Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Millwall v Derby County

Kickoff: 2026-03-10 19:45 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

64 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Millwall (Local)

Prediction 46.94%2.13fair odd
EV -3.30%
Edge -1.60%
Kelly -3.12%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.06

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.82%47.00%46.90%48.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.781.971.962.0656.18%50.81%50.89%48.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Derby County (Visit)

Prediction 25.57%3.91fair odd
EV +5.11%
Edge +1.24%
Kelly +1.64%
Growth +0.084%

assuming max odds 4.11

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.60%25.50%25.63%26.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.703.704.1130.30%27.01%27.03%24.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.49%3.64fair odd
EV -1.05%
Edge -0.291%
Kelly -0.403%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.50%27.51%27.48%29.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.393.403.6033.33%29.52%29.41%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Millwall (Local): 46.94%; Derby County (Visit): 25.57%; Draw: 27.49%. For Derby County (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.91. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.11, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.11%.

Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.99%EV -7.06%E -3.57%K -7.20%G +0.000%4.11I 24.33%NM 23.60%EV +5.11%E +1.24%K +1.64%G +0.084%3.54I 28.25%NM 27.40%EV -2.70%E -0.762%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-10 19:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.65%EV -7.53%E -3.82%K -7.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.96%EV +2.29%E +0.574%K +0.765%G +0.018%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.38%EV -3.80%E -1.08%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-10 18:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.65%EV -7.53%E -3.82%K -7.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.96%EV +2.29%E +0.574%K +0.765%G +0.018%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.38%EV -3.80%E -1.08%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-10 18:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.65%EV -7.53%E -3.82%K -7.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.96%EV +2.29%E +0.574%K +0.765%G +0.018%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.38%EV -3.80%E -1.08%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-10 18:50
Bet Victor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.19%EV -6.12%E -3.06%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -0.263%E -0.067%K -0.091%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.60%EV -9.29%E -2.82%K -4.04%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-10 19:19
Unibet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.36%EV -8.94%E -4.61%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -0.263%E -0.067%K -0.091%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -6.55%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-10 18:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.48%EV -9.41%E -4.87%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -0.263%E -0.067%K -0.091%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -6.55%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-10 18:50
Casumo🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.48%EV -9.41%E -4.87%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -0.263%E -0.067%K -0.091%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -6.55%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-10 18:50
Grosvenor🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.48%EV -9.41%E -4.87%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -0.263%E -0.067%K -0.091%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -6.55%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-10 18:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.48%EV -9.41%E -4.87%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -0.263%E -0.067%K -0.091%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -6.55%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-10 18:50
TABtouch🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.48%EV -9.41%E -4.87%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -0.263%E -0.067%K -0.091%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -6.55%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-10 18:50
BetRivers🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.48%EV -9.41%E -4.87%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -0.263%E -0.067%K -0.091%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -6.55%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-10 18:50
betPARX🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.48%EV -9.41%E -4.87%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -0.263%E -0.067%K -0.091%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -6.55%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-10 18:50
Bally Bet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.48%EV -9.41%E -4.87%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -0.263%E -0.067%K -0.091%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -6.55%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-10 18:50
Pinnacle🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.84%EV -5.18%E -2.56%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 25.17%EV -1.80%E -0.468%K -0.633%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.99%EV -1.60%E -0.447%K -0.620%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-10 19:40
LowVig.ag🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.67%EV -6.12%E -3.06%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.09%EV -2.82%E -0.742%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.24%EV -3.80%E -1.08%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-10 12:59
BetOnline.ag🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.67%EV -6.12%E -3.06%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.09%EV -2.82%E -0.742%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.24%EV -3.80%E -1.08%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-10 12:59
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -6.12%E -3.06%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -2.82%E -0.742%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -6.55%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-10 19:40
Caesars🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -6.12%E -3.06%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -2.82%E -0.742%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -12.04%E -3.76%K -5.47%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-10 19:33
LeoVegas🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 48.51%EV -11.28%E -5.97%K -12.68%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.13%EV -2.82%E -0.742%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -7.92%E -2.36%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-10 18:50
SportsBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -6.12%E -3.06%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -4.10%E -1.09%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -3.80%E -1.08%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-10 19:00
Everygame🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -8.47%E -4.34%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -4.10%E -1.09%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -6.55%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-10 19:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.96%EV -9.88%E -5.14%K -10.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -4.10%E -1.09%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -7.92%E -2.36%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-10 18:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.96%EV -9.88%E -5.14%K -10.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -4.10%E -1.09%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -7.92%E -2.36%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-10 18:50
888sport🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.17%EV -8.47%E -4.34%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -4.10%E -1.09%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -10.67%E -3.28%K -4.74%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-10 19:35
William Hill🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.17%EV -8.47%E -4.34%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -4.10%E -1.09%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -10.67%E -3.28%K -4.74%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-10 19:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.17%EV -8.47%E -4.34%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -4.10%E -1.09%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -10.67%E -3.28%K -4.74%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-10 19:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.17%EV -8.47%E -4.34%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -4.10%E -1.09%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -10.67%E -3.28%K -4.74%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-10 19:34
ReBet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.61%EV -3.30%E -1.60%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.95%EV -5.38%E -1.45%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.44%EV -3.80%E -1.08%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-10 18:50
DraftKings🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.73%EV -3.77%E -1.84%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.89%EV -5.38%E -1.45%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.37%EV -3.80%E -1.08%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-10 16:45
Codere (IT)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.67%EV -4.24%E -2.08%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.73%EV -5.38%E -1.45%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.60%EV -5.17%E -1.50%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-10 16:50
