The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Derby County v Stoke City

Kickoff: 2026-10-17 14:00 UTC

Final: Derby County 0–1 Stoke City

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

64 sportsbooks (22 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Derby County (Local)

Prediction 32.90%3.04fair odd
EV -2.61%
Edge -0.882%
Kelly -1.33%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.96

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.56%32.85%33.00%33.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.652.832.802.9637.74%35.38%35.71%33.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Stoke City (Visit)

Prediction 39.26%2.55fair odd
EV -1.84%
Edge -0.737%
Kelly -1.23%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.04%39.34%39.13%41.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.372.402.5047.62%42.28%41.67%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.84%3.59fair odd
EV +0.208%
Edge +0.058%
Kelly +0.080%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.73%27.81%27.86%28.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.363.383.6031.25%29.73%29.63%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Derby County (Local): 32.90%; Stoke City (Visit): 39.26%; Draw: 27.84%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.59. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.208%.

Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -4.59%E -1.58%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.09%EV -5.77%E -2.40%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.73%EV +0.208%E +0.058%K +0.080%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-17 13:25
ATG (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -4.59%E -1.58%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.09%EV -5.77%E -2.40%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.73%EV +0.208%E +0.058%K +0.080%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-17 13:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -4.59%E -1.58%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.09%EV -5.77%E -2.40%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.73%EV +0.208%E +0.058%K +0.080%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-17 13:25
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -7.88%E -2.81%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -7.73%E -3.29%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -2.58%E -0.736%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-17 12:45
Pinnacle🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 33.15%EV -3.93%E -1.34%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.03%EV -2.63%E -1.06%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.82%EV -3.13%E -0.900%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-17 13:55
Unibet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.19%EV -7.88%E -2.81%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.88%EV -8.52%E -3.66%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -3.97%E -1.15%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-17 13:25
Casumo🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.19%EV -7.88%E -2.81%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.88%EV -8.52%E -3.66%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -3.97%E -1.15%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-17 13:25
Unibet (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.19%EV -7.88%E -2.81%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.88%EV -8.52%E -3.66%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -3.97%E -1.15%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-17 13:25
betPARX🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.19%EV -7.88%E -2.81%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.88%EV -8.52%E -3.66%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -3.97%E -1.15%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-17 13:25
Bally Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.19%EV -7.88%E -2.81%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.88%EV -8.52%E -3.66%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -3.97%E -1.15%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-17 13:25
Codere (IT)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.29%EV -2.94%E -0.997%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.69%EV -5.77%E -2.40%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.02%EV -5.36%E -1.58%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-15 20:15
betfred_uk🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.97%EV -7.88%E -2.81%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.05%EV -1.84%E -0.737%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -5.36%E -1.58%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-17 13:35
DraftKings🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.32%EV -6.23%E -2.19%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.76%EV -3.81%E -1.55%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -5.36%E -1.58%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-17 13:30
Coolbet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.32%EV -6.23%E -2.19%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.76%EV -3.81%E -1.55%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -5.36%E -1.58%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-17 13:34
SportsBet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.67%EV -4.59%E -1.58%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.47%EV -5.77%E -2.40%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -5.36%E -1.58%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-17 13:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.67%EV -4.59%E -1.58%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.47%EV -5.77%E -2.40%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -5.36%E -1.58%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-17 13:30
picklebet_au🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.67%EV -4.59%E -1.58%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.47%EV -5.77%E -2.40%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -5.36%E -1.58%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-17 11:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 32.90%EV -5.57%E -1.94%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.34%EV -5.77%E -2.40%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.77%EV -5.36%E -1.58%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-17 07:40
Coral🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 32.90%EV -5.57%E -1.94%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.34%EV -5.77%E -2.40%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.77%EV -5.36%E -1.58%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-17 07:40
Betr (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -7.88%E -2.81%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -3.81%E -1.55%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -5.36%E -1.58%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-17 13:35
Bet Right🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -7.88%E -2.81%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -3.81%E -1.55%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -5.36%E -1.58%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-17 13:35
BetMGM🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -6.23%E -2.19%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.25%EV -5.77%E -2.40%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -5.36%E -1.58%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-17 07:39
Unibet (UK)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -4.59%E -1.58%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.98%EV -7.73%E -3.29%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.36%E -1.58%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-15 20:14
Betway🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -7.88%E -2.81%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -5.77%E -2.40%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -5.36%E -1.58%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-17 13:30
Sky Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -4.59%E -1.58%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -9.70%E -4.22%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -5.36%E -1.58%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-17 10:15
Fanatics🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -4.59%E -1.58%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -9.70%E -4.22%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -5.36%E -1.58%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-16 15:55
Virgin Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.06%EV -7.88%E -2.81%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.72%EV -8.52%E -3.66%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -5.36%E -1.58%K -2.23%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-17 13:25
Grosvenor🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.00%EV -7.88%E -2.81%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.83%EV -8.91%E -3.84%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -5.36%E -1.58%K -2.23%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-17 13:25
LiveScore Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -7.88%E -2.81%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -9.70%E -4.22%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -5.36%E -1.58%K -2.23%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-17 13:25
Tipico (DE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.91%EV -6.23%E -2.19%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.34%EV -13.62%E -6.19%K -11.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -5.36%E -1.58%K -2.23%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-17 13:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.89I 34.60%NM 32.95%EV -4.91%E -1.70%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.87%EV -3.81%E -1.55%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.18%EV -5.92%E -1.75%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-17 07:29
