L’École des cotes

Hull City v Middlesbrough

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-23 14:30 UTC

Score final : Hull City 1–0 Middlesbrough

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

58 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Hull City (Local)

Prévision 22.22%4.50cote équitable
EV +2.21%
Avantage +0.480%
Kelly +0.613%
Croissance +0.014%

avec la cote maximale 4.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.08%22.25%22.18%23.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.754.204.204.6026.67%23.81%23.81%21.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Middlesbrough (Visiteur)

Prévision 49.95%2.00cote équitable
EV -3.59%
Avantage -1.86%
Kelly -3.86%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.93

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
47.66%50.02%49.90%51.42%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.731.871.881.9357.80%53.35%53.19%51.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 27.83%3.59cote équitable
EV +0.178%
Avantage +0.050%
Kelly +0.069%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.14%27.73%27.92%29.08%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.363.353.6033.33%29.79%29.85%27.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (58 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet4.60I 21.74%NM 21.13%EV +2.21%E +0.480%K +0.613%G +0.014%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.42%EV -5.59%E -2.96%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 27.45%EV -1.49%E -0.421%K -0.587%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-23 14:19
Marathon Bet4.60I 21.74%NM 21.08%EV +2.21%E +0.480%K +0.613%G +0.014%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.05%EV -5.09%E -2.68%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.87%EV -3.16%E -0.908%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-23 14:19
Coolbet4.50I 22.22%NM 21.54%EV -0.015%E -0.003%K -0.004%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.76%EV -4.59%E -2.40%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.70%EV -2.60%E -0.744%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-23 14:19
Pinnacle4.50I 22.22%NM 21.46%EV -0.015%E -0.003%K -0.004%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.55%EV -4.59%E -2.40%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.99%EV -4.00%E -1.16%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-23 14:19
NordicBet4.45I 22.47%NM 21.33%EV -1.13%E -0.253%K -0.326%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.50%EV -6.09%E -3.24%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.17%EV -6.22%E -1.85%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-23 14:19
Betsson4.45I 22.47%NM 21.33%EV -1.13%E -0.253%K -0.326%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.50%EV -6.09%E -3.24%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.17%EV -6.22%E -1.85%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-23 14:19
BetOnline.ag4.40I 22.73%NM 21.98%EV -2.24%E -0.508%K -0.658%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.63%EV -4.59%E -2.40%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.39%EV -1.77%E -0.501%K -0.699%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-23 14:09
LowVig.ag4.40I 22.73%NM 21.98%EV -2.24%E -0.508%K -0.658%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.63%EV -4.59%E -2.40%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.39%EV -1.77%E -0.501%K -0.699%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-23 14:09
Bovada4.35I 22.99%NM 21.18%EV -3.35%E -0.770%K -0.999%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.90%EV -9.58%E -5.29%K -11.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -8.17%E -2.48%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-23 14:19
Everygame4.33I 23.09%NM 21.49%EV -3.79%E -0.876%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.31%EV -7.59%E -4.10%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.20%EV -8.17%E -2.48%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-23 13:39
DraftKings4.30I 23.26%NM 22.14%EV -4.46%E -1.04%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.85%EV -4.59%E -2.40%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00%EV -5.39%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-23 14:19
Fanatics4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV -4.46%E -1.04%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.38%EV -6.59%E -3.52%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -5.39%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-23 13:49
PlayUp4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -4.46%E -1.04%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.17%EV -6.59%E -3.52%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -6.78%E -2.02%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-23 14:19
LeoVegas (SE)4.25I 23.53%NM 22.55%EV -5.57%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.66%EV -3.59%E -1.86%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.78%EV -4.00%E -1.16%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-23 13:49
Svenska Spel4.25I 23.53%NM 22.55%EV -5.57%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.66%EV -3.59%E -1.86%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.78%EV -4.00%E -1.16%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-23 13:50
ATG (SE)4.25I 23.53%NM 22.55%EV -5.57%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.66%EV -3.59%E -1.86%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.78%EV -4.00%E -1.16%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-23 13:50
TAB4.25I 23.53%NM 21.72%EV -5.57%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.89%EV -7.59%E -4.10%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -9.56%E -2.94%K -4.25%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-23 14:19
GTbets4.23I 23.64%NM 22.03%EV -6.01%E -1.42%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 50.64%EV -8.08%E -4.39%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 27.33%EV -5.11%E -1.50%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-23 13:39
