Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Norwich City v Birmingham City

2026-09-09 18:45 UTC — Championship

Head to Head

15 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Norwich City (Local)

Prediction 45.57%2.19fair odd
EV -5.21%
Edge -2.50%
Kelly -4.82%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.08

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.57%45.57%45.57%46.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.972.032.042.0850.76%49.29%49.02%48.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Birmingham City (Visit)

Prediction 26.81%3.73fair odd
EV -3.49%
Edge -0.970%
Kelly -1.34%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.60%26.81%26.81%26.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.353.473.503.6029.85%28.79%28.57%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.62%3.62fair odd
EV -3.33%
Edge -0.952%
Kelly -1.33%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.32%27.62%27.62%27.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.383.403.5030.30%29.56%29.41%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Norwich City (Local): 45.57%; Birmingham City (Visit): 26.81%; Draw: 27.62%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.62. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.50, with an expected value of -3.33%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.04%EV -5.21%E -2.50%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.60%EV -3.49%E -0.970%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.36%EV -3.33%E -0.952%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-30 19:20
ATG (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.04%EV -5.21%E -2.50%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.60%EV -3.49%E -0.970%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.36%EV -3.33%E -0.952%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-30 19:20
Svenska Spel🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.04%EV -5.21%E -2.50%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.60%EV -3.49%E -0.970%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.36%EV -3.33%E -0.952%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-30 19:25
Unibet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.81%EV -7.03%E -3.45%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -6.17%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -6.09%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-30 19:24
Unibet (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.81%EV -7.03%E -3.45%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -6.17%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -6.09%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-30 19:24
Casumo🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.81%EV -7.03%E -3.45%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -6.17%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -6.09%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-30 19:24
Unibet (NL)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.81%EV -7.03%E -3.45%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -6.17%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -6.09%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-30 19:24
Bally Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.81%EV -7.03%E -3.45%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -6.17%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -6.09%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-30 19:24
betPARX🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.81%EV -7.03%E -3.45%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -6.17%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -6.09%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-30 19:24
Grosvenor🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.69%EV -7.94%E -3.93%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -7.51%E -2.18%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -7.47%E -2.23%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-30 19:24
TABtouch🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -8.85%E -4.43%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -8.85%E -2.60%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -8.85%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-30 19:25
BetRivers🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -8.85%E -4.43%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -8.85%E -2.60%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -8.85%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-30 19:24
Virgin Bet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 45.64%EV -9.77%E -4.93%K -9.97%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -10.19%E -3.04%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -8.85%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-30 19:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 45.64%EV -9.77%E -4.93%K -9.97%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -10.19%E -3.04%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -8.85%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-30 19:24
PMU (FR)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 45.77%EV -10.22%E -5.19%K -10.54%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.91%EV -10.19%E -3.04%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.32%EV -8.85%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-30 19:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.