La escuela de los momios

FC Midtjylland v Brondby IF

Inicio: 2026-05-17 16:00 UTC

Final: FC Midtjylland 2–3 Brondby IF

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

58 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

FC Midtjylland (Local)

Predicción 46.92%2.13momio equitativo
EV -3.34%
Ventaja -1.62%
Kelly -3.15%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.06

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
45.53%46.89%46.90%48.60%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.821.951.952.0654.95%51.30%51.28%48.54%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Brondby IF (Visitante)

Predicción 28.27%3.54momio equitativo
EV +3.20%
Ventaja +0.876%
Kelly +1.21%
Crecimiento +0.039%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.65

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.24%28.19%28.33%29.79%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.903.313.303.6534.48%30.21%30.30%27.40%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 24.81%4.03momio equitativo
EV -4.25%
Ventaja -1.10%
Kelly -1.49%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.86

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.00%24.92%24.77%26.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.653.703.8631.25%27.39%27.03%25.91%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Svenska Spel2.00I 50.00%NM 48.37%EV -6.16%E -3.08%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.50%EV +3.20%E +0.876%K +1.21%G +0.039%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.13%EV -4.50%E -1.17%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-14 17:14
ATG (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 48.37%EV -6.16%E -3.08%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.50%EV +3.20%E +0.876%K +1.21%G +0.039%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.13%EV -4.50%E -1.17%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-14 17:15
Unibet (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.42%EV -9.44%E -4.89%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV +0.369%E +0.104%K +0.145%G +0.001%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.26%EV -8.22%E -2.22%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-14 17:15
Unibet (NL)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.42%EV -9.44%E -4.89%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV +0.369%E +0.104%K +0.145%G +0.001%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.26%EV -8.22%E -2.22%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-14 17:14
Casumo1.93I 51.81%NM 48.42%EV -9.44%E -4.89%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV +0.369%E +0.104%K +0.145%G +0.001%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.26%EV -8.22%E -2.22%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-14 17:14
BetRivers1.93I 51.81%NM 48.42%EV -9.44%E -4.89%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV +0.369%E +0.104%K +0.145%G +0.001%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.26%EV -8.22%E -2.22%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-14 17:15
betPARX1.93I 51.81%NM 48.42%EV -9.44%E -4.89%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV +0.369%E +0.104%K +0.145%G +0.001%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.26%EV -8.22%E -2.22%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-14 17:14
Unibet1.92I 52.08%NM 48.37%EV -9.91%E -5.16%K -10.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.53%EV -1.04%E -0.298%K -0.418%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.10%EV -8.22%E -2.22%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-14 17:15
Grosvenor1.92I 52.08%NM 48.37%EV -9.91%E -5.16%K -10.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.53%EV -1.04%E -0.298%K -0.418%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.10%EV -8.22%E -2.22%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-14 17:15
TABtouch1.91I 52.36%NM 48.33%EV -10.38%E -5.43%K -11.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.38%EV -1.04%E -0.298%K -0.418%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.29%EV -9.46%E -2.59%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-14 17:15
LeoVegas1.91I 52.36%NM 48.33%EV -10.38%E -5.43%K -11.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.38%EV -1.04%E -0.298%K -0.418%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.29%EV -9.46%E -2.59%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-14 17:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.89I 52.91%NM 48.60%EV -11.32%E -5.99%K -12.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -1.04%E -0.298%K -0.418%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -9.46%E -2.59%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-14 17:14
GTbets1.95I 51.28%NM 48.09%EV -8.50%E -4.36%K -8.95%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.10%EV -2.18%E -0.629%K -0.884%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.81%EV -6.23%E -1.65%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-17 07:39
LiveScore Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 48.38%EV -11.79%E -6.27%K -13.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.36%EV -2.46%E -0.713%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV -10.70%E -2.97%K -4.12%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-14 17:14
Coolbet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.44%EV -6.16%E -3.08%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.91%EV -3.87%E -1.14%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.65%EV -4.50%E -1.17%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 07:45
FanDuel1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -8.50%E -4.36%K -8.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -3.87%E -1.14%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -8.22%E -2.22%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-17 07:44
Virgin Bet1.86I 53.76%NM 48.29%EV -12.73%E -6.84%K -14.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.42%EV -3.87%E -1.14%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.30%EV -11.94%E -3.36%K -4.68%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-14 17:14
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 47.25%EV -6.16%E -3.08%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.21%EV -5.29%E -1.58%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.54%EV -4.50%E -1.17%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-17 07:40
Unibet (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.94%EV -6.16%E -3.08%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.02%EV -5.29%E -1.58%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -6.98%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-17 07:51
PMU (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 48.47%EV -14.60%E -8.02%K -17.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.33%EV -5.29%E -1.58%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.20%EV -13.18%E -3.77%K -5.27%G +0.000%13.4%2026-05-14 17:15
Pinnacle2.03I 49.26%NM 46.83%EV -4.75%E -2.34%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.55%EV -5.85%E -1.76%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.63%EV -4.25%E -1.10%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-17 07:45
NordicBet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.05%EV -6.16%E -3.08%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.51%EV -6.70%E -2.03%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV -4.50%E -1.17%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-17 07:40
