Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Middlesbrough v Millwall

Kickoff: 2026-04-03 11:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

63 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Middlesbrough (Local)

Prediction 54.59%1.83fair odd
EV -2.29%
Edge -1.28%
Kelly -2.90%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.79

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.53%54.57%54.60%56.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.611.701.701.7962.11%58.70%58.82%55.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Millwall (Visit)

Prediction 20.76%4.82fair odd
EV -0.341%
Edge -0.071%
Kelly -0.090%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.81%20.74%20.73%21.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.104.534.504.8024.39%22.05%22.22%20.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.65%4.06fair odd
EV -1.39%
Edge -0.348%
Kelly -0.463%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.60%24.69%24.67%26.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.803.804.0030.30%26.29%26.32%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Middlesbrough (Local): 54.59%; Millwall (Visit): 20.76%; Draw: 24.65%. For Millwall (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.82. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.80, with an expected value of -0.341%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Betsson🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.12%EV -2.29%E -1.28%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.46I 22.42%NM 21.32%EV -7.40%E -1.66%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.56%EV -8.29%E -2.23%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-03 11:14
NordicBet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.12%EV -2.29%E -1.28%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.46I 22.42%NM 21.32%EV -7.40%E -1.66%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.56%EV -8.29%E -2.23%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-03 11:15
1xBet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.76%EV -3.38%E -1.91%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.71I 21.23%NM 20.58%EV -2.21%E -0.469%K -0.596%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 24.66%EV -3.12%E -0.793%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-03 11:20
DraftKings🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.14%EV -3.38%E -1.91%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.29%EV -6.57%E -1.46%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.57%EV -3.86%E -0.989%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-03 11:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.77%EV -3.93%E -2.23%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.51%EV -2.42%E -0.514%K -0.653%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.72%EV -3.86%E -0.989%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-03 11:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.77%EV -3.93%E -2.23%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.51%EV -2.42%E -0.514%K -0.653%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.72%EV -3.86%E -0.989%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-03 11:20
Pinnacle🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.76%EV -3.93%E -2.23%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.71I 21.23%NM 20.46%EV -2.21%E -0.469%K -0.596%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.78%EV -4.10%E -1.05%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-03 11:15
ReBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.08%EV -4.48%E -2.56%K -5.97%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.51%EV -2.42%E -0.514%K -0.653%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.40%EV -2.62%E -0.664%K -0.889%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-03 10:39
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -4.48%E -2.56%K -5.97%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -6.57%E -1.46%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -11.25%E -3.13%K -4.33%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-03 11:15
Betway🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.90%EV -4.48%E -2.56%K -5.97%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.38%EV -10.10%E -2.33%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.72%EV -11.25%E -3.13%K -4.33%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-03 11:14
Codere (IT)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.81%EV -5.02%E -2.89%K -6.79%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.73%EV -4.49%E -0.977%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.45%EV -3.86%E -0.989%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-03 10:25
Caesars🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.60%EV -5.02%E -2.89%K -6.79%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -8.65%E -1.97%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -8.79%E -2.37%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-03 10:21
Coolbet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.14%EV -5.57%E -3.22%K -7.63%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.08%EV -1.38%E -0.290%K -0.368%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.78%EV -5.09%E -1.32%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-03 10:25
Bet Victor🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.70%EV -5.57%E -3.22%K -7.63%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.03%EV -6.57%E -1.46%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -3.86%E -0.989%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-03 11:19
Unibet (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.36%EV -5.57%E -3.22%K -7.63%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -6.57%E -1.46%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -6.32%E -1.66%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-03 10:25
Everygame🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.18%EV -5.57%E -3.22%K -7.63%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -6.57%E -1.46%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -7.55%E -2.01%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-03 11:15
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.74%EV -5.57%E -3.22%K -7.63%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -8.65%E -1.97%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -8.79%E -2.37%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-03 11:15
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.74%EV -5.57%E -3.22%K -7.63%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -8.65%E -1.97%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -8.79%E -2.37%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-03 11:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.74%EV -5.57%E -3.22%K -7.63%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -8.65%E -1.97%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -8.79%E -2.37%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-03 11:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.74%EV -5.57%E -3.22%K -7.63%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -8.65%E -1.97%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -8.79%E -2.37%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-03 11:20
SportsBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.75%EV -6.11%E -3.55%K -8.49%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -4.49%E -0.977%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -6.32%E -1.66%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-03 10:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.50%EV -6.11%E -3.55%K -8.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -6.57%E -1.46%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -6.32%E -1.66%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-03 10:25
PlayUp🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -6.11%E -3.55%K -8.49%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.26%EV -9.68%E -2.23%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.99%EV -8.79%E -2.37%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-03 11:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.06%EV -6.66%E -3.89%K -9.38%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.97%EV -0.341%E -0.071%K -0.090%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.97%EV -1.39%E -0.348%K -0.463%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-03 11:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.06%EV -6.66%E -3.89%K -9.38%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.97%EV -0.341%E -0.071%K -0.090%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.97%EV -1.39%E -0.348%K -0.463%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-03 11:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.06%EV -6.66%E -3.89%K -9.38%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.97%EV -0.341%E -0.071%K -0.090%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.97%EV -1.39%E -0.348%K -0.463%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-03 11:20
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.25%EV -6.66%E -3.89%K -9.38%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.89%EV -1.38%E -0.290%K -0.368%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.86%EV -6.32%E -1.66%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-03 11:05
theScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.64%EV -6.66%E -3.89%K -9.38%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -6.57%E -1.46%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -6.32%E -1.66%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-03 10:25
Bet Right🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.47%EV -6.66%E -3.89%K -9.38%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -6.57%E -1.46%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -7.55%E -2.01%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-03 10:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.72%EV -7.20%E -4.24%K -10.29%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.59%EV -4.49%E -0.977%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -1.39%E -0.348%K -0.463%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-03 10:25
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.72%EV -7.20%E -4.24%K -10.29%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.59%EV -4.49%E -0.977%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -1.39%E -0.348%K -0.463%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-03 10:25
Marathon Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.86%EV -7.20%E -4.24%K -10.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -6.57%E -1.46%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.41%EV -5.83%E -1.53%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-03 11:20
Sky Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -7.20%E -4.24%K -10.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -6.57%E -1.46%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -6.32%E -1.66%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-03 10:40
Paddy Power🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.61%EV -7.20%E -4.24%K -10.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -6.57%E -1.46%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.76%EV -7.55%E -2.01%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-03 10:40
Bovada🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.30%EV -7.20%E -4.24%K -10.29%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.75%EV -7.61%E -1.71%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.95%EV -8.79%E -2.37%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-03 11:14
BetUS🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.30%EV -7.20%E -4.24%K -10.29%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.75%EV -7.61%E -1.71%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.95%EV -8.79%E -2.37%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-03 11:14
BoyleSports🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.62%EV -7.20%E -4.24%K -10.29%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.05%EV -10.10%E -2.33%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.32%EV -11.25%E -3.13%K -4.33%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-03 11:04
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.87%EV -7.75%E -4.59%K -11.23%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.53%EV -4.49%E -0.977%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -1.39%E -0.348%K -0.463%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-03 10:25
FanDuel🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.42%EV -7.75%E -4.59%K -11.23%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -2.42%E -0.514%K -0.653%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.65%EV -6.32%E -1.66%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-03 10:40
Bally Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.92%EV -8.30%E -4.94%K -12.20%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.99%EV -2.42%E -0.514%K -0.653%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -3.86%E -0.989%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-03 11:00
betPARX🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.92%EV -8.30%E -4.94%K -12.20%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.99%EV -2.42%E -0.514%K -0.653%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -3.86%E -0.989%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-03 11:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.92%EV -8.30%E -4.94%K -12.20%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.99%EV -2.42%E -0.514%K -0.653%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -3.86%E -0.989%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-03 11:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.92%EV -8.30%E -4.94%K -12.20%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.99%EV -2.42%E -0.514%K -0.653%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -3.86%E -0.989%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-03 11:00
