Language:English
Bolton Wanderers v Stoke City
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Bolton Wanderers (Local)
Prediction 35.05%2.85fair odd
EV -3.60%
Edge -1.31%
Kelly -2.06%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.57%35.08%35.00%37.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.602.622.7541.67%38.51%38.17%36.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Stoke City (Visit)
Prediction 37.10%2.70fair odd
EV +2.01%
Edge +0.732%
Kelly +1.15%
Growth +0.023%
assuming max odds 2.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.84%37.08%37.21%38.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.232.532.502.7544.84%39.60%40.00%36.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.85%3.59fair odd
EV -2.53%
Edge -0.722%
Kelly -1.01%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.56%27.84%27.79%28.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.353.353.5032.26%29.87%29.85%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Bolton Wanderers (Local): 35.05%; Stoke City (Visit): 37.10%; Draw: 27.85%. For Stoke City (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.70. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.01%.
Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -10.61%E -4.16%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.91%EV +2.01%E +0.732%K +1.15%G +0.023% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.43%EV -2.53%E -0.722%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-21 10:49 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -10.61%E -4.16%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.91%EV +2.01%E +0.732%K +1.15%G +0.023% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.43%EV -2.53%E -0.722%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-21 10:49 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -10.61%E -4.16%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.91%EV +2.01%E +0.732%K +1.15%G +0.023% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.43%EV -2.53%E -0.722%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-21 10:49 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -12.36%E -4.95%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV -1.70%E -0.640%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -5.31%E -1.56%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-21 10:24 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.37%EV -13.06%E -5.27%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.97%EV -1.70%E -0.640%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.66%EV -6.71%E -2.00%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-21 10:49 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.37%EV -13.06%E -5.27%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.97%EV -1.70%E -0.640%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.66%EV -6.71%E -2.00%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-21 10:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.37%EV -13.06%E -5.27%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.97%EV -1.70%E -0.640%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.66%EV -6.71%E -2.00%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-21 10:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.37%EV -13.06%E -5.27%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.97%EV -1.70%E -0.640%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.66%EV -6.71%E -2.00%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-21 10:49 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.37%EV -13.06%E -5.27%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.97%EV -1.70%E -0.640%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.66%EV -6.71%E -2.00%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-21 10:49 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.37%EV -13.06%E -5.27%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.97%EV -1.70%E -0.640%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.66%EV -6.71%E -2.00%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-21 10:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.37%EV -13.06%E -5.27%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.97%EV -1.70%E -0.640%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.66%EV -6.71%E -2.00%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-21 10:48 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.73I 36.63%NM 34.90%EV -4.30%E -1.58%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.65%EV -3.55%E -1.37%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.44%EV -6.71%E -2.00%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-04 19:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.73I 36.63%NM 34.90%EV -4.30%E -1.58%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.65%EV -3.55%E -1.37%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.44%EV -6.71%E -2.00%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-04 19:19 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.73I 36.63%NM 34.88%EV -4.30%E -1.58%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.62%EV -3.55%E -1.37%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.51%EV -6.98%E -2.09%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-03 08:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.28%EV -8.16%E -3.11%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.56%EV -3.55%E -1.37%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.16%EV -2.53%E -0.722%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-03 08:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.28%EV -14.82%E -6.10%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.84%EV -3.55%E -1.37%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.87%EV -9.49%E -2.92%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-21 10:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.28%EV -14.82%E -6.10%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.84%EV -3.55%E -1.37%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.87%EV -9.49%E -2.92%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-21 10:49 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.28%EV -14.82%E -6.10%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.84%EV -3.55%E -1.37%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.87%EV -9.49%E -2.92%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-21 10:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.41%EV -6.40%E -2.40%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 36.79%EV -4.66%E -1.81%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -5.31%E -1.56%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-04 22:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.33%EV -5.35%E -1.98%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.41%EV -5.41%E -2.12%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.26%EV -2.53%E -0.722%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-03 08:09 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.19%EV -5.35%E -1.98%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.26%EV -5.41%E -2.12%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.54%EV -3.92%E -1.14%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-03 08:21 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.05%EV -5.35%E -1.98%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.11%EV -5.41%E -2.12%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -5.31%E -1.56%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-05 14:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -5.35%E -1.98%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.96%EV -5.41%E -2.12%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -6.71%E -2.00%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-05 14:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -7.10%E -2.68%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -5.41%E -2.12%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -5.31%E -1.56%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-04 22:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -7.10%E -2.68%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -5.41%E -2.12%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -5.31%E -1.56%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-03 08:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.32%EV -15.87%E -6.61%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.12%EV -5.41%E -2.12%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.56%EV -9.49%E -2.92%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-10-05 15:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.32%EV -15.87%E -6.61%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.12%EV -5.41%E -2.12%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.56%EV -9.49%E -2.92%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-10-05 15:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.95%EV -5.35%E -1.98%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 37.30%EV -6.15%E -2.43%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -5.31%E -1.56%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-04 00:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.50%EV -7.10%E -2.68%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.63%EV -7.26%E -2.90%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -2.53%E -0.722%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-03 08:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.50%EV -7.10%E -2.68%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.63%EV -7.26%E -2.90%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -2.53%E -0.722%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-03 08:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.50%EV -7.10%E -2.68%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.63%EV -7.26%E -2.90%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -2.53%E -0.722%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-03 08:09 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.50%EV -7.10%E -2.68%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.63%EV -7.26%E -2.90%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -2.53%E -0.722%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-03 08:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -5.35%E -1.98%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -7.26%E -2.90%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.31%E -1.56%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-03 08:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.67%EV -7.81%E -2.97%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.53%EV -7.26%E -2.90%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -2.53%E -0.722%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-05 07:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -3.60%E -1.31%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.26%E -2.90%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -8.10%E -2.45%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-03 08:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV -7.10%E -2.68%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -7.26%E -2.90%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -5.31%E -1.56%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-03 08:22 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV -7.10%E -2.68%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -7.26%E -2.90%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -5.31%E -1.56%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-03 08:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV -7.10%E -2.68%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -7.26%E -2.90%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -5.31%E -1.56%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-05 09:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.39%EV -7.81%E -2.97%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.23%EV -7.26%E -2.90%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -5.31%E -1.56%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-03 08:24 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.39%EV -7.81%E -2.97%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.23%EV -7.26%E -2.90%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -5.31%E -1.56%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-03 08:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.39%EV -7.81%E -2.97%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.23%EV -7.26%E -2.90%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -5.31%E -1.56%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-03 08:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.48%EV -8.16%E -3.11%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.18%EV -7.26%E -2.90%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -5.31%E -1.56%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-03 08:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.07%EV -7.10%E -2.68%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.18%EV -7.26%E -2.90%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -6.71%E -2.00%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-05 14:04 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -8.86%E -3.41%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -7.26%E -2.90%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -8.10%E -2.45%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-05 09:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -8.86%E -3.41%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -7.26%E -2.90%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -8.10%E -2.45%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-04 22:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21%EV -8.86%E -3.41%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62%EV -7.26%E -2.90%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -9.49%E -2.92%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-03 09:29 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -8.16%E -3.11%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -7.26%E -2.90%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -10.88%E -3.40%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-04 21:49 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -8.16%E -3.11%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -7.26%E -2.90%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -10.88%E -3.40%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-04 21:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -8.16%E -3.11%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -7.26%E -2.90%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -10.88%E -3.40%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-04 21:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -8.16%E -3.11%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -7.26%E -2.90%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -10.88%E -3.40%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-04 21:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.71I 36.90%NM 34.31%EV -5.00%E -1.85%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 37.34%EV -7.63%E -3.06%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.35%EV -8.65%E -2.64%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-03 08:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.71I 36.90%NM 34.31%EV -5.00%E -1.85%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 37.34%EV -7.63%E -3.06%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.35%EV -8.65%E -2.64%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-03 08:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.49%EV -8.16%E -3.11%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -9.11%E -3.72%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.56%EV -2.53%E -0.722%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-05 14:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.92%EV -8.16%E -3.11%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%EV -9.11%E -3.72%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -8.10%E -2.45%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-04 00:10 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.92%EV -8.16%E -3.11%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%EV -9.11%E -3.72%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -8.10%E -2.45%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-04 00:08 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.83%EV -10.61%E -4.16%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.29%EV -9.11%E -3.72%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -5.31%E -1.56%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-03 08:10 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 35.17%EV -10.96%E -4.32%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 36.91%EV -10.23%E -4.23%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -10.88%E -3.40%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-03 08:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -3.60%E -1.31%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -10.97%E -4.57%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -8.10%E -2.45%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-05 13:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.41%EV -10.61%E -4.16%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -10.97%E -4.57%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.96%EV -6.71%E -2.00%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-10-03 08:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.40%EV -8.16%E -3.11%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.87%EV -11.71%E -4.92%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.73%EV -9.49%E -2.92%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-10-03 08:08 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.67%EV -12.36%E -4.95%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 37.36%EV -13.94%E -6.01%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.96%EV -13.67%E -4.41%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-10-05 14:04 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.65%EV -15.87%E -6.61%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.20%EV -14.68%E -6.38%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.16%EV -12.28%E -3.90%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 16.9% | 2026-10-05 01:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.13%EV -10.61%E -4.16%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.68%EV -16.53%E -7.35%K -13.23%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.20%EV -10.88%E -3.40%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-10-04 14:11 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 34.22%EV -11.66%E -4.63%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 38.67%EV -17.28%E -7.75%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 27.12%EV -11.44%E -3.60%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-10-04 06:19 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.62% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.67% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.70% | 1.0% | 2026-10-05 13:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.21% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.02% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.77% | 4.4% | 2026-10-05 13:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.08% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.86% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.06% | 4.8% | 2026-10-05 13:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.08% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.86% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.06% | 4.8% | 2026-10-05 13:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.08% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.86% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.06% | 4.8% | 2026-10-05 13:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.32% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.61% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.07% | 6.3% | 2026-10-05 14:00 |