Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Viborg FF v FC Midtjylland

2026-10-19 17:00 UTC — Denmark Superliga

Resultado del partido

42 corredores (12 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Viborg FF (Local)

Predicción 32.20%3.11momio equitativo
EV -1.80%
Ventaja -0.591%
Kelly -0.879%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.05

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.47%32.26%32.13%33.30%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.632.852.853.0538.02%35.07%35.09%32.79%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

FC Midtjylland (Visitante)

Predicción 42.68%2.34momio equitativo
EV -3.97%
Ventaja -1.76%
Kelly -3.18%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.72%42.72%42.62%44.44%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.922.142.152.2552.08%46.75%46.51%44.44%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Predicción 25.12%3.98momio equitativo
EV -2.02%
Ventaja -0.517%
Kelly -0.695%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.90

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.77%25.02%25.26%25.87%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.403.643.603.9029.41%27.47%27.78%25.64%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Viborg FF (Local): 32.20%; FC Midtjylland (Visitante): 42.68%; Empate: 25.12%. Para Viborg FF (Local), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 3.11. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 3.05, con un valor esperado de -1.80%; no producen valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (42 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
ATG (SE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.54%EV -1.80%E -0.591%K -0.879%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.14%EV -4.82%E -2.16%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.32%EV -4.53%E -1.19%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-12 17:20
Svenska Spel🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.54%EV -1.80%E -0.591%K -0.879%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.14%EV -4.82%E -2.16%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.32%EV -4.53%E -1.19%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-12 17:20
LeoVegas🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.63%EV -5.02%E -1.70%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.80%EV -6.96%E -3.19%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.56%EV -8.30%E -2.27%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-12 17:05
Casumo🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.57%EV -5.02%E -1.70%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.92%EV -7.39%E -3.40%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -8.30%E -2.27%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-12 17:20
Unibet (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.57%EV -5.02%E -1.70%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.92%EV -7.39%E -3.40%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -8.30%E -2.27%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-12 17:19
Unibet (NL)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.57%EV -5.02%E -1.70%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.92%EV -7.39%E -3.40%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -8.30%E -2.27%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-12 17:19
betPARX🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.57%EV -5.02%E -1.70%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.92%EV -7.39%E -3.40%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -8.30%E -2.27%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-12 17:19
Codere (IT)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -5.02%E -1.70%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.88%EV -7.81%E -3.62%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.73%EV -9.55%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-12 14:49
1xBet🎯2.91I 34.36%NM 32.12%EV -6.31%E -2.17%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.88%EV -6.96%E -3.19%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 24.99%EV -6.04%E -1.61%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-12 13:24
Marathon Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.07%EV -6.63%E -2.29%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.06%EV -7.81%E -3.62%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 24.87%EV -6.04%E -1.61%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-12 13:19
Unibet (UK)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -6.63%E -2.29%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV -8.24%E -3.83%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -9.55%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-12 12:45
BetRivers🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.64%EV -6.63%E -2.29%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.87%EV -8.67%E -4.05%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -9.55%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-12 17:19
Bet Victor🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -7.27%E -2.53%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -8.24%E -3.83%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -9.55%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-12 17:19
betano_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -7.27%E -2.53%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -8.24%E -3.83%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -9.55%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-12 17:20
Grosvenor🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.43%EV -7.27%E -2.53%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.70%EV -9.52%E -4.49%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -12.07%E -3.45%K -4.83%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-12 17:19
Unibet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.43%EV -7.27%E -2.53%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.70%EV -9.52%E -4.49%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -12.07%E -3.45%K -4.83%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-12 17:19
Pinnacle🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 33.19%EV -7.60%E -2.65%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.33%EV -3.97%E -1.76%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.48%EV -2.27%E -0.583%K -0.784%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-12 15:29
Betr (AU)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -8.24%E -2.89%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.81%EV -6.10%E -2.77%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -2.02%E -0.517%K -0.695%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-12 14:14
FanDuel🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.72%EV -8.24%E -2.89%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.37%EV -8.24%E -3.83%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -2.02%E -0.517%K -0.695%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-12 12:52
