The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Bristol City v Norwich City

2026-11-07 12:30 UTC — Championship

Head to Head

46 sportsbooks (11 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Bristol City (Local)

Prediction 36.89%2.71fair odd
EV -4.08%
Edge -1.57%
Kelly -2.55%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.87%37.01%36.89%38.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.472.502.6044.44%40.55%40.00%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Norwich City (Visit)

Prediction 36.39%2.75fair odd
EV +1.89%
Edge +0.676%
Kelly +1.05%
Growth +0.020%

assuming max odds 2.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.53%36.32%36.43%37.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.582.602.8043.48%38.75%38.46%35.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.72%3.74fair odd
EV -2.49%
Edge -0.681%
Kelly -0.938%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.53%26.67%26.68%28.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.463.503.6531.25%28.93%28.57%27.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Bristol City (Local): 36.89%; Norwich City (Visit): 36.39%; Draw: 26.72%. For Norwich City (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.75. 3 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 2.80, producing a positive expected value of +1.89%.

Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.98%EV -8.51%E -3.43%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.53%EV +1.89%E +0.676%K +1.05%G +0.020%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.49%EV -2.49%E -0.681%K -0.938%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-31 13:40
Svenska Spel🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.98%EV -8.51%E -3.43%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.53%EV +1.89%E +0.676%K +1.05%G +0.020%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.49%EV -2.49%E -0.681%K -0.938%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-31 13:35
ATG (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.98%EV -8.51%E -3.43%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.53%EV +1.89%E +0.676%K +1.05%G +0.020%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.49%EV -2.49%E -0.681%K -0.938%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-31 13:35
Unibet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -11.46%E -4.77%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -1.75%E -0.646%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -6.49%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-31 13:40
Casumo🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -11.46%E -4.77%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -1.75%E -0.646%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -6.49%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-31 13:40
Unibet (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -11.46%E -4.77%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -1.75%E -0.646%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -6.49%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-31 13:40
Bally Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -11.46%E -4.77%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -1.75%E -0.646%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -6.49%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-31 13:35
betPARX🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -11.46%E -4.77%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -1.75%E -0.646%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -6.49%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-31 13:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -11.46%E -4.77%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -1.75%E -0.646%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -6.49%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-31 13:30
Virgin Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.64%EV -12.19%E -5.12%K -8.84%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.70%EV -3.56%E -1.35%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.66%EV -7.83%E -2.27%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-31 13:35
Grosvenor🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.64%EV -12.19%E -5.12%K -8.84%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.70%EV -3.56%E -1.35%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.66%EV -7.83%E -2.27%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-31 13:35
BetRivers🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.69%EV -13.30%E -5.66%K -9.85%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.57%EV -4.29%E -1.63%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -9.16%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-31 13:40
LiveScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.69%EV -13.30%E -5.66%K -9.85%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.57%EV -4.29%E -1.63%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -9.16%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-31 13:40
TABtouch🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.69%EV -13.30%E -5.66%K -9.85%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.57%EV -4.29%E -1.63%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -9.16%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-31 13:40
Unibet (NL)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.69%EV -13.30%E -5.66%K -9.85%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.57%EV -4.29%E -1.63%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -9.16%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-31 13:39
Coral🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -4.08%E -1.57%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -5.38%E -2.07%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.49%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-31 17:53
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -4.08%E -1.57%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -5.38%E -2.07%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.49%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-31 17:55
BetMGM🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -4.08%E -1.57%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -5.38%E -2.07%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.49%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-31 17:53
SportsBet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -4.08%E -1.57%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -5.38%E -2.07%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.49%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-31 17:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -4.08%E -1.57%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -5.38%E -2.07%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.49%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-31 18:40
FanDuel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -5.92%E -2.32%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -5.38%E -2.07%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -6.49%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-31 18:00
