The School of OddsMiddlesbrough v Lincoln City
Head to Head
Option 1: Middlesbrough (Local)
Odds
1.2281.97%Min
1.2878.21%Mean
1.2778.74%Median
1.3275.76%Max
Consensus probabilities
69.27%1.444Min
73.19%1.366Max
71.39%1.401Mean
71.28%1.403Median
71.43%1.400IQM
71.57%1.397Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 1.32 under the IQM model: 71.43%
EV -5.71%Edge -4.33%Kelly -17.84%Growth +0.000%
Option 2: Lincoln City (Visit)
Odds
6.7514.81%Min
8.3012.04%Mean
8.0012.50%Median
10.0010.00%Max
Consensus probabilities
9.44%10.597Min
12.60%7.939Max
11.04%9.055Mean
11.03%9.066Median
10.98%9.106IQM
10.97%9.112Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 10.00 under the IQM model: 10.98%
EV +9.82%Edge +0.982%Kelly +1.09%Growth +0.107%
Option 3: Draw
Odds
4.7521.05%Min
5.2019.22%Mean
5.1019.61%Median
5.8017.24%Max
Consensus probabilities
16.51%6.058Min
18.81%5.316Max
17.56%5.694Mean
17.69%5.652Median
17.59%5.686IQM
17.46%5.728Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 5.80 under the IQM model: 17.59%
EV +2.00%Edge +0.345%Kelly +0.417%Growth +0.008%
Sportsbook Odds (39 sportsbooks)
| Bookmaker | Middlesbrough (Local) | Lincoln City (Visit) ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet | 1.30I 76.92% NM 73.19%EV -7.14% E -5.49% K -23.79% G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00% NM 9.51%EV +9.82% E +0.982% K +1.09% G +0.107% | 5.50I 18.18% NM 17.30%EV -3.28% E -0.596% K -0.728% G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-26 17:40 |
| betfred_uk | 1.30I 76.92% NM 73.19%EV -7.14% E -5.49% K -23.79% G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00% NM 9.51%EV +9.82% E +0.982% K +1.09% G +0.107% | 5.50I 18.18% NM 17.30%EV -3.28% E -0.596% K -0.728% G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-03 06:25 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.30I 76.92% NM 72.59%EV -7.14% E -5.49% K -23.79% G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00% NM 9.44%EV +9.82% E +0.982% K +1.09% G +0.107% | 5.25I 19.05% NM 17.97%EV -7.67% E -1.46% K -1.81% G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-03 06:24 |
| Sky Bet | 1.29I 77.52% NM 72.38%EV -7.85% E -6.09% K -27.08% G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53% NM 9.83%EV +4.33% E +0.455% K +0.509% G +0.022% | 5.25I 19.05% NM 17.79%EV -7.67% E -1.46% K -1.81% G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-26 17:39 |
| Paddy Power | 1.25I 80.00% NM 72.38%EV -10.71% E -8.57% K -42.84% G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53% NM 9.52%EV +4.33% E +0.455% K +0.509% G +0.022% | 5.00I 20.00% NM 18.10%EV -12.07% E -2.41% K -3.02% G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-06-26 17:48 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.31I 76.34% NM 73.09%EV -6.42% E -4.90% K -20.72% G +0.000% | 9.20I 10.87% NM 10.41%EV +1.03% E +0.112% K +0.126% G +0.001% | 5.80I 17.24% NM 16.51%EV +2.00% E +0.345% K +0.417% G +0.008% | 4.4% | 2026-06-26 22:09 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.30I 76.92% NM 71.71%EV -7.14% E -5.49% K -23.79% G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11% NM 10.36%EV -1.16% E -0.129% K -0.146% G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23% NM 17.93%EV -8.55% E -1.64% K -2.04% G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-27 19:20 |
| FanDuel | 1.28I 78.13% NM 72.73%EV -8.57% E -6.69% K -30.60% G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11% NM 10.34%EV -1.16% E -0.129% K -0.146% G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18% NM 16.93%EV -3.28% E -0.596% K -0.728% G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-26 17:49 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.27I 78.74% NM 71.68%EV -9.28% E -7.31% K -34.38% G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11% NM 10.11%EV -1.16% E -0.129% K -0.146% G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00% NM 18.21%EV -12.07% E -2.41% K -3.02% G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-06-26 00:40 |
| 1xBet | 1.31I 76.34% NM 71.47%EV -6.42% E -4.90% K -20.72% G +0.000% | 8.90I 11.24% NM 10.52%EV -2.26% E -0.254% K -0.286% G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23% NM 18.01%EV -8.55% E -1.64% K -2.04% G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-27 19:20 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.28I 78.13% NM 71.83%EV -8.57% E -6.69% K -30.60% G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76% NM 10.82%EV -6.66% E -0.783% K -0.887% G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87% NM 17.35%EV -6.79% E -1.28% K -1.58% G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-06-26 10:10 |
