The School of Odds
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Millwall v Swansea City

Kickoff: 2026-10-13 18:45 UTC

Final: Millwall 0–1 Swansea City

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

64 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Millwall (Local)

Prediction 39.72%2.52fair odd
EV -0.691%
Edge -0.276%
Kelly -0.460%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.84%39.66%39.75%41.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.372.382.5047.62%42.27%42.02%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Swansea City (Visit)

Prediction 31.70%3.15fair odd
EV -1.72%
Edge -0.555%
Kelly -0.819%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.42%31.82%31.68%33.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.922.923.1037.04%34.26%34.19%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.57%3.50fair odd
EV -2.85%
Edge -0.839%
Kelly -1.19%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.58%28.53%28.57%29.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.053.273.303.4032.79%30.59%30.30%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Millwall (Local): 39.72%; Swansea City (Visit): 31.70%; Draw: 28.57%. For Millwall (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.52. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.50, with an expected value of -0.691%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.50%EV -0.691%E -0.276%K -0.460%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.19%EV -8.06%E -2.78%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.31%EV -2.85%E -0.839%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-13 17:55
Svenska Spel🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.50%EV -0.691%E -0.276%K -0.460%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.19%EV -8.06%E -2.78%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.31%EV -2.85%E -0.839%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-13 17:55
ATG (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.50%EV -0.691%E -0.276%K -0.460%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.19%EV -8.06%E -2.78%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.31%EV -2.85%E -0.839%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-13 17:54
Pinnacle🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.49%EV -2.68%E -1.09%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.72%EV -3.30%E -1.08%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.79%EV -4.00%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-13 18:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.65%EV -2.68%E -1.09%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.65%EV -8.06%E -2.78%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.70%EV -5.71%E -1.73%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-13 18:35
Unibet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.04%EV -2.68%E -1.09%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.28%EV -11.23%E -4.01%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -7.14%E -2.20%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-13 17:55
Unibet (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.04%EV -2.68%E -1.09%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.28%EV -11.23%E -4.01%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -7.14%E -2.20%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-13 17:54
Casumo🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.04%EV -2.68%E -1.09%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.28%EV -11.23%E -4.01%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -7.14%E -2.20%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-13 17:54
Unibet (NL)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.04%EV -2.68%E -1.09%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.28%EV -11.23%E -4.01%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -7.14%E -2.20%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-13 17:54
betPARX🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.04%EV -2.68%E -1.09%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.28%EV -11.23%E -4.01%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -7.14%E -2.20%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-13 17:54
Bally Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.04%EV -2.68%E -1.09%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.28%EV -11.23%E -4.01%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -7.14%E -2.20%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-13 17:53
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.04%EV -2.68%E -1.09%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.28%EV -11.23%E -4.01%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -7.14%E -2.20%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-13 17:54
Grosvenor🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.06%EV -3.47%E -1.43%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.03%EV -11.23%E -4.01%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.90%EV -8.57%E -2.68%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-13 17:55
Virgin Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.84%EV -3.47%E -1.43%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -12.82%E -4.66%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -8.57%E -2.68%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-13 17:55
Codere (IT)🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 39.43%EV -4.27%E -1.77%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.21%EV -6.47%E -2.19%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.36%EV -4.28%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-13 18:24
LowVig.ag🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.11%EV -4.66%E -1.94%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 31.15%EV -2.04%E -0.659%K -0.974%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.74%EV -4.28%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-13 14:59
BetOnline.ag🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.11%EV -4.66%E -1.94%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 31.15%EV -2.04%E -0.659%K -0.974%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.74%EV -4.28%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-13 14:59
BetUS🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.11%EV -4.66%E -1.94%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 31.15%EV -2.04%E -0.659%K -0.974%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.74%EV -4.28%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-13 14:59
GTbets🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.86%EV -4.66%E -1.94%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.58%EV -3.94%E -1.30%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.56%EV -4.28%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-13 17:49
DraftKings🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.57%EV -4.66%E -1.94%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.65%EV -4.89%E -1.63%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.78%EV -5.71%E -1.73%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-13 18:20
Coolbet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.57%EV -4.66%E -1.94%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.65%EV -4.89%E -1.63%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.78%EV -5.71%E -1.73%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-13 17:54
LeoVegas🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.53%EV -4.66%E -1.94%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.16%EV -6.47%E -2.19%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.32%EV -4.28%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-13 18:40
Unibet (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -4.66%E -1.94%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -8.06%E -2.78%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -5.71%E -1.73%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-13 18:19
Tipico (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -4.66%E -1.94%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -12.82%E -4.66%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -5.71%E -1.73%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-13 18:24
BetRivers🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.96%EV -4.66%E -1.94%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.13%EV -12.82%E -4.66%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.92%EV -10.00%E -3.17%K -4.65%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-13 17:54
TABtouch🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.96%EV -4.66%E -1.94%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.13%EV -12.82%E -4.66%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.92%EV -10.00%E -3.17%K -4.65%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-13 17:54
LiveScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.96%EV -4.66%E -1.94%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.13%EV -12.82%E -4.66%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.92%EV -10.00%E -3.17%K -4.65%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-13 17:55
betfred_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.11%EV -5.46%E -2.29%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.89%E -1.63%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.07%EV -2.85%E -0.839%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-13 15:19
betano_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.77%EV -5.46%E -2.29%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.55%EV -4.89%E -1.63%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.68%EV -5.71%E -1.73%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-13 17:59
Bet Victor🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.77%EV -5.46%E -2.29%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.55%EV -4.89%E -1.63%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.68%EV -5.71%E -1.73%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-13 17:59
Sky Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.77%EV -5.46%E -2.29%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.55%EV -4.89%E -1.63%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.68%EV -5.71%E -1.73%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-13 18:24
