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Viborg FF v AGF Aarhus

2026-08-14 17:00 UTC — Denmark Superliga

Head to Head

29 sportsbooks (11 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Viborg FF (Local)

Prediction 38.88%2.57fair odd
EV -4.73%
Edge -1.93%
Kelly -3.26%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.66%38.87%38.92%39.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.362.402.4546.51%42.37%41.67%40.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

AGF Aarhus (Visit)

Prediction 34.82%2.87fair odd
EV -4.25%
Edge -1.55%
Kelly -2.43%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.97%34.89%34.72%36.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.602.602.7541.67%38.50%38.46%36.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.30%3.80fair odd
EV -2.70%
Edge -0.729%
Kelly -0.999%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.05%26.24%26.36%26.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.493.503.7031.25%28.63%28.57%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Viborg FF (Local): 38.88%; AGF Aarhus (Visit): 34.82%; Draw: 26.30%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.80. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.70, with an expected value of -2.70%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (29 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Betr (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.40%EV -4.73%E -1.93%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.18%EV -9.48%E -3.64%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -2.70%E -0.729%K -0.999%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-07 17:30
FanDuel🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -4.73%E -1.93%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.63%EV -11.22%E -4.40%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.24%EV -2.70%E -0.729%K -0.999%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-07 17:30
Pinnacle🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 39.08%EV -5.12%E -2.10%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.80%EV -4.60%E -1.68%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.12%EV -4.01%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-07 18:20
1xBet🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 38.69%EV -6.29%E -2.61%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 34.67%EV -6.34%E -2.36%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -7.96%E -2.27%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-07 18:25
Marathon Bet🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 38.69%EV -6.29%E -2.61%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 34.67%EV -6.34%E -2.36%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -7.96%E -2.27%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-07 18:20
Betsson🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.17%EV -6.68%E -2.78%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.08%EV -6.69%E -2.50%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.75%EV -4.01%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-07 17:20
NordicBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.17%EV -6.68%E -2.78%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.08%EV -6.69%E -2.50%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.75%EV -4.01%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-07 17:20
LeoVegas🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -6.68%E -2.78%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -4.25%E -1.55%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -7.96%E -2.27%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-07 18:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -6.68%E -2.78%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.34%EV -11.22%E -4.40%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.05%EV -2.70%E -0.729%K -0.999%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-07 17:30
Bet Right🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.21%EV -6.68%E -2.78%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -11.22%E -4.40%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -6.64%E -1.87%K -2.60%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-07 17:30
888sport🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -6.68%E -2.78%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -8.78%E -3.35%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.59%E -3.11%K -4.41%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-07 19:05
William Hill🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -6.68%E -2.78%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -8.78%E -3.35%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.59%E -3.11%K -4.41%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-07 19:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -6.68%E -2.78%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -8.78%E -3.35%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.59%E -3.11%K -4.41%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-07 19:05
888sport (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -6.68%E -2.78%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -8.78%E -3.35%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.59%E -3.11%K -4.41%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-07 19:05
SportsBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -6.68%E -2.78%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -12.96%E -5.18%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -5.33%E -1.48%K -2.05%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-07 17:30
betfred_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -6.68%E -2.78%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -12.96%E -5.18%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -5.33%E -1.48%K -2.05%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-07 17:35
Unibet (UK)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.04%EV -7.45%E -3.13%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.41%EV -5.99%E -2.22%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -7.96%E -2.27%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-07 17:20
Paddy Power🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.27%EV -7.45%E -3.13%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.43%EV -12.96%E -5.18%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.30%EV -5.33%E -1.48%K -2.05%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-07 17:29
Betway🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.24%EV -7.45%E -3.13%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -9.48%E -3.64%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -10.59%E -3.11%K -4.41%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-07 17:20
Codere (IT)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.14%EV -7.84%E -3.31%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.36%EV -5.99%E -2.22%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.50%EV -7.96%E -2.27%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-07 17:25
Suprabets🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.07%EV -8.62%E -3.67%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 34.78%EV -8.08%E -3.06%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 26.16%EV -7.69%E -2.19%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-07 17:20
Bovada🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.94%EV -8.62%E -3.67%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.53%EV -7.73%E -2.92%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -9.27%E -2.69%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-07 17:25
Fanatics🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.83%EV -8.62%E -3.67%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV -9.48%E -3.64%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -7.96%E -2.27%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-07 18:25
Sky Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 37.66%EV -10.57%E -4.59%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.09%EV -16.44%E -6.85%K -11.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.25%EV -13.22%E -4.00%K -5.75%G +0.000%15.4%2026-08-07 17:30
Winamax (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.04%EV -12.51%E -5.56%K -10.01%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.13%EV -12.96%E -5.18%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.83%EV -10.59%E -3.11%K -4.41%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-07 17:20
Betclic (FR)🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 39.54%EV -13.68%E -6.16%K -11.21%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 34.02%EV -10.17%E -3.94%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 26.44%EV -12.69%E -3.82%K -5.47%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-07 17:23
BoyleSports🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.57%EV -14.45%E -6.57%K -12.04%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.82%EV -12.96%E -5.18%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.61%EV -10.59%E -3.11%K -4.41%G +0.000%14.9%2026-08-07 17:25
Winamax (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.27%EV -14.45%E -6.57%K -12.04%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.55%EV -12.96%E -5.18%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.18%EV -13.22%E -4.00%K -5.75%G +0.000%15.8%2026-08-07 17:20
Unibet (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 39.50%EV -16.40%E -7.63%K -14.26%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 33.97%EV -12.96%E -5.18%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.54%EV -15.85%E -4.95%K -7.20%G +0.000%17.8%2026-08-07 17:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎2.26I 44.25%NM 38.89%2.58I 38.76%NM 34.07%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.04%13.8%2026-08-07 17:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.02I 98.04%NM 33.77%190.3%2026-08-07 13:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.02I 98.04%NM 33.77%190.3%2026-08-07 13:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-08-07 13:31