Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Viborg FF v FC Midtjylland

2026-10-19 17:00 UTC — Denmark Superliga

Résultat du match

42 opérateurs (12 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Viborg FF (Local)

Prévision 32.20%3.11cote équitable
EV -1.80%
Avantage -0.591%
Kelly -0.879%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.05

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.47%32.26%32.13%33.30%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.632.852.853.0538.02%35.07%35.09%32.79%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

FC Midtjylland (Visiteur)

Prévision 42.68%2.34cote équitable
EV -3.97%
Avantage -1.76%
Kelly -3.18%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.72%42.72%42.62%44.44%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.922.142.152.2552.08%46.75%46.51%44.44%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 25.12%3.98cote équitable
EV -2.02%
Avantage -0.517%
Kelly -0.695%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.77%25.02%25.26%25.87%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.403.643.603.9029.41%27.47%27.78%25.64%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Viborg FF (Local) : 32.20% ; FC Midtjylland (Visiteur) : 42.68% ; Match nul : 25.12%. Pour Viborg FF (Local), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 3.11. Aucun opérateur admissible ne propose de cote supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure cote disponible est 3.05, pour une espérance de -1.80% ; elle ne produit pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (42 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
ATG (SE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.54%EV -1.80%E -0.591%K -0.879%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.14%EV -4.82%E -2.16%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.32%EV -4.53%E -1.19%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-12 17:20
Svenska Spel🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.54%EV -1.80%E -0.591%K -0.879%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.14%EV -4.82%E -2.16%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.32%EV -4.53%E -1.19%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-12 17:20
LeoVegas🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.63%EV -5.02%E -1.70%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.80%EV -6.96%E -3.19%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.56%EV -8.30%E -2.27%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-12 17:05
Casumo🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.57%EV -5.02%E -1.70%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.92%EV -7.39%E -3.40%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -8.30%E -2.27%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-12 17:20
Unibet (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.57%EV -5.02%E -1.70%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.92%EV -7.39%E -3.40%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -8.30%E -2.27%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-12 17:19
Unibet (NL)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.57%EV -5.02%E -1.70%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.92%EV -7.39%E -3.40%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -8.30%E -2.27%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-12 17:19
betPARX🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.57%EV -5.02%E -1.70%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.92%EV -7.39%E -3.40%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -8.30%E -2.27%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-12 17:19
Codere (IT)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -5.02%E -1.70%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.88%EV -7.81%E -3.62%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.73%EV -9.55%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-12 14:49
1xBet🎯2.91I 34.36%NM 32.12%EV -6.31%E -2.17%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.88%EV -6.96%E -3.19%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 24.99%EV -6.04%E -1.61%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-12 13:24
Marathon Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.07%EV -6.63%E -2.29%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.06%EV -7.81%E -3.62%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 24.87%EV -6.04%E -1.61%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-12 13:19
Unibet (UK)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -6.63%E -2.29%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV -8.24%E -3.83%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -9.55%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-12 12:45
BetRivers🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.64%EV -6.63%E -2.29%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.87%EV -8.67%E -4.05%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -9.55%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-12 17:19
Bet Victor🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -7.27%E -2.53%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -8.24%E -3.83%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -9.55%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-12 17:19
betano_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -7.27%E -2.53%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -8.24%E -3.83%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -9.55%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-12 17:20
Grosvenor🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.43%EV -7.27%E -2.53%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.70%EV -9.52%E -4.49%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -12.07%E -3.45%K -4.83%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-12 17:19
Unibet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.43%EV -7.27%E -2.53%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.70%EV -9.52%E -4.49%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -12.07%E -3.45%K -4.83%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-12 17:19
Pinnacle🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 33.19%EV -7.60%E -2.65%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.33%EV -3.97%E -1.76%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.48%EV -2.27%E -0.583%K -0.784%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-12 15:29
Betr (AU)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -8.24%E -2.89%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.81%EV -6.10%E -2.77%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -2.02%E -0.517%K -0.695%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-12 14:14
FanDuel🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.72%EV -8.24%E -2.89%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.37%EV -8.24%E -3.83%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -2.02%E -0.517%K -0.695%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-12 12:52
