The School of Odds
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Norwich City v Burnley

2026-08-29 14:00 UTC — Championship

Head to Head

35 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Norwich City (Local)

Prediction 36.92%2.71fair odd
EV -2.16%
Edge -0.816%
Kelly -1.31%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.93%36.90%36.95%38.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.522.502.6544.44%39.74%40.00%37.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Burnley (Visit)

Prediction 36.34%2.75fair odd
EV -4.79%
Edge -1.83%
Kelly -2.96%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.93%36.40%36.30%37.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.542.552.6243.48%39.38%39.22%38.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.74%3.74fair odd
EV -3.73%
Edge -1.04%
Kelly -1.43%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.38%26.70%26.76%27.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.453.503.6030.77%28.98%28.57%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Norwich City (Local): 36.92%; Burnley (Visit): 36.34%; Draw: 26.74%. For Norwich City (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.71. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.65, with an expected value of -2.16%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.03%EV -2.16%E -0.816%K -1.31%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.44%EV -7.34%E -2.88%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.52%EV -3.73%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-22 18:59
betfred_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.28%EV -3.27%E -1.25%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.56%EV -5.52%E -2.12%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.16%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-22 18:59
Betsson🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.09%EV -3.27%E -1.25%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.09%EV -4.79%E -1.83%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -9.08%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-22 23:59
NordicBet🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.09%EV -3.27%E -1.25%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.09%EV -4.79%E -1.83%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -9.08%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-22 23:59
SportsBet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.47%EV -4.01%E -1.54%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -7.34%E -2.88%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.34%EV -3.73%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-22 19:00
Coral🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -4.01%E -1.54%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -5.52%E -2.12%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-22 18:58
Bet Right🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.34%EV -4.01%E -1.54%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.05%EV -7.34%E -2.88%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.61%EV -5.07%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-22 19:00
Betr (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -4.01%E -1.54%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -7.34%E -2.88%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-22 19:00
FanDuel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -4.01%E -1.54%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -7.34%E -2.88%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-22 18:59
Sky Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -4.01%E -1.54%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -9.15%E -3.66%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-22 18:59
GTbets🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 36.73%EV -5.12%E -1.99%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.30%EV -5.52%E -2.12%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-23 00:15
Codere (IT)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.85%E -2.30%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.47%EV -5.52%E -2.12%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.34%EV -3.73%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-22 19:00
BetMGM🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -5.85%E -2.30%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -5.52%E -2.12%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-22 18:59
PlayUp🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -5.85%E -2.30%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -7.34%E -2.88%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -10.42%E -3.11%K -4.43%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-22 23:59
1xBet🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 36.85%EV -6.59%E -2.61%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.13%EV -6.25%E -2.42%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -7.74%E -2.24%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-22 19:00
Marathon Bet🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 36.85%EV -6.59%E -2.61%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.13%EV -6.25%E -2.42%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -7.74%E -2.24%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-22 19:00
Fanatics🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -7.70%E -3.08%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -5.52%E -2.12%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -3.73%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-22 19:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -7.70%E -3.08%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -5.52%E -2.12%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-22 19:00
Neds🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -7.70%E -3.08%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -5.52%E -2.12%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-22 19:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -7.70%E -3.08%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -5.52%E -2.12%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-22 19:00
LeoVegas🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -7.70%E -3.08%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.38%EV -7.34%E -2.88%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-22 19:00
Unibet (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -7.70%E -3.08%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.38%EV -7.34%E -2.88%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-22 19:00
betano_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.82%EV -7.70%E -3.08%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.10%EV -7.34%E -2.88%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -9.08%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-22 19:14
Bet Victor🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.82%EV -7.70%E -3.08%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.10%EV -7.34%E -2.88%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -9.08%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-22 19:15
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -7.70%E -3.08%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -9.15%E -3.66%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -9.08%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-22 18:59
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -7.70%E -3.08%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -9.15%E -3.66%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -11.75%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-22 19:00
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -7.70%E -3.08%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -9.15%E -3.66%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -11.75%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-22 18:59
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -7.70%E -3.08%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -9.15%E -3.66%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -11.75%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-22 19:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -7.70%E -3.08%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -9.15%E -3.66%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -11.75%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-22 19:00
ReBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.14%EV -9.55%E -3.90%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.40%EV -9.15%E -3.66%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 26.45%EV -8.01%E -2.33%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-22 19:00
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -11.39%E -4.75%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -9.15%E -3.66%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -3.73%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-22 18:59
Winamax (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.52%EV -11.39%E -4.75%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.75%EV -10.97%E -4.48%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-22 18:59
Unibet (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.01%EV -13.24%E -5.63%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.24%EV -12.79%E -5.33%K -9.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.76%EV -13.09%E -4.03%K -5.82%G +0.000%15.0%2026-08-22 18:59
Betclic (FR)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 37.61%EV -13.98%E -6.00%K -10.51%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 36.07%EV -11.70%E -4.81%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 26.32%EV -10.95%E -3.29%K -4.70%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-22 18:58
Winamax (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 37.45%EV -16.93%E -7.52%K -13.54%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 36.63%EV -16.42%E -7.14%K -12.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.92%EV -13.09%E -4.03%K -5.82%G +0.000%18.7%2026-08-22 19:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎2.63I 38.02%NM 36.20%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.20%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.60%5.0%2026-08-23 01:50
Smarkets◎2.38I 42.02%NM 36.97%2.42I 41.32%NM 36.36%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%13.6%2026-08-22 19:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.08I 92.59%NM 33.13%1.08I 92.59%NM 33.13%1.06I 94.34%NM 33.75%179.5%2026-08-22 21:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.08I 92.59%NM 33.13%1.08I 92.59%NM 33.13%1.06I 94.34%NM 33.75%179.5%2026-08-22 21:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-08-22 19:00

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