Language:English
Bristol City v Watford
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Bristol City (Local)
Prediction 54.29%1.84fair odd
EV +0.436%
Edge +0.235%
Kelly +0.512%
Growth +0.002%
assuming max odds 1.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.25%54.27%54.28%55.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.741.741.8561.73%57.51%57.47%54.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Watford (Visit)
Prediction 21.29%4.70fair odd
EV +1.13%
Edge +0.237%
Kelly +0.300%
Growth +0.003%
assuming max odds 4.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.93%21.25%21.30%23.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.354.404.7525.00%22.97%22.73%21.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 24.42%4.09fair odd
EV -1.83%
Edge -0.455%
Kelly -0.605%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.02
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.53%24.48%24.42%26.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.763.774.0228.57%26.60%26.49%24.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Bristol City (Local): 54.29%; Watford (Visit): 21.29%; Draw: 24.42%. For Watford (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.70. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.13%.
Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.82%EV -5.54%E -3.18%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.08%EV +1.13%E +0.237%K +0.300%G +0.003% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.10%EV -7.20%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-18 15:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.42%EV -8.25%E -4.88%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV +0.061%E +0.013%K +0.017%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.65%EV -7.20%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-18 15:14 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.25%EV -4.99%E -2.85%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 4.67I 21.41%NM 20.70%EV -0.578%E -0.124%K -0.157%G +0.000% | 4.02I 24.88%NM 24.05%EV -1.83%E -0.455%K -0.605%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-18 15:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.71%EV -4.45%E -2.53%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 4.67I 21.41%NM 20.24%EV -0.578%E -0.124%K -0.157%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.04%EV -11.35%E -3.13%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-18 08:24 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.69%EV -4.99%E -2.85%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.21%EV -1.00%E -0.216%K -0.275%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -12.08%E -3.36%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-18 08:24 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.39%EV -7.71%E -4.53%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -2.07%E -0.450%K -0.574%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -4.76%E -1.22%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-18 15:15 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.39%EV -7.71%E -4.53%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -2.07%E -0.450%K -0.574%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -4.76%E -1.22%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-18 15:12 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.16%EV -4.45%E -2.53%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.95%EV -3.13%E -0.688%K -0.882%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 24.89%EV -6.47%E -1.69%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-18 14:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.16%EV -4.45%E -2.53%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.95%EV -3.13%E -0.688%K -0.882%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 24.89%EV -6.47%E -1.69%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-18 14:34 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.73%EV -5.54%E -3.18%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16%EV -4.20%E -0.933%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.11%EV -3.54%E -0.896%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-18 08:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.04%EV -6.08%E -3.51%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16%EV -4.20%E -0.933%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.80%EV -2.32%E -0.579%K -0.772%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-18 09:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -3.91%E -2.21%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16%EV -4.20%E -0.933%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -7.20%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-18 08:34 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV -5.54%E -3.18%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -4.20%E -0.933%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.82%EV -7.20%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-18 14:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.18%EV -6.08%E -3.51%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -4.20%E -0.933%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -8.42%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-18 10:04 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -4.99%E -2.85%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -4.20%E -0.933%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -12.08%E -3.36%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-18 09:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -7.71%E -4.53%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -4.20%E -0.933%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -7.20%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-18 15:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.26%EV -5.54%E -3.18%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.22%EV -5.26%E -1.18%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.52%EV -5.98%E -1.55%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-18 15:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.88%EV -3.91%E -2.21%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.67%EV -6.33%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.45%EV -4.76%E -1.22%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-18 08:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.49%EV -4.99%E -2.85%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.67%EV -6.33%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -2.32%E -0.579%K -0.772%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-18 13:49 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.02%EV -4.45%E -2.53%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.61%EV -6.33%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.38%EV -4.76%E -1.22%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-18 08:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.16%EV -4.99%E -2.85%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54%EV -6.33%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.30%EV -4.76%E -1.22%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-18 08:44 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.16%EV -4.99%E -2.85%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54%EV -6.33%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.30%EV -4.76%E -1.22%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-18 09:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.30%EV -5.54%E -3.18%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%EV -6.33%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.23%EV -4.76%E -1.22%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-18 13:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.30%EV -5.54%E -3.18%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%EV -6.33%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.23%EV -4.76%E -1.22%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-18 08:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.44%EV -6.08%E -3.51%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.41%EV -6.33%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -4.76%E -1.22%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-18 15:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.59%EV -6.62%E -3.85%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -6.33%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -4.76%E -1.22%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-18 15:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.59%EV -6.62%E -3.85%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -6.33%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -4.76%E -1.22%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-18 15:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.42%EV -6.62%E -3.85%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -6.33%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.31%EV -5.98%E -1.55%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-18 09:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.39%EV -7.17%E -4.19%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV -6.33%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%EV -7.20%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-18 15:24 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.70%EV -6.62%E -3.85%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.99%EV -6.33%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.31%EV -10.86%E -2.98%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-18 14:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.18%EV -7.71%E -4.53%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -6.33%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -9.64%E -2.61%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-18 15:14 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.18%EV -7.71%E -4.53%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -6.33%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -9.64%E -2.61%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-18 15:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.18%EV -7.71%E -4.53%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -6.33%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -9.64%E -2.61%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-18 15:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.18%EV -7.71%E -4.53%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -6.33%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -9.64%E -2.61%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-18 15:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.61%EV -10.42%E -6.32%K -16.03%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -6.33%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -4.76%E -1.22%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-18 13:29 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.02%EV -6.08%E -3.51%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 4.37I 22.88%NM 21.39%EV -6.96%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -7.20%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-18 15:27 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.02%EV -4.99%E -2.85%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.73%EV -7.39%E -1.70%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.24%EV -4.76%E -1.22%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-18 08:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.91%EV -6.08%E -3.51%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.54%EV -7.82%E -1.81%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -7.20%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-18 14:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.20%EV -7.17%E -4.19%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.41%EV -7.82%E -1.81%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -7.20%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-18 09:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.53%EV -1.74%E -0.959%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.11%EV -8.45%E -1.97%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.36%EV -8.42%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-18 10:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.53%EV -1.74%E -0.959%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.11%EV -8.45%E -1.97%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.36%EV -8.42%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-18 10:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.53%EV -1.74%E -0.959%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.11%EV -8.45%E -1.97%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.36%EV -8.42%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-18 10:35 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -4.99%E -2.85%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 4.29I 23.31%NM 21.73%EV -8.67%E -2.02%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 24.99%EV -8.91%E -2.39%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-18 08:49 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.99%EV -2.28%E -1.27%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -9.52%E -2.24%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -12.08%E -3.36%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-18 10:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.40%EV -9.34%E -5.59%K -13.94%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.38%EV -9.52%E -2.24%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.23%EV -8.42%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-18 08:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.18%EV -2.82%E -1.58%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -10.58%E -2.52%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.59%EV -10.86%E -2.98%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-18 10:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.18%EV -2.82%E -1.58%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -10.58%E -2.52%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.59%EV -10.86%E -2.98%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-18 10:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.18%EV -2.82%E -1.58%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -10.58%E -2.52%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.59%EV -10.86%E -2.98%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-18 10:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.18%EV -2.82%E -1.58%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -10.58%E -2.52%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.59%EV -10.86%E -2.98%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-18 10:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.18%EV -2.82%E -1.58%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -10.58%E -2.52%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.59%EV -10.86%E -2.98%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-18 10:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.18%EV -2.82%E -1.58%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -10.58%E -2.52%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.59%EV -10.86%E -2.98%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-18 10:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.99%EV -7.71%E -4.53%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -10.58%E -2.52%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -7.20%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-18 13:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.25%EV +0.436%E +0.235%K +0.512%G +0.002% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.13%EV -12.71%E -3.10%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.62%EV -9.64%E -2.61%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-17 05:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.85%EV -3.36%E -1.89%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.51%EV -12.71%E -3.10%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -12.08%E -3.36%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-18 10:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.19%EV -6.08%E -3.51%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.02%EV -12.71%E -3.10%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -14.53%E -4.15%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-18 10:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.19%EV -6.08%E -3.51%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.02%EV -12.71%E -3.10%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -14.53%E -4.15%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-18 10:35 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.20%EV -12.05%E -7.44%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.41%EV -12.71%E -3.10%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.39%EV -12.08%E -3.36%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-09-18 14:34 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.66%EV -4.45%E -2.53%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -14.84%E -3.71%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -13.31%E -3.75%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-18 10:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.66%EV -4.45%E -2.53%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -14.84%E -3.71%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -13.31%E -3.75%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-18 10:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -4.99%E -2.85%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -14.84%E -3.71%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -14.53%E -4.15%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-18 10:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 53.83%EV -9.88%E -5.95%K -14.97%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -14.84%E -3.71%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.83%EV -8.42%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-18 08:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 53.72%EV -12.05%E -7.44%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.76%EV -14.84%E -3.71%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.52%EV -13.31%E -3.75%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-09-18 08:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.39% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.83% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.78% | 0.9% | 2026-09-18 15:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.16% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.15% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.69% | 1.3% | 2026-09-18 15:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.16% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.15% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.69% | 1.3% | 2026-09-18 15:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.16% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.15% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.69% | 1.3% | 2026-09-18 15:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.16% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.15% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.69% | 1.3% | 2026-09-18 15:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.16% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.15% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.69% | 1.3% | 2026-09-18 15:25 |