Burnley v West Ham United

2026-08-16 15:00 — Championship

Head to Head

37 sportsbooks (9 in analysis)

Option 1: Burnley (Local)

Odds

2.5539.22%Min

2.7836.00%Mean

2.7835.97%Median

2.9034.48%Max

Consensus probabilities

32.23%3.103Min

33.40%2.994Max

32.72%3.056Mean

32.74%3.054Median

32.75%3.054IQM

32.73%3.055Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.90 under the IQM model: 32.75%

EV -5.03%Edge -1.73%Kelly -2.65%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: West Ham United (Visit)

Odds

2.0548.78%Min

2.2644.27%Mean

2.2544.44%Median

2.3842.02%Max

Consensus probabilities

39.47%2.534Min

41.07%2.435Max

40.23%2.485Mean

39.99%2.501Median

40.17%2.489IQM

40.24%2.485Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.38 under the IQM model: 40.17%

EV -4.40%Edge -1.85%Kelly -3.19%Growth +0.000%

Option 3: Draw

Odds

3.2031.25%Min

3.3829.55%Mean

3.4029.41%Median

3.6027.78%Max

Consensus probabilities

25.73%3.887Min

27.83%3.593Max

27.05%3.697Mean

27.27%3.668Median

27.08%3.693IQM

27.03%3.700Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 3.60 under the IQM model: 27.08%

