Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Middlesbrough v Charlton Athletic

Kickoff: 2026-03-11 19:45 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

64 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Middlesbrough (Local)

Prediction 73.47%1.36fair odd
EV -3.75%
Edge -2.86%
Kelly -12.11%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.31

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
70.95%73.30%73.55%75.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.151.271.281.3186.96%78.65%78.13%76.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Charlton Athletic (Visit)

Prediction 9.69%10.32fair odd
EV +6.63%
Edge +0.603%
Kelly +0.663%
Growth +0.044%

assuming max odds 11.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
8.54%9.77%9.66%11.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.759.469.5011.0012.90%10.57%10.53%9.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 16.84%5.94fair odd
EV +6.23%
Edge +0.988%
Kelly +1.17%
Growth +0.073%

assuming max odds 6.31

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.33%16.93%16.79%19.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.505.505.506.3122.22%18.17%18.18%15.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Middlesbrough (Local): 73.47%; Charlton Athletic (Visit): 9.69%; Draw: 16.84%. For Charlton Athletic (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 10.32. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 11.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.63%.

Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 74.40%EV -4.49%E -3.45%K -14.96%G +0.000%9.41I 10.63%NM 10.28%EV -8.78%E -0.934%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.31I 15.85%NM 15.33%EV +6.23%E +0.988%K +1.17%G +0.073%3.4%2026-03-11 19:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 74.26%EV -4.49%E -3.45%K -14.96%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.65%EV -3.07%E -0.307%K -0.341%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.09%EV +1.01%E +0.169%K +0.203%G +0.002%3.6%2026-03-11 19:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 74.26%EV -4.49%E -3.45%K -14.96%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.65%EV -3.07%E -0.307%K -0.341%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.09%EV +1.01%E +0.169%K +0.203%G +0.002%3.6%2026-03-11 19:40
TAB🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -8.16%E -6.53%K -32.64%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -3.07%E -0.307%K -0.341%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV +1.01%E +0.169%K +0.203%G +0.002%6.7%2026-03-11 19:40
ReBet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.76%EV -4.49%E -3.45%K -14.96%G +0.000%9.60I 10.42%NM 9.99%EV -6.94%E -0.723%K -0.807%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.25%EV -0.671%E -0.114%K -0.137%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-11 19:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -4.49%E -3.45%K -14.96%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.59%EV -3.07%E -0.307%K -0.341%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV -3.20%E -0.556%K -0.673%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-11 18:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -4.49%E -3.45%K -14.96%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.59%EV -3.07%E -0.307%K -0.341%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV -3.20%E -0.556%K -0.673%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-11 18:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -4.49%E -3.45%K -14.96%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.59%EV -3.07%E -0.307%K -0.341%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV -3.20%E -0.556%K -0.673%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-11 18:55
BetMGM🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.81%EV -3.75%E -2.86%K -12.11%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.60%EV -12.76%E -1.42%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.59%EV -3.20%E -0.556%K -0.673%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-11 19:18
DraftKings🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -5.22%E -4.05%K -18.01%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.53%EV -3.07%E -0.307%K -0.341%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.58%EV -3.20%E -0.556%K -0.673%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-11 19:40
Coral🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.96%EV -4.49%E -3.45%K -14.96%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -12.76%E -1.42%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.50%EV -3.20%E -0.556%K -0.673%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-11 19:05
Fanatics🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.52%EV -5.22%E -4.05%K -18.01%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.98%EV -7.91%E -0.833%K -0.931%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.49%EV -3.20%E -0.556%K -0.673%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-11 19:10
Bet Victor🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.13%EV -8.16%E -6.53%K -32.64%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV +6.63%E +0.603%K +0.663%G +0.044%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.33%EV -3.20%E -0.556%K -0.673%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-11 19:39
Pinnacle🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.93%EV -4.49%E -3.45%K -14.96%G +0.000%10.34I 9.67%NM 9.30%EV +0.230%E +0.022%K +0.025%G +0.000%5.73I 17.45%NM 16.77%EV -3.53%E -0.617%K -0.747%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-11 19:35
GTbets🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.00%EV -5.22%E -4.05%K -18.01%G +0.000%9.11I 10.98%NM 10.34%EV -11.69%E -1.28%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 16.67%EV -4.88%E -0.864%K -1.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-11 19:40
Codere (IT)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.49%EV -3.75%E -2.86%K -12.11%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.55%EV -12.76%E -1.42%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.96%EV -5.72%E -1.02%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-11 19:35
Unibet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.35%EV -5.96%E -4.65%K -21.27%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -7.91%E -0.833%K -0.931%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.77%EV -5.72%E -1.02%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-11 18:55
Casumo🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.35%EV -5.96%E -4.65%K -21.27%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -7.91%E -0.833%K -0.931%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.77%EV -5.72%E -1.02%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-11 18:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.35%EV -5.96%E -4.65%K -21.27%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -7.91%E -0.833%K -0.931%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.77%EV -5.72%E -1.02%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-11 18:55
