The School of Odds

SonderjyskE v FC Midtjylland

2026-07-26 12:00 — Denmark Superliga

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (6 in analysis)

Option 1: SonderjyskE (Local)

Odds
4.1024.39%Min
4.6221.63%Mean
4.7521.05%Median
5.0020.00%Max
Consensus probabilities
18.64%5.364Min
20.62%4.850Max
19.41%5.152Mean
19.39%5.158Median
19.42%5.149IQM
19.35%5.167Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 5.00 under the IQM model: 19.42%

EV -2.89%Edge -0.578%Kelly -0.723%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: FC Midtjylland (Visit)

Odds
1.4668.49%Min
1.5763.78%Mean
1.5863.29%Median
1.6261.73%Max
Consensus probabilities
56.60%1.767Min
58.79%1.701Max
58.16%1.719Mean
58.28%1.716Median
58.27%1.716IQM
58.19%1.718Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.62 under the IQM model: 58.27%

EV -5.61%Edge -3.46%Kelly -9.04%Growth +0.000%

Option 3: Draw

Odds
3.7526.67%Min
4.0424.76%Mean
4.0524.69%Median
4.3023.26%Max
Consensus probabilities
21.69%4.611Min
23.65%4.228Max
22.43%4.459Mean
22.33%4.479Median
22.31%4.482IQM
22.46%4.453Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 4.30 under the IQM model: 22.31%

EV -4.06%Edge -0.945%Kelly -1.23%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

