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Millwall v Queens Park Rangers

2026-11-21 12:30 UTC — Championship

Head to Head

23 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Millwall (Local)

Prediction 39.06%2.56fair odd
EV -5.08%
Edge -2.09%
Kelly -3.55%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.43

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.54%39.11%39.08%39.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.352.382.4347.62%42.55%42.02%41.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Queens Park Rangers (Visit)

Prediction 34.10%2.93fair odd
EV -3.14%
Edge -1.11%
Kelly -1.71%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.84

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.58%34.21%34.12%35.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.662.702.8442.55%37.56%37.04%35.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.83%3.73fair odd
EV -3.40%
Edge -0.945%
Kelly -1.31%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.97%26.69%26.80%27.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.483.503.6031.25%28.72%28.57%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Millwall (Local): 39.06%; Queens Park Rangers (Visit): 34.10%; Draw: 26.83%. For Queens Park Rangers (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.93. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.84, with an expected value of -3.14%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (23 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.28%EV -5.08%E -2.09%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.61%EV -3.14%E -1.11%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.11%EV -5.55%E -1.58%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-11-07 21:30
NordicBet🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.11%EV -5.47%E -2.26%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.69%EV -4.17%E -1.48%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.20%EV -6.62%E -1.90%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-08 11:55
Bet Right🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.38%EV -6.25%E -2.60%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.21%E -2.26%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -3.40%E -0.945%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-07 20:34
Betr (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.38%EV -6.25%E -2.60%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.21%E -2.26%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -3.40%E -0.945%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-07 20:35
SportsBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.38%EV -6.25%E -2.60%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.21%E -2.26%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -3.40%E -0.945%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-08 00:20
Betsson🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.17%EV -6.25%E -2.60%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.58%EV -4.51%E -1.61%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -7.43%E -2.15%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.4%2026-11-08 11:55
Fanatics🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -6.25%E -2.60%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -6.21%E -2.26%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -6.09%E -1.74%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.6%2026-11-07 20:35
FanDuel🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -6.25%E -2.60%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -6.21%E -2.26%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -6.09%E -1.74%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.6%2026-11-08 00:25
Sky Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -6.25%E -2.60%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -7.92%E -2.93%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -6.09%E -1.74%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.3%2026-11-08 00:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -6.25%E -2.60%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -7.92%E -2.93%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -6.09%E -1.74%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.3%2026-11-08 00:30
William Hill🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -6.25%E -2.60%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -7.92%E -2.93%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -8.77%E -2.58%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.1%2026-11-07 20:35
1xBet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.08%EV -7.03%E -2.95%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.19%EV -7.24%E -2.66%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.73%EV -6.62%E -1.90%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.5%2026-11-07 20:34
Marathon Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.08%EV -7.03%E -2.95%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.19%EV -7.24%E -2.66%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.73%EV -6.62%E -1.90%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.5%2026-11-07 20:35
LeoVegas🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.81%EV -7.03%E -2.95%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.53%EV -11.33%E -4.36%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.66%EV -3.40%E -0.945%K -1.31%G +0.000%8.3%2026-11-07 20:35
Unibet (UK)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.81%EV -7.03%E -2.95%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.53%EV -11.33%E -4.36%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.66%EV -3.40%E -0.945%K -1.31%G +0.000%8.3%2026-11-07 20:34
888sport🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.74%EV -7.03%E -2.95%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -7.92%E -2.93%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -8.77%E -2.58%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.5%2026-11-07 20:35
picklebet_au🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.83%EV -8.20%E -3.49%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV -11.33%E -4.36%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -6.09%E -1.74%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.6%2026-11-07 20:35
Tipico (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.60%EV -10.15%E -4.41%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -9.62%E -3.63%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -6.09%E -1.74%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.8%2026-11-08 11:24
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.15%EV -10.15%E -4.41%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.37%EV -10.65%E -4.06%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -8.77%E -2.58%K -3.65%G +0.000%11.1%2026-11-08 00:19
Winamax (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.08%EV -10.15%E -4.41%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.95%EV -14.74%E -5.90%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -3.40%E -0.945%K -1.31%G +0.000%11.3%2026-11-07 20:35
Betclic (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.19%EV -14.06%E -6.39%K -11.72%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 34.91%EV -15.76%E -6.38%K -10.72%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 25.89%EV -10.65%E -3.20%K -4.57%G +0.000%16.0%2026-11-07 20:33
Winamax (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 39.11%EV -16.01%E -7.45%K -13.92%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 35.78%EV -19.86%E -8.45%K -14.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.10%EV -10.11%E -3.02%K -4.30%G +0.000%18.9%2026-11-07 20:35
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 39.51%EV -17.97%E -8.56%K -16.33%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 34.57%EV -18.15%E -7.56%K -12.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 25.93%EV -14.14%E -4.42%K -6.43%G +0.000%20.5%2026-11-07 21:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎2.18I 45.87%NM 39.06%2.48I 40.32%NM 34.33%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.61%17.4%2026-11-07 20:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.54I 39.37%NM 19.99%1.10I 90.91%NM 46.16%1.50I 66.67%NM 33.85%96.9%2026-11-08 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.54I 39.37%NM 19.99%1.10I 90.91%NM 46.16%1.50I 66.67%NM 33.85%96.9%2026-11-08 14:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.54I 39.37%NM 19.99%1.10I 90.91%NM 46.16%1.50I 66.67%NM 33.85%96.9%2026-11-08 14:55

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