Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Nordsjaelland v Brondby IF

2026-08-30 16:00 UTC — Denmark Superliga

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Nordsjaelland (Local)

Prediction 39.64%2.52fair odd
EV -4.85%
Edge -2.02%
Kelly -3.47%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.03%39.67%39.64%40.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.132.292.302.4046.95%43.75%43.48%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Brondby IF (Visit)

Prediction 34.36%2.91fair odd
EV -5.52%
Edge -2.01%
Kelly -3.15%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.41%34.45%34.36%35.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.642.642.7540.00%37.89%37.88%36.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.00%3.85fair odd
EV -3.80%
Edge -1.03%
Kelly -1.41%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.90%25.88%26.00%26.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.533.583.7030.30%28.37%27.97%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: FC Nordsjaelland (Local): 39.64%; Brondby IF (Visit): 34.36%; Draw: 26.00%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.85. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.70, with an expected value of -3.80%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Betr (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.41%EV -4.85%E -2.02%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.03%EV -7.24%E -2.68%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.56%EV -3.80%E -1.03%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-21 10:30
Betsson🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.03%EV -4.85%E -2.02%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.95%EV -7.93%E -2.96%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -6.40%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-21 11:34
NordicBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.03%EV -4.85%E -2.02%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.95%EV -7.93%E -2.96%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -6.40%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-21 11:34
1xBet🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 39.78%EV -6.44%E -2.73%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.14%EV -5.52%E -2.01%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -6.40%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-21 10:29
FanDuel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.65%EV -6.84%E -2.91%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.16%EV -8.96%E -3.38%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -3.80%E -1.03%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-21 10:29
Codere (IT)🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 40.15%EV -8.42%E -3.65%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -5.52%E -2.01%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.13%EV -7.70%E -2.17%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-21 10:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.06%EV -8.82%E -3.83%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.03%EV -9.64%E -3.67%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -3.80%E -1.03%K -1.41%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-21 10:54
LeoVegas🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -8.82%E -3.83%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -7.24%E -2.68%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -9.00%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-21 10:29
Unibet (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -8.82%E -3.83%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -7.24%E -2.68%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -9.00%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-21 10:30
betfred_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.73%EV -8.82%E -3.83%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -9.99%E -3.81%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -6.40%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-21 10:35
SportsBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -8.82%E -3.83%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -10.67%E -4.11%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.32%EV -6.40%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-21 10:29
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -8.82%E -3.83%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -10.67%E -4.11%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.32%EV -6.40%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-21 10:35
Suprabets🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 40.06%EV -9.22%E -4.02%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.73%EV -6.55%E -2.41%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.21%EV -9.00%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-21 12:04
Unibet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.80%EV -12.78%E -5.81%K -10.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.67%EV -10.67%E -4.11%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.53%EV -14.20%E -4.30%K -6.17%G +0.000%14.2%2026-08-21 10:30
Sky Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.27%EV -12.78%E -5.81%K -10.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.55%EV -14.11%E -5.64%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.18%EV -14.20%E -4.30%K -6.17%G +0.000%15.8%2026-08-21 10:30
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.55%EV -14.77%E -6.87%K -12.84%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.19%EV -12.39%E -4.86%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.27%EV -10.30%E -2.99%K -4.20%G +0.000%14.7%2026-08-21 10:29
Winamax (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 39.97%EV -14.77%E -6.87%K -12.84%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.38%EV -14.11%E -5.64%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.65%EV -12.90%E -3.85%K -5.49%G +0.000%16.4%2026-08-21 10:30
Betclic (FR)🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 40.47%EV -15.56%E -7.30%K -13.77%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 33.41%EV -11.36%E -4.40%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.12%EV -14.20%E -4.30%K -6.17%G +0.000%16.0%2026-08-21 10:28
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

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