Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Lyngby v FC Midtjylland

2026-08-16 14:00 UTC — Denmark Superliga

Head to Head

23 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Lyngby (Local)

Prediction 20.20%4.95fair odd
EV -2.05%
Edge -0.422%
Kelly -0.532%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.32%20.20%19.80%23.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.634.424.504.8527.55%22.62%22.22%20.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

FC Midtjylland (Visit)

Prediction 56.76%1.76fair odd
EV -5.22%
Edge -3.12%
Kelly -7.79%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.67

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.82%56.73%57.42%58.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.551.621.621.6764.52%61.88%61.73%59.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.05%4.34fair odd
EV -3.20%
Edge -0.763%
Kelly -1.00%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.30%23.07%22.78%25.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.353.944.004.2029.85%25.35%25.00%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Lyngby (Local): 20.20%; FC Midtjylland (Visit): 56.76%; Draw: 23.05%. For Lyngby (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.95. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 4.85, with an expected value of -2.05%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (23 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Betsson🎯4.85I 20.62%NM 19.32%EV -2.05%E -0.422%K -0.532%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.83%EV -8.05%E -4.97%K -12.99%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.85%EV -5.51%E -1.34%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-07 17:15
NordicBet🎯4.85I 20.62%NM 19.32%EV -2.05%E -0.422%K -0.532%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.83%EV -8.05%E -4.97%K -12.99%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.85%EV -5.51%E -1.34%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-07 17:15
FanDuel🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.52%EV -3.06%E -0.637%K -0.804%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.18%EV -8.62%E -5.36%K -14.13%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -3.20%E -0.763%K -1.00%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-07 15:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.75%EV -4.07%E -0.856%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.91%EV -8.05%E -4.97%K -12.99%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -3.20%E -0.763%K -1.00%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-07 15:50
Fanatics🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.64%EV -4.07%E -0.856%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.60%EV -8.05%E -4.97%K -12.99%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -5.51%E -1.34%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-07 16:25
Betr (AU)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.13%EV -5.08%E -1.08%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.34%EV -6.35%E -3.85%K -9.77%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -3.20%E -0.763%K -1.00%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-07 15:50
Marathon Bet🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.87%EV -5.08%E -1.08%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.64%EV -8.05%E -4.97%K -12.99%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.50%EV -4.36%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-07 16:30
SportsBet🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.67%EV -5.08%E -1.08%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.78%EV -9.19%E -5.74%K -15.32%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.55%EV -5.51%E -1.34%K -1.78%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-07 15:50
1xBet🎯4.63I 21.60%NM 20.25%EV -6.49%E -1.40%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.16%EV -6.92%E -4.22%K -10.81%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.59%EV -4.36%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-07 16:35
betfred_uk🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -9.12%E -2.03%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.66%EV -8.05%E -4.97%K -12.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -7.81%E -1.95%K -2.60%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-07 15:50
Bovada🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.25%EV -9.12%E -2.03%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.96%EV -9.19%E -5.74%K -15.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -7.81%E -1.95%K -2.60%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-07 16:33
Paddy Power🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -9.12%E -2.03%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.43%EV -10.89%E -6.94%K -19.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -7.81%E -1.95%K -2.60%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-07 15:50
Codere (IT)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -11.13%E -2.53%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.32%EV -5.22%E -3.12%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -10.12%E -2.59%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-07 13:25
Suprabets🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.89%EV -11.13%E -2.53%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.36%EV -5.78%E -3.48%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.87I 25.84%NM 23.75%EV -10.81%E -2.79%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-07 13:47
Unibet (UK)🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.04%EV -12.14%E -2.79%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.48%EV -6.35%E -3.85%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47%EV -10.12%E -2.59%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-07 13:25
LeoVegas🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.17%EV -12.55%E -2.90%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 55.90%EV -6.92%E -4.22%K -10.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -7.81%E -1.95%K -2.60%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-07 13:25
Betway🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 20.99%EV -12.55%E -2.90%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.09%EV -6.35%E -3.85%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -12.42%E -3.27%K -4.44%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-07 15:50
Sky Bet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 20.71%EV -15.17%E -3.61%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 56.10%EV -12.03%E -7.76%K -21.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.19%EV -13.57%E -3.62%K -4.94%G +0.000%15.0%2026-08-07 15:50
Unibet (FR)🎯4.05I 24.69%NM 21.18%EV -18.20%E -4.49%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 54.99%EV -11.46%E -7.35%K -20.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.83%EV -17.03%E -4.73%K -6.55%G +0.000%16.6%2026-08-07 13:25
Winamax (DE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 21.97%EV -19.21%E -4.80%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 54.91%EV -9.19%E -5.74%K -15.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.12%EV -12.42%E -3.27%K -4.44%G +0.000%13.8%2026-08-07 13:25
Winamax (FR)🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 21.89%EV -20.22%E -5.12%K -6.86%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 54.73%EV -10.32%E -6.53%K -17.80%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.37%EV -14.73%E -3.98%K -5.45%G +0.000%15.6%2026-08-07 13:25
BoyleSports🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 22.79%EV -23.25%E -6.12%K -8.30%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 54.12%EV -9.19%E -5.74%K -15.32%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.09%EV -13.57%E -3.62%K -4.94%G +0.000%15.5%2026-08-07 15:05
Betclic (FR)🎯3.63I 27.55%NM 23.13%EV -26.69%E -7.35%K -10.15%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 51.82%EV -8.05%E -4.97%K -12.99%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.06%EV -22.79%E -6.80%K -9.70%G +0.000%19.1%2026-08-07 15:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets4.00I 25.00%NM 21.47%1.58I 63.29%NM 54.35%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.19%16.5%2026-08-07 13:25