Bovada🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.19%EV -8.24%E -2.89%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -8.24%E -3.83%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.14%EV -8.30%E -2.27%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-12 15:23
LiveScore Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.53%EV -8.24%E -2.89%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.79%EV -10.37%E -4.94%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.68%EV -12.07%E -3.45%K -4.83%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-12 17:19
TABtouch🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.53%EV -8.24%E -2.89%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.79%EV -10.37%E -4.94%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.68%EV -12.07%E -3.45%K -4.83%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-12 17:19
Virgin Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.53%EV -8.24%E -2.89%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.79%EV -10.37%E -4.94%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.68%EV -12.07%E -3.45%K -4.83%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-12 17:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.53%EV -8.24%E -2.89%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.79%EV -10.37%E -4.94%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.68%EV -12.07%E -3.45%K -4.83%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-12 17:19
Betclic (FR)🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 31.12%EV -9.21%E -3.26%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 43.23%EV -13.36%E -6.58%K -12.97%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 25.66%EV -14.08%E -4.12%K -5.82%G +0.000%14.0%2026-10-12 12:48
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.11%EV -9.85%E -3.52%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -8.24%E -3.83%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -2.02%E -0.517%K -0.695%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-12 13:05
Tipico (DE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -9.85%E -3.52%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.85%EV -8.24%E -3.83%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -4.53%E -1.19%K -1.62%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-12 14:24
betfred_uk🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.80%EV -9.85%E -3.52%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.71%EV -8.24%E -3.83%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -5.78%E -1.54%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-12 12:49
888sport🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -9.85%E -3.52%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.10%E -2.77%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -9.55%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-12 18:00
William Hill🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -9.85%E -3.52%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.10%E -2.77%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -9.55%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-12 17:59
888sport (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -9.85%E -3.52%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.10%E -2.77%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -9.55%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-12 18:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -9.85%E -3.52%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.10%E -2.77%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -9.55%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-12 17:59
SportsBet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.71%EV -9.85%E -3.52%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.20%EV -9.52%E -4.49%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.10%EV -4.53%E -1.19%K -1.62%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-12 12:44
Bet Right🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -9.85%E -3.52%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -8.24%E -3.83%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -7.04%E -1.90%K -2.61%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-12 17:10
Betway🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -9.85%E -3.52%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -8.24%E -3.83%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -9.55%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-12 14:15
PMU (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.60%EV -9.85%E -3.52%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 42.75%EV -11.65%E -5.63%K -10.89%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.65%EV -13.32%E -3.86%K -5.44%G +0.000%13.0%2026-10-12 17:20
Unibet (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 30.47%EV -9.85%E -3.52%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 44.44%EV -18.06%E -9.40%K -19.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.09%EV -14.58%E -4.29%K -6.07%G +0.000%17.2%2026-10-12 15:09
Fanatics🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.30%EV -11.46%E -4.17%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.60%EV -8.24%E -3.83%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.10%EV -4.53%E -1.19%K -1.62%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-12 13:08
Paddy Power🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -11.46%E -4.17%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -10.37%E -4.94%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.10%EV -5.78%E -1.54%K -2.10%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-12 12:53
Winamax (DE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 31.98%EV -11.46%E -4.17%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.90%EV -12.51%E -6.10%K -11.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.13%EV -12.07%E -3.45%K -4.83%G +0.000%13.7%2026-10-12 12:44
Winamax (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 31.92%EV -13.07%E -4.84%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.10%EV -14.64%E -7.32%K -14.64%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 24.98%EV -13.32%E -3.86%K -5.44%G +0.000%16.0%2026-10-12 12:44
Sky Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 32.96%EV -15.32%E -5.83%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.28%EV -12.51%E -6.10%K -11.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.76%EV -12.07%E -3.45%K -4.83%G +0.000%15.4%2026-10-12 13:17
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Smarkets◎2.80I 35.71%NM 31.42%2.06I 48.54%NM 42.71%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.87%13.7%2026-10-12 17:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-10-12 13:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-10-12 13:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.06I 94.34%NM 33.33%1.06I 94.34%NM 33.33%1.06I 94.34%NM 33.33%183.0%2026-10-12 13:30