La escuela de los momios

Hull City v Middlesbrough

Inicio: 2026-05-23 14:30 UTC

Final: Hull City 1–0 Middlesbrough

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

58 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Hull City (Local)

Predicción 22.22%4.50momio equitativo
EV +2.21%
Ventaja +0.480%
Kelly +0.613%
Crecimiento +0.014%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.08%22.25%22.18%23.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.754.204.204.6026.67%23.81%23.81%21.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Middlesbrough (Visitante)

Predicción 49.95%2.00momio equitativo
EV -3.59%
Ventaja -1.86%
Kelly -3.86%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.93

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
47.66%50.02%49.90%51.42%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.731.871.881.9357.80%53.35%53.19%51.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.83%3.59momio equitativo
EV +0.178%
Ventaja +0.050%
Kelly +0.069%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.14%27.73%27.92%29.08%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.363.353.6033.33%29.79%29.85%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
1xBet4.60I 21.74%NM 21.13%EV +2.21%E +0.480%K +0.613%G +0.014%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.42%EV -5.59%E -2.96%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 27.45%EV -1.49%E -0.421%K -0.587%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-23 14:19
Marathon Bet4.60I 21.74%NM 21.08%EV +2.21%E +0.480%K +0.613%G +0.014%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.05%EV -5.09%E -2.68%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.87%EV -3.16%E -0.908%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-23 14:19
Coolbet4.50I 22.22%NM 21.54%EV -0.015%E -0.003%K -0.004%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.76%EV -4.59%E -2.40%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.70%EV -2.60%E -0.744%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-23 14:19
Pinnacle4.50I 22.22%NM 21.46%EV -0.015%E -0.003%K -0.004%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.55%EV -4.59%E -2.40%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.99%EV -4.00%E -1.16%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-23 14:19
NordicBet4.45I 22.47%NM 21.33%EV -1.13%E -0.253%K -0.326%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.50%EV -6.09%E -3.24%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.17%EV -6.22%E -1.85%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-23 14:19
Betsson4.45I 22.47%NM 21.33%EV -1.13%E -0.253%K -0.326%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.50%EV -6.09%E -3.24%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.17%EV -6.22%E -1.85%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-23 14:19
BetOnline.ag4.40I 22.73%NM 21.98%EV -2.24%E -0.508%K -0.658%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.63%EV -4.59%E -2.40%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.39%EV -1.77%E -0.501%K -0.699%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-23 14:09
LowVig.ag4.40I 22.73%NM 21.98%EV -2.24%E -0.508%K -0.658%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.63%EV -4.59%E -2.40%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.39%EV -1.77%E -0.501%K -0.699%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-23 14:09
Bovada4.35I 22.99%NM 21.18%EV -3.35%E -0.770%K -0.999%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.90%EV -9.58%E -5.29%K -11.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -8.17%E -2.48%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-23 14:19
Everygame4.33I 23.09%NM 21.49%EV -3.79%E -0.876%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.31%EV -7.59%E -4.10%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.20%EV -8.17%E -2.48%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-23 13:39
DraftKings4.30I 23.26%NM 22.14%EV -4.46%E -1.04%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.85%EV -4.59%E -2.40%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00%EV -5.39%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-23 14:19
Fanatics4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV -4.46%E -1.04%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.38%EV -6.59%E -3.52%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -5.39%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-23 13:49
PlayUp4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -4.46%E -1.04%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.17%EV -6.59%E -3.52%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -6.78%E -2.02%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-23 14:19
LeoVegas (SE)4.25I 23.53%NM 22.55%EV -5.57%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.66%EV -3.59%E -1.86%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.78%EV -4.00%E -1.16%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-23 13:49
Svenska Spel4.25I 23.53%NM 22.55%EV -5.57%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.66%EV -3.59%E -1.86%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.78%EV -4.00%E -1.16%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-23 13:50
ATG (SE)4.25I 23.53%NM 22.55%EV -5.57%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.66%EV -3.59%E -1.86%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.78%EV -4.00%E -1.16%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-23 13:50
TAB4.25I 23.53%NM 21.72%EV -5.57%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.89%EV -7.59%E -4.10%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -9.56%E -2.94%K -4.25%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-23 14:19
GTbets4.23I 23.64%NM 22.03%EV -6.01%E -1.42%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 50.64%EV -8.08%E -4.39%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 27.33%EV -5.11%E -1.50%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-23 13:39
