The School of Odds
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FC Nordsjaelland v Silkeborg IF

2026-08-16 12:00 UTC — Denmark Superliga

Head to Head

23 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Nordsjaelland (Local)

Prediction 61.80%1.62fair odd
EV -6.06%
Edge -3.99%
Kelly -11.65%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.52

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.37%61.84%61.96%63.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.421.481.481.5270.42%67.63%67.57%65.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Silkeborg IF (Visit)

Prediction 17.40%5.75fair odd
EV +0.026%
Edge +0.004%
Kelly +0.005%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.44%17.37%17.57%20.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.105.195.305.7524.39%19.25%18.87%17.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 20.80%4.81fair odd
EV -0.159%
Edge -0.033%
Kelly -0.042%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.63%20.80%20.47%23.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.634.364.504.8027.55%22.95%22.22%20.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: FC Nordsjaelland (Local): 61.80%; Silkeborg IF (Visit): 17.40%; Draw: 20.80%. For Silkeborg IF (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.749. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 5.750, producing a positive expected value of +0.026%.

Sportsbook Odds (23 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Betr (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.01%EV -7.29%E -4.86%K -14.59%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.44%EV +0.026%E +0.004%K +0.005%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -4.32%E -0.939%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-07 13:35
FanDuel🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.78%EV -8.53%E -5.76%K -17.77%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.56%EV -0.844%E -0.148%K -0.180%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.66%EV -0.159%E -0.033%K -0.042%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-07 13:34
1xBet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.89%EV -7.91%E -5.31%K -16.15%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.73%EV -2.58%E -0.461%K -0.562%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -4.32%E -0.939%K -1.20%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-07 19:15
Marathon Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.05%EV -8.53%E -5.76%K -17.77%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.66%EV -2.58%E -0.461%K -0.562%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.29%EV -4.32%E -0.939%K -1.20%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-07 19:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.42%EV -9.15%E -6.22%K -19.46%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -4.32%E -0.786%K -0.961%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -1.20%E -0.253%K -0.320%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-07 13:50
SportsBet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 63.45%EV -9.77%E -6.69%K -21.23%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -4.32%E -0.786%K -0.961%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.71%EV -2.24%E -0.476%K -0.605%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-07 13:35
betfred_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.22%EV -11.00%E -7.64%K -25.00%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -4.32%E -0.786%K -0.961%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -6.40%E -1.42%K -1.83%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-07 13:35
Codere (IT)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.85%EV -6.06%E -3.99%K -11.65%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.13%EV -6.06%E -1.12%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.02%EV -12.64%E -3.01%K -3.95%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-07 13:25
Bovada🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.54%EV -9.15%E -6.22%K -19.46%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.03%EV -6.06%E -1.12%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -6.40%E -1.42%K -1.83%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-07 19:10
Suprabets🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.17%EV -7.29%E -4.86%K -14.59%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.99%EV -6.06%E -1.12%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.84%EV -12.64%E -3.01%K -3.95%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-07 13:52
Betsson🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.83%EV -6.06%E -3.99%K -11.65%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.73%EV -7.80%E -1.47%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.43%EV -4.32%E -0.939%K -1.20%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-07 17:15
NordicBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.83%EV -6.06%E -3.99%K -11.65%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.73%EV -7.80%E -1.47%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.43%EV -4.32%E -0.939%K -1.20%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-07 17:15
Fanatics🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.44%EV -7.29%E -4.86%K -14.59%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -8.67%E -1.65%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -1.20%E -0.253%K -0.320%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-07 16:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.55%EV -6.06%E -3.99%K -11.65%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.53%EV -8.67%E -1.65%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -12.64%E -3.01%K -3.95%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-07 13:25
LeoVegas🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.27%EV -7.29%E -4.86%K -14.59%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.51%EV -8.67%E -1.65%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -9.94%E -2.29%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-07 13:31
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -7.29%E -4.86%K -14.59%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -13.02%E -2.60%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -12.64%E -3.01%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-07 15:55
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.19%EV -11.00%E -7.64%K -25.00%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -13.02%E -2.60%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -6.40%E -1.42%K -1.83%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-07 13:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 60.11%EV -12.24%E -8.62%K -29.14%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.42%EV -14.76%E -3.01%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.46%EV -20.96%E -5.52%K -7.49%G +0.000%17.1%2026-08-07 13:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 59.91%EV -9.77%E -6.69%K -21.23%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.22%EV -16.50%E -3.44%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.87%EV -16.80%E -4.20%K -5.60%G +0.000%14.3%2026-08-07 13:25
Sky Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 60.75%EV -11.00%E -7.64%K -25.00%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.42%EV -17.37%E -3.66%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.83%EV -12.64%E -3.01%K -3.95%G +0.000%14.3%2026-08-07 13:35
Winamax (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 59.68%EV -10.38%E -7.16%K -23.08%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.41%EV -18.24%E -3.88%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 21.91%EV -17.84%E -4.52%K -6.05%G +0.000%15.6%2026-08-07 13:25
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 59.52%EV -11.00%E -7.64%K -25.00%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.05%EV -21.72%E -4.83%K -6.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.43%EV -16.80%E -4.20%K -5.60%G +0.000%16.7%2026-08-07 15:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 56.37%EV -7.91%E -5.31%K -16.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 20.49%EV -28.68%E -6.99%K -9.25%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 23.14%EV -24.50%E -6.75%K -9.31%G +0.000%19.1%2026-08-07 15:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎1.44I 69.44%NM 59.56%4.80I 20.83%NM 17.87%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.57%16.6%2026-08-07 13:25