The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Randers FC v Brondby IF

Kickoff: 2026-10-25 17:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Randers FC (Local)

Prediction 26.08%3.84fair odd
EV -3.52%
Edge -0.952%
Kelly -1.30%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.04%26.01%26.01%27.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.523.553.7030.77%28.44%28.17%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Brondby IF (Visit)

Prediction 48.25%2.07fair odd
EV -5.43%
Edge -2.77%
Kelly -5.66%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.96

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.89%48.41%48.34%49.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.911.911.9655.56%52.37%52.36%51.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.68%3.89fair odd
EV -2.43%
Edge -0.639%
Kelly -0.867%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.46%25.58%25.65%26.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.603.603.8029.41%27.78%27.78%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Randers FC (Local): 26.08%; Brondby IF (Visit): 48.25%; Draw: 25.68%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.89. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.80, with an expected value of -2.43%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
888sport🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -3.52%E -0.952%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.50%EV -7.85%E -4.11%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -10.13%E -2.89%K -4.05%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-18 18:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -3.52%E -0.952%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.50%EV -7.85%E -4.11%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -10.13%E -2.89%K -4.05%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-18 18:25
888sport (SE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -3.52%E -0.952%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.50%EV -7.85%E -4.11%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -10.13%E -2.89%K -4.05%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-18 18:24
Betr (AU)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.36%EV -6.13%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.67%EV -5.92%E -3.03%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -2.43%E -0.639%K -0.867%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-18 15:19
FanDuel🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -6.13%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.71%EV -9.78%E -5.23%K -11.24%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -2.43%E -0.639%K -0.867%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-18 14:34
William Hill🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -6.13%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -7.85%E -4.11%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -12.70%E -3.73%K -5.29%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-18 18:25
BetOnline.ag🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.33%EV -7.43%E -2.09%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.70%EV -5.43%E -2.77%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -7.56%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-19 10:45
LowVig.ag🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.33%EV -7.43%E -2.09%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.70%EV -5.43%E -2.77%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -7.56%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-19 10:45
DraftKings🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.01%EV -7.43%E -2.09%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.34%EV -7.85%E -4.11%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -7.56%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-18 18:24
SportsBet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -8.74%E -2.50%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.03%EV -9.78%E -5.23%K -11.24%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -4.99%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-18 14:34
Bet Right🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.54%EV -10.04%E -2.91%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.71%EV -9.29%E -4.94%K -10.56%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.75%EV -4.99%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-18 17:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -11.34%E -3.34%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -5.92%E -3.03%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -4.99%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-19 20:20
Betway🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -11.34%E -3.34%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -7.85%E -4.11%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -7.56%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-19 09:35
betfred_uk🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -11.34%E -3.34%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.92%EV -8.33%E -4.38%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -7.56%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-18 15:19
Paddy Power🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -13.95%E -4.23%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -5.92%E -3.03%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -7.56%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-19 20:19
Sky Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 26.59%EV -15.26%E -4.69%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 48.00%EV -13.15%E -7.31%K -16.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.41%EV -12.70%E -3.73%K -5.29%G +0.000%15.7%2026-10-18 14:32
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.25I 80.00%NM 36.32%1.66I 60.24%NM 27.35%1.25I 80.00%NM 36.32%120.2%2026-10-19 19:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.25I 80.00%NM 36.32%1.66I 60.24%NM 27.35%1.25I 80.00%NM 36.32%120.2%2026-10-19 19:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.25I 80.00%NM 36.32%1.66I 60.24%NM 27.35%1.25I 80.00%NM 36.32%120.2%2026-10-19 19:20

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