L’École des cotes

Derby County v Sheffield Wednesday

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-07 15:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

59 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Derby County (Local)

Prévision 74.45%1.34cote équitable
EV -3.21%
Avantage -2.47%
Kelly -10.70%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
72.22%74.30%74.46%76.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.131.251.261.3088.50%79.77%79.37%76.92%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Sheffield Wednesday (Visiteur)

Prévision 8.76%11.41cote équitable
EV +5.13%
Avantage +0.427%
Kelly +0.466%
Croissance +0.024%

avec la cote maximale 12.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
7.76%8.84%8.72%11.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
8.0010.6011.0012.0012.50%9.43%9.09%8.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 16.79%5.96cote équitable
EV +0.720%
Avantage +0.120%
Kelly +0.144%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 6.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.47%16.86%16.81%19.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.505.475.406.0022.22%18.29%18.52%16.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (59 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet1.28I 78.13%NM 74.66%EV -4.70%E -3.67%K -16.79%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.96%EV +5.13%E +0.427%K +0.466%G +0.024%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.38%EV -7.67%E -1.40%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-07 14:33
SportsBet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.11%EV -6.93%E -5.55%K -27.74%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.82%EV +5.13%E +0.427%K +0.466%G +0.024%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.07%EV -7.67%E -1.40%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-07 14:50
Caesars1.25I 80.00%NM 74.50%EV -6.93%E -5.55%K -27.74%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV +5.13%E +0.427%K +0.466%G +0.024%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.74%EV -11.87%E -2.26%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-07 12:42
Pinnacle1.26I 79.37%NM 75.66%EV -6.19%E -4.91%K -23.81%G +0.000%11.81I 8.47%NM 8.07%EV +3.46%E +0.293%K +0.320%G +0.011%5.86I 17.06%NM 16.27%EV -1.63%E -0.278%K -0.335%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-07 14:44
LeoVegas (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 74.49%EV -3.96%E -3.07%K -13.64%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.36%EV +0.747%E +0.065%K +0.071%G +0.001%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV -5.99%E -1.07%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-07 14:14
ATG (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 74.49%EV -3.96%E -3.07%K -13.64%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.36%EV +0.747%E +0.065%K +0.071%G +0.001%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV -5.99%E -1.07%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-07 14:14
Svenska Spel1.29I 77.52%NM 74.49%EV -3.96%E -3.07%K -13.64%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.36%EV +0.747%E +0.065%K +0.071%G +0.001%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV -5.99%E -1.07%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-07 14:14
Fanatics1.25I 80.00%NM 75.41%EV -6.93%E -5.55%K -27.74%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.20%EV +0.747%E +0.065%K +0.071%G +0.001%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -3.48%E -0.605%K -0.732%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-07 14:50
Bet Victor1.25I 80.00%NM 75.41%EV -6.93%E -5.55%K -27.74%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.20%EV +0.747%E +0.065%K +0.071%G +0.001%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -3.48%E -0.605%K -0.732%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-07 13:28
1xBet1.30I 76.92%NM 74.41%EV -3.21%E -2.47%K -10.70%G +0.000%11.30I 8.85%NM 8.56%EV -1.01%E -0.089%K -0.098%G +0.000%5.68I 17.61%NM 17.03%EV -4.65%E -0.819%K -0.994%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-07 14:54
Marathon Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 75.21%EV -7.68%E -6.19%K -31.99%G +0.000%11.25I 8.89%NM 8.29%EV -1.44%E -0.128%K -0.141%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 16.51%EV -5.16%E -0.912%K -1.11%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-07 14:55
Codere (IT)1.28I 78.13%NM 74.79%EV -4.70%E -3.67%K -16.79%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.70%EV -3.63%E -0.330%K -0.363%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.51%EV -2.64%E -0.455%K -0.549%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-07 14:55
LowVig.ag1.27I 78.74%NM 75.35%EV -5.45%E -4.29%K -20.17%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.70%EV -3.63%E -0.330%K -0.363%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.95%EV +0.720%E +0.120%K +0.144%G +0.001%4.5%2026-03-07 14:49
BetOnline.ag1.27I 78.74%NM 75.35%EV -5.45%E -4.29%K -20.17%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.70%EV -3.63%E -0.330%K -0.363%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.95%EV +0.720%E +0.120%K +0.144%G +0.001%4.5%2026-03-07 14:49
Unibet1.26I 79.37%NM 74.19%EV -6.19%E -4.91%K -23.81%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.50%EV -3.63%E -0.330%K -0.363%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV -9.35%E -1.73%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 14:24
Unibet (NL)1.26I 79.37%NM 74.19%EV -6.19%E -4.91%K -23.81%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.50%EV -3.63%E -0.330%K -0.363%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV -9.35%E -1.73%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 14:14
Grosvenor1.26I 79.37%NM 74.19%EV -6.19%E -4.91%K -23.81%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.50%EV -3.63%E -0.330%K -0.363%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV -9.35%E -1.73%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 14:14
Unibet (SE)1.26I 79.37%NM 74.19%EV -6.19%E -4.91%K -23.81%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.50%EV -3.63%E -0.330%K -0.363%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV -9.35%E -1.73%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 14:14
