The School of Odds
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FC Midtjylland v FC Copenhagen

Kickoff: 2026-10-11 16:00 UTC

Final: FC Midtjylland 2–1 FC Copenhagen

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

59 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Midtjylland (Local)

Prediction 34.00%2.94fair odd
EV -0.728%
Edge -0.249%
Kelly -0.379%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.92

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.46%34.10%34.03%36.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.692.702.9240.00%37.14%37.04%34.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

FC Copenhagen (Visit)

Prediction 39.63%2.52fair odd
EV -1.71%
Edge -0.691%
Kelly -1.16%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.48

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.77%39.57%39.64%40.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.342.352.4847.62%42.65%42.55%40.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.37%3.79fair odd
EV -1.11%
Edge -0.295%
Kelly -0.403%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.02%26.33%26.33%27.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.483.503.7530.77%28.73%28.57%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: FC Midtjylland (Local): 34.00%; FC Copenhagen (Visit): 39.63%; Draw: 26.37%. For FC Midtjylland (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.94. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.92, with an expected value of -0.728%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 32.46%EV -0.728%E -0.249%K -0.379%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.85%EV -8.05%E -3.47%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.70%EV -6.38%E -1.80%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-11 15:44
LowVig.ag🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 32.46%EV -0.728%E -0.249%K -0.379%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.85%EV -8.05%E -3.47%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.70%EV -6.38%E -1.80%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-11 15:44
BetAnything🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 32.46%EV -0.728%E -0.249%K -0.379%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.85%EV -8.05%E -3.47%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.70%EV -6.38%E -1.80%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-11 15:44
Pinnacle🎯2.89I 34.60%NM 33.51%EV -1.75%E -0.605%K -0.925%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.52%EV -5.28%E -2.21%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.97%EV -1.64%E -0.438%K -0.599%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-11 15:50
Betsson🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.97%EV -2.09%E -0.725%K -1.11%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -5.68%E -2.39%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -7.70%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-11 15:44
NordicBet🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 33.14%EV -4.13%E -1.46%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.77%EV -6.87%E -2.92%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.09%EV -9.02%E -2.61%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-11 15:44
GTbets🎯2.81I 35.59%NM 34.21%EV -4.47%E -1.59%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.24%EV -2.90%E -1.18%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.55%EV -4.54%E -1.25%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-11 15:49
DraftKings🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.68%EV -4.81%E -1.72%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.13%EV -6.87%E -2.92%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -5.06%E -1.41%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-11 15:45
FanDuel🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -4.81%E -1.72%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -6.87%E -2.92%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -7.70%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-11 15:44
BetMGM🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -4.81%E -1.72%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.52%EV -6.87%E -2.92%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -10.34%E -3.04%K -4.31%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-11 15:44
ATG (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 35.06%EV -6.51%E -2.37%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.88%EV -1.71%E -0.691%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.06%EV -2.43%E -0.656%K -0.899%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-11 15:45
Svenska Spel🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 35.06%EV -6.51%E -2.37%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.88%EV -1.71%E -0.691%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.06%EV -2.43%E -0.656%K -0.899%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-11 15:44
Codere (IT)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.30%EV -6.51%E -2.37%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.14%EV -4.49%E -1.86%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.57%EV -6.38%E -1.80%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-11 15:49
LeoVegas🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -6.51%E -2.37%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.23%EV -4.88%E -2.04%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.52%EV -6.38%E -1.80%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-11 15:50
Unibet (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -6.51%E -2.37%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -4.88%E -2.04%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -7.70%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-11 15:49
1xBet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.99%EV -6.51%E -2.37%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.61%EV -6.47%E -2.74%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.40%EV -6.65%E -1.88%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-11 15:44
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -6.51%E -2.37%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -8.85%E -3.85%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.70%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-11 15:45
Fanatics🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -6.51%E -2.37%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -8.85%E -3.85%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.70%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-11 15:44
Marathon Bet🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 33.96%EV -6.85%E -2.50%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 39.76%EV -7.26%E -3.10%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.28%EV -6.65%E -1.88%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-11 15:43
Coolbet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.15%EV -8.21%E -3.04%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.54%EV -4.88%E -2.04%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.31%EV -1.11%E -0.295%K -0.403%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-11 15:44
888sport🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -8.21%E -3.04%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -4.88%E -2.04%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -10.34%E -3.04%K -4.31%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-11 15:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -8.21%E -3.04%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -4.88%E -2.04%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -10.34%E -3.04%K -4.31%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-11 15:45
888sport (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -8.21%E -3.04%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -4.88%E -2.04%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -10.34%E -3.04%K -4.31%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-11 15:45
William Hill🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -8.21%E -3.04%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.74%EV -5.68%E -2.39%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -10.34%E -3.04%K -4.31%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-11 15:44
Bet Victor🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -8.21%E -3.04%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -8.85%E -3.85%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -7.70%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-11 15:48
betano_uk🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -8.21%E -3.04%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -8.85%E -3.85%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -7.70%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-11 15:44
SportsBet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -8.21%E -3.04%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -8.85%E -3.85%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -9.02%E -2.61%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-11 15:44
Bovada🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -8.21%E -3.04%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -8.85%E -3.85%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -9.02%E -2.61%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-11 15:48
BetUS🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -8.21%E -3.04%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -8.85%E -3.85%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -9.02%E -2.61%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-11 15:49
