Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Nordsjaelland v Randers FC

Kickoff: 2026-08-02 12:00 UTC

Final: FC Nordsjaelland 1–0 Randers FC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

59 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Nordsjaelland (Local)

Prediction 59.40%1.68fair odd
EV -0.798%
Edge -0.478%
Kelly -1.19%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.67

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.21%59.45%59.38%61.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.471.561.571.6768.03%64.03%63.69%59.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Randers FC (Visit)

Prediction 18.81%5.32fair odd
EV +1.93%
Edge +0.357%
Kelly +0.437%
Growth +0.008%

assuming max odds 5.42

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.72%18.81%18.85%19.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.504.965.005.4222.22%20.18%20.00%18.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 21.79%4.59fair odd
EV +0.239%
Edge +0.052%
Kelly +0.066%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.92%21.74%21.77%23.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.904.204.204.6025.64%23.82%23.81%21.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: FC Nordsjaelland (Local): 59.40%; Randers FC (Visit): 18.81%; Draw: 21.79%. For Randers FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.32. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.42, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.93%.

Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.31%EV -6.74%E -4.29%K -11.82%G +0.000%5.42I 18.45%NM 17.76%EV +1.93%E +0.357%K +0.437%G +0.008%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.93%EV +0.239%E +0.052%K +0.066%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-02 11:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.29%EV -6.74%E -4.29%K -11.82%G +0.000%5.41I 18.48%NM 17.79%EV +1.75%E +0.323%K +0.396%G +0.007%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.92%EV +0.239%E +0.052%K +0.066%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-02 11:49
BetOnline.ag🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.29%EV -6.74%E -4.29%K -11.82%G +0.000%5.41I 18.48%NM 17.79%EV +1.75%E +0.323%K +0.396%G +0.007%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.92%EV +0.239%E +0.052%K +0.066%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-02 11:49
BetUS🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.29%EV -6.74%E -4.29%K -11.82%G +0.000%5.41I 18.48%NM 17.79%EV +1.75%E +0.323%K +0.396%G +0.007%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.92%EV +0.239%E +0.052%K +0.066%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-02 11:50
BetAnything🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.29%EV -6.74%E -4.29%K -11.82%G +0.000%5.41I 18.48%NM 17.79%EV +1.75%E +0.323%K +0.396%G +0.007%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.92%EV +0.239%E +0.052%K +0.066%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-02 11:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.44%EV -3.77%E -2.33%K -6.08%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.17%EV -0.324%E -0.061%K -0.075%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.39%EV -6.30%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-02 11:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.44%EV -3.77%E -2.33%K -6.08%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.17%EV -0.324%E -0.061%K -0.075%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.39%EV -6.30%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-02 11:45
Everygame🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.80%EV -9.11%E -5.96%K -17.20%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.72%EV -1.26%E -0.241%K -0.297%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.48%EV -5.65%E -1.30%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-02 11:44
BetRivers🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.68%EV -6.74%E -4.29%K -11.82%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.02%EV -2.20%E -0.424%K -0.525%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -8.48%E -2.02%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-02 11:44
Unibet (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.68%EV -6.74%E -4.29%K -11.82%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.02%EV -2.20%E -0.424%K -0.525%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -8.48%E -2.02%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-02 11:45
Unibet (NL)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.68%EV -6.74%E -4.29%K -11.82%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.02%EV -2.20%E -0.424%K -0.525%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -8.48%E -2.02%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-02 11:45
Casumo🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.68%EV -6.74%E -4.29%K -11.82%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.02%EV -2.20%E -0.424%K -0.525%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -8.48%E -2.02%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-02 11:45
betPARX🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.68%EV -6.74%E -4.29%K -11.82%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.02%EV -2.20%E -0.424%K -0.525%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -8.48%E -2.02%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-02 11:44
FanDuel🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.75%EV -8.52%E -5.53%K -15.78%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV -2.20%E -0.424%K -0.525%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26%EV -4.12%E -0.936%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-02 11:44
Suprabets🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.54%EV -8.52%E -5.53%K -15.78%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -2.20%E -0.424%K -0.525%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.53%EV -5.65%E -1.30%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-02 11:47
TABtouch🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.30%EV -7.33%E -4.70%K -13.09%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.14%EV -4.09%E -0.801%K -0.996%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.56%EV -10.66%E -2.60%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-02 11:45
Unibet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.30%EV -7.33%E -4.70%K -13.09%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.14%EV -4.09%E -0.801%K -0.996%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.56%EV -10.66%E -2.60%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-02 11:44