TABtouch1.26I 79.37%NM 74.19%EV -6.19%E -4.91%K -23.81%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.50%EV -3.63%E -0.330%K -0.363%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV -9.35%E -1.73%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 14:14
BetRivers1.26I 79.37%NM 74.19%EV -6.19%E -4.91%K -23.81%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.50%EV -3.63%E -0.330%K -0.363%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV -9.35%E -1.73%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 14:14
Casumo1.26I 79.37%NM 74.19%EV -6.19%E -4.91%K -23.81%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.50%EV -3.63%E -0.330%K -0.363%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV -9.35%E -1.73%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 14:14
Bally Bet1.26I 79.37%NM 74.19%EV -6.19%E -4.91%K -23.81%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.50%EV -3.63%E -0.330%K -0.363%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV -9.35%E -1.73%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 14:14
betPARX1.26I 79.37%NM 74.19%EV -6.19%E -4.91%K -23.81%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.50%EV -3.63%E -0.330%K -0.363%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV -9.35%E -1.73%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 14:14
TAB1.28I 78.13%NM 72.87%EV -4.70%E -3.67%K -16.79%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.48%EV -3.63%E -0.330%K -0.363%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.65%EV -16.07%E -3.21%K -4.02%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-07 14:53
William Hill1.25I 80.00%NM 74.58%EV -6.93%E -5.55%K -27.74%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.47%EV -3.63%E -0.330%K -0.363%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -7.67%E -1.40%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-07 14:44
Everygame1.25I 80.00%NM 74.58%EV -6.93%E -5.55%K -27.74%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.47%EV -3.63%E -0.330%K -0.363%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -7.67%E -1.40%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-07 14:44
Sky Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -9.17%E -7.51%K -41.67%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -3.63%E -0.330%K -0.363%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV +0.720%E +0.120%K +0.144%G +0.001%7.7%2026-03-07 14:55
LeoVegas1.24I 80.65%NM 74.26%EV -7.68%E -6.19%K -31.99%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.37%EV -3.63%E -0.330%K -0.363%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.37%EV -11.03%E -2.08%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-07 14:14
888sport1.25I 80.00%NM 73.33%EV -6.93%E -5.55%K -27.74%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV -3.63%E -0.330%K -0.363%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -16.07%E -3.21%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-07 14:44
Mr Green (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 73.33%EV -6.93%E -5.55%K -27.74%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV -3.63%E -0.330%K -0.363%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -16.07%E -3.21%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-07 14:44
888sport (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 73.33%EV -6.93%E -5.55%K -27.74%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV -3.63%E -0.330%K -0.363%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -16.07%E -3.21%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-07 14:45
Paddy Power1.22I 81.97%NM 75.03%EV -9.17%E -7.51%K -41.67%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.32%EV -3.63%E -0.330%K -0.363%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -7.67%E -1.40%K -1.71%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-07 12:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 72.36%EV -9.17%E -7.51%K -41.67%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.03%EV -3.63%E -0.330%K -0.363%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.62%EV -24.46%E -5.44%K -6.99%G +0.000%13.3%2026-03-07 14:54
GTbets1.27I 78.74%NM 74.06%EV -5.45%E -4.29%K -20.17%G +0.000%10.79I 9.27%NM 8.72%EV -5.47%E -0.507%K -0.559%G +0.000%5.46I 18.32%NM 17.23%EV -8.34%E -1.53%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-07 14:54
Betr (AU)1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -5.45%E -4.29%K -20.17%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.87%EV -8.01%E -0.763%K -0.844%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.75%EV -11.87%E -2.26%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-07 14:39
FanDuel1.24I 80.65%NM 75.08%EV -7.68%E -6.19%K -31.99%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.87%EV -8.01%E -0.763%K -0.844%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.05%EV -2.64%E -0.455%K -0.549%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-07 14:49
BetUS1.25I 80.00%NM 73.93%EV -6.93%E -5.55%K -27.74%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.80%EV -8.01%E -0.763%K -0.844%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.27%EV -10.19%E -1.90%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-07 14:55
LiveScore Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 74.20%EV -7.68%E -6.19%K -31.99%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.76%EV -8.01%E -0.763%K -0.844%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.04%EV -9.35%E -1.73%K -2.13%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-07 14:15
Virgin Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 73.96%EV -7.68%E -6.19%K -31.99%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.73%EV -8.01%E -0.763%K -0.844%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.30%EV -11.03%E -2.08%K -2.57%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-07 14:14
Unibet (UK)1.27I 78.74%NM 73.64%EV -5.45%E -4.29%K -20.17%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.35%EV -12.39%E -1.24%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.00%EV -7.67%E -1.40%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 14:54
