Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Midtjylland v Brondby IF

Kickoff: 2026-03-01 16:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

59 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Midtjylland (Local)

Prediction 62.78%1.59fair odd
EV -2.07%
Edge -1.33%
Kelly -3.69%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.56

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.19%62.79%62.72%65.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.301.471.481.5676.92%67.84%67.57%64.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Brondby IF (Visit)

Prediction 16.33%6.13fair odd
EV +6.12%
Edge +0.942%
Kelly +1.11%
Growth +0.068%

assuming max odds 6.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.37%16.32%16.34%17.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.005.655.756.5020.00%17.69%17.39%15.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 20.90%4.79fair odd
EV +1.35%
Edge +0.277%
Kelly +0.349%
Growth +0.005%

assuming max odds 4.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.92%20.88%20.94%22.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.344.334.8526.67%23.03%23.09%20.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: FC Midtjylland (Local): 62.78%; Brondby IF (Visit): 16.33%; Draw: 20.90%. For Brondby IF (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.13. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.12%.

Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.32%EV -10.23%E -7.15%K -23.79%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV +6.12%E +0.942%K +1.11%G +0.068%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV -3.88%E -0.843%K -1.08%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-01 15:48
1xBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.73%EV -5.21%E -3.45%K -10.21%G +0.000%6.32I 15.82%NM 14.99%EV +3.18%E +0.504%K +0.598%G +0.019%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.29%EV -11.19%E -2.63%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-01 15:55
Pinnacle🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.82%EV -5.21%E -3.45%K -10.21%G +0.000%6.08I 16.45%NM 15.85%EV -0.735%E -0.121%K -0.145%G +0.000%4.74I 21.10%NM 20.33%EV -0.953%E -0.201%K -0.255%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-01 15:54
BetOnline.ag🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.98%EV -5.21%E -3.45%K -10.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.10%EV -2.04%E -0.340%K -0.408%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.92%EV +1.35%E +0.277%K +0.349%G +0.005%3.5%2026-03-01 15:54
LowVig.ag🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.98%EV -5.21%E -3.45%K -10.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.10%EV -2.04%E -0.340%K -0.408%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.92%EV +1.35%E +0.277%K +0.349%G +0.005%3.5%2026-03-01 15:54
Coolbet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.55%EV -4.58%E -3.01%K -8.80%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -2.04%E -0.340%K -0.408%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.61%EV -8.06%E -1.83%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-01 15:24
SportsBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.81%EV -9.60%E -6.67%K -21.82%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -2.04%E -0.340%K -0.408%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -8.06%E -1.83%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-01 15:49
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.24%EV -12.11%E -8.65%K -30.28%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.99%EV -2.04%E -0.340%K -0.408%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.77%EV -9.52%E -2.20%K -2.86%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-01 15:49
GTbets🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.49%EV -5.21%E -3.45%K -10.21%G +0.000%5.89I 16.98%NM 16.02%EV -3.84%E -0.651%K -0.785%G +0.000%4.39I 22.78%NM 21.49%EV -8.27%E -1.88%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-01 15:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.90%EV -2.07%E -1.33%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.65%EV -5.31%E -0.915%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.46%EV -5.97%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-01 15:44
ATG (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.90%EV -2.07%E -1.33%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.65%EV -5.31%E -0.915%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.46%EV -5.97%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-01 15:45
Codere (IT)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.10%EV -5.83%E -3.89%K -11.67%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.32%EV -5.31%E -0.915%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.58%EV -3.88%E -0.843%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-01 15:35
NordicBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.52%EV -5.83%E -3.89%K -11.67%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.17%EV -5.31%E -0.915%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%EV -8.06%E -1.83%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-01 15:24
Betsson🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.52%EV -5.83%E -3.89%K -11.67%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.17%EV -5.31%E -0.915%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%EV -8.06%E -1.83%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-01 15:24
Suprabets🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.57%EV -7.72%E -5.25%K -16.42%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.11%EV -5.31%E -0.915%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -3.88%E -0.843%K -1.08%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-01 15:52
Marathon Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -7.72%E -5.25%K -16.42%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.08%EV -5.31%E -0.915%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.49%EV -4.92%E -1.08%K -1.39%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-01 15:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.31%EV -8.97%E -6.19%K -19.94%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.83%EV -5.31%E -0.915%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -8.06%E -1.83%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-01 15:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.81%EV -3.95%E -2.58%K -7.45%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.45%EV -6.12%E -1.06%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.74%EV -9.10%E -2.09%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-01 15:44