EV -2.51%Edge -0.697%Kelly -0.965%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Burnley (Local) ▼	West Ham United (Visit)	Draw	Margin	Updated
Codere (IT)	2.90I 34.48% NM 32.73%EV -5.03% E -1.73% K -2.65% G +0.000%	2.32I 43.10% NM 40.91%EV -6.81% E -2.93% K -5.16% G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78% NM 26.36%EV -2.51% E -0.697% K -0.965% G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-06-27 22:10
betfred_uk	2.88I 34.72% NM 32.76%EV -5.68% E -1.97% K -3.02% G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48% NM 41.03%EV -7.61% E -3.31% K -5.85% G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78% NM 26.21%EV -2.51% E -0.697% K -0.965% G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-06-25 21:20
SportsBet	2.87I 34.84% NM 32.84%EV -6.01% E -2.09% K -3.21% G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48% NM 40.98%EV -7.61% E -3.31% K -5.85% G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78% NM 26.18%EV -2.51% E -0.697% K -0.965% G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-06-25 21:20
Pinnacle	2.86I 34.97% NM 32.97%EV -6.34% E -2.22% K -3.41% G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02% NM 39.62%EV -4.40% E -1.85% K -3.19% G +0.000%	3.44I 29.07% NM 27.41%EV -6.84% E -1.99% K -2.80% G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-07-01 06:39
Betr (AU)	2.85I 35.09% NM 32.99%EV -6.67% E -2.34% K -3.60% G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48% NM 40.88%EV -7.61% E -3.31% K -5.85% G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78% NM 26.12%EV -2.51% E -0.697% K -0.965% G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-06-30 02:59
1xBet	2.85I 35.09% NM 32.88%EV -6.67% E -2.34% K -3.60% G +0.000%	2.36I 42.37% NM 39.71%EV -5.20% E -2.20% K -3.82% G +0.000%	3.42I 29.24% NM 27.40%EV -7.38% E -2.16% K -3.05% G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-07-01 06:29
DraftKings	2.85I 35.09% NM 32.78%EV -6.67% E -2.34% K -3.60% G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55% NM 39.75%EV -5.60% E -2.38% K -4.15% G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41% NM 27.47%EV -7.92% E -2.33% K -3.30% G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-06-29 00:19
FanDuel	2.85I 35.09% NM 32.75%EV -6.67% E -2.34% K -3.60% G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48% NM 40.58%EV -7.61% E -3.31% K -5.85% G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57% NM 26.67%EV -5.22% E -1.49% K -2.09% G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-06-25 21:20
Tipico (DE)	2.85I 35.09% NM 32.23%EV -6.67% E -2.34% K -3.60% G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48% NM 39.94%EV -7.61% E -3.31% K -5.85% G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30% NM 27.83%EV -10.63% E -3.22% K -4.62% G +0.000%	8.9%	2026-06-26 14:09
Marathon Bet	2.84I 35.21% NM 32.85%EV -6.99% E -2.46% K -3.80% G +0.000%	2.34I 42.74% NM 39.87%EV -6.00% E -2.57% K -4.48% G +0.000%	3.42I 29.24% NM 27.28%EV -7.38% E -2.16% K -3.05% G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-07-01 06:29
Sky Bet	2.80I 35.71% NM 33.14%EV -8.30% E -2.97% K -4.61% G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48% NM 40.35%EV -7.61% E -3.31% K -5.85% G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57% NM 26.51%EV -5.22% E -1.49% K -2.09% G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-06-25 21:20
Unibet (UK)	2.80I 35.71% NM 32.85%EV -8.30% E -2.97% K -4.61% G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44% NM 40.88%EV -9.62% E -4.27% K -7.69% G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57% NM 26.28%EV -5.22% E -1.49% K -2.09% G +0.000%	8.7%	2026-06-26 00:40
LeoVegas	2.80I 35.71% NM 32.85%EV -8.30% E -2.97% K -4.61% G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44% NM 40.88%EV -9.62% E -4.27% K -7.69% G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57% NM 26.28%EV -5.22% E -1.49% K -2.09% G +0.000%	8.7%	2026-07-02 10:20
Paddy Power	2.80I 35.71% NM 32.59%EV -8.30% E -2.97% K -4.61% G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44% NM 40.56%EV -9.62% E -4.27% K -7.69% G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41% NM 26.84%EV -7.92% E -2.33% K -3.30% G +0.000%	9.6%	2026-06-25 21:17
William Hill	2.80I 35.71% NM 32.59%EV -8.30% E -2.97% K -4.61% G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44% NM 40.56%EV -9.62% E -4.27% K -7.69% G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41% NM 26.84%EV -7.92% E -2.33% K -3.30% G +0.000%	9.6%	2026-06-26 10:29
888sport	2.80I 35.71% NM 32.59%EV -8.30% E -2.97% K -4.61% G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44% NM 40.56%EV -9.62% E -4.27% K -7.69% G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41% NM 26.84%EV -7.92% E -2.33% K -3.30% G +0.000%	9.6%	2026-06-26 12:09
888sport (SE)	2.80I 35.71% NM 32.59%EV -8.30% E -2.97% K -4.61% G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44% NM 40.56%EV -9.62% E -4.27% K -7.69% G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41% NM 26.84%EV -7.92% E -2.33% K -3.30% G +0.000%	9.6%	2026-06-26 12:09
Mr Green (SE)	2.80I 35.71% NM 32.59%EV -8.30% E -2.97% K -4.61% G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44% NM 40.56%EV -9.62% E -4.27% K -7.69% G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41% NM 26.84%EV -7.92% E -2.33% K -3.30% G +0.000%	9.6%	2026-06-26 12:19
ReBet	2.78I 35.97% NM 32.74%EV -8.96% E -3.22% K -5.03% G +0.000%	2.23I 44.84% NM 40.81%EV -10.42% E -4.67% K -8.47% G +0.000%	3.44I 29.07% NM 26.45%EV -6.84% E -1.99% K -2.80% G +0.000%	9.9%	2026-06-25 21:19
