Language:English
Middlesbrough v Southampton
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Middlesbrough (Local)
Prediction 40.88%2.45fair odd
EV -2.70%
Edge -1.13%
Kelly -1.95%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.38
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.56%40.84%40.87%41.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.292.302.3847.62%43.58%43.48%42.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Southampton (Visit)
Prediction 30.30%3.30fair odd
EV -0.604%
Edge -0.184%
Kelly -0.265%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.28
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.48%30.29%30.34%31.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.853.093.103.2835.09%32.41%32.26%30.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.81%3.47fair odd
EV -2.61%
Edge -0.773%
Kelly -1.10%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.38
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.79%28.86%28.80%30.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.233.253.3834.72%30.97%30.77%29.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Middlesbrough (Local): 40.88%; Southampton (Visit): 30.30%; Draw: 28.81%. For Southampton (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.30. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.28, with an expected value of -0.604%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.55%EV -2.70%E -1.13%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.64%EV -4.54%E -1.44%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.81%EV -3.48%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-06 11:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.55%EV -2.70%E -1.13%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.64%EV -4.54%E -1.44%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.81%EV -3.48%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-06 11:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.55%EV -2.70%E -1.13%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.64%EV -4.54%E -1.44%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.81%EV -3.48%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-06 11:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.77%EV -2.70%E -1.13%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.55%EV -9.09%E -3.03%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.68%EV -4.92%E -1.49%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-08 22:14 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 41.04%EV -3.11%E -1.31%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.84%EV -1.21%E -0.371%K -0.535%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 29.12%EV -3.76%E -1.13%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-05-08 23:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.92%E -1.67%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.73%EV -1.21%E -0.371%K -0.535%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 29.02%EV -3.76%E -1.13%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-09 00:04 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.92%E -1.67%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.82%EV -6.06%E -1.95%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.52%EV -3.48%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-08 13:24 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.48%EV -3.92%E -1.67%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.69%EV -6.06%E -1.95%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.83%EV -4.92%E -1.49%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-08 22:14 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.48%EV -3.92%E -1.67%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.69%EV -6.06%E -1.95%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.83%EV -4.92%E -1.49%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-08 22:14 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.07%EV -3.92%E -1.67%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -9.09%E -3.03%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -4.92%E -1.49%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-08 22:14 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -3.92%E -1.67%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -9.09%E -3.03%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -6.36%E -1.96%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-08 22:14 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.32%EV -4.33%E -1.85%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.48%EV -0.604%E -0.184%K -0.265%G +0.000% | 3.31I 30.21%NM 29.21%EV -4.63%E -1.40%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-08 23:44 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.48%EV -4.74%E -2.04%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.92%EV -2.12%E -0.656%K -0.950%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.60%EV -2.61%E -0.773%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-08 16:44 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.48%EV -4.74%E -2.04%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.92%EV -2.12%E -0.656%K -0.950%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.60%EV -2.61%E -0.773%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-08 16:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.00%EV -5.15%E -2.22%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.73%EV -3.03%E -0.946%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.27%EV -6.36%E -1.96%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-08 17:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.00%EV -5.15%E -2.22%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.73%EV -3.03%E -0.946%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.27%EV -6.36%E -1.96%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-08 17:19 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.61%EV -5.15%E -2.22%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.39%EV -6.06%E -1.95%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.99%EV -6.36%E -1.96%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-06 11:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.61%EV -5.15%E -2.22%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.39%EV -6.06%E -1.95%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.99%EV -6.36%E -1.96%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-06 11:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.61%EV -5.15%E -2.22%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.39%EV -6.06%E -1.95%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.99%EV -6.36%E -1.96%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-06 11:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.61%EV -5.15%E -2.22%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.39%EV -6.06%E -1.95%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.99%EV -6.36%E -1.96%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-06 11:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.61%EV -5.15%E -2.22%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.39%EV -6.06%E -1.95%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.99%EV -6.36%E -1.96%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-06 11:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.61%EV -5.15%E -2.22%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.39%EV -6.06%E -1.95%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.99%EV -6.36%E -1.96%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-06 11:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.61%EV -5.15%E -2.22%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.39%EV -6.06%E -1.95%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.99%EV -6.36%E -1.96%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-06 11:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.08%EV -5.97%E -2.59%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.28%EV -5.45%E -1.75%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.63%EV -4.92%E -1.49%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-08 21:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.97%E -2.59%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -3.03%E -0.946%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -7.80%E -2.44%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-08 22:34 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.97%E -2.59%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -3.03%E -0.946%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -7.80%E -2.44%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-08 21:24 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.01%EV -5.97%E -2.59%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.23%EV -5.45%E -1.75%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.76%EV -5.49%E -1.67%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-03 00:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -5.97%E -2.59%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -6.06%E -1.95%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -4.92%E -1.49%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-08 13:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -5.97%E -2.59%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -6.06%E -1.95%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -4.92%E -1.49%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-08 13:34 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -5.97%E -2.59%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -6.06%E -1.95%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -4.92%E -1.49%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-08 13:29 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -5.97%E -2.59%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -6.06%E -1.95%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -6.36%E -1.96%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-08 22:34 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.80%EV -5.97%E -2.59%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.77%EV -7.57%E -2.48%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -4.92%E -1.49%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-08 13:34 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -5.97%E -2.59%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.06%E -1.95%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -7.80%E -2.44%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-08 13:31 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.62%EV -5.97%E -2.59%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.63%EV -7.57%E -2.48%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -6.36%E -1.96%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-06 11:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.62%EV -5.97%E -2.59%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.63%EV -7.57%E -2.48%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -6.36%E -1.96%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-06 11:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.62%EV -5.97%E -2.59%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.63%EV -7.57%E -2.48%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -6.36%E -1.96%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-08 13:29 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.62%EV -5.97%E -2.59%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.63%EV -7.57%E -2.48%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -6.36%E -1.96%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-08 13:29 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -5.97%E -2.59%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -9.09%E -3.03%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -6.36%E -1.96%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-08 22:14 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -5.97%E -2.59%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -6.06%E -1.95%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -10.68%E -3.45%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-08 20:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -5.97%E -2.59%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -6.06%E -1.95%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -10.68%E -3.45%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-08 20:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -5.97%E -2.59%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -6.06%E -1.95%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -10.68%E -3.45%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-08 20:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -5.97%E -2.59%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -6.06%E -1.95%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -10.68%E -3.45%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-08 22:34 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -5.97%E -2.59%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -6.06%E -1.95%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -10.68%E -3.45%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-08 22:34 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -5.97%E -2.59%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -6.06%E -1.95%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -10.68%E -3.45%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-08 20:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -5.97%E -2.59%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -9.09%E -3.03%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -7.80%E -2.44%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-08 13:24 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.44%EV -6.79%E -2.98%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -9.09%E -3.03%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -7.80%E -2.44%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-06 10:59 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.37%EV -8.01%E -3.56%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.55%EV -4.54%E -1.44%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -7.80%E -2.44%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-08 23:34 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.22%EV -8.01%E -3.56%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.41%EV -7.57%E -2.48%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 28.37%EV -5.78%E -1.77%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-09 00:03 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.98%EV -8.01%E -3.56%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -6.06%E -1.95%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -9.24%E -2.93%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-08 21:54 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -8.01%E -3.56%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -6.06%E -1.95%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -10.68%E -3.45%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-08 23:38 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.37%EV -8.01%E -3.56%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.79%EV -10.60%E -3.59%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.84%EV -9.24%E -2.93%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-06 11:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.17%EV -8.42%E -3.76%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.56%EV -5.45%E -1.75%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.28%EV -9.24%E -2.93%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-08 21:52 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.17%EV -8.42%E -3.76%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.56%EV -5.45%E -1.75%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.28%EV -9.24%E -2.93%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-08 21:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -10.06%E -4.57%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -6.06%E -1.95%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -7.80%E -2.44%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-08 21:54 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -10.06%E -4.57%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -9.09%E -3.03%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -7.80%E -2.44%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-08 13:34 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -10.06%E -4.57%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -12.12%E -4.18%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -6.36%E -1.96%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-08 13:34 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.91%EV -10.06%E -4.57%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.51%EV -10.60%E -3.59%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.57%EV -9.24%E -2.93%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-06 11:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.91%EV -10.06%E -4.57%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.51%EV -10.60%E -3.59%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.57%EV -9.24%E -2.93%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-06 11:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.66%EV -10.06%E -4.57%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.39%EV -13.63%E -4.78%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -7.80%E -2.44%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-08 13:34 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.56%EV -10.06%E -4.57%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.22%EV -12.73%E -4.42%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.22%EV -17.02%E -5.91%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-05-08 21:04 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.45%EV -14.15%E -6.74%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.01%EV -12.12%E -4.18%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.54%EV -12.12%E -3.97%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-05-08 23:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.08% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.24% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.68% | 0.6% | 2026-05-08 23:14 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.90% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.55% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.55% | 1.0% | 2026-05-08 23:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.90% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.55% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.55% | 1.0% | 2026-05-08 23:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.90% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.55% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.55% | 1.0% | 2026-05-08 23:54 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.10% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.45% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.45% | 1.4% | 2026-05-08 23:24 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.19% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.36% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.45% | 2.0% | 2026-05-08 23:49 |