Grosvenor🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.30%EV -7.33%E -4.70%K -13.09%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.14%EV -4.09%E -0.801%K -0.996%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.56%EV -10.66%E -2.60%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-02 11:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.45%EV -7.93%E -5.11%K -14.41%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.07%EV -4.09%E -0.801%K -0.996%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -10.66%E -2.60%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-02 11:45
1xBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.59%EV -3.77%E -2.33%K -6.08%G +0.000%5.09I 19.65%NM 18.65%EV -4.27%E -0.840%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.17I 23.98%NM 22.76%EV -9.13%E -2.19%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 11:55
GTbets🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.49%EV -0.798%E -0.478%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.06I 19.76%NM 18.97%EV -4.84%E -0.956%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.53%EV -11.09%E -2.72%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-02 11:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.82%EV -7.33%E -4.70%K -13.09%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.48%EV -5.03%E -0.995%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -6.30%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-02 11:45
Coolbet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.80%EV -3.77%E -2.33%K -6.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.05%EV -5.97%E -1.19%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.15%EV -6.30%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-02 11:39
LeoVegas🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.14%EV -6.74%E -4.29%K -11.82%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -5.97%E -1.19%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.98%EV -1.94%E -0.431%K -0.554%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-02 11:50
Codere (IT)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.70%EV -6.14%E -3.89%K -10.59%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.86%EV -5.97%E -1.19%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.44%EV -4.12%E -0.936%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-02 11:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.55%EV -6.14%E -3.89%K -10.59%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -5.97%E -1.19%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.63%EV -5.21%E -1.20%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-02 11:48
DraftKings🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.85%EV -6.74%E -4.29%K -11.82%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.79%EV -5.97%E -1.19%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.36%EV -4.12%E -0.936%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-02 11:45
Fanatics🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.56%EV -6.74%E -4.29%K -11.82%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -5.97%E -1.19%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.74%EV -6.30%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-02 11:45
BetMGM🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.25%EV -6.74%E -4.29%K -11.82%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -5.97%E -1.19%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -8.48%E -2.02%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-02 11:54
SportsBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.87%EV -8.52%E -5.53%K -15.78%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -5.97%E -1.19%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -7.39%E -1.74%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-02 11:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.24%EV -7.93%E -5.11%K -14.41%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -5.97%E -1.19%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -10.66%E -2.60%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-02 11:33
Virgin Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -9.11%E -5.96%K -17.20%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -5.97%E -1.19%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -12.84%E -3.21%K -4.28%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-02 11:44
LiveScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -9.11%E -5.96%K -17.20%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -5.97%E -1.19%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -12.84%E -3.21%K -4.28%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-02 11:45
Betr (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.42%EV -3.77%E -2.33%K -6.08%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.31%EV -7.85%E -1.60%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.27%EV -7.39%E -1.74%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-02 11:40
PMU (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 59.47%EV -12.08%E -8.17%K -25.18%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.96%EV -7.85%E -1.60%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.57%EV -15.02%E -3.85%K -5.18%G +0.000%13.6%2026-08-02 11:44
Betsson🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.78%EV -4.96%E -3.10%K -8.26%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -9.73%E -2.03%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -5.21%E -1.20%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-02 11:45
NordicBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.78%EV -4.96%E -3.10%K -8.26%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -9.73%E -2.03%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -5.21%E -1.20%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-02 11:49
Bovada🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.69%EV -4.96%E -3.10%K -8.26%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.23%EV -9.73%E -2.03%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -12.84%E -3.21%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-02 11:54
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -6.74%E -4.29%K -11.82%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -9.73%E -2.03%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -12.84%E -3.21%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-02 11:34
Bet Victor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.79%EV -7.93%E -5.11%K -14.41%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -9.73%E -2.03%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.23%EV -10.66%E -2.60%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-02 11:54