Unibet (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58%EV -6.68%E -1.59%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.92%EV -5.09%E -2.68%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.49%EV -4.00%E -1.16%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-23 13:39
betfred_uk4.20I 23.81%NM 22.55%EV -6.68%E -1.59%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.59%EV -4.59%E -2.40%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -5.39%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-23 10:09
theScore Bet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.55%EV -6.68%E -1.59%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.59%EV -4.59%E -2.40%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -5.39%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-23 10:09
Coral4.20I 23.81%NM 22.55%EV -6.68%E -1.59%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.59%EV -4.59%E -2.40%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -5.39%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-23 14:09
BetMGM4.20I 23.81%NM 22.55%EV -6.68%E -1.59%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.59%EV -4.59%E -2.40%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -5.39%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-23 14:09
SportsBet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.49%EV -6.68%E -1.59%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.72%EV -5.09%E -2.68%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.79%EV -5.39%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-23 14:19
Unibet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -6.68%E -1.59%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.52%EV -5.09%E -2.68%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -6.78%E -2.02%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-23 13:49
Ladbrokes (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%EV -6.68%E -1.59%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -4.59%E -2.40%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -8.17%E -2.48%K -3.55%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-23 14:09
Unibet (NL)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -6.68%E -1.59%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.65%EV -5.59%E -2.96%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -6.78%E -2.02%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-23 13:50
Unibet (SE)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -6.68%E -1.59%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.65%EV -5.59%E -2.96%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -6.78%E -2.02%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-23 13:49
Casumo4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -6.68%E -1.59%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.65%EV -5.59%E -2.96%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -6.78%E -2.02%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-23 13:49
Grosvenor4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -6.68%E -1.59%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.65%EV -5.59%E -2.96%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -6.78%E -2.02%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-23 13:49
betPARX4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -6.68%E -1.59%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.65%EV -5.59%E -2.96%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -6.78%E -2.02%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-23 13:49
Bally Bet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -6.68%E -1.59%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.65%EV -5.59%E -2.96%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -6.78%E -2.02%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-23 13:49
Sky Bet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV -6.68%E -1.59%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.12%EV -6.59%E -3.52%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -5.39%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-23 13:39
BetRivers4.20I 23.81%NM 22.28%EV -6.68%E -1.59%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.78%EV -6.09%E -3.24%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.94%EV -6.78%E -2.02%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-23 13:50
TABtouch4.20I 23.81%NM 22.28%EV -6.68%E -1.59%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.78%EV -6.09%E -3.24%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.94%EV -6.78%E -2.02%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-23 13:49
FanDuel4.20I 23.81%NM 22.13%EV -6.68%E -1.59%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.70%EV -6.59%E -3.52%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -8.17%E -2.48%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-23 14:19
Paddy Power4.20I 23.81%NM 22.13%EV -6.68%E -1.59%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.70%EV -6.59%E -3.52%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -8.17%E -2.48%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-23 13:39
BoyleSports4.20I 23.81%NM 22.13%EV -6.68%E -1.59%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.70%EV -6.59%E -3.52%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -8.17%E -2.48%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-23 14:18
Caesars4.20I 23.81%NM 22.13%EV -6.68%E -1.59%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.70%EV -6.59%E -3.52%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -8.17%E -2.48%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-23 14:15
888sport4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -6.68%E -1.59%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.76%EV -7.59%E -4.10%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.32%EV -9.56%E -2.94%K -4.25%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-23 14:09