Grosvenor🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.92%EV -8.30%E -4.94%K -12.20%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.99%EV -2.42%E -0.514%K -0.653%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -3.86%E -0.989%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-03 11:00
Unibet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.92%EV -8.30%E -4.94%K -12.20%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.99%EV -2.42%E -0.514%K -0.653%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -3.86%E -0.989%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-03 11:00
Casumo🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.92%EV -8.30%E -4.94%K -12.20%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.99%EV -2.42%E -0.514%K -0.653%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -3.86%E -0.989%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-03 11:00
Neds🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.43%EV -8.30%E -4.94%K -12.20%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -6.57%E -1.46%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -3.86%E -0.989%K -1.33%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-03 10:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.43%EV -8.30%E -4.94%K -12.20%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -6.57%E -1.46%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -3.86%E -0.989%K -1.33%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-03 10:25
GTbets🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.22%EV -8.30%E -4.94%K -12.20%G +0.000%4.47I 22.37%NM 20.75%EV -7.19%E -1.61%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.03%EV -4.84%E -1.25%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-03 10:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.29%EV -8.30%E -4.94%K -12.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -12.80%E -3.05%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -6.32%E -1.66%K -2.26%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-03 10:25
BetRivers🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.07%EV -8.84%E -5.29%K -13.20%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.92%EV -2.42%E -0.514%K -0.653%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.01%EV -3.86%E -0.989%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-03 11:00
TABtouch🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.07%EV -8.84%E -5.29%K -13.20%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.92%EV -2.42%E -0.514%K -0.653%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.01%EV -3.86%E -0.989%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-03 11:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -8.84%E -5.29%K -13.20%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -4.49%E -0.977%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -8.79%E -2.37%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-03 11:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 52.53%EV -8.84%E -5.29%K -13.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.89%EV -12.80%E -3.05%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.58%EV -18.65%E -5.65%K -8.11%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-03 10:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.38%EV -9.39%E -5.66%K -14.22%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -6.57%E -1.46%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -6.32%E -1.66%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-03 11:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.38%EV -9.39%E -5.66%K -14.22%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -6.57%E -1.46%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -6.32%E -1.66%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-03 11:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.64%EV -9.39%E -5.66%K -14.22%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.85%EV -9.68%E -2.23%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.51%EV -8.79%E -2.37%K -3.25%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-03 11:03
Fliff🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.60%EV -9.93%E -6.02%K -15.28%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.71%EV -9.68%E -2.23%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.68%EV -10.02%E -2.74%K -3.78%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-03 11:20
LeoVegas🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.93%EV -10.48%E -6.39%K -16.37%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -4.49%E -0.977%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.14%EV -6.32%E -1.66%K -2.26%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-03 11:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 54.94%EV -10.48%E -6.39%K -16.37%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.71%EV -9.68%E -2.23%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.35%EV -8.79%E -2.37%K -3.25%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-03 11:14
Winamax (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 54.43%EV -10.48%E -6.39%K -16.37%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.77%EV -14.87%E -3.63%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.80%EV -7.55%E -2.01%K -2.75%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-03 10:25
PMU (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 55.90%EV -11.03%E -6.76%K -17.50%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.81%EV -4.49%E -0.977%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.30%EV -7.55%E -2.01%K -2.75%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-03 11:05
NetBet (FR)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 53.98%EV -12.12%E -7.53%K -19.86%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.20%EV -14.87%E -3.63%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.83%EV -13.72%E -3.92%K -5.49%G +0.000%15.1%2026-04-03 11:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.25%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.89%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.86%0.6%2026-04-03 11:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.25%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.89%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.86%0.6%2026-04-03 11:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.25%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.89%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.86%0.6%2026-04-03 11:00
Matchbook1.80I 55.56%NM 55.03%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.21%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.76%1.0%2026-04-03 11:20
Smarkets1.79I 55.87%NM 54.99%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.09%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.92%1.6%2026-04-03 11:20
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 55.40%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.37%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.24%3.2%2026-04-03 11:20