| LeoVegas | 1.28I 78.13% NM 71.60%EV -8.57% E -6.69% K -30.60% G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76% NM 10.78%EV -6.66% E -0.783% K -0.887% G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23% NM 17.62%EV -8.55% E -1.64% K -2.04% G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-02 10:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.25I 80.00% NM 70.18%EV -10.71% E -8.57% K -42.84% G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76% NM 10.32%EV -6.66% E -0.783% K -0.887% G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22% NM 19.50%EV -20.86% E -4.64% K -5.96% G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-06-25 15:40 |
| ReBet | 1.27I 78.74% NM 71.57%EV -9.28% E -7.31% K -34.38% G +0.000% | 8.30I 12.05% NM 10.95%EV -8.85% E -1.07% K -1.21% G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23% NM 17.48%EV -8.55% E -1.64% K -2.04% G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-06-25 17:50 |
| Pinnacle | 1.32I 75.76% NM 70.88%EV -5.71% E -4.33% K -17.84% G +0.000% | 8.26I 12.11% NM 11.33%EV -9.29% E -1.12% K -1.28% G +0.000% | 5.26I 19.01% NM 17.79%EV -7.50% E -1.43% K -1.76% G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-25 21:20 |
| DraftKings | 1.32I 75.76% NM 70.60%EV -5.71% E -4.33% K -17.84% G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50% NM 11.65%EV -12.15% E -1.52% K -1.74% G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05% NM 17.75%EV -7.67% E -1.46% K -1.81% G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-29 00:19 |
| Bally Bet | 1.27I 78.74% NM 71.03%EV -9.28% E -7.31% K -34.38% G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50% NM 11.28%EV -12.15% E -1.52% K -1.74% G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61% NM 17.69%EV -10.31% E -2.02% K -2.51% G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-06-30 05:59 |
| betPARX | 1.27I 78.74% NM 71.03%EV -9.28% E -7.31% K -34.38% G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50% NM 11.28%EV -12.15% E -1.52% K -1.74% G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61% NM 17.69%EV -10.31% E -2.02% K -2.51% G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-06-30 05:59 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.27I 78.74% NM 71.03%EV -9.28% E -7.31% K -34.38% G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50% NM 11.28%EV -12.15% E -1.52% K -1.74% G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61% NM 17.69%EV -10.31% E -2.02% K -2.51% G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-06-30 06:19 |
| Grosvenor | 1.27I 78.74% NM 71.03%EV -9.28% E -7.31% K -34.38% G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50% NM 11.28%EV -12.15% E -1.52% K -1.74% G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61% NM 17.69%EV -10.31% E -2.02% K -2.51% G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-06-30 06:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.27I 78.74% NM 71.03%EV -9.28% E -7.31% K -34.38% G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50% NM 11.28%EV -12.15% E -1.52% K -1.74% G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61% NM 17.69%EV -10.31% E -2.02% K -2.51% G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-06-30 06:19 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.27I 78.74% NM 71.03%EV -9.28% E -7.31% K -34.38% G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50% NM 11.28%EV -12.15% E -1.52% K -1.74% G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61% NM 17.69%EV -10.31% E -2.02% K -2.51% G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-06-30 06:19 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.27I 78.74% NM 71.03%EV -9.28% E -7.31% K -34.38% G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50% NM 11.28%EV -12.15% E -1.52% K -1.74% G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61% NM 17.69%EV -10.31% E -2.02% K -2.51% G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-06-30 06:19 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.27I 78.74% NM 71.03%EV -9.28% E -7.31% K -34.38% G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50% NM 11.28%EV -12.15% E -1.52% K -1.74% G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61% NM 17.69%EV -10.31% E -2.02% K -2.51% G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-06-30 06:19 |
| Casumo | 1.27I 78.74% NM 71.03%EV -9.28% E -7.31% K -34.38% G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50% NM 11.28%EV -12.15% E -1.52% K -1.74% G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61% NM 17.69%EV -10.31% E -2.02% K -2.51% G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-06-30 06:19 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.27I 78.74% NM 71.03%EV -9.28% E -7.31% K -34.38% G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50% NM 11.28%EV -12.15% E -1.52% K -1.74% G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61% NM 17.69%EV -10.31% E -2.02% K -2.51% G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-06-30 06:19 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.27I 78.74% NM 71.03%EV -9.28% E -7.31% K -34.38% G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50% NM 11.28%EV -12.15% E -1.52% K -1.74% G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61% NM 17.69%EV -10.31% E -2.02% K -2.51% G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-06-30 06:19 |