PlayUp1.28I 78.13%NM 72.90%EV -4.70%E -3.67%K -16.79%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.33%EV -12.39%E -1.24%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.77%EV -11.87%E -2.26%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-07 14:54
theScore Bet1.26I 79.37%NM 73.80%EV -6.19%E -4.91%K -23.81%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.30%EV -12.39%E -1.24%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -7.67%E -1.40%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-07 14:39
Bet Right1.27I 78.74%NM 73.05%EV -5.45%E -4.29%K -20.17%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.28%EV -12.39%E -1.24%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.67%EV -11.87%E -2.26%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-07 14:54
Betway1.25I 80.00%NM 73.95%EV -6.93%E -5.55%K -27.74%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV -12.39%E -1.24%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -7.67%E -1.40%K -1.71%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-07 05:29
Bovada1.23I 81.30%NM 74.80%EV -8.42%E -6.85%K -36.62%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.20%EV -12.39%E -1.24%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.00%EV -3.48%E -0.605%K -0.732%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-07 14:13
Tipico (DE)1.25I 80.00%NM 73.48%EV -6.93%E -5.55%K -27.74%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.19%EV -12.39%E -1.24%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.33%EV -11.03%E -2.08%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-07 14:09
Betclic (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 74.03%EV -8.42%E -6.85%K -36.62%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.11%EV -12.39%E -1.24%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.86%EV -9.35%E -1.73%K -2.13%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-07 14:47
BoyleSports1.25I 80.00%NM 72.73%EV -6.93%E -5.55%K -27.74%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -12.39%E -1.24%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -16.07%E -3.21%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-07 14:44
Unibet (FR)1.20I 83.33%NM 74.50%EV -10.66%E -8.88%K -53.28%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.94%EV -12.39%E -1.24%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.56%EV -9.35%E -1.73%K -2.13%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-07 14:55
NetBet (FR)1.17I 85.47%NM 74.52%EV -12.89%E -11.02%K -75.83%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.72%EV -12.39%E -1.24%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.77%EV -12.71%E -2.44%K -3.03%G +0.000%14.7%2026-03-07 14:54
Fliff1.22I 81.97%NM 74.15%EV -9.17%E -7.51%K -41.67%G +0.000%9.95I 10.05%NM 9.09%EV -12.83%E -1.29%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.75%EV -9.35%E -1.73%K -2.13%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-07 14:54
BetMGM1.29I 77.52%NM 74.03%EV -3.96%E -3.07%K -13.64%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.05%EV -16.77%E -1.77%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.92%EV +0.720%E +0.120%K +0.144%G +0.001%4.7%2026-03-07 14:49
Coral1.28I 78.13%NM 74.18%EV -4.70%E -3.67%K -16.79%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.99%EV -16.77%E -1.77%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.83%EV +0.720%E +0.120%K +0.144%G +0.001%5.3%2026-03-07 14:39
Ladbrokes (UK)1.28I 78.13%NM 73.67%EV -4.70%E -3.67%K -16.79%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.93%EV -16.77%E -1.77%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.40%EV -3.48%E -0.605%K -0.732%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 14:54
PMU (FR)1.13I 88.50%NM 74.35%EV -15.87%E -14.04%K -122.06%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 8.84%EV -16.77%E -1.77%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 16.80%EV -16.07%E -3.21%K -4.02%G +0.000%19.0%2026-03-07 14:54
Neds1.28I 78.13%NM 72.95%EV -4.70%E -3.67%K -16.79%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.38%EV -21.15%E -2.35%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -5.99%E -1.07%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 14:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.28I 78.13%NM 73.05%EV -4.70%E -3.67%K -16.79%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.69%EV -23.34%E -2.67%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.26%EV -3.48%E -0.605%K -0.732%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 14:39
Winamax (DE)1.25I 80.00%NM 72.98%EV -6.93%E -5.55%K -27.74%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.73%EV -25.53%E -3.00%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.29%EV -5.99%E -1.07%K -1.30%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-07 14:54
Winamax (FR)1.24I 80.65%NM 72.22%EV -7.68%E -6.19%K -31.99%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.19%EV -29.92%E -3.74%K -4.27%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.58%EV -9.35%E -1.73%K -2.13%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-07 14:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.30I 76.92%NM 76.57%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.37%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.06%0.5%2026-03-07 14:54
Smarkets1.30I 76.92%NM 76.16%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.33%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.50%1.0%2026-03-07 14:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.29I 77.52%NM 76.71%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.33%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.96%1.1%2026-03-07 14:44
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.29I 77.52%NM 76.71%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.33%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.96%1.1%2026-03-07 14:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.29I 77.52%NM 76.71%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.33%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.96%1.1%2026-03-07 14:45
Kalshi1.28I 78.13%NM 76.50%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.83%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.67%2.1%2026-03-07 14:35