A Escola das Odds

FC Midtjylland v Brondby IF

Início: 2026-05-17 16:00 UTC

Final: FC Midtjylland 2–3 Brondby IF

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

58 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

FC Midtjylland (Local)

Previsão 46.92%2.13odd justa
EV -3.34%
Vantagem -1.62%
Kelly -3.15%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.06

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
45.53%46.89%46.90%48.60%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.821.951.952.0654.95%51.30%51.28%48.54%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Brondby IF (Visitante)

Previsão 28.27%3.54odd justa
EV +3.20%
Vantagem +0.876%
Kelly +1.21%
Crescimento +0.039%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.65

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.24%28.19%28.33%29.79%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.903.313.303.6534.48%30.21%30.30%27.40%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 24.81%4.03odd justa
EV -4.25%
Vantagem -1.10%
Kelly -1.49%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.86

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.00%24.92%24.77%26.45%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.203.653.703.8631.25%27.39%27.03%25.91%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (58 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Svenska Spel2.00I 50.00%NM 48.37%EV -6.16%E -3.08%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.50%EV +3.20%E +0.876%K +1.21%G +0.039%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.13%EV -4.50%E -1.17%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-14 17:14
ATG (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 48.37%EV -6.16%E -3.08%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.50%EV +3.20%E +0.876%K +1.21%G +0.039%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.13%EV -4.50%E -1.17%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-14 17:15
Unibet (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.42%EV -9.44%E -4.89%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV +0.369%E +0.104%K +0.145%G +0.001%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.26%EV -8.22%E -2.22%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-14 17:15
Unibet (NL)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.42%EV -9.44%E -4.89%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV +0.369%E +0.104%K +0.145%G +0.001%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.26%EV -8.22%E -2.22%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-14 17:14
Casumo1.93I 51.81%NM 48.42%EV -9.44%E -4.89%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV +0.369%E +0.104%K +0.145%G +0.001%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.26%EV -8.22%E -2.22%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-14 17:14
BetRivers1.93I 51.81%NM 48.42%EV -9.44%E -4.89%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV +0.369%E +0.104%K +0.145%G +0.001%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.26%EV -8.22%E -2.22%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-14 17:15
betPARX1.93I 51.81%NM 48.42%EV -9.44%E -4.89%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV +0.369%E +0.104%K +0.145%G +0.001%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.26%EV -8.22%E -2.22%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-14 17:14
Unibet1.92I 52.08%NM 48.37%EV -9.91%E -5.16%K -10.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.53%EV -1.04%E -0.298%K -0.418%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.10%EV -8.22%E -2.22%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-14 17:15
Grosvenor1.92I 52.08%NM 48.37%EV -9.91%E -5.16%K -10.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.53%EV -1.04%E -0.298%K -0.418%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.10%EV -8.22%E -2.22%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-14 17:15
TABtouch1.91I 52.36%NM 48.33%EV -10.38%E -5.43%K -11.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.38%EV -1.04%E -0.298%K -0.418%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.29%EV -9.46%E -2.59%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-14 17:15
LeoVegas1.91I 52.36%NM 48.33%EV -10.38%E -5.43%K -11.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.38%EV -1.04%E -0.298%K -0.418%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.29%EV -9.46%E -2.59%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-14 17:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.89I 52.91%NM 48.60%EV -11.32%E -5.99%K -12.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -1.04%E -0.298%K -0.418%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -9.46%E -2.59%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-14 17:14
GTbets1.95I 51.28%NM 48.09%EV -8.50%E -4.36%K -8.95%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.10%EV -2.18%E -0.629%K -0.884%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.81%EV -6.23%E -1.65%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-17 07:39
LiveScore Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 48.38%EV -11.79%E -6.27%K -13.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.36%EV -2.46%E -0.713%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV -10.70%E -2.97%K -4.12%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-14 17:14
Coolbet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.44%EV -6.16%E -3.08%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.91%EV -3.87%E -1.14%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.65%EV -4.50%E -1.17%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 07:45
FanDuel1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -8.50%E -4.36%K -8.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -3.87%E -1.14%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -8.22%E -2.22%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-17 07:44
Virgin Bet1.86I 53.76%NM 48.29%EV -12.73%E -6.84%K -14.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.42%EV -3.87%E -1.14%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.30%EV -11.94%E -3.36%K -4.68%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-14 17:14
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 47.25%EV -6.16%E -3.08%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.21%EV -5.29%E -1.58%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.54%EV -4.50%E -1.17%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-17 07:40
Unibet (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.94%EV -6.16%E -3.08%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.02%EV -5.29%E -1.58%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -6.98%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-17 07:51
PMU (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 48.47%EV -14.60%E -8.02%K -17.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.33%EV -5.29%E -1.58%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.20%EV -13.18%E -3.77%K -5.27%G +0.000%13.4%2026-05-14 17:15
Pinnacle2.03I 49.26%NM 46.83%EV -4.75%E -2.34%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.55%EV -5.85%E -1.76%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.63%EV -4.25%E -1.10%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-17 07:45
NordicBet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.05%EV -6.16%E -3.08%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.51%EV -6.70%E -2.03%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV -4.50%E -1.17%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-17 07:40
Betsson2.00I 50.00%NM 47.05%EV -6.16%E -3.08%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.51%EV -6.70%E -2.03%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV -4.50%E -1.17%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-17 07:40
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -6.16%E -3.08%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -6.70%E -2.03%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -5.74%E -1.51%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-17 07:45
PointsBet (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.53%EV -8.50%E -4.36%K -8.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -6.70%E -2.03%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -5.74%E -1.51%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-17 07:45
BetMGM2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -6.16%E -3.08%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -6.70%E -2.03%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -10.70%E -2.97%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-17 07:49
Bovada1.95I 51.28%NM 47.06%EV -8.50%E -4.36%K -8.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -6.70%E -2.03%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.14%EV -9.46%E -2.59%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-17 08:00
BetUS1.95I 51.28%NM 47.06%EV -8.50%E -4.36%K -8.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -6.70%E -2.03%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.14%EV -9.46%E -2.59%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-17 07:55