Unibet (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.81%EV -3.95%E -2.58%K -7.45%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.45%EV -6.12%E -1.06%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.74%EV -9.10%E -2.09%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-01 15:44
Casumo🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.81%EV -3.95%E -2.58%K -7.45%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.45%EV -6.12%E -1.06%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.74%EV -9.10%E -2.09%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-01 15:45
betPARX🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.81%EV -3.95%E -2.58%K -7.45%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.45%EV -6.12%E -1.06%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.74%EV -9.10%E -2.09%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-01 15:44
DraftKings🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.01%EV -5.83%E -3.89%K -11.67%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.44%EV -6.12%E -1.06%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -3.88%E -0.843%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-01 15:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.73%EV -5.83%E -3.89%K -11.67%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -6.12%E -1.06%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -5.97%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-01 15:29
BetUS🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.88%EV -6.46%E -4.34%K -13.19%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -6.12%E -1.06%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -5.97%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-01 15:54
BetRivers🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.97%EV -5.21%E -3.45%K -10.21%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -6.12%E -1.06%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.76%EV -10.15%E -2.36%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-01 15:44
Betr (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.12%EV -5.83%E -3.89%K -11.67%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.21%EV -6.12%E -1.06%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.67%EV -10.15%E -2.36%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-01 15:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.97%EV -5.83%E -3.89%K -11.67%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.16%EV -6.12%E -1.06%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.87%EV -11.19%E -2.63%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-01 15:24
Everygame🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.80%EV -8.97%E -6.19%K -19.94%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.09%EV -6.12%E -1.06%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.11%EV -3.88%E -0.843%K -1.08%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-01 15:54
Bet Right🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.12%EV -7.09%E -4.79%K -14.77%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.99%EV -6.12%E -1.06%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -12.24%E -2.91%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-01 15:24
Bet Victor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.01%EV -8.97%E -6.19%K -19.94%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.89%EV -6.12%E -1.06%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.10%EV -9.52%E -2.20%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-01 15:29
Sky Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.42%EV -12.11%E -8.65%K -30.28%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.44%EV -6.12%E -1.06%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.14%EV -12.24%E -2.91%K -3.82%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-01 15:49
Unibet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.85%EV -5.83%E -3.89%K -11.67%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.57%EV -8.57%E -1.53%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -10.15%E -2.36%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-01 15:44
Grosvenor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.85%EV -5.83%E -3.89%K -11.67%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.57%EV -8.57%E -1.53%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -10.15%E -2.36%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-01 15:44
TABtouch🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.70%EV -5.83%E -3.89%K -11.67%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.53%EV -8.57%E -1.53%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.78%EV -11.19%E -2.63%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-01 15:44
LeoVegas🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.70%EV -5.83%E -3.89%K -11.67%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.53%EV -8.57%E -1.53%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.78%EV -11.19%E -2.63%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-01 15:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.86%EV -6.46%E -4.34%K -13.19%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.46%EV -8.57%E -1.53%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -11.19%E -2.63%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-01 15:44
Bovada🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.33%EV -7.72%E -5.25%K -16.42%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.36%EV -8.57%E -1.53%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.31%EV -10.15%E -2.36%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-01 15:54
BetAnything🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.33%EV -7.72%E -5.25%K -16.42%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.36%EV -8.57%E -1.53%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.31%EV -10.15%E -2.36%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-01 15:54
Fanatics🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -5.83%E -3.89%K -11.67%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -10.20%E -1.86%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -5.97%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-01 15:24