Unibet (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58%EV -6.68%E -1.59%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.92%EV -5.09%E -2.68%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.49%EV -4.00%E -1.16%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-23 13:39
betfred_uk4.20I 23.81%NM 22.55%EV -6.68%E -1.59%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.59%EV -4.59%E -2.40%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -5.39%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-23 10:09
theScore Bet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.55%EV -6.68%E -1.59%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.59%EV -4.59%E -2.40%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -5.39%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-23 10:09
Coral4.20I 23.81%NM 22.55%EV -6.68%E -1.59%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.59%EV -4.59%E -2.40%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -5.39%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-23 14:09
BetMGM4.20I 23.81%NM 22.55%EV -6.68%E -1.59%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.59%EV -4.59%E -2.40%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -5.39%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-23 14:09
SportsBet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.49%EV -6.68%E -1.59%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.72%EV -5.09%E -2.68%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.79%EV -5.39%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-23 14:19
Unibet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -6.68%E -1.59%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.52%EV -5.09%E -2.68%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -6.78%E -2.02%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-23 13:49
Ladbrokes (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%EV -6.68%E -1.59%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -4.59%E -2.40%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -8.17%E -2.48%K -3.55%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-23 14:09
Unibet (NL)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -6.68%E -1.59%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.65%EV -5.59%E -2.96%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -6.78%E -2.02%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-23 13:50
Unibet (SE)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -6.68%E -1.59%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.65%EV -5.59%E -2.96%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -6.78%E -2.02%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-23 13:49
Casumo4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -6.68%E -1.59%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.65%EV -5.59%E -2.96%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -6.78%E -2.02%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-23 13:49
Grosvenor4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -6.68%E -1.59%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.65%EV -5.59%E -2.96%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -6.78%E -2.02%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-23 13:49
betPARX4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -6.68%E -1.59%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.65%EV -5.59%E -2.96%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -6.78%E -2.02%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-23 13:49
Bally Bet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -6.68%E -1.59%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.65%EV -5.59%E -2.96%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -6.78%E -2.02%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-23 13:49
Sky Bet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV -6.68%E -1.59%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.12%EV -6.59%E -3.52%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -5.39%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-23 13:39
BetRivers4.20I 23.81%NM 22.28%EV -6.68%E -1.59%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.78%EV -6.09%E -3.24%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.94%EV -6.78%E -2.02%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-23 13:50
TABtouch4.20I 23.81%NM 22.28%EV -6.68%E -1.59%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.78%EV -6.09%E -3.24%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.94%EV -6.78%E -2.02%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-23 13:49
FanDuel4.20I 23.81%NM 22.13%EV -6.68%E -1.59%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.70%EV -6.59%E -3.52%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -8.17%E -2.48%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-23 14:19
Paddy Power4.20I 23.81%NM 22.13%EV -6.68%E -1.59%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.70%EV -6.59%E -3.52%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -8.17%E -2.48%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-23 13:39
BoyleSports4.20I 23.81%NM 22.13%EV -6.68%E -1.59%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.70%EV -6.59%E -3.52%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -8.17%E -2.48%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-23 14:18
Caesars4.20I 23.81%NM 22.13%EV -6.68%E -1.59%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.70%EV -6.59%E -3.52%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -8.17%E -2.48%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-23 14:15
888sport4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -6.68%E -1.59%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.76%EV -7.59%E -4.10%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.32%EV -9.56%E -2.94%K -4.25%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-23 14:09