Fanatics🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -7.77%E -3.11%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -5.38%E -2.07%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -6.49%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-31 18:15
William Hill🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -4.08%E -1.57%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -5.38%E -2.07%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -11.84%E -3.59%K -5.15%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-31 18:55
Sky Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -7.77%E -3.11%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -5.38%E -2.07%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -9.16%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-31 18:20
Bet Right🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.06%EV -5.92%E -2.32%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.06%EV -7.20%E -2.82%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.89%EV -2.49%E -0.681%K -0.938%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-31 17:59
Betr (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.92%EV -5.92%E -2.32%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.92%EV -7.20%E -2.82%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -3.82%E -1.06%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-31 17:55
Coolbet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.92%EV -5.92%E -2.32%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.92%EV -7.20%E -2.82%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -3.82%E -1.06%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-31 17:55
Unibet (UK)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -5.92%E -2.32%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -7.20%E -2.82%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -6.49%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-31 17:50
Neds🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -5.92%E -2.32%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -7.20%E -2.82%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -7.83%E -2.27%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-31 17:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -5.92%E -2.32%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -7.20%E -2.82%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -7.83%E -2.27%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-31 17:55
PMU (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.48%EV -15.15%E -6.59%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.71%EV -7.20%E -2.82%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.82%EV -11.84%E -3.59%K -5.15%G +0.000%13.0%2026-10-31 13:40
1xBet🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 36.93%EV -7.03%E -2.79%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 36.78%EV -7.93%E -3.13%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.29%EV -5.42%E -1.53%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-31 18:39
Marathon Bet🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 36.93%EV -7.03%E -2.79%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 36.78%EV -7.93%E -3.13%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.29%EV -5.42%E -1.53%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-31 18:20
LeoVegas🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -7.77%E -3.11%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -9.02%E -3.61%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -6.49%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-31 18:14
picklebet_au🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -7.77%E -3.11%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -9.02%E -3.61%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -9.16%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-31 17:50
PlayUp🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -7.77%E -3.11%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -9.02%E -3.61%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -9.16%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-31 18:00
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -7.77%E -3.11%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -9.02%E -3.61%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -9.16%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-31 17:58
betfred_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -11.46%E -4.77%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -9.02%E -3.61%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -6.49%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-31 17:50
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -7.77%E -3.11%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -9.02%E -3.61%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -11.84%E -3.59%K -5.15%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-31 18:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -7.77%E -3.11%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -9.02%E -3.61%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -11.84%E -3.59%K -5.15%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-31 18:55
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -7.77%E -3.11%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -9.02%E -3.61%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -11.84%E -3.59%K -5.15%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-31 18:55
Winamax (DE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.90%EV -9.61%E -3.92%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.90%EV -10.84%E -4.43%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.20%EV -7.83%E -2.27%K -3.20%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-31 17:50
Betclic (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.26%EV -13.30%E -5.66%K -9.85%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 36.04%EV -11.57%E -4.76%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 26.70%EV -12.37%E -3.77%K -5.43%G +0.000%14.2%2026-10-31 17:49
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.23%EV -11.46%E -4.77%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.23%EV -12.66%E -5.28%K -9.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -6.49%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-31 18:55
Unibet (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 37.87%EV -16.99%E -7.55%K -13.59%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.50%EV -12.66%E -5.28%K -9.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.63%EV -14.51%E -4.53%K -6.59%G +0.000%17.4%2026-10-31 17:50
Winamax (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 36.78%EV -15.15%E -6.59%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 36.78%EV -16.30%E -7.09%K -12.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.44%EV -14.51%E -4.53%K -6.59%G +0.000%18.2%2026-10-31 17:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎2.42I 41.32%NM 36.43%2.42I 41.32%NM 36.43%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.13%13.4%2026-10-31 17:50
Kalshi◎2.27I 44.05%NM 28.07%2.00I 50.00%NM 31.86%1.59I 62.89%NM 40.07%56.9%2026-10-31 19:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-10-31 18:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-10-31 18:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-10-31 18:10