Bovada🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.19%EV -8.24%E -2.89%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -8.24%E -3.83%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.14%EV -8.30%E -2.27%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-12 15:23
LiveScore Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.53%EV -8.24%E -2.89%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.79%EV -10.37%E -4.94%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.68%EV -12.07%E -3.45%K -4.83%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-12 17:19
TABtouch🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.53%EV -8.24%E -2.89%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.79%EV -10.37%E -4.94%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.68%EV -12.07%E -3.45%K -4.83%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-12 17:19
Virgin Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.53%EV -8.24%E -2.89%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.79%EV -10.37%E -4.94%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.68%EV -12.07%E -3.45%K -4.83%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-12 17:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.53%EV -8.24%E -2.89%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.79%EV -10.37%E -4.94%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.68%EV -12.07%E -3.45%K -4.83%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-12 17:19
Betclic (FR)🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 31.12%EV -9.21%E -3.26%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 43.23%EV -13.36%E -6.58%K -12.97%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 25.66%EV -14.08%E -4.12%K -5.82%G +0.000%14.0%2026-10-12 12:48
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.11%EV -9.85%E -3.52%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -8.24%E -3.83%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -2.02%E -0.517%K -0.695%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-12 13:05
Tipico (DE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -9.85%E -3.52%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.85%EV -8.24%E -3.83%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -4.53%E -1.19%K -1.62%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-12 14:24
betfred_uk🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.80%EV -9.85%E -3.52%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.71%EV -8.24%E -3.83%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -5.78%E -1.54%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-12 12:49
888sport🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -9.85%E -3.52%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.10%E -2.77%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -9.55%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-12 18:00
William Hill🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -9.85%E -3.52%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.10%E -2.77%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -9.55%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-12 17:59
888sport (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -9.85%E -3.52%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.10%E -2.77%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -9.55%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-12 18:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -9.85%E -3.52%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.10%E -2.77%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -9.55%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-12 17:59
SportsBet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.71%EV -9.85%E -3.52%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.20%EV -9.52%E -4.49%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.10%EV -4.53%E -1.19%K -1.62%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-12 12:44
Bet Right🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -9.85%E -3.52%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -8.24%E -3.83%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -7.04%E -1.90%K -2.61%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-12 17:10
Betway🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -9.85%E -3.52%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -8.24%E -3.83%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -9.55%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-12 14:15
PMU (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.60%EV -9.85%E -3.52%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 42.75%EV -11.65%E -5.63%K -10.89%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.65%EV -13.32%E -3.86%K -5.44%G +0.000%13.0%2026-10-12 17:20
Unibet (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 30.47%EV -9.85%E -3.52%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 44.44%EV -18.06%E -9.40%K -19.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.09%EV -14.58%E -4.29%K -6.07%G +0.000%17.2%2026-10-12 15:09
Fanatics🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.30%EV -11.46%E -4.17%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.60%EV -8.24%E -3.83%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.10%EV -4.53%E -1.19%K -1.62%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-12 13:08
Paddy Power🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -11.46%E -4.17%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -10.37%E -4.94%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.10%EV -5.78%E -1.54%K -2.10%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-12 12:53
Winamax (DE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 31.98%EV -11.46%E -4.17%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.90%EV -12.51%E -6.10%K -11.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.13%EV -12.07%E -3.45%K -4.83%G +0.000%13.7%2026-10-12 12:44
Winamax (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 31.92%EV -13.07%E -4.84%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.10%EV -14.64%E -7.32%K -14.64%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 24.98%EV -13.32%E -3.86%K -5.44%G +0.000%16.0%2026-10-12 12:44
Sky Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 32.96%EV -15.32%E -5.83%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.28%EV -12.51%E -6.10%K -11.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.76%EV -12.07%E -3.45%K -4.83%G +0.000%15.4%2026-10-12 13:17
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets◎2.80I 35.71%NM 31.42%2.06I 48.54%NM 42.71%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.87%13.7%2026-10-12 17:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-10-12 13:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-10-12 13:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.06I 94.34%NM 33.33%1.06I 94.34%NM 33.33%1.06I 94.34%NM 33.33%183.0%2026-10-12 13:30