| TABtouch | 1.27I 78.74% NM 71.03%EV -9.28% E -7.31% K -34.38% G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50% NM 11.28%EV -12.15% E -1.52% K -1.74% G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61% NM 17.69%EV -10.31% E -2.02% K -2.51% G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-06-30 06:30 |
| Unibet | 1.27I 78.74% NM 71.03%EV -9.28% E -7.31% K -34.38% G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50% NM 11.28%EV -12.15% E -1.52% K -1.74% G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61% NM 17.69%EV -10.31% E -2.02% K -2.51% G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-06-30 06:49 |
| BetRivers | 1.27I 78.74% NM 71.03%EV -9.28% E -7.31% K -34.38% G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50% NM 11.28%EV -12.15% E -1.52% K -1.74% G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61% NM 17.69%EV -10.31% E -2.02% K -2.51% G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-06-30 14:40 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.26I 79.37% NM 71.64%EV -10.00% E -7.93% K -38.44% G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90% NM 11.65%EV -14.89% E -1.92% K -2.21% G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52% NM 16.72%EV -5.03% E -0.932% K -1.14% G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-06-25 18:50 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.22I 81.97% NM 70.55%EV -12.85% E -10.54% K -58.42% G +0.000% | 7.60I 13.16% NM 11.33%EV -16.54% E -2.18% K -2.51% G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05% NM 18.12%EV -16.47% E -3.47% K -4.39% G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-06-25 17:50 |
| William Hill | 1.29I 77.52% NM 71.10%EV -7.85% E -6.09% K -27.08% G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33% NM 12.23%EV -17.64% E -2.35% K -2.71% G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18% NM 16.68%EV -3.28% E -0.596% K -0.728% G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-06-26 10:29 |
| 888sport | 1.29I 77.52% NM 71.10%EV -7.85% E -6.09% K -27.08% G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33% NM 12.23%EV -17.64% E -2.35% K -2.71% G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18% NM 16.68%EV -3.28% E -0.596% K -0.728% G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-06-26 12:09 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.29I 77.52% NM 71.10%EV -7.85% E -6.09% K -27.08% G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33% NM 12.23%EV -17.64% E -2.35% K -2.71% G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18% NM 16.68%EV -3.28% E -0.596% K -0.728% G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-06-26 12:09 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.29I 77.52% NM 71.10%EV -7.85% E -6.09% K -27.08% G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33% NM 12.23%EV -17.64% E -2.35% K -2.71% G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18% NM 16.68%EV -3.28% E -0.596% K -0.728% G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-06-26 12:19 |
| BoyleSports | 1.29I 77.52% NM 69.27%EV -7.85% E -6.09% K -27.08% G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33% NM 11.91%EV -17.64% E -2.35% K -2.71% G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05% NM 18.81%EV -16.47% E -3.47% K -4.39% G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-06-26 13:49 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.21I 82.64% NM 69.93%EV -13.57% E -11.21% K -64.61% G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79% NM 11.67%EV -20.38% E -2.81% K -3.26% G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74% NM 18.40%EV -19.10% E -4.15% K -5.31% G +0.000% | 18.2% | 2026-06-25 17:49 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.22I 81.97% NM 69.69%EV -12.85% E -10.54% K -58.42% G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81% NM 12.60%EV -25.87% E -3.83% K -4.50% G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83% NM 17.71%EV -15.59% E -3.25% K -4.10% G +0.000% | 17.6% | 2026-06-25 19:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Middlesbrough (Local) | Lincoln City (Visit) | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.31I 76.34% | 8.00I 12.50% | 4.90I 20.41% | 9.2% | 2026-07-05 10:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.31I 76.34% | 8.00I 12.50% | 4.90I 20.41% | 9.2% | 2026-07-05 10:20 |
| Smarkets | 1.23I 81.30% | 7.20I 13.89% | 4.60I 21.74% | 16.9% | 2026-06-25 17:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.31I 76.34% | 1.04I 96.15% | 1.01I 99.01% | 171.5% | 2026-07-05 10:20 |