Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Bolton Wanderers v Lincoln City

2026-08-29 14:00 UTC — Championship

Head to Head

38 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Bolton Wanderers (Local)

Prediction 37.99%2.63fair odd
EV -3.89%
Edge -1.54%
Kelly -2.54%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.53

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.05%37.96%37.98%38.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.462.482.5345.45%40.73%40.40%39.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Lincoln City (Visit)

Prediction 33.70%2.97fair odd
EV -3.61%
Edge -1.26%
Kelly -1.94%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.86

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.04%33.74%33.70%35.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.452.742.762.8640.82%36.46%36.23%34.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.31%3.53fair odd
EV -0.921%
Edge -0.263%
Kelly -0.368%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.05%28.31%28.32%29.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.053.283.303.5032.79%30.46%30.30%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Bolton Wanderers (Local): 37.99%; Lincoln City (Visit): 33.70%; Draw: 28.31%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.53. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.50, with an expected value of -0.921%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
GTbets🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 37.31%EV -3.89%E -1.54%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.08%EV -6.64%E -2.40%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.61%EV -6.58%E -1.99%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-23 00:15
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.03%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.65%EV -7.32%E -2.66%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -0.921%E -0.263%K -0.368%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-22 18:59
Coolbet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.03%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.65%EV -7.32%E -2.66%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -0.921%E -0.263%K -0.368%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-22 18:59
Codere (IT)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.89%EV -5.03%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.83%EV -5.63%E -2.01%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.28%EV -5.17%E -1.54%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-22 19:00
SportsBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -5.03%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.07%EV -9.00%E -3.33%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -0.921%E -0.263%K -0.368%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-22 19:00
Betr (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -5.03%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.07%EV -9.00%E -3.33%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -0.921%E -0.263%K -0.368%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-22 19:00
BetMGM🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.73%EV -5.03%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.69%EV -5.63%E -2.01%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -6.58%E -1.99%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-22 18:59
Coral🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.73%EV -5.03%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.69%EV -5.63%E -2.01%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -6.58%E -1.99%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-22 18:58
Bet Right🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.73%EV -5.03%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93%EV -9.00%E -3.33%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.34%EV -2.34%E -0.677%K -0.954%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-22 19:00
FanDuel🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -5.03%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -9.00%E -3.33%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -3.75%E -1.10%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-22 18:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.56%EV -5.03%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -5.63%E -2.01%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -8.00%E -2.46%K -3.55%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-22 19:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.56%EV -5.03%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -5.63%E -2.01%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -8.00%E -2.46%K -3.55%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-22 19:00
Neds🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.56%EV -5.03%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -5.63%E -2.01%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -8.00%E -2.46%K -3.55%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-22 19:00
Sky Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.23%EV -5.03%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.39%EV -11.36%E -4.32%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -3.75%E -1.10%K -1.56%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-22 18:59
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.05%EV -5.03%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -5.63%E -2.01%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -12.24%E -3.95%K -5.83%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-22 19:00
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.05%EV -5.03%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -5.63%E -2.01%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -12.24%E -3.95%K -5.83%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-22 18:59
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.05%EV -5.03%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -5.63%E -2.01%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -12.24%E -3.95%K -5.83%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-22 19:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.05%EV -5.03%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -5.63%E -2.01%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -12.24%E -3.95%K -5.83%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-22 19:00
Pinnacle🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.42%EV -5.79%E -2.33%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.55%EV -4.29%E -1.51%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.03%EV -3.75%E -1.10%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-22 19:00
Betsson🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 38.28%EV -6.17%E -2.50%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.06%EV -3.61%E -1.26%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.65%EV -6.58%E -1.99%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-22 18:59
NordicBet🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 38.28%EV -6.17%E -2.50%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.06%EV -3.61%E -1.26%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.65%EV -6.58%E -1.99%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-22 19:00
1xBet🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 37.95%EV -6.55%E -2.66%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.58%EV -6.31%E -2.27%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.46%EV -7.15%E -2.18%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-22 19:00
Marathon Bet🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 37.95%EV -6.55%E -2.66%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.58%EV -6.31%E -2.27%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.46%EV -7.15%E -2.18%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-22 19:00
Fanatics🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.43%EV -6.93%E -2.83%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -3.95%E -1.39%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -6.58%E -1.99%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-22 19:00
DraftKings🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.37%EV -6.93%E -2.83%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.57%EV -5.63%E -2.01%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.06%EV -5.17%E -1.54%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-22 19:50
Bovada🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -6.93%E -2.83%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -5.63%E -2.01%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -6.58%E -1.99%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-22 22:20
Unibet (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.93%E -2.83%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -7.32%E -2.66%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -6.58%E -1.99%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-22 19:00
LeoVegas🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.93%E -2.83%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -7.32%E -2.66%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -6.58%E -1.99%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-22 19:29
betano_uk🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -6.93%E -2.83%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -9.00%E -3.33%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.33%EV -8.00%E -2.46%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-22 18:58
Bet Victor🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -6.93%E -2.83%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -9.00%E -3.33%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.33%EV -8.00%E -2.46%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-22 18:59
ReBet🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 37.75%EV -8.45%E -3.50%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 33.82%EV -9.34%E -3.47%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -9.41%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-22 19:00
PlayUp🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -8.83%E -3.68%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -7.32%E -2.66%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -8.00%E -2.46%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-22 19:00
Paddy Power🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -8.83%E -3.68%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.65%EV -11.70%E -4.47%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -6.58%E -1.99%K -2.86%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-22 18:59
Betway🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.42%EV -9.59%E -4.03%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.87%EV -9.00%E -3.33%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -6.58%E -1.99%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-23 01:34
Winamax (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.48%EV -10.72%E -4.56%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.12%EV -10.69%E -4.03%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -6.58%E -1.99%K -2.86%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-22 18:59
Betclic (FR)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 37.59%EV -11.48%E -4.93%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.69%EV -12.37%E -4.76%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.72%EV -13.66%E -4.48%K -6.66%G +0.000%14.2%2026-08-22 18:58
Unibet (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 37.90%EV -12.62%E -5.49%K -9.71%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.52%EV -12.37%E -4.76%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.58%EV -13.66%E -4.48%K -6.66%G +0.000%14.7%2026-08-22 18:59
Winamax (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 38.18%EV -16.42%E -7.47%K -13.69%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 34.28%EV -17.43%E -7.11%K -12.02%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 27.54%EV -13.66%E -4.48%K -6.66%G +0.000%19.1%2026-08-22 19:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi2.56I 39.06%NM 38.64%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.65%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.71%1.1%2026-08-23 00:00
Smarkets2.34I 42.74%NM 37.76%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.73%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.51%13.2%2026-08-22 19:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.06I 94.34%NM 33.33%1.06I 94.34%NM 33.33%1.06I 94.34%NM 33.33%183.0%2026-08-22 19:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.06I 94.34%NM 33.33%1.06I 94.34%NM 33.33%1.06I 94.34%NM 33.33%183.0%2026-08-22 19:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-08-22 19:00

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