The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Randers FC v Silkeborg IF

Kickoff: 2026-07-26 14:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Randers FC (Local)

Prediction 54.79%1.83fair odd
EV -6.86%
Edge -4.04%
Kelly -9.81%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.66%54.79%54.79%56.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.601.671.701.7062.50%59.88%58.82%58.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Silkeborg IF (Visit)

Prediction 20.51%4.88fair odd
EV -7.70%
Edge -1.71%
Kelly -2.20%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.27%20.51%20.51%22.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.904.404.504.5025.64%22.71%22.22%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.70%4.05fair odd
EV -1.19%
Edge -0.297%
Kelly -0.395%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.00%24.70%24.70%26.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.713.604.0028.57%26.95%27.78%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Randers FC (Local): 54.79%; Silkeborg IF (Visit): 20.51%; Draw: 24.70%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.05. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.00, with an expected value of -1.19%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Betr (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.47%EV -6.86%E -4.04%K -9.81%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -7.70%E -1.71%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -1.19%E -0.297%K -0.395%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 17:59
888sport🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.66%EV -6.86%E -4.04%K -9.81%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.27%EV -7.70%E -1.71%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -13.54%E -3.87%K -5.42%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-30 17:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.66%EV -6.86%E -4.04%K -9.81%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.27%EV -7.70%E -1.71%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -13.54%E -3.87%K -5.42%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-30 17:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.66%EV -6.86%E -4.04%K -9.81%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.27%EV -7.70%E -1.71%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -13.54%E -3.87%K -5.42%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-30 17:59
William Hill🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.66%EV -6.86%E -4.04%K -9.81%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.27%EV -7.70%E -1.71%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -13.54%E -3.87%K -5.42%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-30 18:39
FanDuel🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -8.51%E -5.09%K -12.70%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -7.70%E -1.71%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -1.19%E -0.297%K -0.395%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-30 19:09
SportsBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.09%EV -10.15%E -6.19%K -15.86%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.91%EV -9.75%E -2.22%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -1.19%E -0.297%K -0.395%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-30 18:00
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.54%EV -11.25%E -6.94%K -18.14%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.78%EV -11.19%E -2.58%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -6.13%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-30 17:58
Sky Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 53.92%EV -12.34%E -7.71%K -20.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.12%EV -20.01%E -5.13%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.96%EV -11.07%E -3.07%K -4.26%G +0.000%15.9%2026-06-30 17:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.02I 98.04%NM 33.77%190.3%2026-07-01 07:29
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.02I 98.04%NM 33.77%190.3%2026-07-01 07:29
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.02I 98.04%NM 33.77%190.3%2026-07-01 07:30

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