Grosvenor🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.35%EV -5.96%E -4.65%K -21.27%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -7.91%E -0.833%K -0.931%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.77%EV -5.72%E -1.02%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-11 18:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.35%EV -5.96%E -4.65%K -21.27%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -7.91%E -0.833%K -0.931%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.77%EV -5.72%E -1.02%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-11 18:55
Bally Bet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.35%EV -5.96%E -4.65%K -21.27%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -7.91%E -0.833%K -0.931%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.77%EV -5.72%E -1.02%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-11 18:55
betPARX🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.35%EV -5.96%E -4.65%K -21.27%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -7.91%E -0.833%K -0.931%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.77%EV -5.72%E -1.02%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-11 18:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.02%EV -7.43%E -5.89%K -28.56%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.33%EV -3.07%E -0.307%K -0.341%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.65%EV -5.72%E -1.02%K -1.24%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-11 19:39
FanDuel🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 73.57%EV -8.90%E -7.17%K -37.07%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.14%EV -12.76%E -1.42%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.29%EV -5.72%E -1.02%K -1.24%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-11 19:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 72.33%EV -7.43%E -5.89%K -28.56%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.39%EV -22.45%E -2.81%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.27%EV -5.72%E -1.02%K -1.24%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-11 19:40
Coolbet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.19%EV -4.49%E -3.45%K -14.96%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.51%EV -3.07%E -0.307%K -0.341%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.30%EV -7.41%E -1.35%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-11 19:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.97%EV -5.22%E -4.05%K -18.01%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.91%EV -7.91%E -0.833%K -0.931%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -7.41%E -1.35%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-11 19:40
Everygame🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.49%EV -5.96%E -4.65%K -21.27%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.41%EV -3.07%E -0.307%K -0.341%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.10%EV -7.41%E -1.35%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-11 19:40
TABtouch🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.13%EV -5.96%E -4.65%K -21.27%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.85%EV -7.91%E -0.833%K -0.931%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV -7.41%E -1.35%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-11 18:55
BetRivers🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.13%EV -5.96%E -4.65%K -21.27%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.85%EV -7.91%E -0.833%K -0.931%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV -7.41%E -1.35%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-11 18:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.98%EV -4.49%E -3.45%K -14.96%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.01%EV -17.61%E -2.07%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -7.41%E -1.35%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-11 19:20
Neds🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.98%EV -4.49%E -3.45%K -14.96%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.01%EV -17.61%E -2.07%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -7.41%E -1.35%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-11 19:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.98%EV -4.49%E -3.45%K -14.96%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.01%EV -17.61%E -2.07%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -7.41%E -1.35%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-11 19:20
theScore Bet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.73%EV -5.96%E -4.65%K -21.27%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.34%EV -12.76%E -1.42%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.93%EV -7.41%E -1.35%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-11 19:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.28%EV -6.69%E -5.27%K -24.78%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV -7.91%E -0.833%K -0.931%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -7.41%E -1.35%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-11 18:55
SportsBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.28%EV -8.16%E -6.53%K -32.64%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.84%EV +1.78%E +0.170%K +0.187%G +0.003%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -7.41%E -1.35%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-11 19:25
Betway🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.95%EV -8.16%E -6.53%K -32.64%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV -3.07%E -0.307%K -0.341%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -7.41%E -1.35%K -1.65%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-11 19:40
Paddy Power🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.95%EV -8.16%E -6.53%K -32.64%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV -3.07%E -0.307%K -0.341%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -7.41%E -1.35%K -1.65%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-11 18:45
Sky Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.95%EV -8.16%E -6.53%K -32.64%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV -3.07%E -0.307%K -0.341%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -7.41%E -1.35%K -1.65%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-11 19:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.59%EV -8.16%E -6.53%K -32.64%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.68%EV -7.91%E -0.833%K -0.931%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -7.41%E -1.35%K -1.65%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-11 18:55
888sport🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.59%EV -8.16%E -6.53%K -32.64%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.68%EV -7.91%E -0.833%K -0.931%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -7.41%E -1.35%K -1.65%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-11 19:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.59%EV -8.16%E -6.53%K -32.64%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.68%EV -7.91%E -0.833%K -0.931%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -7.41%E -1.35%K -1.65%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-11 19:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.59%EV -8.16%E -6.53%K -32.64%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.68%EV -7.91%E -0.833%K -0.931%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -7.41%E -1.35%K -1.65%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-11 19:40
