Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Lyngby v SonderjyskE

2026-09-13 12:00 UTC — Denmark Superliga

Head to Head

20 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Lyngby (Local)

Prediction 49.95%2.00fair odd
EV -5.09%
Edge -2.68%
Kelly -5.66%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.15%49.90%50.06%50.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.731.841.841.9057.80%54.48%54.35%52.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

SonderjyskE (Visit)

Prediction 25.71%3.89fair odd
EV -3.60%
Edge -0.959%
Kelly -1.31%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.84%25.78%25.52%27.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.503.503.7531.25%28.56%28.57%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.34%4.11fair odd
EV -2.63%
Edge -0.659%
Kelly -0.878%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.35%24.32%24.42%25.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.773.804.0028.57%26.51%26.32%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Lyngby (Local): 49.95%; SonderjyskE (Visit): 25.71%; Draw: 24.34%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.11. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 4.00, with an expected value of -2.63%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (20 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Betr (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.56%EV -5.09%E -2.68%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -10.02%E -2.86%K -4.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -2.63%E -0.659%K -0.878%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-05 23:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.56%EV -5.09%E -2.68%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -10.02%E -2.86%K -4.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -2.63%E -0.659%K -0.878%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-05 23:05
betfred_uk🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.41%EV -5.09%E -2.68%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -12.59%E -3.70%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -8.72%E -2.33%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-05 23:04
Fanatics🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 48.70%EV -5.59%E -2.96%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -12.59%E -3.70%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -7.50%E -1.97%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-05 23:05
Betsson🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.92%EV -6.09%E -3.24%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.71%EV -6.17%E -1.69%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.37%EV -6.29%E -1.63%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-05 23:04
NordicBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.92%EV -6.09%E -3.24%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.71%EV -6.17%E -1.69%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.37%EV -6.29%E -1.63%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-05 23:04
FanDuel🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.96%EV -6.59%E -3.52%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -10.02%E -2.86%K -4.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -2.63%E -0.659%K -0.878%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-05 23:05
SportsBet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.47%EV -6.59%E -3.52%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -11.31%E -3.28%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.72%EV -5.07%E -1.30%K -1.75%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-05 23:05
1xBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.56%EV -7.59%E -4.10%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.08%EV -4.11%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.36%EV -6.53%E -1.70%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-05 23:05
Paddy Power🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -7.59%E -4.10%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -12.59%E -3.70%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -7.50%E -1.97%K -2.68%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-05 23:04
Marathon Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.90%EV -8.59%E -4.69%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -3.60%E -0.959%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.26%EV -6.53%E -1.70%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-05 23:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.09%EV -8.59%E -4.69%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -7.45%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -8.72%E -2.33%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-05 23:05
LeoVegas🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.07%EV -8.59%E -4.69%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -8.74%E -2.46%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -7.50%E -1.97%K -2.68%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-05 23:04
Betway🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.59%EV -8.59%E -4.69%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -7.45%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -12.37%E -3.44%K -4.76%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-05 23:05
Bovada🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.40%EV -9.09%E -4.99%K -11.08%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.13%EV -6.17%E -1.69%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.46%EV -8.72%E -2.33%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-05 23:04
Sky Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 48.15%EV -10.09%E -5.60%K -12.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.09%EV -17.74%E -5.54%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.76%EV -14.81%E -4.23%K -5.92%G +0.000%15.4%2026-09-05 23:04
Winamax (DE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 49.97%EV -12.09%E -6.87%K -15.90%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.25%EV -13.88%E -4.14%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.77%EV -9.94%E -2.69%K -3.68%G +0.000%13.7%2026-09-05 23:04
Betclic (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.17%EV -12.59%E -7.19%K -16.78%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.45%EV -11.31%E -3.28%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.39%EV -12.37%E -3.44%K -4.76%G +0.000%13.9%2026-09-05 23:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 49.74%EV -13.08%E -7.52%K -17.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.22%EV -15.17%E -4.60%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.04%EV -12.37%E -3.44%K -4.76%G +0.000%15.6%2026-09-05 23:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 49.92%EV -13.58%E -7.85%K -18.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.40%EV -12.59%E -3.70%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.68%EV -14.81%E -4.23%K -5.92%G +0.000%15.8%2026-09-05 23:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets1.74I 57.47%NM 49.22%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.95%3.45I 28.99%NM 24.82%16.8%2026-09-05 23:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.08I 92.59%NM 33.33%1.08I 92.59%NM 33.33%1.08I 92.59%NM 33.33%177.8%2026-09-05 23:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.08I 92.59%NM 33.33%1.08I 92.59%NM 33.33%1.08I 92.59%NM 33.33%177.8%2026-09-05 23:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%188.5%2026-09-05 23:05