The School of Odds

Randers FC v Silkeborg IF

2026-07-27 17:00 — Denmark Superliga

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (6 in analysis)

Option 1: Randers FC (Local)

1.5464.94%Min
1.6560.65%Mean
1.6759.88%Median
1.7058.82%Max
53.66%1.863Min
56.09%1.783Max
55.11%1.815Mean
55.30%1.808Median
55.23%1.811IQM
55.19%1.812Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.70 under the IQM model: 55.23%

EV -6.12%Edge -3.60%Kelly -8.74%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Silkeborg IF (Visit)

3.9025.64%Min
4.3922.79%Mean
4.5022.22%Median
4.7021.28%Max
19.86%5.034Min
22.12%4.521Max
20.40%4.902Mean
20.36%4.911Median
20.40%4.902IQM
20.36%4.911Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 4.70 under the IQM model: 20.40%

EV -4.12%Edge -0.877%Kelly -1.11%Growth +0.000%

Option 3: Draw

3.4029.41%Min
3.6927.09%Mean
3.7027.03%Median
4.0025.00%Max
23.00%4.348Min
26.06%3.837Max
24.50%4.082Mean
24.34%4.109Median
24.37%4.103IQM
24.44%4.091Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 4.00 under the IQM model: 24.37%

EV -2.50%Edge -0.625%Kelly -0.834%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