William Hill4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -6.68%E -1.59%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.76%EV -7.59%E -4.10%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.32%EV -9.56%E -2.94%K -4.25%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-23 14:10
888sport (SE)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -6.68%E -1.59%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.76%EV -7.59%E -4.10%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.32%EV -9.56%E -2.94%K -4.25%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-23 14:09
Mr Green (SE)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -6.68%E -1.59%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.76%EV -7.59%E -4.10%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.32%EV -9.56%E -2.94%K -4.25%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-23 14:09
BetUS4.15I 24.10%NM 22.94%EV -7.79%E -1.88%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.85%EV -4.59%E -2.40%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.20%EV -2.60%E -0.744%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-23 13:09
Bet Right4.10I 24.39%NM 23.03%EV -8.90%E -2.17%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.19%EV -4.09%E -2.13%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.78%EV -5.39%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-23 10:09
Betr (AU)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.55%EV -8.90%E -2.17%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.44%EV -6.59%E -3.52%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.01%EV -8.17%E -2.48%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-23 10:09
LeoVegas4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -8.90%E -2.17%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.71%EV -7.59%E -4.10%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -8.17%E -2.48%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-23 13:50
Virgin Bet4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -8.90%E -2.17%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.49%EV -7.59%E -4.10%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -9.56%E -2.94%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-23 13:49
LiveScore Bet4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -8.90%E -2.17%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.49%EV -7.59%E -4.10%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -9.56%E -2.94%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-23 13:50
Bet Victor4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -11.12%E -2.78%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.33%EV -6.59%E -3.52%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV +0.178%E +0.050%K +0.069%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-23 14:18
Betway4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -11.12%E -2.78%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.43%EV -6.09%E -3.24%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -5.39%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-23 14:19
PMU (FR)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.64%EV -11.12%E -2.78%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.49%EV -8.58%E -4.69%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.87%EV -9.56%E -2.94%K -4.25%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-23 13:50
Betclic (FR)3.95I 25.32%NM 23.00%EV -12.24%E -3.10%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.64%EV -8.58%E -4.69%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 27.36%EV -7.61%E -2.29%K -3.28%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-23 14:18
Unibet (FR)3.95I 25.32%NM 22.77%EV -12.24%E -3.10%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.97%EV -10.08%E -5.60%K -12.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.26%EV -8.17%E -2.48%K -3.55%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-23 14:09
NetBet (FR)3.90I 25.64%NM 22.26%EV -13.35%E -3.42%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 50.18%EV -13.58%E -7.85%K -18.60%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.56%EV -12.34%E -3.92%K -5.74%G +0.000%15.2%2026-05-23 14:19
Winamax (DE)3.85I 25.97%NM 23.67%EV -14.46%E -3.76%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 49.53%EV -8.08%E -4.39%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.80%EV -5.39%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-23 13:39
Winamax (FR)3.80I 26.32%NM 23.23%EV -15.57%E -4.10%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 49.60%EV -11.08%E -6.23%K -14.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.17%EV -9.56%E -2.94%K -4.25%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-23 14:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 23.26%EV -16.68%E -4.45%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 47.66%EV -8.58%E -4.69%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.08%EV -16.52%E -5.51%K -8.26%G +0.000%14.6%2026-05-23 14:19
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.70I 21.28%NM 21.21%1.95I 51.28%NM 51.11%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.68%0.3%2026-05-23 14:19
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.70I 21.28%NM 21.21%1.95I 51.28%NM 51.11%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.68%0.3%2026-05-23 14:19
Smarkets4.70I 21.28%NM 21.21%1.95I 51.28%NM 51.11%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.68%0.3%2026-05-23 14:19
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.70I 21.28%NM 21.15%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.24%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61%0.6%2026-05-23 14:19
Matchbook4.70I 21.28%NM 21.07%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.04%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.89%1.0%2026-05-23 14:19
Kalshi4.55I 21.98%NM 21.55%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.03%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42%2.0%2026-05-23 14:10