Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Viborg FF v FC Nordsjaelland

2026-09-20 16:00 UTC — Denmark Superliga

Résultat du match

41 opérateurs (12 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Viborg FF (Local)

Prévision 34.61%2.89cote équitable
EV -4.81%
Avantage -1.75%
Kelly -2.75%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.69%34.70%34.62%37.64%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.352.582.602.7542.55%38.78%38.46%36.36%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

FC Nordsjaelland (Visiteur)

Prévision 39.48%2.53cote équitable
EV -1.30%
Avantage -0.518%
Kelly -0.864%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.83%39.45%39.49%41.10%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.102.342.352.5047.62%42.74%42.55%40.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 25.90%3.86cote équitable
EV +3.61%
Avantage +0.904%
Kelly +1.20%
Croissance +0.044%

avec la cote maximale 4.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.99%25.86%25.89%27.29%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.403.633.654.0029.41%27.53%27.40%25.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Viborg FF (Local) : 34.61% ; FC Nordsjaelland (Visiteur) : 39.48% ; Match nul : 25.90%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 3.86. 3 opérateurs proposent une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 4.00, pour une espérance positive de +3.61%.

Cotes des opérateurs (41 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
ATG (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.63%EV -11.73%E -4.60%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.38%EV -1.30%E -0.518%K -0.864%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.99%EV +3.61%E +0.904%K +1.20%G +0.044%4.2%2026-09-13 16:05
Svenska Spel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.63%EV -11.73%E -4.60%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.38%EV -1.30%E -0.518%K -0.864%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.99%EV +3.61%E +0.904%K +1.20%G +0.044%4.2%2026-09-13 16:05
FanDuel🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.31%EV -8.27%E -3.12%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.69%EV -9.19%E -4.00%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV +1.02%E +0.263%K +0.353%G +0.004%6.9%2026-09-13 16:22
Unibet (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.64%EV -14.16%E -5.71%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.11%EV -3.27%E -1.33%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.25%EV -0.271%E -0.070%K -0.095%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-13 16:05
Casumo🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.64%EV -14.16%E -5.71%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.11%EV -3.27%E -1.33%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.25%EV -0.271%E -0.070%K -0.095%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-13 16:05
Unibet (NL)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.64%EV -14.16%E -5.71%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.11%EV -3.27%E -1.33%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.25%EV -0.271%E -0.070%K -0.095%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-13 16:05
betPARX🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.64%EV -14.16%E -5.71%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.11%EV -3.27%E -1.33%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.25%EV -0.271%E -0.070%K -0.095%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-13 16:05
Betr (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.97%EV -6.54%E -2.42%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.18%EV -7.22%E -3.07%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.85%EV -1.57%E -0.412%K -0.559%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-13 16:35
SportsBet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21%EV -10.00%E -3.85%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -11.17%E -4.96%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.09%EV -1.57%E -0.412%K -0.559%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-13 16:20
betfred_uk🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.41%EV -10.00%E -3.85%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -9.19%E -4.00%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -2.86%E -0.763%K -1.04%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-13 16:20
BetRivers🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.39%EV -15.19%E -6.20%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.17%EV -5.24%E -2.18%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -2.86%E -0.763%K -1.04%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-13 16:05
Paddy Power🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.78%EV -10.00%E -3.85%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.10%EV -13.14%E -5.97%K -10.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.11%EV -2.86%E -0.763%K -1.04%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-13 16:20
Bet Right🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.30%EV -10.00%E -3.85%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -9.19%E -4.00%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -4.16%E -1.12%K -1.54%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-13 16:35
Unibet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.64%EV -16.93%E -7.05%K -12.09%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.95%EV -6.03%E -2.54%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.41%EV -4.16%E -1.12%K -1.54%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-13 16:05
Grosvenor🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.64%EV -16.93%E -7.05%K -12.09%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.95%EV -6.03%E -2.54%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.41%EV -4.16%E -1.12%K -1.54%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-13 16:05
Pinnacle🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 34.77%EV -5.16%E -1.88%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.20%EV -4.06%E -1.67%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.03%EV -5.19%E -1.42%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-13 20:05
LeoVegas🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -6.54%E -2.42%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.77%EV -7.22%E -3.07%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.61%EV -5.45%E -1.49%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-13 16:20
TABtouch🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -16.93%E -7.05%K -12.09%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -6.03%E -2.54%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.66%EV -5.45%E -1.49%K -2.06%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-13 16:05
