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Birmingham City v Wolverhampton Wanderers

2026-09-06 11:00 UTC — Championship

Head to Head

27 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Birmingham City (Local)

Prediction 32.78%3.05fair odd
EV -4.62%
Edge -1.59%
Kelly -2.42%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.91

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.15%32.75%32.77%33.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.552.822.852.9139.22%35.45%35.09%34.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Wolverhampton Wanderers (Visit)

Prediction 38.95%2.57fair odd
EV -1.84%
Edge -0.729%
Kelly -1.21%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.52

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.33%38.85%38.98%39.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.392.402.5246.51%41.89%41.67%39.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.27%3.54fair odd
EV -3.89%
Edge -1.14%
Kelly -1.62%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.66%28.40%28.26%30.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.053.253.253.4032.79%30.79%30.77%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Birmingham City (Local): 32.78%; Wolverhampton Wanderers (Visit): 38.95%; Draw: 28.27%. For Wolverhampton Wanderers (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.57. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.52, with an expected value of -1.84%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (27 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.91I 34.36%NM 32.33%EV -4.62%E -1.59%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.33%EV -1.84%E -0.729%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -12.37%E -3.99%K -5.89%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-29 17:10
Coolbet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.93%EV -4.94%E -1.70%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.98%EV -4.56%E -1.86%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.09%EV -3.89%E -1.14%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-29 17:10
SportsBet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.67%EV -4.94%E -1.70%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.47%EV -6.51%E -2.71%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -3.89%E -1.14%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-29 17:10
betfred_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.82%EV -5.60%E -1.94%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.38%EV -6.51%E -2.71%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.80%EV -3.89%E -1.14%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 17:10
BetMGM🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.66%EV -5.60%E -1.94%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -4.56%E -1.86%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.94%EV -8.13%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-29 17:20
Unibet (UK)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.54%EV -5.60%E -1.94%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.05%EV -6.51%E -2.71%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -6.71%E -2.03%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-29 17:10
Coral🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 32.88%EV -5.93%E -2.07%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.52%EV -4.56%E -1.86%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.60%EV -6.71%E -2.03%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-29 17:18
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 32.74%EV -5.93%E -2.07%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -4.56%E -1.86%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.91%EV -8.13%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-29 17:20
Bet Right🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -6.58%E -2.31%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.25%EV -6.51%E -2.71%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -3.89%E -1.14%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-29 17:10
FanDuel🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -6.58%E -2.31%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.25%EV -6.51%E -2.71%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -3.89%E -1.14%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-29 17:10
Betr (AU)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -6.58%E -2.31%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.25%EV -6.51%E -2.71%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -3.89%E -1.14%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-29 17:10
Fanatics🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -6.58%E -2.31%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.25%EV -6.51%E -2.71%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -3.89%E -1.14%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-29 17:25
Neds🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.89%EV -6.58%E -2.31%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.26%EV -4.56%E -1.86%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -8.13%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-29 17:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.89%EV -6.58%E -2.31%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.26%EV -4.56%E -1.86%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -8.13%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-29 17:20
LeoVegas🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.67%EV -6.58%E -2.31%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.12%EV -7.29%E -3.06%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -6.71%E -2.03%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-29 19:05
Sky Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -8.22%E -2.94%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -6.51%E -2.71%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -6.71%E -2.03%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-29 17:15
888sport🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -8.22%E -2.94%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -4.56%E -1.86%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -12.37%E -3.99%K -5.89%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-29 17:20
William Hill🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -8.22%E -2.94%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -4.56%E -1.86%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -12.37%E -3.99%K -5.89%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-29 17:25
888sport (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -8.22%E -2.94%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -4.56%E -1.86%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -12.37%E -3.99%K -5.89%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-29 17:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -8.22%E -2.94%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -4.56%E -1.86%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -12.37%E -3.99%K -5.89%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-29 17:19
Paddy Power🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -8.22%E -2.94%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -10.41%E -4.52%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -6.71%E -2.03%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-29 17:09
ReBet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -8.22%E -2.94%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 38.89%EV -8.85%E -3.78%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 28.61%EV -10.11%E -3.18%K -4.64%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-29 17:10
PlayUp🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -8.22%E -2.94%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -10.41%E -4.52%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -8.13%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-29 17:45
Winamax (DE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.88%EV -9.86%E -3.59%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.31%EV -10.41%E -4.52%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -8.13%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-29 17:09
Betclic (FR)🎯2.73I 36.63%NM 32.15%EV -10.52%E -3.85%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 39.54%EV -13.52%E -6.09%K -11.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.31%EV -12.37%E -3.99%K -5.89%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-29 17:09
Unibet (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.41%EV -11.50%E -4.26%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.89%EV -12.35%E -5.49%K -9.88%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.69%EV -13.78%E -4.52%K -6.72%G +0.000%14.3%2026-08-29 17:09
Winamax (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 33.09%EV -16.42%E -6.44%K -10.59%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 39.25%EV -16.25%E -7.56%K -14.13%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 27.66%EV -13.78%E -4.52%K -6.72%G +0.000%18.5%2026-08-29 17:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.06I 94.34%NM 33.33%1.06I 94.34%NM 33.33%1.06I 94.34%NM 33.33%183.0%2026-08-29 18:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.06I 94.34%NM 33.33%1.06I 94.34%NM 33.33%1.06I 94.34%NM 33.33%183.0%2026-08-29 18:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-08-29 17:45