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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Derby County v Wrexham AFC

2026-10-10 14:00 UTC — Championship

胜负盘

21 家博彩公司 (6 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Derby County (主队)

预测 32.01%3.12公平赔率
EV -3.98%
优势 -1.33%
Kelly -1.99%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.00

博彩公司预测分布
31.44%32.13%31.97%33.44%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.602.842.883.0038.46%35.15%34.72%33.33%最小值均值中位数最大值

Wrexham AFC (客队)

预测 39.41%2.54公平赔率
EV -5.42%
优势 -2.26%
Kelly -3.87%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.40

博彩公司预测分布
38.63%39.31%39.44%40.21%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.122.332.382.4047.17%42.91%42.02%41.67%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 28.58%3.50公平赔率
EV -2.82%
优势 -0.830%
Kelly -1.18%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.40

博彩公司预测分布
27.51%28.56%28.60%29.66%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.003.233.253.4033.33%30.99%30.77%29.41%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为：Derby County (主队)：32.01%；Wrexham AFC (客队)：39.41%；平局：28.58%。 对于“平局”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.50。 没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率：当前最佳赔率为3.40，期望值为-2.82%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (21 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
Codere (IT)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.74%EV -3.98%E -1.33%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.84%EV -5.81%E -2.43%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -4.25%E -1.27%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-19 16:44
1xBet🎯2.96I 33.78%NM 31.57%EV -5.26%E -1.78%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.59%EV -6.99%E -2.96%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.84%EV -7.39%E -2.28%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-19 19:39
Marathon Bet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -5.58%E -1.89%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 39.75%EV -7.78%E -3.32%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.71%EV -7.39%E -2.28%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-19 19:33
Fanatics🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -7.18%E -2.47%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -5.42%E -2.26%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -5.68%E -1.72%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-19 17:09
Unibet (UK)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.99%EV -7.18%E -2.47%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.47%EV -7.39%E -3.14%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -7.11%E -2.19%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-19 16:44
888sport🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -7.18%E -2.47%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -6.20%E -2.61%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -11.40%E -3.68%K -5.43%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-19 16:55
William Hill🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -7.18%E -2.47%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -6.20%E -2.61%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -11.40%E -3.68%K -5.43%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-19 16:54
888sport (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -7.18%E -2.47%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -6.20%E -2.61%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -11.40%E -3.68%K -5.43%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-19 16:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -7.18%E -2.47%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -6.20%E -2.61%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -11.40%E -3.68%K -5.43%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-19 16:55
betfred_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.82%EV -7.82%E -2.71%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.38%EV -5.42%E -2.26%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.80%EV -2.82%E -0.830%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-19 16:59
LeoVegas🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.28%EV -7.82%E -2.71%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.56%EV -7.39%E -3.14%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -5.68%E -1.72%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-19 16:44
SportsBet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -8.78%E -3.08%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.25%EV -5.42%E -2.26%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -2.82%E -0.830%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-19 16:59
Betr (AU)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -8.78%E -3.08%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.25%EV -5.42%E -2.26%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -2.82%E -0.830%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-19 16:59
FanDuel🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -10.38%E -3.71%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -5.42%E -2.26%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -2.82%E -0.830%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-19 16:59
Sky Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -10.38%E -3.71%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -5.42%E -2.26%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -5.68%E -1.72%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-19 16:59
Winamax (DE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.20%EV -10.38%E -3.71%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.07%EV -11.33%E -5.03%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -7.11%E -2.19%K -3.16%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-19 16:44
ReBet🎯2.79I 35.84%NM 32.02%EV -10.70%E -3.83%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 39.53%EV -10.93%E -4.84%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 28.45%EV -10.25%E -3.27%K -4.79%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-19 16:44
Paddy Power🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -11.98%E -4.36%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.36%E -4.07%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -5.68%E -1.72%K -2.47%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-19 17:00
Unibet (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 31.44%EV -11.98%E -4.36%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.21%EV -15.27%E -7.10%K -13.28%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.35%EV -12.83%E -4.20%K -6.26%G +0.000%15.7%2026-09-19 16:44
Betclic (FR)🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 31.67%EV -14.22%E -5.31%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 40.04%EV -16.45%E -7.76%K -14.69%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.29%EV -14.25%E -4.75%K -7.13%G +0.000%17.8%2026-09-19 16:47
Winamax (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 32.66%EV -16.78%E -6.45%K -10.49%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 39.50%EV -15.27%E -7.10%K -13.28%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 27.84%EV -12.83%E -4.20%K -6.26%G +0.000%17.8%2026-09-19 16:44
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (4)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.12I 89.29%NM 39.62%1.47I 68.03%NM 30.19%1.47I 68.03%NM 30.19%125.3%2026-09-19 20:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.12I 89.29%NM 39.62%1.47I 68.03%NM 30.19%1.47I 68.03%NM 30.19%125.3%2026-09-19 20:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.12I 89.29%NM 39.62%1.47I 68.03%NM 30.19%1.47I 68.03%NM 30.19%125.3%2026-09-19 20:09
Smarkets◎1.03I 97.09%NM 41.48%1.46I 68.49%NM 29.26%1.46I 68.49%NM 29.26%134.1%2026-09-19 19:20