LiveScore Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.53%EV -17.62%E -7.40%K -12.77%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.01%EV -7.22%E -3.07%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.47%EV -5.45%E -1.49%K -2.06%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-13 16:05
Virgin Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.53%EV -17.62%E -7.40%K -12.77%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.01%EV -7.22%E -3.07%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.47%EV -5.45%E -1.49%K -2.06%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-13 16:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.53%EV -17.62%E -7.40%K -12.77%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.01%EV -7.22%E -3.07%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.47%EV -5.45%E -1.49%K -2.06%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-13 16:05
1xBet🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 34.97%EV -7.58%E -2.84%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.23%EV -6.03%E -2.54%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.79%EV -6.23%E -1.72%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-13 20:10
Marathon Bet🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 34.97%EV -7.58%E -2.84%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.23%EV -6.03%E -2.54%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.79%EV -6.23%E -1.72%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-13 20:05
Unibet (UK)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.92%EV -8.27%E -3.12%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.38%EV -7.22%E -3.07%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -6.75%E -1.87%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-13 16:20
Codere (IT)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.86%EV -8.27%E -3.12%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 39.48%EV -7.61%E -3.25%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.66%EV -6.75%E -1.87%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-13 16:20
PMU (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.57%EV -18.66%E -7.94%K -13.82%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 37.90%EV -8.01%E -3.44%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.53%EV -6.75%E -1.87%K -2.59%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-13 16:05
DraftKings🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.08%EV -6.54%E -2.42%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.00%EV -9.19%E -4.00%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -8.04%E -2.27%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-13 17:39
Suprabets🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 34.54%EV -7.23%E -2.70%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.23%EV -6.82%E -2.89%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.23%EV -8.56%E -2.42%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-13 20:05
Fanatics🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -8.27%E -3.12%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.60%EV -9.19%E -4.00%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -9.34%E -2.67%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-13 17:50
Winamax (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.08%EV -13.46%E -5.39%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.86%EV -13.14%E -5.97%K -10.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.06%EV -9.34%E -2.67%K -3.73%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-13 16:20
Sky Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 34.76%EV -13.46%E -5.39%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.42%EV -15.11%E -7.03%K -13.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.83%EV -9.34%E -2.67%K -3.73%G +0.000%15.1%2026-09-13 16:25
Betsson🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.98%EV -4.81%E -1.75%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.94%EV -5.24%E -2.18%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.09%EV -10.63%E -3.08%K -4.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-13 20:05
NordicBet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.98%EV -4.81%E -1.75%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.94%EV -5.24%E -2.18%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.09%EV -10.63%E -3.08%K -4.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-13 20:05
Winamax (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 35.09%EV -15.19%E -6.20%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 39.99%EV -15.11%E -7.03%K -13.14%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 24.92%EV -10.63%E -3.08%K -4.34%G +0.000%16.3%2026-09-13 16:20
Betclic (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.30%EV -11.73%E -4.60%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 40.12%EV -13.93%E -6.39%K -11.80%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 25.58%EV -11.41%E -3.34%K -4.71%G +0.000%14.3%2026-09-13 16:19
888sport🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -4.81%E -1.75%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.98%EV -6.03%E -2.54%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.29%EV -11.93%E -3.51%K -4.97%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-13 17:50
888sport (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -4.81%E -1.75%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.98%EV -6.03%E -2.54%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.29%EV -11.93%E -3.51%K -4.97%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-13 17:51
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -4.81%E -1.75%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.98%EV -6.03%E -2.54%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.29%EV -11.93%E -3.51%K -4.97%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-13 17:50
Betway🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -6.54%E -2.42%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -9.19%E -4.00%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -11.93%E -3.51%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-13 20:05
William Hill🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -6.54%E -2.42%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -9.19%E -4.00%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -11.93%E -3.51%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-13 17:50
Unibet (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 33.73%EV -11.73%E -4.60%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 40.96%EV -17.09%E -8.14%K -15.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.30%EV -11.93%E -3.51%K -4.97%G +0.000%16.2%2026-09-13 16:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets2.54I 39.37%NM 34.71%2.24I 44.64%NM 39.36%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.93%13.4%2026-09-13 16:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-09-13 16:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-09-13 16:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-09-13 16:25