BookmakerSonderjyskE (Local) ▼FC Midtjylland (Visit)DrawMarginUpdated
Marathon Bet5.00I 20.00% NM 18.64%EV -2.89% E -0.578% K -0.723% G +0.000%1.59I 62.89% NM 58.62%EV -7.35% E -4.63% K -12.46% G +0.000%4.10I 24.39% NM 22.73%EV -8.53% E -2.08% K -2.75% G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-30 19:19
1xBet4.92I 20.33% NM 19.03%EV -4.45% E -0.904% K -1.13% G +0.000%1.61I 62.11% NM 58.14%EV -6.19% E -3.84% K -10.15% G +0.000%4.10I 24.39% NM 22.83%EV -8.53% E -2.08% K -2.75% G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-30 17:59
Betr (AU)4.90I 20.41% NM 19.31%EV -4.83% E -0.987% K -1.24% G +0.000%1.62I 61.73% NM 58.42%EV -5.61% E -3.46% K -9.04% G +0.000%4.25I 23.53% NM 22.27%EV -5.18% E -1.22% K -1.59% G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-30 17:59
FanDuel4.80I 20.83% NM 19.47%EV -6.78% E -1.41% K -1.78% G +0.000%1.59I 62.89% NM 58.79%EV -7.35% E -4.63% K -12.46% G +0.000%4.30I 23.26% NM 21.74%EV -4.06% E -0.945% K -1.23% G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-30 19:09
Codere (IT)4.80I 20.83% NM 19.23%EV -6.78% E -1.41% K -1.78% G +0.000%1.57I 63.69% NM 58.79%EV -8.52% E -5.43% K -14.95% G +0.000%4.20I 23.81% NM 21.98%EV -6.30% E -1.50% K -1.97% G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-30 18:00
Fanatics4.75I 21.05% NM 19.64%EV -7.75% E -1.63% K -2.07% G +0.000%1.62I 61.73% NM 57.60%EV -5.61% E -3.46% K -9.04% G +0.000%4.10I 24.39% NM 22.76%EV -8.53% E -2.08% K -2.75% G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-30 17:59
William Hill4.75I 21.05% NM 19.42%EV -7.75% E -1.63% K -2.07% G +0.000%1.62I 61.73% NM 56.93%EV -5.61% E -3.46% K -9.04% G +0.000%3.90I 25.64% NM 23.65%EV -12.99% E -3.33% K -4.48% G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-30 18:39
888sport4.75I 21.05% NM 19.35%EV -7.75% E -1.63% K -2.07% G +0.000%1.61I 62.11% NM 57.09%EV -6.19% E -3.84% K -10.15% G +0.000%3.90I 25.64% NM 23.57%EV -12.99% E -3.33% K -4.48% G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-30 17:59
Mr Green (SE)4.75I 21.05% NM 19.35%EV -7.75% E -1.63% K -2.07% G +0.000%1.61I 62.11% NM 57.09%EV -6.19% E -3.84% K -10.15% G +0.000%3.90I 25.64% NM 23.57%EV -12.99% E -3.33% K -4.48% G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-30 17:59
888sport (SE)4.75I 21.05% NM 19.35%EV -7.75% E -1.63% K -2.07% G +0.000%1.61I 62.11% NM 57.09%EV -6.19% E -3.84% K -10.15% G +0.000%3.90I 25.64% NM 23.57%EV -12.99% E -3.33% K -4.48% G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-30 17:59
SportsBet4.70I 21.28% NM 19.61%EV -8.72% E -1.85% K -2.36% G +0.000%1.57I 63.69% NM 58.70%EV -8.52% E -5.43% K -14.95% G +0.000%4.25I 23.53% NM 21.69%EV -5.18% E -1.22% K -1.59% G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-30 18:00
LeoVegas4.65I 21.51% NM 19.73%EV -9.69% E -2.08% K -2.65% G +0.000%1.57I 63.69% NM 58.43%EV -8.52% E -5.43% K -14.95% G +0.000%4.20I 23.81% NM 21.84%EV -6.30% E -1.50% K -1.97% G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-02 10:20
Paddy Power4.50I 22.22% NM 20.25%EV -12.60% E -2.80% K -3.60% G +0.000%1.57I 63.69% NM 58.05%EV -8.52% E -5.43% K -14.95% G +0.000%4.20I 23.81% NM 21.70%EV -6.30% E -1.50% K -1.97% G +0.000%9.7%2026-06-30 17:58
BoyleSports4.33I 23.09% NM 20.12%EV -15.90% E -3.67% K -4.78% G +0.000%1.50I 66.67% NM 58.09%EV -12.60% E -8.40% K -25.20% G +0.000%4.00I 25.00% NM 21.78%EV -10.76% E -2.69% K -3.59% G +0.000%14.8%2026-06-30 21:49
Winamax (DE)4.30I 23.26% NM 20.24%EV -16.49% E -3.83% K -5.00% G +0.000%1.50I 66.67% NM 58.01%EV -12.60% E -8.40% K -25.20% G +0.000%4.00I 25.00% NM 21.75%EV -10.76% E -2.69% K -3.59% G +0.000%14.9%2026-06-30 17:59
Betclic (FR)4.30I 23.26% NM 19.70%EV -16.49% E -3.83% K -5.00% G +0.000%1.46I 68.49% NM 58.01%EV -14.93% E -10.23% K -32.45% G +0.000%3.80I 26.32% NM 22.29%EV -15.22% E -4.01% K -5.44% G +0.000%18.1%2026-06-30 17:58
Unibet (FR)4.25I 23.53% NM 19.82%EV -17.46% E -4.11% K -5.37% G +0.000%1.46I 68.49% NM 57.71%EV -14.93% E -10.23% K -32.45% G +0.000%3.75I 26.67% NM 22.47%EV -16.34% E -4.36% K -5.94% G +0.000%18.7%2026-06-30 17:59
Sky Bet4.20I 23.81% NM 20.62%EV -18.43% E -4.39% K -5.76% G +0.000%1.53I 65.36% NM 56.60%EV -10.85% E -7.09% K -20.47% G +0.000%3.80I 26.32% NM 22.79%EV -15.22% E -4.01% K -5.44% G +0.000%15.5%2026-06-30 17:59
Winamax (FR)4.10I 24.39% NM 20.60%EV -20.37% E -4.97% K -6.57% G +0.000%1.47I 68.03% NM 57.46%EV -14.35% E -9.76% K -30.52% G +0.000%3.85I 25.97% NM 21.94%EV -14.10% E -3.66% K -4.95% G +0.000%18.4%2026-06-30 17:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerSonderjyskE (Local)FC Midtjylland (Visit)DrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets4.30I 23.26%1.49I 67.11%3.80I 26.32%16.7%2026-06-30 17:59
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.21I 82.64%1.15I 86.96%1.15I 86.96%156.6%2026-07-05 12:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.21I 82.64%1.15I 86.96%1.15I 86.96%156.6%2026-07-05 12:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%1.04I 96.15%1.15I 86.96%179.3%2026-07-05 12:05