Language:English
Derby County v Stoke City
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Derby County (Local)
Prediction 54.72%1.83fair odd
EV -3.69%
Edge -2.10%
Kelly -4.86%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.76
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.55%54.67%54.70%55.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.581.711.711.7663.29%58.63%58.48%56.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Stoke City (Visit)
Prediction 20.17%4.96fair odd
EV -0.950%
Edge -0.193%
Kelly -0.243%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.91
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.31%20.18%20.14%21.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.104.624.604.9124.39%21.65%21.74%20.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.11%3.98fair odd
EV -2.09%
Edge -0.535%
Kelly -0.720%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.24%25.15%25.16%26.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.723.753.9030.30%26.91%26.67%25.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Derby County (Local): 54.72%; Stoke City (Visit): 20.17%; Draw: 25.11%. For Stoke City (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.96. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.91, with an expected value of -0.950%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ReBet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.60%EV -3.69%E -2.10%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.44%EV -5.19%E -1.10%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.96%EV -3.34%E -0.868%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-06 13:19 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -4.24%E -2.42%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 4.84I 20.66%NM 19.93%EV -2.36%E -0.488%K -0.615%G +0.000% | 3.87I 25.84%NM 24.93%EV -2.84%E -0.734%K -0.990%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-06 13:40 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.56%EV -4.24%E -2.42%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.31%EV -5.19%E -1.10%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.13%EV -4.60%E -1.21%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-06 13:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.49%EV -4.24%E -2.42%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.08%EV -4.18%E -0.879%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.43%EV -5.85%E -1.56%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-06 13:34 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.29%EV -4.79%E -2.75%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.04%EV -3.17%E -0.660%K -0.834%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.67%EV -2.09%E -0.535%K -0.720%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.29%EV -4.79%E -2.75%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.04%EV -3.17%E -0.660%K -0.834%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.67%EV -2.09%E -0.535%K -0.720%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.11%EV -4.79%E -2.75%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.98%EV -3.17%E -0.660%K -0.834%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.91%EV -3.34%E -0.868%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.11%EV -4.79%E -2.75%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.98%EV -3.17%E -0.660%K -0.834%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.91%EV -3.34%E -0.868%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.11%EV -4.79%E -2.75%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.98%EV -3.17%E -0.660%K -0.834%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.91%EV -3.34%E -0.868%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.88%EV -4.79%E -2.75%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.32%EV -5.19%E -1.10%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -3.34%E -0.868%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-06 13:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV -4.79%E -2.75%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -9.22%E -2.05%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.82%EV -4.60%E -1.21%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-06 13:34 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.91%EV -5.33%E -3.08%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 4.91I 20.37%NM 19.35%EV -0.950%E -0.193%K -0.243%G +0.000% | 3.69I 27.10%NM 25.74%EV -7.36%E -1.99%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.91%EV -5.33%E -3.08%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 4.91I 20.37%NM 19.35%EV -0.950%E -0.193%K -0.243%G +0.000% | 3.69I 27.10%NM 25.74%EV -7.36%E -1.99%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.42%EV -5.33%E -3.08%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -7.20%E -1.57%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%EV -5.85%E -1.56%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-06 13:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.36%EV -5.33%E -3.08%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -9.22%E -2.05%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -4.60%E -1.21%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-06 13:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.36%EV -5.33%E -3.08%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -9.22%E -2.05%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -4.60%E -1.21%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-06 13:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.14%EV -5.33%E -3.08%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 4.56I 21.93%NM 20.54%EV -8.01%E -1.76%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -7.11%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.33%E -3.08%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -9.22%E -2.05%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -9.62%E -2.67%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-06 13:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.88%E -3.42%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.33%EV -7.20%E -1.57%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -7.11%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.32%EV -5.88%E -3.42%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -9.22%E -2.05%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -5.85%E -1.56%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-06 13:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.32%EV -5.88%E -3.42%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -9.22%E -2.05%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -5.85%E -1.56%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-06 13:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.20%EV -5.88%E -3.42%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV -7.20%E -1.57%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -8.36%E -2.29%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.16%EV -5.88%E -3.42%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 4.57I 21.88%NM 20.38%EV -7.81%E -1.71%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.66I 27.32%NM 25.45%EV -8.11%E -2.22%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-06 13:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.25%EV -6.43%E -3.76%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.89%EV -4.18%E -0.879%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.86%EV -4.60%E -1.21%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.95%EV -6.43%E -3.76%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.99%EV -5.19%E -1.10%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.06%EV -5.85%E -1.56%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.95%EV -6.43%E -3.76%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.99%EV -5.19%E -1.10%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.06%EV -5.85%E -1.56%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.95%EV -6.43%E -3.76%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.99%EV -5.19%E -1.10%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.06%EV -5.85%E -1.56%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.95%EV -6.43%E -3.76%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.99%EV -5.19%E -1.10%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.06%EV -5.85%E -1.56%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.95%EV -6.43%E -3.76%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.99%EV -5.19%E -1.10%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.06%EV -5.85%E -1.56%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.95%EV -6.43%E -3.76%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.99%EV -5.19%E -1.10%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.06%EV -5.85%E -1.56%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.95%EV -6.43%E -3.76%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.99%EV -5.19%E -1.10%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.06%EV -5.85%E -1.56%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.53%EV -6.43%E -3.76%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV -7.20%E -1.57%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -7.11%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-06 13:34 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.53%EV -6.43%E -3.76%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV -7.20%E -1.57%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -7.11%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.21%EV -6.43%E -3.76%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.31%EV -3.17%E -0.660%K -0.834%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -12.13%E -3.47%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-06 13:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.97%EV -6.43%E -3.76%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.74%EV -10.23%E -2.30%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.29%EV -8.36%E -2.29%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-06 13:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.51%EV -6.97%E -4.10%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.66%EV -3.17%E -0.660%K -0.834%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.83%EV -4.60%E -1.21%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-06 13:19 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.39%EV -6.97%E -4.10%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.83%EV -4.18%E -0.879%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -4.60%E -1.21%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.21%EV -6.97%E -4.10%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -4.18%E -0.879%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -5.85%E -1.56%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.10%EV -6.97%E -4.10%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -5.19%E -1.10%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.98%EV -5.85%E -1.56%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.10%EV -6.97%E -4.10%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -5.19%E -1.10%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.98%EV -5.85%E -1.56%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -6.97%E -4.10%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.69%EV -4.18%E -0.879%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -7.11%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-06 13:14 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.43%EV -6.97%E -4.10%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -9.22%E -2.05%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -7.11%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.30%EV -6.97%E -4.10%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -7.20%E -1.57%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -9.62%E -2.67%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-06 13:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.30%EV -6.97%E -4.10%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -7.20%E -1.57%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -9.62%E -2.67%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-06 13:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.30%EV -6.97%E -4.10%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -7.20%E -1.57%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -9.62%E -2.67%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-06 13:19 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.30%EV -6.97%E -4.10%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -7.20%E -1.57%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -9.62%E -2.67%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-06 13:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.55%EV -6.97%E -4.10%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.17%EV -13.26%E -3.08%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -9.62%E -2.67%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.51%EV -7.52%E -4.45%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.25%EV -8.21%E -1.80%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.24%EV -8.36%E -2.29%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-06 13:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.72%EV -8.07%E -4.80%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -9.22%E -2.05%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -7.11%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.72%EV -8.07%E -4.80%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -9.22%E -2.05%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -7.11%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.11%EV -8.07%E -4.80%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.65%EV -15.27%E -3.64%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -5.85%E -1.56%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-06 13:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.95%EV -8.62%E -5.16%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.47%EV -3.17%E -0.660%K -0.834%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -4.60%E -1.21%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.83%EV -8.62%E -5.16%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -4.18%E -0.879%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -4.60%E -1.21%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -8.62%E -5.16%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -7.20%E -1.57%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -7.11%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.05%EV -8.62%E -5.16%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -9.22%E -2.05%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -5.85%E -1.56%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.97%EV -8.62%E -5.16%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.53%EV -5.19%E -1.10%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -9.62%E -2.67%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.36%EV -8.62%E -5.16%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.63%EV -11.24%E -2.55%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 25.01%EV -8.87%E -2.44%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-06 13:34 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.07%EV -8.62%E -5.16%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.85%EV -12.65%E -2.92%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.08%EV -9.62%E -2.67%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-06 13:14 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 53.77%EV -9.16%E -5.52%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.77%EV -17.29%E -4.22%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.46%EV -8.36%E -2.29%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-06 13:15 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.23%EV -9.71%E -5.89%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.81%EV -7.20%E -1.57%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.97%EV -8.36%E -2.29%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 53.62%EV -11.35%E -7.01%K -18.31%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.06%EV -12.65%E -2.92%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.32%EV -17.15%E -5.20%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-04-06 13:34 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 54.98%EV -13.54%E -8.57%K -23.35%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.20%EV -13.26%E -3.08%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.82%EV -12.13%E -3.47%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-04-06 13:19 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.74% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.45% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.80% | 0.8% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.74% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.45% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.80% | 0.8% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.74% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.45% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.80% | 0.8% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.74% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.45% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.80% | 0.8% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.80% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.64% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.55% | 1.8% | 2026-04-06 13:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.94% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.58% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.48% | 2.1% | 2026-04-06 13:20 |