BookmakerRanders FC (Local) ▼Silkeborg IF (Visit)DrawMarginUpdated
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82% NM 55.47%EV -6.12% E -3.60% K -8.74% G +0.000%4.50I 22.22% NM 20.96%EV -8.20% E -1.82% K -2.34% G +0.000%4.00I 25.00% NM 23.57%EV -2.50% E -0.625% K -0.834% G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-01 09:00
1xBet1.70I 58.82% NM 55.16%EV -6.12% E -3.60% K -8.74% G +0.000%4.65I 21.51% NM 20.17%EV -5.14% E -1.11% K -1.41% G +0.000%3.80I 26.32% NM 24.68%EV -7.38% E -1.94% K -2.63% G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-05 02:55
888sport1.70I 58.82% NM 53.66%EV -6.12% E -3.60% K -8.74% G +0.000%4.50I 22.22% NM 20.27%EV -8.20% E -1.82% K -2.34% G +0.000%3.50I 28.57% NM 26.06%EV -14.69% E -4.20% K -5.88% G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-01 08:59
William Hill1.70I 58.82% NM 53.66%EV -6.12% E -3.60% K -8.74% G +0.000%4.50I 22.22% NM 20.27%EV -8.20% E -1.82% K -2.34% G +0.000%3.50I 28.57% NM 26.06%EV -14.69% E -4.20% K -5.88% G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-01 09:00
Mr Green (SE)1.70I 58.82% NM 53.66%EV -6.12% E -3.60% K -8.74% G +0.000%4.50I 22.22% NM 20.27%EV -8.20% E -1.82% K -2.34% G +0.000%3.50I 28.57% NM 26.06%EV -14.69% E -4.20% K -5.88% G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-01 08:59
888sport (SE)1.70I 58.82% NM 53.66%EV -6.12% E -3.60% K -8.74% G +0.000%4.50I 22.22% NM 20.27%EV -8.20% E -1.82% K -2.34% G +0.000%3.50I 28.57% NM 26.06%EV -14.69% E -4.20% K -5.88% G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-01 09:00
Marathon Bet1.68I 59.52% NM 55.57%EV -7.22% E -4.30% K -10.62% G +0.000%4.70I 21.28% NM 19.86%EV -4.12% E -0.877% K -1.11% G +0.000%3.80I 26.32% NM 24.57%EV -7.38% E -1.94% K -2.63% G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-05 02:50
FanDuel1.67I 59.88% NM 55.91%EV -7.77% E -4.65% K -11.60% G +0.000%4.50I 22.22% NM 20.75%EV -8.20% E -1.82% K -2.34% G +0.000%4.00I 25.00% NM 23.34%EV -2.50% E -0.625% K -0.834% G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-01 09:08
Codere (IT)1.67I 59.88% NM 55.48%EV -7.77% E -4.65% K -11.60% G +0.000%4.60I 21.74% NM 20.14%EV -6.16% E -1.34% K -1.71% G +0.000%3.80I 26.32% NM 24.38%EV -7.38% E -1.94% K -2.63% G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-01 09:09
Fanatics1.67I 59.88% NM 55.23%EV -7.77% E -4.65% K -11.60% G +0.000%4.50I 22.22% NM 20.50%EV -8.20% E -1.82% K -2.34% G +0.000%3.80I 26.32% NM 24.27%EV -7.38% E -1.94% K -2.63% G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-01 09:08
LeoVegas1.67I 59.88% NM 55.18%EV -7.77% E -4.65% K -11.60% G +0.000%4.55I 21.98% NM 20.25%EV -7.18% E -1.58% K -2.02% G +0.000%3.75I 26.67% NM 24.57%EV -8.60% E -2.29% K -3.13% G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-02 10:20
SportsBet1.64I 60.98% NM 56.09%EV -9.43% E -5.75% K -14.74% G +0.000%4.40I 22.73% NM 20.91%EV -10.24% E -2.33% K -3.01% G +0.000%4.00I 25.00% NM 23.00%EV -2.50% E -0.625% K -0.834% G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-01 08:59
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73% NM 55.54%EV -10.53% E -6.50% K -16.99% G +0.000%4.33I 23.09% NM 20.78%EV -11.67% E -2.69% K -3.50% G +0.000%3.80I 26.32% NM 23.68%EV -7.38% E -1.94% K -2.63% G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-01 09:08
BoyleSports1.60I 62.50% NM 54.78%EV -11.64% E -7.27% K -19.40% G +0.000%4.20I 23.81% NM 20.87%EV -14.32% E -3.41% K -4.48% G +0.000%3.60I 27.78% NM 24.35%EV -12.25% E -3.40% K -4.71% G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-01 08:59
Sky Bet1.60I 62.50% NM 53.92%EV -11.64% E -7.27% K -19.40% G +0.000%3.90I 25.64% NM 22.12%EV -20.44% E -5.24% K -7.05% G +0.000%3.60I 27.78% NM 23.96%EV -12.25% E -3.40% K -4.71% G +0.000%15.9%2026-07-01 09:00
Winamax (DE)1.58I 63.29% NM 55.00%EV -12.74% E -8.07% K -21.97% G +0.000%4.10I 24.39% NM 21.19%EV -16.36% E -3.99% K -5.28% G +0.000%3.65I 27.40% NM 23.81%EV -11.03% E -3.02% K -4.16% G +0.000%15.1%2026-07-01 09:00
Betclic (FR)1.54I 64.94% NM 54.94%EV -14.95% E -9.71% K -27.69% G +0.000%4.15I 24.10% NM 20.39%EV -15.34% E -3.70% K -4.87% G +0.000%3.43I 29.15% NM 24.67%EV -16.39% E -4.78% K -6.75% G +0.000%18.2%2026-07-01 08:59
Unibet (FR)1.54I 64.94% NM 54.69%EV -14.95% E -9.71% K -27.69% G +0.000%4.10I 24.39% NM 20.54%EV -16.36% E -3.99% K -5.28% G +0.000%3.40I 29.41% NM 24.77%EV -17.13% E -5.04% K -7.14% G +0.000%18.7%2026-07-01 09:00
Winamax (FR)1.54I 64.94% NM 54.46%EV -14.95% E -9.71% K -27.69% G +0.000%3.95I 25.32% NM 21.23%EV -19.42% E -4.92% K -6.58% G +0.000%3.45I 28.99% NM 24.31%EV -15.91% E -4.61% K -6.49% G +0.000%19.2%2026-07-01 08:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerRanders FC (Local)Silkeborg IF (Visit)DrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.09I 91.74%1.04I 96.15%1.09I 91.74%179.6%2026-07-05 09:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.09I 91.74%1.04I 96.15%1.09I 91.74%179.6%2026-07-05 09:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%1.04I 96.15%1.02I 98.04%190.3%2026-07-01 09:00