LowVig.ag🎯2.89I 34.60%NM 32.95%EV -4.91%E -1.70%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.87%EV -3.81%E -1.55%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.18%EV -5.92%E -1.75%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-17 07:29
1xBet🎯2.96I 33.78%NM 32.45%EV -2.61%E -0.882%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.05%EV -3.41%E -1.39%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.50%EV -6.19%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-17 13:50
Marathon Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.22%EV -7.88%E -2.81%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.09%EV -6.55%E -2.75%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 27.69%EV -6.47%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-15 20:14
BetUS🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -6.23%E -2.19%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -5.77%E -2.40%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.00%EV -6.75%E -2.02%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-17 13:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -6.23%E -2.19%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -5.77%E -2.40%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.00%EV -6.75%E -2.02%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-17 07:39
Neds🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -6.23%E -2.19%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -5.77%E -2.40%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.00%EV -6.75%E -2.02%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-17 07:40
theScore Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -7.88%E -2.81%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.86%EV -5.77%E -2.40%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -6.75%E -2.02%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-17 13:35
TABtouch🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.04%EV -9.52%E -3.46%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.85%EV -10.48%E -4.60%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.12%EV -6.75%E -2.02%K -2.87%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-17 13:25
Unibet (NL)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.04%EV -9.52%E -3.46%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.85%EV -10.48%E -4.60%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.12%EV -6.75%E -2.02%K -2.87%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-17 13:25
BetRivers🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.04%EV -9.52%E -3.46%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.85%EV -10.48%E -4.60%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.12%EV -6.75%E -2.02%K -2.87%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-17 13:25
Winamax (DE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -9.52%E -3.46%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.16%EV -11.66%E -5.18%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -6.75%E -2.02%K -2.87%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-15 20:14
ReBet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.51%EV -6.23%E -2.19%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 39.59%EV -8.12%E -3.47%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 27.90%EV -7.59%E -2.29%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-17 11:10
NordicBet🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 32.40%EV -3.93%E -1.34%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.93%EV -4.59%E -1.89%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -8.14%E -2.47%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-17 13:45
Betsson🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.50%EV -4.59%E -1.58%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.94%EV -4.98%E -2.06%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -8.14%E -2.47%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-17 13:45
FanDuel🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.77%EV -6.23%E -2.19%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.92%EV -5.77%E -2.40%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -8.14%E -2.47%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-17 13:35
Bovada🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.77%EV -6.23%E -2.19%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.92%EV -5.77%E -2.40%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -8.14%E -2.47%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-17 13:55
betano_uk🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -7.88%E -2.81%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -5.77%E -2.40%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -8.14%E -2.47%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-17 13:48
TAB🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -7.88%E -2.81%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -5.77%E -2.40%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -8.14%E -2.47%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-17 13:50
Paddy Power🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.06%EV -7.88%E -2.81%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.89%EV -6.55%E -2.75%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -8.14%E -2.47%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-17 13:30
PlayUp🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -7.88%E -2.81%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -7.73%E -3.29%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -8.14%E -2.47%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-17 13:50
BoyleSports🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.87%EV -11.17%E -4.14%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.42%EV -6.55%E -2.75%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -8.14%E -2.47%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-17 13:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -7.88%E -2.81%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -9.70%E -4.22%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -8.14%E -2.47%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-17 13:50
PMU (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.13%EV -11.17%E -4.14%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -11.66%E -5.18%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -8.14%E -2.47%K -3.54%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-17 13:25
GTbets🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 32.65%EV -5.57%E -1.94%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 38.88%EV -5.38%E -2.23%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 28.48%EV -8.42%E -2.56%K -3.68%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-16 15:50
William Hill🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.28%EV -7.88%E -2.81%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.04%EV -3.81%E -1.55%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -9.53%E -2.93%K -4.24%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-17 13:35
Bet Victor🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.30%EV -5.24%E -1.82%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.08%EV -6.55%E -2.75%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.62%EV -9.53%E -2.93%K -4.24%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-17 13:50
888sport🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -9.52%E -3.46%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -5.77%E -2.40%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -9.53%E -2.93%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-17 13:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -9.52%E -3.46%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -5.77%E -2.40%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -9.53%E -2.93%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-17 13:30
888sport (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -9.52%E -3.46%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -5.77%E -2.40%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -9.53%E -2.93%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-17 13:35
Betclic (FR)🎯2.77I 36.10%NM 32.23%EV -8.86%E -3.20%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.04%EV -12.44%E -5.58%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 27.73%EV -10.37%E -3.22%K -4.67%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-17 13:35
NetBet (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.45%EV -9.52%E -3.46%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.66%EV -11.66%E -5.18%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -10.93%E -3.41%K -4.97%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-17 12:55
Winamax (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 32.97%EV -12.81%E -4.83%K -7.76%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.72%EV -13.62%E -6.19%K -11.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.31%EV -10.93%E -3.41%K -4.97%G +0.000%14.4%2026-10-15 20:14
Unibet (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 31.56%EV -9.52%E -3.46%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.32%EV -17.55%E -8.36%K -15.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.12%EV -10.93%E -3.41%K -4.97%G +0.000%15.2%2026-10-17 13:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.05I 32.79%NM 32.60%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.78%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.62%0.6%2026-10-17 13:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.00I 33.33%NM 33.07%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.37%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.56%0.8%2026-10-17 13:55
Matchbook◎3.00I 33.33%NM 33.07%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.37%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.56%0.8%2026-10-17 13:55
Kalshi◎3.03I 33.00%NM 32.67%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.60%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73%1.0%2026-10-17 13:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.00I 33.33%NM 32.97%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.56%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.47%1.1%2026-10-17 13:55
Smarkets◎2.98I 33.56%NM 32.99%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.32%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.69%1.7%2026-10-17 13:55