Bovada🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 73.13%EV -7.43%E -5.89%K -28.56%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 9.96%EV -10.34%E -1.12%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 16.91%EV -8.25%E -1.51%K -1.85%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-11 19:40
Betsson🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.64%EV -5.22%E -4.05%K -18.01%G +0.000%10.75I 9.30%NM 8.84%EV +4.20%E +0.391%K +0.431%G +0.018%5.42I 18.45%NM 17.53%EV -8.75%E -1.61%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-11 19:40
NordicBet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.64%EV -5.22%E -4.05%K -18.01%G +0.000%10.75I 9.30%NM 8.84%EV +4.20%E +0.391%K +0.431%G +0.018%5.42I 18.45%NM 17.53%EV -8.75%E -1.61%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-11 19:40
LeoVegas🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 73.21%EV -7.43%E -5.89%K -28.56%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.71%EV -7.91%E -0.833%K -0.931%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.08%EV -9.09%E -1.68%K -2.07%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-11 18:55
Fliff🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 72.83%EV -8.90%E -7.17%K -37.07%G +0.000%8.65I 11.56%NM 10.44%EV -16.15%E -1.87%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.72%EV -9.09%E -1.68%K -2.07%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-11 19:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 71.80%EV -8.16%E -6.53%K -32.64%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.58%EV -24.88%E -3.21%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.62%EV -9.09%E -1.68%K -2.07%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-11 19:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 72.76%EV -8.90%E -7.17%K -37.07%G +0.000%8.70I 11.49%NM 10.37%EV -15.67%E -1.80%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 16.86%EV -9.93%E -1.86%K -2.28%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-11 19:10
BetUS🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.27%EV -5.96%E -4.65%K -21.27%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV -12.76%E -1.42%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.45%EV -10.77%E -2.03%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-11 19:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.48%EV -8.16%E -6.53%K -32.64%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.19%EV -3.07%E -0.307%K -0.341%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.33%EV -10.77%E -2.03%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-11 18:50
PlayUp🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.90%EV -5.96%E -4.65%K -21.27%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.33%EV -3.07%E -0.307%K -0.341%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.77%EV -11.61%E -2.21%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-11 19:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.72%EV -5.96%E -4.65%K -21.27%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.55%EV -5.49%E -0.563%K -0.627%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -11.61%E -2.21%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-11 19:05
Bet Right🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.54%EV -5.96%E -4.65%K -21.27%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.77%EV -7.91%E -0.833%K -0.931%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.69%EV -11.61%E -2.21%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-11 19:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 72.78%EV -11.83%E -9.86%K -59.17%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 10.59%EV -20.03%E -2.43%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.64%EV -11.61%E -2.21%K -2.73%G +0.000%14.5%2026-03-11 19:33
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.08%EV -8.16%E -6.53%K -32.64%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.60%EV -17.61%E -2.07%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.33%EV -12.46%E -2.40%K -2.97%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-11 19:40
NetBet (FR)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 72.42%EV -11.83%E -9.86%K -59.17%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 10.53%EV -20.03%E -2.43%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.04%EV -14.14%E -2.77%K -3.45%G +0.000%15.1%2026-03-11 19:40
Caesars🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.10%EV -5.22%E -4.05%K -18.01%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.30%EV -3.07%E -0.307%K -0.341%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -15.82%E -3.16%K -3.96%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-11 19:22
William Hill🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.36%EV -5.22%E -4.05%K -18.01%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.23%EV -12.76%E -1.42%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.41%EV -15.82%E -3.16%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-11 19:40
BoyleSports🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.38%EV -8.16%E -6.53%K -32.64%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.52%EV -7.91%E -0.833%K -0.931%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -15.82%E -3.16%K -3.96%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-11 19:40
PMU (FR)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 72.73%EV -15.51%E -13.49%K -103.39%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 9.84%EV -17.61%E -2.07%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 17.43%EV -19.19%E -4.00%K -5.05%G +0.000%19.6%2026-03-11 19:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 70.95%EV -8.16%E -6.53%K -32.64%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.34%EV -7.91%E -0.833%K -0.931%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.71%EV -24.24%E -5.39%K -6.93%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-11 18:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi1.32I 75.76%NM 75.95%11.11I 9.00%NM 9.02%6.67I 14.99%NM 15.03%-0.2%2026-03-11 19:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.31I 76.34%NM 75.73%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.27%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.00%0.8%2026-03-11 19:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 76.25%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.26%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.49%0.9%2026-03-11 19:40
Matchbook1.30I 76.92%NM 76.25%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.26%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.49%0.9%2026-03-11 19:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.31I 76.34%NM 75.46%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.60%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.94%1.2%2026-03-11 19:40
Smarkets1.29I 77.52%NM 76.01%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.17%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.82%2.0%2026-03-11 19:40