Language:English
Middlesbrough v Watford
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Middlesbrough (Local)
Prediction 66.00%1.52fair odd
EV -1.66%
Edge -1.12%
Kelly -3.39%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.49
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.92%65.99%65.88%67.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.331.421.421.4975.19%70.52%70.42%67.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Watford (Visit)
Prediction 14.08%7.10fair odd
EV +5.63%
Edge +0.751%
Kelly +0.866%
Growth +0.049%
assuming max odds 7.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.40%14.13%14.17%15.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.506.526.507.5018.18%15.35%15.38%13.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 19.92%5.02fair odd
EV -0.412%
Edge -0.082%
Kelly -0.103%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 5.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.92%19.88%19.95%22.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.604.605.0026.67%21.73%21.74%20.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Middlesbrough (Local): 66.00%; Watford (Visit): 14.08%; Draw: 19.92%. For Watford (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.10. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.63%.
Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.39%EV -8.92%E -6.47%K -23.48%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV +5.63%E +0.751%K +0.866%G +0.049% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.22%EV -8.38%E -1.82%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-24 03:48 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.75%EV -6.28%E -4.42%K -14.96%G +0.000% | 7.32I 13.66%NM 12.95%EV +3.10%E +0.423%K +0.490%G +0.015% | 4.67I 21.41%NM 20.30%EV -6.98%E -1.50%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-23 23:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.75%EV -6.28%E -4.42%K -14.96%G +0.000% | 7.32I 13.66%NM 12.95%EV +3.10%E +0.423%K +0.490%G +0.015% | 4.67I 21.41%NM 20.30%EV -6.98%E -1.50%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-23 23:24 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.84%EV -5.62%E -3.93%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.65%EV -1.41%E -0.201%K -0.235%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.51%EV -2.40%E -0.491%K -0.616%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-23 10:39 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.27%EV -4.96%E -3.45%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.63%EV -1.41%E -0.201%K -0.235%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.09%EV -5.39%E -1.13%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-23 17:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -7.60%E -5.43%K -19.01%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -1.41%E -0.201%K -0.235%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -0.412%E -0.082%K -0.103%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-23 15:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -7.60%E -5.43%K -19.01%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -1.41%E -0.201%K -0.235%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -0.412%E -0.082%K -0.103%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-23 17:53 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.86%EV -6.28%E -4.42%K -14.96%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV -1.41%E -0.201%K -0.235%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -10.37%E -2.30%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-23 13:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.62%EV -7.60%E -5.43%K -19.01%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.32%EV -1.41%E -0.201%K -0.235%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.06%EV -7.38%E -1.59%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-23 22:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.47%EV -7.60%E -5.43%K -19.01%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.29%EV -1.41%E -0.201%K -0.235%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -8.38%E -1.82%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-23 17:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -7.60%E -5.43%K -19.01%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -1.41%E -0.201%K -0.235%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -10.37%E -2.30%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-23 17:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.79%EV -8.92%E -6.47%K -23.48%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -1.41%E -0.201%K -0.235%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.04%EV -8.38%E -1.82%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-23 17:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.45%EV -6.94%E -4.92%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 6.99I 14.31%NM 13.40%EV -1.55%E -0.222%K -0.259%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.15%EV -7.38%E -1.59%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-23 22:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.94%EV -6.94%E -4.92%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 6.88I 14.53%NM 13.72%EV -3.10%E -0.451%K -0.527%G +0.000% | 4.88I 20.49%NM 19.34%EV -2.80%E -0.574%K -0.722%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-23 23:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 66.98%EV -9.58%E -6.99%K -25.90%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.49%EV -4.23%E -0.622%K -0.729%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.52%EV -6.39%E -1.36%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-23 06:24 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.60%E -5.43%K -19.01%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.66%EV -4.93%E -0.731%K -0.858%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -10.37%E -2.30%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-23 23:24 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.87%EV -4.96%E -3.45%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.37%EV -7.04%E -1.07%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.76%EV -4.40%E -0.916%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 17:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.51%EV -4.96%E -3.45%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 6.58I 15.20%NM 14.34%EV -7.33%E -1.11%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.68I 21.37%NM 20.16%EV -6.79%E -1.45%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-22 21:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.67%EV -1.66%E -1.12%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.82%EV -8.45%E -1.30%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.50%EV -6.39%E -1.36%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-23 18:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.67%EV -1.66%E -1.12%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.82%EV -8.45%E -1.30%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.50%EV -6.39%E -1.36%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-23 18:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.67%EV -1.66%E -1.12%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.82%EV -8.45%E -1.30%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.50%EV -6.39%E -1.36%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-23 18:44 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.72%EV -4.96%E -3.45%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV -8.45%E -1.30%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.72%EV -4.40%E -0.916%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-23 14:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.72%EV -4.96%E -3.45%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV -8.45%E -1.30%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.72%EV -4.40%E -0.916%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-23 14:34 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.16%EV -4.96%E -3.45%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -8.45%E -1.30%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -8.38%E -1.82%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-23 21:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.90%EV -6.28%E -4.42%K -14.96%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -8.45%E -1.30%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.70%EV -5.39%E -1.13%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-23 17:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.48%EV -6.28%E -4.42%K -14.96%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV -8.45%E -1.30%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -8.38%E -1.82%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-23 21:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.48%EV -6.28%E -4.42%K -14.96%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV -8.45%E -1.30%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -8.38%E -1.82%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-23 21:24 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.48%EV -6.28%E -4.42%K -14.96%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV -8.45%E -1.30%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -8.38%E -1.82%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-23 18:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.80%EV -7.60%E -5.43%K -19.01%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -8.45%E -1.30%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -8.38%E -1.82%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-24 03:04 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 66.24%EV -8.26%E -5.94%K -21.19%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -8.45%E -1.30%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.59%EV -6.39%E -1.36%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-23 22:48 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -7.60%E -5.43%K -19.01%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -8.45%E -1.30%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -10.37%E -2.30%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-23 17:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -7.60%E -5.43%K -19.01%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -8.45%E -1.30%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -10.37%E -2.30%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-23 17:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.21%EV -7.60%E -5.43%K -19.01%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.04%EV -8.45%E -1.30%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -12.36%E -2.81%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-23 14:34 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.21%EV -7.60%E -5.43%K -19.01%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.04%EV -8.45%E -1.30%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -12.36%E -2.81%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-23 14:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.21%EV -7.60%E -5.43%K -19.01%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.04%EV -8.45%E -1.30%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -12.36%E -2.81%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-23 14:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.70%EV -3.64%E -2.50%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.76%EV -9.86%E -1.54%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.54%EV -8.38%E -1.82%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-23 18:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.86%EV -4.30%E -2.97%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.69%EV -9.86%E -1.54%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.45%EV -8.38%E -1.82%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-23 18:44 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.86%EV -4.30%E -2.97%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.69%EV -9.86%E -1.54%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.45%EV -8.38%E -1.82%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-23 18:44 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.86%EV -4.30%E -2.97%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.69%EV -9.86%E -1.54%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.45%EV -8.38%E -1.82%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-23 18:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.86%EV -4.30%E -2.97%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.69%EV -9.86%E -1.54%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.45%EV -8.38%E -1.82%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-23 18:44 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.86%EV -4.30%E -2.97%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.69%EV -9.86%E -1.54%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.45%EV -8.38%E -1.82%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-23 18:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.86%EV -4.30%E -2.97%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.69%EV -9.86%E -1.54%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.45%EV -8.38%E -1.82%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-23 18:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.34%EV -6.28%E -4.42%K -14.96%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.50%EV -9.86%E -1.54%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.17%EV -8.38%E -1.82%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-23 11:24 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.34%EV -6.28%E -4.42%K -14.96%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.50%EV -9.86%E -1.54%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.17%EV -8.38%E -1.82%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-23 11:24 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.34%EV -6.28%E -4.42%K -14.96%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.50%EV -9.86%E -1.54%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.17%EV -8.38%E -1.82%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-23 11:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.34%EV -4.96%E -3.45%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.05%EV -11.97%E -1.92%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -4.40%E -0.916%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-23 19:34 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.21%EV -4.96%E -3.45%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.02%EV -11.97%E -1.92%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.77%EV -5.39%E -1.13%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-23 14:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.21%EV -4.96%E -3.45%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.02%EV -11.97%E -1.92%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.77%EV -5.39%E -1.13%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-23 14:34 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.50%EV -4.96%E -3.45%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.86%EV -11.97%E -1.92%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.64%EV -10.37%E -2.30%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-23 18:44 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.50%EV -4.96%E -3.45%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.86%EV -11.97%E -1.92%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.64%EV -10.37%E -2.30%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-23 18:44 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.82%EV -6.28%E -4.42%K -14.96%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.73%EV -11.97%E -1.92%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.45%EV -10.37%E -2.30%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-23 14:59 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 64.45%EV -6.94%E -4.92%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.90%EV -14.09%E -2.31%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.65%EV -12.36%E -2.81%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-23 18:44 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.24%EV -8.92%E -6.47%K -23.48%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.76%EV -14.09%E -2.31%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.01%EV -10.37%E -2.30%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-23 17:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.96%EV -5.62%E -3.93%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV -15.49%E -2.58%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.56%EV -5.39%E -1.13%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-23 22:49 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.75%EV -7.60%E -5.43%K -19.01%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -15.49%E -2.58%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -10.37%E -2.30%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-22 21:14 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.45%EV -7.60%E -5.43%K -19.01%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.04%EV -15.49%E -2.58%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -12.36%E -2.81%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-23 18:44 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.45%EV -7.60%E -5.43%K -19.01%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.04%EV -15.49%E -2.58%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -12.36%E -2.81%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-23 18:44 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 64.95%EV -9.58%E -6.99%K -25.90%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.83%EV -15.49%E -2.58%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.22%EV -12.36%E -2.81%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-23 17:55 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 65.62%EV -12.22%E -9.19%K -37.04%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.55%EV -15.49%E -2.58%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 19.83%EV -12.36%E -2.81%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-04-23 22:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 62.92%EV -10.24%E -7.53%K -28.45%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.26%EV -15.49%E -2.58%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.82%EV -25.31%E -6.75%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 16.9% | 2026-04-23 18:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 64.25%EV -10.24%E -7.53%K -28.45%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.89%EV -22.54%E -4.10%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 19.86%EV -12.36%E -2.81%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-04-23 17:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 66.59% | 7.69I 13.00%NM 13.16% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 20.24% | -1.2% | 2026-04-23 15:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.68% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.90% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.42% | 2.0% | 2026-04-24 00:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.16% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.14% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.69% | 2.8% | 2026-04-24 03:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.16% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.14% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.69% | 2.8% | 2026-04-24 03:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.16% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.14% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.69% | 2.8% | 2026-04-24 03:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.46I 68.49%NM 66.08% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.40% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.53% | 3.7% | 2026-04-24 03:50 |