NordicBet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.73%EV -5.46%E -2.29%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 30.80%EV -2.67%E -0.870%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.46%EV -8.28%E -2.58%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-13 18:28
Betsson🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.62%EV -5.46%E -2.29%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.92%EV -3.30%E -1.08%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.47%EV -8.57%E -2.68%K -3.89%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-13 18:25
888sport🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.99%EV -5.46%E -2.29%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.00%EV -8.06%E -2.78%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.00%EV -8.57%E -2.68%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-13 18:40
888sport (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.99%EV -5.46%E -2.29%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.00%EV -8.06%E -2.78%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.00%EV -8.57%E -2.68%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-13 18:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.99%EV -5.46%E -2.29%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.00%EV -8.06%E -2.78%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.00%EV -8.57%E -2.68%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-13 18:40
William Hill🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.99%EV -5.46%E -2.29%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.00%EV -8.06%E -2.78%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.00%EV -8.57%E -2.68%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-13 18:39
SportsBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.28%EV -6.65%E -2.83%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.04%EV -3.30%E -1.08%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.68%EV -5.71%E -1.73%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-13 18:34
Bovada🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -6.65%E -2.83%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -4.89%E -1.63%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -7.14%E -2.20%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-13 18:23
FanDuel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -6.65%E -2.83%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -4.89%E -1.63%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -8.57%E -2.68%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-13 18:34
PlayUp🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.47%EV -6.65%E -2.83%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.99%EV -8.06%E -2.78%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -7.14%E -2.20%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-13 18:24
ReBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.42%EV -6.65%E -2.83%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.17%EV -8.69%E -3.02%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.42%EV -6.85%E -2.10%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-13 18:19
PMU (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.05%EV -6.65%E -2.83%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.11%EV -14.40%E -5.33%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.84%EV -11.42%E -3.69%K -5.44%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-13 17:55
Coral🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -8.64%E -3.75%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -1.72%E -0.555%K -0.819%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -5.71%E -1.73%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-13 17:50
Bet Right🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -8.64%E -3.75%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -4.89%E -1.63%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -2.85%E -0.839%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-13 18:39
Betr (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -8.64%E -3.75%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -4.89%E -1.63%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -2.85%E -0.839%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-13 18:40
1xBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.62%EV -8.64%E -3.75%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 31.24%EV -5.21%E -1.74%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.14%EV -5.14%E -1.55%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-13 15:57
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -8.64%E -3.75%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -4.89%E -1.63%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -5.71%E -1.73%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-13 16:05
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -8.64%E -3.75%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -4.89%E -1.63%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -5.71%E -1.73%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-13 13:59
Neds🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -8.64%E -3.75%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -4.89%E -1.63%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -5.71%E -1.73%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-13 17:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -8.64%E -3.75%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -4.89%E -1.63%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -5.71%E -1.73%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-13 17:49
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -8.64%E -3.75%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -4.89%E -1.63%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -5.71%E -1.73%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-13 17:49
BetMGM🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -8.64%E -3.75%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -4.89%E -1.63%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -5.71%E -1.73%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-13 17:49
theScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.55%EV -8.64%E -3.75%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.61%EV -6.47%E -2.19%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -4.28%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-13 15:19
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -8.64%E -3.75%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -4.89%E -1.63%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -8.57%E -2.68%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-13 15:59
TAB🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -8.64%E -3.75%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -4.89%E -1.63%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -8.57%E -2.68%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-13 16:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -8.64%E -3.75%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.06%E -2.78%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -8.57%E -2.68%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-13 18:34
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.72%EV -8.64%E -3.75%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -8.69%E -3.02%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -8.57%E -2.68%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-13 13:40
Winamax (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -8.64%E -3.75%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -11.23%E -4.01%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -5.71%E -1.73%K -2.48%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-13 18:20
Marathon Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.79%EV -9.43%E -4.14%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.21%EV -5.52%E -1.85%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.01%EV -5.14%E -1.55%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-13 15:59
Winamax (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.83%EV -10.62%E -4.72%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.59%EV -12.82%E -4.66%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -7.14%E -2.20%K -3.17%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-13 18:19
Betclic (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.72%EV -10.62%E -4.72%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -11.23%E -4.01%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.37%EV -10.00%E -3.17%K -4.65%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-13 18:19
NetBet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.52%EV -12.61%E -5.73%K -10.51%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 31.97%EV -13.77%E -5.06%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.51%EV -12.85%E -4.21%K -6.27%G +0.000%15.0%2026-10-13 18:24
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.38%EV -16.58%E -7.90%K -15.07%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.03%EV -11.23%E -4.01%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.59%EV -10.00%E -3.17%K -4.65%G +0.000%15.1%2026-10-13 18:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook◎2.46I 40.65%NM 40.32%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.52%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%0.8%2026-10-13 18:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.46I 40.65%NM 40.32%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.52%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%0.8%2026-10-13 18:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.46I 40.65%NM 40.32%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.52%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%0.8%2026-10-13 18:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.46I 40.65%NM 40.32%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.52%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%0.8%2026-10-13 18:40
Smarkets◎2.46I 40.65%NM 40.12%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.85%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.03%1.3%2026-10-13 18:40
Kalshi◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.21%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.36%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.43%2.0%2026-10-13 17:50