BetAnything1.95I 51.28%NM 47.06%EV -8.50%E -4.36%K -8.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -6.70%E -2.03%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.14%EV -9.46%E -2.59%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-17 07:54
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 47.41%EV -10.38%E -5.43%K -11.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -6.70%E -2.03%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -10.70%E -2.97%K -4.12%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-17 07:42
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 47.54%EV -10.85%E -5.71%K -12.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -6.70%E -2.03%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.09%EV -10.70%E -2.97%K -4.12%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-17 07:40
Marathon Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.63%EV -6.16%E -3.08%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.43%EV -7.26%E -2.21%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 24.94%EV -7.23%E -1.93%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 07:45
1xBet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.34%EV -5.22%E -2.58%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 28.63%EV -7.55%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.03%EV -7.23%E -1.93%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-17 07:50
LowVig.ag2.06I 48.54%NM 45.65%EV -3.34%E -1.62%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV -8.11%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -8.22%E -2.22%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-17 08:05
BetOnline.ag2.06I 48.54%NM 45.65%EV -3.34%E -1.62%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV -8.11%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -8.22%E -2.22%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-17 08:05
Everygame2.00I 50.00%NM 46.54%EV -6.16%E -3.08%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -8.11%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.82%EV -6.98%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-17 07:45
betfred_uk1.95I 51.28%NM 47.17%EV -8.50%E -4.36%K -8.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -8.11%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -6.98%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-17 07:45
Bet Right1.94I 51.55%NM 47.30%EV -8.97%E -4.63%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -8.11%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.47%EV -6.98%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-17 07:45
Suprabets2.02I 49.50%NM 46.21%EV -5.22%E -2.58%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 28.90%EV -8.68%E -2.69%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.89%EV -6.98%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-17 07:48
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 46.33%EV -6.16%E -3.08%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -9.53%E -2.98%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -6.98%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-17 07:55
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 46.81%EV -8.50%E -4.36%K -8.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.52%EV -9.53%E -2.98%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.67%EV -8.22%E -2.22%K -3.04%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-17 07:43
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -6.16%E -3.08%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -9.53%E -2.98%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -13.18%E -3.77%K -5.27%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-17 07:45
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -6.16%E -3.08%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -9.53%E -2.98%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -13.18%E -3.77%K -5.27%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-17 07:45
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -6.16%E -3.08%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -9.53%E -2.98%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -13.18%E -3.77%K -5.27%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-17 07:45
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -6.16%E -3.08%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -9.53%E -2.98%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -13.18%E -3.77%K -5.27%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-17 07:45
Betclic (FR)1.89I 52.91%NM 47.27%EV -11.32%E -5.99%K -12.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -9.53%E -2.98%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -10.70%E -2.97%K -4.12%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-17 07:50
Neds1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -8.50%E -4.36%K -8.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -9.53%E -2.98%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -15.66%E -4.61%K -6.53%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-17 07:51
Ladbrokes (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -8.50%E -4.36%K -8.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -9.53%E -2.98%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -15.66%E -4.61%K -6.53%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-17 07:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -8.50%E -4.36%K -8.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -9.53%E -2.98%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -15.66%E -4.61%K -6.53%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-17 07:51
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -8.50%E -4.36%K -8.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -9.53%E -2.98%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -15.66%E -4.61%K -6.53%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-17 07:54
Sky Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 46.67%EV -10.38%E -5.43%K -11.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.86%EV -9.53%E -2.98%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -13.18%E -3.77%K -5.27%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-17 07:40
Winamax (DE)1.94I 51.55%NM 46.88%EV -8.97%E -4.63%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.87%EV -10.94%E -3.47%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.25%EV -6.98%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-17 07:50
PlayUp1.95I 51.28%NM 46.28%EV -8.50%E -4.36%K -8.95%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.65%EV -10.94%E -3.47%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.07%EV -10.70%E -2.97%K -4.12%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-17 07:40
Unibet (FR)1.87I 53.48%NM 46.78%EV -12.26%E -6.55%K -14.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.22%EV -12.35%E -3.99%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.00%EV -13.18%E -3.77%K -5.27%G +0.000%14.3%2026-05-17 07:50
NetBet (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 46.98%EV -14.13%E -7.72%K -17.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.73%EV -12.35%E -3.99%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.29%EV -15.66%E -4.61%K -6.53%G +0.000%16.3%2026-05-17 07:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 46.25%EV -14.13%E -7.72%K -17.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.30%EV -12.35%E -3.99%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.45%EV -20.62%E -6.44%K -9.37%G +0.000%18.2%2026-05-17 07:40
Winamax (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 46.76%EV -11.79%E -6.27%K -13.40%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.82%EV -13.77%E -4.51%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.42%EV -10.70%E -2.97%K -4.12%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-17 07:49
BoyleSports1.87I 53.48%NM 46.20%EV -12.26%E -6.55%K -14.09%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.79%EV -18.01%E -6.21%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.00%EV -10.70%E -2.97%K -4.12%G +0.000%15.7%2026-05-17 07:40
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook2.10I 47.62%NM 47.48%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.95%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.57%0.3%2026-05-17 08:15
Smarkets2.10I 47.62%NM 47.46%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.31%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.23%0.3%2026-05-17 08:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.28%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.58%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.14%0.7%2026-05-17 08:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.28%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.58%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.14%0.7%2026-05-17 08:16
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.28%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.58%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.14%0.7%2026-05-17 08:16