -2.84%K -3.41%G +0.000%11.5%2026-02-25 16:10
NetBet (FR)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 78.28%EV -12.06%E -10.87%K -109.65%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.24%EV -16.61%E -1.38%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.48%EV -17.04%E -2.84%K -3.41%G +0.000%15.1%2026-02-25 19:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 76.94%EV -8.10%E -6.98%K -50.63%G +0.000%11.25I 8.89%NM 7.93%EV -21.82%E -1.94%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.13%EV -18.42%E -3.12%K -3.76%G +0.000%12.0%2026-02-25 19:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.21I 82.64%NM 82.05%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.84%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.11%0.7%2026-02-25 19:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.21I 82.64%NM 82.05%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.84%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.11%0.7%2026-02-25 19:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.21I 82.64%NM 82.05%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.84%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.11%0.7%2026-02-25 19:35
Matchbook1.21I 82.64%NM 82.05%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.84%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.11%0.7%2026-02-25 19:25
Smarkets1.20I 83.33%NM 81.78%16.50I 6.06%NM 5.95%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.27%1.9%2026-02-25 19:40