Paddy Power🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -8.21%E -3.04%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -8.85%E -3.85%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -10.34%E -3.04%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-11 15:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -8.21%E -3.04%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -8.85%E -3.85%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -10.34%E -3.04%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-11 15:48
PlayUp🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -8.21%E -3.04%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -8.85%E -3.85%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -12.97%E -3.93%K -5.64%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-11 15:44
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.28%EV -8.21%E -3.04%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -8.85%E -3.85%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -14.29%E -4.40%K -6.35%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-11 15:45
Neds🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.28%EV -8.21%E -3.04%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -8.85%E -3.85%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -14.29%E -4.40%K -6.35%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-11 15:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.28%EV -8.21%E -3.04%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -8.85%E -3.85%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -14.29%E -4.40%K -6.35%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-11 15:44
Coral🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.28%EV -8.21%E -3.04%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -8.85%E -3.85%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -14.29%E -4.40%K -6.35%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-11 15:44
Betr (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.58%EV -9.91%E -3.74%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.28%EV -4.88%E -2.04%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -1.11%E -0.295%K -0.403%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-11 15:45
Casumo🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.08%EV -9.91%E -3.74%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.73%EV -4.88%E -2.04%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -6.38%E -1.80%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-11 15:44
Unibet (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.08%EV -9.91%E -3.74%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.73%EV -4.88%E -2.04%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -6.38%E -1.80%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-11 15:44
Unibet (NL)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.08%EV -9.91%E -3.74%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.73%EV -4.88%E -2.04%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -6.38%E -1.80%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-11 15:44
betPARX🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.08%EV -9.91%E -3.74%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.73%EV -4.88%E -2.04%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -6.38%E -1.80%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-11 15:44
BetRivers🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.01%EV -10.59%E -4.03%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.69%EV -5.68%E -2.39%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -7.70%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-11 15:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.60%EV -11.61%E -4.46%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.39%EV -6.87%E -2.92%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.02%EV -2.43%E -0.656%K -0.899%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-11 15:44
betfred_uk🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.53%EV -11.61%E -4.46%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.81%EV -5.68%E -2.39%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.66%EV -5.06%E -1.41%K -1.95%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-11 15:45
Bet Right🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.35%EV -11.61%E -4.46%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.11%EV -6.87%E -2.92%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -5.06%E -1.41%K -1.95%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-11 15:44
Grosvenor🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.96%EV -11.61%E -4.46%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.68%EV -6.87%E -2.92%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.35%EV -9.02%E -2.61%K -3.68%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-11 15:45
Unibet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.96%EV -11.61%E -4.46%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.68%EV -6.87%E -2.92%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.35%EV -9.02%E -2.61%K -3.68%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-11 15:44
Winamax (DE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -11.61%E -4.46%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.34%EV -8.85%E -3.85%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -7.70%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-11 15:50
Sky Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.57%EV -11.61%E -4.46%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.77%EV -5.68%E -2.39%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.66%EV -14.29%E -4.40%K -6.35%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-11 15:30
Winamax (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.37%EV -11.61%E -4.46%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.72%EV -10.83%E -4.81%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.91%EV -9.02%E -2.61%K -3.68%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-11 15:49
Unibet (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 33.05%EV -11.61%E -4.46%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 40.92%EV -16.77%E -7.99%K -15.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.04%EV -12.97%E -3.93%K -5.64%G +0.000%16.4%2026-10-11 15:50
Betclic (FR)🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 34.72%EV -12.63%E -4.91%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.80%EV -8.85%E -3.85%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 26.48%EV -11.13%E -3.30%K -4.70%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-11 15:43
NetBet (FR)🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 34.19%EV -12.63%E -4.91%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 39.58%EV -12.02%E -5.41%K -9.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.23%EV -11.66%E -3.48%K -4.96%G +0.000%13.8%2026-10-11 15:44
Tipico (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.09%EV -13.31%E -5.22%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.35%EV -4.88%E -2.04%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -5.06%E -1.41%K -1.95%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-11 15:34
TABtouch🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.16%EV -13.31%E -5.22%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 38.48%EV -7.66%E -3.29%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -10.34%E -3.04%K -4.31%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-11 15:44
Virgin Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.10%EV -13.31%E -5.22%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 38.58%EV -8.05%E -3.47%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -10.34%E -3.04%K -4.31%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-11 15:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.10%EV -13.31%E -5.22%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 38.58%EV -8.05%E -3.47%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -10.34%E -3.04%K -4.31%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-11 15:44
LiveScore Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.10%EV -13.31%E -5.22%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 38.58%EV -8.05%E -3.47%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -10.34%E -3.04%K -4.31%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-11 15:44
PMU (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.30%EV -15.01%E -6.00%K -10.00%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.36%EV -8.85%E -3.85%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.34%EV -11.66%E -3.48%K -4.96%G +0.000%13.3%2026-10-11 15:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook◎2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.82%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.55%0.5%2026-10-11 15:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.96I 33.78%NM 33.52%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.01%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.46%0.8%2026-10-11 15:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.96I 33.78%NM 33.52%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.01%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.46%0.8%2026-10-11 15:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.96I 33.78%NM 33.52%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.01%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.46%0.8%2026-10-11 15:45
Smarkets◎2.96I 33.78%NM 33.51%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.68%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.81%0.8%2026-10-11 15:50