The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Randers FC v Brondby IF

Kickoff: 2026-09-23 17:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

11 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Randers FC (Local)

Prediction 30.00%3.33fair odd
EV -5.19%
Edge -1.64%
Kelly -2.40%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.16

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.38%30.06%30.08%30.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.023.103.1635.71%33.06%32.26%31.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Brondby IF (Visit)

Prediction 44.92%2.23fair odd
EV -4.33%
Edge -2.03%
Kelly -3.83%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.13

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.37%44.91%44.89%45.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.892.032.052.1352.91%49.37%48.78%46.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.08%3.99fair odd
EV -5.45%
Edge -1.45%
Kelly -1.97%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.77

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.37%25.02%25.04%25.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.653.703.7728.57%27.39%27.03%26.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Randers FC (Local): 30.00%; Brondby IF (Visit): 44.92%; Draw: 25.08%. For Brondby IF (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.23. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.13, with an expected value of -4.33%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (11 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯3.16I 31.65%NM 30.10%EV -5.19%E -1.64%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.66%EV -4.33%E -2.03%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.23%EV -5.45%E -1.45%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-20 20:24
GTbets🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.92%EV -5.49%E -1.74%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.68%E -2.70%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.20%EV -6.20%E -1.66%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-20 19:49
1xBet🎯3.11I 32.15%NM 29.98%EV -6.69%E -2.15%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.82%EV -6.58%E -3.16%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -7.20%E -1.95%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-20 19:49
LeoVegas🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.99%E -2.25%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.93%EV -6.58%E -3.16%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -5.95%E -1.59%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-20 19:24
Codere (IT)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.99%E -2.25%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.93%EV -6.58%E -3.16%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -5.95%E -1.59%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-20 19:34
Tipico (DE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -6.99%E -2.25%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -7.92%E -3.87%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -9.71%E -2.70%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-20 19:43
Winamax (DE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -11.49%E -3.89%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.08%EV -10.17%E -5.08%K -10.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.37%EV -7.20%E -1.95%K -2.67%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-20 20:09
Betclic (FR)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 29.73%EV -11.49%E -3.89%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 45.21%EV -12.86%E -6.63%K -13.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.06%EV -12.22%E -3.49%K -4.89%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-20 19:22
Unibet (FR)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 29.38%EV -11.49%E -3.89%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 45.86%EV -15.11%E -7.99%K -16.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.76%EV -12.22%E -3.49%K -4.89%G +0.000%15.4%2026-09-20 19:24
Winamax (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -12.99%E -4.48%K -6.83%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 44.94%EV -11.07%E -5.59%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.38%EV -8.46%E -2.32%K -3.19%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-20 20:09
BoyleSports🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 30.90%EV -15.99%E -5.71%K -8.88%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 44.37%EV -12.42%E -6.37%K -13.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.72%EV -12.22%E -3.49%K -4.89%G +0.000%15.6%2026-09-20 21:07
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.