Betsson🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 46.79%EV -4.71%E -2.32%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.67%EV -5.38%E -1.45%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.53%EV -5.17%E -1.50%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-10 19:15
NordicBet🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 46.79%EV -4.71%E -2.32%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.67%EV -5.38%E -1.45%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.53%EV -5.17%E -1.50%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-10 19:15
GTbets🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.16%EV -6.12%E -3.06%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.49%EV -5.38%E -1.45%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.34%EV -5.17%E -1.50%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-10 19:40
FanDuel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -6.12%E -3.06%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -5.38%E -1.45%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.55%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-10 17:04
Sky Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -8.47%E -4.34%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -5.38%E -1.45%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -3.80%E -1.08%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-10 19:00
Paddy Power🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -8.47%E -4.34%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -5.38%E -1.45%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -6.55%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-10 19:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.86%EV -9.41%E -4.87%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -5.38%E -1.45%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -6.55%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-10 19:25
Marathon Bet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.08%EV -7.06%E -3.57%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.33%EV -5.89%E -1.60%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.58%EV -7.10%E -2.10%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-10 19:30
Bovada🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.57%EV -8.94%E -4.61%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.28%EV -6.66%E -1.82%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -6.55%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-10 19:40
BetUS🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.57%EV -8.94%E -4.61%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.28%EV -6.66%E -1.82%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -6.55%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-10 19:40
Coolbet🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 47.00%EV -4.71%E -2.32%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV -7.94%E -2.20%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV -1.05%E -0.291%K -0.403%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-10 19:34
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -3.77%E -1.84%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -7.94%E -2.20%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -6.55%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-10 15:25
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -3.77%E -1.84%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -7.94%E -2.20%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -6.55%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-10 15:25
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -3.77%E -1.84%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -7.94%E -2.20%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -6.55%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-10 15:25
Unibet (UK)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.58%EV -5.18%E -2.56%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -7.94%E -2.20%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.28%EV -5.17%E -1.50%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-10 16:50
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -6.12%E -3.06%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -7.94%E -2.20%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -3.80%E -1.08%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-10 19:35
Neds🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.84%EV -3.77%E -1.84%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -7.94%E -2.20%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -7.92%E -2.36%K -3.37%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-10 15:24
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.84%EV -3.77%E -1.84%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -7.94%E -2.20%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -7.92%E -2.36%K -3.37%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-10 15:25
TAB🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -6.12%E -3.06%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -7.94%E -2.20%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.55%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-10 19:25
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -6.12%E -3.06%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -7.94%E -2.20%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.29%E -2.82%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-10 19:19
PlayUp🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.73%EV -7.06%E -3.57%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -9.21%E -2.60%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -6.55%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-10 19:30
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.57%EV -10.81%E -5.69%K -12.02%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.46%EV -9.21%E -2.60%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -7.92%E -2.36%K -3.37%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-10 19:20
Fliff🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.04%EV -10.34%E -5.42%K -11.37%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.31%EV -9.21%E -2.60%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -10.67%E -3.28%K -4.74%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-10 19:20
Betr (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.12%E -3.06%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -10.49%E -3.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -3.80%E -1.08%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-10 19:35
Bet Right🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.49%EV -6.12%E -3.06%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.56%EV -10.49%E -3.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -5.17%E -1.50%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-10 19:35
Betclic (FR)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.63%EV -8.47%E -4.34%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.98%EV -10.49%E -3.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 27.39%EV -8.75%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-10 19:19
Unibet (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 47.46%EV -11.75%E -6.25%K -13.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -10.49%E -3.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -9.29%E -2.82%K -4.04%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-10 19:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 45.82%EV -10.34%E -5.42%K -11.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.01%EV -10.49%E -3.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.17%EV -17.54%E -5.85%K -8.77%G +0.000%14.3%2026-03-10 19:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.45%EV -8.00%E -4.08%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -13.05%E -3.84%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -6.55%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-10 16:50
BoyleSports🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -8.47%E -4.34%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -13.05%E -3.84%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -6.55%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-10 19:30
NetBet (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 46.92%EV -13.16%E -7.11%K -15.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.53%EV -13.05%E -3.84%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.55%EV -13.42%E -4.26%K -6.24%G +0.000%15.2%2026-03-10 19:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 46.59%EV -9.88%E -5.14%K -10.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.70%EV -14.33%E -4.28%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.70%EV -7.92%E -2.36%K -3.37%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-10 16:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 47.10%EV -16.45%E -9.24%K -21.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.41%EV -15.61%E -4.73%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 27.49%EV -16.17%E -5.30%K -7.89%G +0.000%19.3%2026-03-10 19:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook2.08I 48.08%NM 47.88%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.21%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.91%0.4%2026-03-10 19:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.12%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.09%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.79%0.9%2026-03-10 19:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.12%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.09%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.79%0.9%2026-03-10 19:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.12%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.09%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.79%0.9%2026-03-10 19:40
Kalshi2.04I 49.02%NM 48.51%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.74%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.75%1.0%2026-03-10 19:40
Smarkets2.04I 49.02%NM 48.36%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.98%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.66%1.4%2026-03-10 19:40