William Hill4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -6.68%E -1.59%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.76%EV -7.59%E -4.10%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.32%EV -9.56%E -2.94%K -4.25%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-23 14:10
888sport (SE)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -6.68%E -1.59%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.76%EV -7.59%E -4.10%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.32%EV -9.56%E -2.94%K -4.25%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-23 14:09
Mr Green (SE)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -6.68%E -1.59%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.76%EV -7.59%E -4.10%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.32%EV -9.56%E -2.94%K -4.25%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-23 14:09
BetUS4.15I 24.10%NM 22.94%EV -7.79%E -1.88%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.85%EV -4.59%E -2.40%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.20%EV -2.60%E -0.744%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-23 13:09
Bet Right4.10I 24.39%NM 23.03%EV -8.90%E -2.17%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.19%EV -4.09%E -2.13%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.78%EV -5.39%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-23 10:09
Betr (AU)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.55%EV -8.90%E -2.17%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.44%EV -6.59%E -3.52%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.01%EV -8.17%E -2.48%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-23 10:09
LeoVegas4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -8.90%E -2.17%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.71%EV -7.59%E -4.10%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -8.17%E -2.48%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-23 13:50
Virgin Bet4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -8.90%E -2.17%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.49%EV -7.59%E -4.10%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -9.56%E -2.94%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-23 13:49
LiveScore Bet4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -8.90%E -2.17%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.49%EV -7.59%E -4.10%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -9.56%E -2.94%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-23 13:50
Bet Victor4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -11.12%E -2.78%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.33%EV -6.59%E -3.52%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV +0.178%E +0.050%K +0.069%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-23 14:18
Betway4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -11.12%E -2.78%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.43%EV -6.09%E -3.24%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -5.39%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-23 14:19
PMU (FR)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.64%EV -11.12%E -2.78%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.49%EV -8.58%E -4.69%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.87%EV -9.56%E -2.94%K -4.25%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-23 13:50
Betclic (FR)3.95I 25.32%NM 23.00%EV -12.24%E -3.10%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.64%EV -8.58%E -4.69%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 27.36%EV -7.61%E -2.29%K -3.28%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-23 14:18
Unibet (FR)3.95I 25.32%NM 22.77%EV -12.24%E -3.10%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.97%EV -10.08%E -5.60%K -12.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.26%EV -8.17%E -2.48%K -3.55%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-23 14:09
NetBet (FR)3.90I 25.64%NM 22.26%EV -13.35%E -3.42%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 50.18%EV -13.58%E -7.85%K -18.60%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.56%EV -12.34%E -3.92%K -5.74%G +0.000%15.2%2026-05-23 14:19
Winamax (DE)3.85I 25.97%NM 23.67%EV -14.46%E -3.76%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 49.53%EV -8.08%E -4.39%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.80%EV -5.39%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-23 13:39
Winamax (FR)3.80I 26.32%NM 23.23%EV -15.57%E -4.10%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 49.60%EV -11.08%E -6.23%K -14.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.17%EV -9.56%E -2.94%K -4.25%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-23 14:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 23.26%EV -16.68%E -4.45%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 47.66%EV -8.58%E -4.69%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.08%EV -16.52%E -5.51%K -8.26%G +0.000%14.6%2026-05-23 14:19
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.70I 21.28%NM 21.21%1.95I 51.28%NM 51.11%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.68%0.3%2026-05-23 14:19
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.70I 21.28%NM 21.21%1.95I 51.28%NM 51.11%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.68%0.3%2026-05-23 14:19
Smarkets4.70I 21.28%NM 21.21%1.95I 51.28%NM 51.11%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.68%0.3%2026-05-23 14:19
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.70I 21.28%NM 21.15%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.24%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61%0.6%2026-05-23 14:19
Matchbook4.70I 21.28%NM 21.07%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.04%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.89%1.0%2026-05-23 14:19
Kalshi4.55I 21.98%NM 21.55%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.03%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42%2.0%2026-05-23 14:10