Bally Bet	2.75I 36.36% NM 32.73%EV -9.94% E -3.61% K -5.68% G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44% NM 40.00%EV -9.62% E -4.27% K -7.69% G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30% NM 27.27%EV -10.63% E -3.22% K -4.62% G +0.000%	11.1%	2026-06-30 05:59
betPARX	2.75I 36.36% NM 32.73%EV -9.94% E -3.61% K -5.68% G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44% NM 40.00%EV -9.62% E -4.27% K -7.69% G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30% NM 27.27%EV -10.63% E -3.22% K -4.62% G +0.000%	11.1%	2026-06-30 05:59
Virgin Bet	2.75I 36.36% NM 32.73%EV -9.94% E -3.61% K -5.68% G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44% NM 40.00%EV -9.62% E -4.27% K -7.69% G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30% NM 27.27%EV -10.63% E -3.22% K -4.62% G +0.000%	11.1%	2026-06-30 06:19
Grosvenor	2.75I 36.36% NM 32.73%EV -9.94% E -3.61% K -5.68% G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44% NM 40.00%EV -9.62% E -4.27% K -7.69% G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30% NM 27.27%EV -10.63% E -3.22% K -4.62% G +0.000%	11.1%	2026-06-30 06:19
LeoVegas (SE)	2.75I 36.36% NM 32.73%EV -9.94% E -3.61% K -5.68% G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44% NM 40.00%EV -9.62% E -4.27% K -7.69% G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30% NM 27.27%EV -10.63% E -3.22% K -4.62% G +0.000%	11.1%	2026-06-30 06:19
LiveScore Bet	2.75I 36.36% NM 32.73%EV -9.94% E -3.61% K -5.68% G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44% NM 40.00%EV -9.62% E -4.27% K -7.69% G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30% NM 27.27%EV -10.63% E -3.22% K -4.62% G +0.000%	11.1%	2026-06-30 06:19
Unibet (NL)	2.75I 36.36% NM 32.73%EV -9.94% E -3.61% K -5.68% G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44% NM 40.00%EV -9.62% E -4.27% K -7.69% G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30% NM 27.27%EV -10.63% E -3.22% K -4.62% G +0.000%	11.1%	2026-06-30 06:19
Unibet (SE)	2.75I 36.36% NM 32.73%EV -9.94% E -3.61% K -5.68% G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44% NM 40.00%EV -9.62% E -4.27% K -7.69% G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30% NM 27.27%EV -10.63% E -3.22% K -4.62% G +0.000%	11.1%	2026-06-30 06:19
Casumo	2.75I 36.36% NM 32.73%EV -9.94% E -3.61% K -5.68% G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44% NM 40.00%EV -9.62% E -4.27% K -7.69% G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30% NM 27.27%EV -10.63% E -3.22% K -4.62% G +0.000%	11.1%	2026-06-30 06:19
Svenska Spel	2.75I 36.36% NM 32.73%EV -9.94% E -3.61% K -5.68% G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44% NM 40.00%EV -9.62% E -4.27% K -7.69% G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30% NM 27.27%EV -10.63% E -3.22% K -4.62% G +0.000%	11.1%	2026-06-30 06:19
ATG (SE)	2.75I 36.36% NM 32.73%EV -9.94% E -3.61% K -5.68% G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44% NM 40.00%EV -9.62% E -4.27% K -7.69% G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30% NM 27.27%EV -10.63% E -3.22% K -4.62% G +0.000%	11.1%	2026-06-30 06:19
TABtouch	2.75I 36.36% NM 32.73%EV -9.94% E -3.61% K -5.68% G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44% NM 40.00%EV -9.62% E -4.27% K -7.69% G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30% NM 27.27%EV -10.63% E -3.22% K -4.62% G +0.000%	11.1%	2026-06-30 06:30
Unibet	2.75I 36.36% NM 32.73%EV -9.94% E -3.61% K -5.68% G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44% NM 40.00%EV -9.62% E -4.27% K -7.69% G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30% NM 27.27%EV -10.63% E -3.22% K -4.62% G +0.000%	11.1%	2026-06-30 06:49
BetRivers	2.75I 36.36% NM 32.73%EV -9.94% E -3.61% K -5.68% G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44% NM 40.00%EV -9.62% E -4.27% K -7.69% G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30% NM 27.27%EV -10.63% E -3.22% K -4.62% G +0.000%	11.1%	2026-06-30 14:40
Winamax (DE)	2.70I 37.04% NM 33.35%EV -11.58% E -4.29% K -6.81% G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45% NM 40.93%EV -11.63% E -5.28% K -9.69% G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57% NM 25.73%EV -5.22% E -1.49% K -2.09% G +0.000%	11.1%	2026-06-25 21:20
Unibet (FR)	2.65I 37.74% NM 32.50%EV -13.22% E -4.99% K -8.01% G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62% NM 41.01%EV -15.64% E -7.45% K -14.22% G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77% NM 26.50%EV -11.99% E -3.69% K -5.33% G +0.000%	16.1%	2026-06-25 21:20
Betclic (FR)	2.62I 38.17% NM 32.34%EV -14.20% E -5.42% K -8.76% G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78% NM 41.34%EV -17.65% E -8.61% K -16.81% G +0.000%	3.22I 31.06% NM 26.32%EV -12.80% E -3.97% K -5.77% G +0.000%	18.0%	2026-06-25 21:18
BoyleSports	2.60I 38.46% NM 33.40%EV -14.85% E -5.71% K -9.28% G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45% NM 39.47%EV -11.63% E -5.28% K -9.69% G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25% NM 27.13%EV -13.34% E -4.17% K -6.06% G +0.000%	15.2%	2026-07-04 10:05
Winamax (FR)	2.55I 39.22% NM 33.02%EV -16.49% E -6.47% K -10.64% G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78% NM 41.07%EV -17.65% E -8.61% K -16.81% G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77% NM 25.91%EV -11.99% E -3.69% K -5.33% G +0.000%	18.8%	2026-06-25 21:19

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Exchanges (3)

Bookmaker	Burnley (Local)	West Ham United (Visit)	Draw	Margin ▲	Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)	2.78I 35.97%	2.36I 42.37%	3.00I 33.33%	11.7%	2026-07-05 14:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)	2.78I 35.97%	2.36I 42.37%	3.00I 33.33%	11.7%	2026-07-05 14:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)	2.58I 38.76%	2.36I 42.37%	3.00I 33.33%	14.5%	2026-07-05 14:10