BetMGM🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.97%EV -5.83%E -3.89%K -11.67%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -10.20%E -1.86%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -8.06%E -1.83%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-01 15:24
Betway🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.58%EV -7.09%E -4.79%K -14.77%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -10.20%E -1.86%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.58%EV -5.97%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-01 15:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.83%EV -7.72%E -5.25%K -16.42%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.53%EV -10.20%E -1.86%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -12.24%E -2.91%K -3.82%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-01 15:44
Virgin Bet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 61.67%EV -8.34%E -5.72%K -18.14%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.37%EV -10.20%E -1.86%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.96%EV -14.33%E -3.49%K -4.62%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-01 15:44
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -9.60%E -6.67%K -21.82%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -10.20%E -1.86%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -12.24%E -2.91%K -3.82%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-01 15:54
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -9.60%E -6.67%K -21.82%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -10.20%E -1.86%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -12.24%E -2.91%K -3.82%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-01 15:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -9.60%E -6.67%K -21.82%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -10.20%E -1.86%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -12.24%E -2.91%K -3.82%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-01 15:54
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -9.60%E -6.67%K -21.82%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -10.20%E -1.86%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -12.24%E -2.91%K -3.82%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-01 15:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 61.43%EV -12.11%E -8.65%K -30.28%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.64%EV -10.20%E -1.86%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.93%EV -21.64%E -5.77%K -7.87%G +0.000%16.3%2026-03-01 15:49
PMU (FR)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 64.05%EV -18.39%E -14.15%K -61.30%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.14%EV -10.20%E -1.86%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 20.82%EV -16.42%E -4.10%K -5.47%G +0.000%20.1%2026-03-01 15:49
Winamax (DE)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 62.50%EV -8.34%E -5.72%K -18.14%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.22%EV -13.47%E -2.54%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.28%EV -5.97%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-01 15:29
NetBet (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 62.29%EV -13.37%E -9.69%K -35.18%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.22%EV -13.47%E -2.54%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.49%EV -16.42%E -4.10%K -5.47%G +0.000%16.3%2026-03-01 15:54
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.19%EV -7.09%E -4.79%K -14.77%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.25%EV -14.29%E -2.72%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -12.24%E -2.91%K -3.82%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-01 15:29
Neds🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.19%EV -7.09%E -4.79%K -14.77%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.25%EV -14.29%E -2.72%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -12.24%E -2.91%K -3.82%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-01 15:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.19%EV -7.09%E -4.79%K -14.77%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.25%EV -14.29%E -2.72%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -12.24%E -2.91%K -3.82%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-01 15:25
Coral🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.19%EV -7.09%E -4.79%K -14.77%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.25%EV -14.29%E -2.72%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -12.24%E -2.91%K -3.82%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-01 15:29
Betclic (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 62.18%EV -11.48%E -8.14%K -28.01%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.70%EV -14.29%E -2.72%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.12%EV -13.28%E -3.20%K -4.22%G +0.000%14.1%2026-03-01 15:34
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 61.75%EV -10.86%E -7.65%K -25.85%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.86%EV -15.10%E -2.90%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.39%EV -14.33%E -3.49%K -4.62%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-01 15:34
Winamax (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 61.48%EV -10.23%E -7.15%K -23.79%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.58%EV -18.37%E -3.67%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.93%EV -12.24%E -2.91%K -3.82%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-01 15:29
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 62.37%EV -12.11%E -8.65%K -30.28%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.46%EV -18.37%E -3.67%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.17%EV -9.52%E -2.20%K -2.86%G +0.000%14.5%2026-03-01 15:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 64.78%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.65%0.9%2026-03-01 15:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.53I 65.36%NM 64.78%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.65%0.9%2026-03-01 15:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 64.78%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.65%0.9%2026-03-01 15:54
Matchbook1.53I 65.36%NM 64.78%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.65%0.9%2026-03-01 15:54
Smarkets1.52I 65.79%NM 64.64%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.45%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.91%1.8%2026-03-01 15:54