betano_uk🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.79%EV -7.93%E -5.11%K -14.41%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -9.73%E -2.03%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.23%EV -10.66%E -2.60%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-02 11:53
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.37%EV -4.96%E -3.10%K -8.26%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.66%EV -10.67%E -2.25%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.97%EV -7.39%E -1.74%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-02 11:39
Betway🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.06%EV -6.74%E -4.29%K -11.82%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -10.67%E -2.25%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.42%EV -5.65%E -1.30%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-02 11:45
Bet Right🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.21%EV -6.14%E -3.89%K -10.59%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.36%EV -10.67%E -2.25%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -10.66%E -2.60%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-02 11:39
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.30%EV -9.11%E -5.96%K -17.20%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.10%EV -10.67%E -2.25%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.60%EV -8.48%E -2.02%K -2.65%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-02 11:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.30%EV -9.11%E -5.96%K -17.20%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.10%EV -10.67%E -2.25%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.60%EV -8.48%E -2.02%K -2.65%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-02 11:44
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.35%EV -7.93%E -5.11%K -14.41%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -10.67%E -2.25%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -12.84%E -3.21%K -4.28%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-02 11:44
Winamax (DE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.32%EV -8.52%E -5.53%K -15.78%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.44%EV -11.61%E -2.47%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.24%EV -6.30%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-02 11:49
Betclic (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 59.19%EV -10.30%E -6.82%K -20.20%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.02%EV -11.61%E -2.47%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.80%EV -10.66%E -2.60%K -3.44%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-02 11:49
Unibet (FR)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 59.68%EV -12.68%E -8.63%K -26.98%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.66%EV -11.61%E -2.47%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 21.66%EV -11.75%E -2.90%K -3.85%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-02 11:49
NetBet (FR)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 59.18%EV -12.68%E -8.63%K -26.98%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.51%EV -11.61%E -2.47%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.31%EV -15.02%E -3.85%K -5.18%G +0.000%14.9%2026-08-02 11:54
betfred_uk🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.21%EV -4.96%E -3.10%K -8.26%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -13.49%E -2.93%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -12.84%E -3.21%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-02 11:39
Neds🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.66%EV -7.93%E -5.11%K -14.41%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.43%EV -13.49%E -2.93%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.91%EV -15.02%E -3.85%K -5.18%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-02 11:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.66%EV -7.93%E -5.11%K -14.41%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.43%EV -13.49%E -2.93%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.91%EV -15.02%E -3.85%K -5.18%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-02 11:54
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.66%EV -7.93%E -5.11%K -14.41%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.43%EV -13.49%E -2.93%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.91%EV -15.02%E -3.85%K -5.18%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-02 11:54
Coral🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.66%EV -7.93%E -5.11%K -14.41%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.43%EV -13.49%E -2.93%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.91%EV -15.02%E -3.85%K -5.18%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-02 11:55
Sky Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.31%EV -9.11%E -5.96%K -17.20%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.39%EV -13.49%E -2.93%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -12.84%E -3.21%K -4.28%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-02 11:45
Winamax (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 58.83%EV -9.71%E -6.39%K -18.67%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.87%EV -15.37%E -3.42%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.29%EV -8.48%E -2.02%K -2.65%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-02 11:49
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.06%EV -9.11%E -5.96%K -17.20%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.74%EV -15.37%E -3.42%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.21%EV -12.84%E -3.21%K -4.28%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-02 11:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook1.64I 60.98%NM 60.91%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.84%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.25%0.1%2026-08-02 11:50
Smarkets1.64I 60.98%NM 60.71%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.10%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.18%0.4%2026-08-02 11:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.71%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.10%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.18%0.4%2026-08-02 11:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.71%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.10%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.18%0.4%2026-08-02 11:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.71%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.10%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.18%0.4%2026-08-02 11:55

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