Betsson2.00I 50.00%NM 47.05%EV -6.16%E -3.08%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.51%EV -6.70%E -2.03%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV -4.50%E -1.17%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-17 07:40
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -6.16%E -3.08%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -6.70%E -2.03%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -5.74%E -1.51%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-17 07:45
PointsBet (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.53%EV -8.50%E -4.36%K -8.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -6.70%E -2.03%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -5.74%E -1.51%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-17 07:45
BetMGM2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -6.16%E -3.08%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -6.70%E -2.03%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -10.70%E -2.97%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-17 07:49
Bovada1.95I 51.28%NM 47.06%EV -8.50%E -4.36%K -8.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -6.70%E -2.03%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.14%EV -9.46%E -2.59%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-17 08:00
BetUS1.95I 51.28%NM 47.06%EV -8.50%E -4.36%K -8.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -6.70%E -2.03%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.14%EV -9.46%E -2.59%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-17 07:55
BetAnything1.95I 51.28%NM 47.06%EV -8.50%E -4.36%K -8.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -6.70%E -2.03%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.14%EV -9.46%E -2.59%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-17 07:54
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 47.41%EV -10.38%E -5.43%K -11.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -6.70%E -2.03%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -10.70%E -2.97%K -4.12%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-17 07:42
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 47.54%EV -10.85%E -5.71%K -12.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -6.70%E -2.03%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.09%EV -10.70%E -2.97%K -4.12%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-17 07:40
Marathon Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.63%EV -6.16%E -3.08%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.43%EV -7.26%E -2.21%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 24.94%EV -7.23%E -1.93%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 07:45
1xBet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.34%EV -5.22%E -2.58%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 28.63%EV -7.55%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.03%EV -7.23%E -1.93%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-17 07:50
LowVig.ag2.06I 48.54%NM 45.65%EV -3.34%E -1.62%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV -8.11%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -8.22%E -2.22%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-17 08:05
BetOnline.ag2.06I 48.54%NM 45.65%EV -3.34%E -1.62%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV -8.11%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -8.22%E -2.22%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-17 08:05
Everygame2.00I 50.00%NM 46.54%EV -6.16%E -3.08%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -8.11%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.82%EV -6.98%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-17 07:45
betfred_uk1.95I 51.28%NM 47.17%EV -8.50%E -4.36%K -8.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -8.11%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -6.98%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-17 07:45
Bet Right1.94I 51.55%NM 47.30%EV -8.97%E -4.63%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -8.11%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.47%EV -6.98%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-17 07:45
Suprabets2.02I 49.50%NM 46.21%EV -5.22%E -2.58%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 28.90%EV -8.68%E -2.69%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.89%EV -6.98%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-17 07:48
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 46.33%EV -6.16%E -3.08%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -9.53%E -2.98%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -6.98%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-17 07:55
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 46.81%EV -8.50%E -4.36%K -8.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.52%EV -9.53%E -2.98%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.67%EV -8.22%E -2.22%K -3.04%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-17 07:43
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -6.16%E -3.08%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -9.53%E -2.98%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -13.18%E -3.77%K -5.27%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-17 07:45
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -6.16%E -3.08%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -9.53%E -2.98%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -13.18%E -3.77%K -5.27%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-17 07:45
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -6.16%E -3.08%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -9.53%E -2.98%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -13.18%E -3.77%K -5.27%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-17 07:45
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -6.16%E -3.08%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -9.53%E -2.98%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -13.18%E -3.77%K -5.27%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-17 07:45
Betclic (FR)1.89I 52.91%NM 47.27%EV -11.32%E -5.99%K -12.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -9.53%E -2.98%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -10.70%E -2.97%K -4.12%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-17 07:50
Neds1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -8.50%E -4.36%K -8.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -9.53%E -2.98%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -15.66%E -4.61%K -6.53%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-17 07:51
Ladbrokes (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -8.50%E -4.36%K -8.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -9.53%E -2.98%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -15.66%E -4.61%K -6.53%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-17 07:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -8.50%E -4.36%K -8.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -9.53%E -2.98%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -15.66%E -4.61%K -6.53%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-17 07:51
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -8.50%E -4.36%K -8.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -9.53%E -2.98%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -15.66%E -4.61%K -6.53%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-17 07:54
Sky Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 46.67%EV -10.38%E -5.43%K -11.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.86%EV -9.53%E -2.98%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -13.18%E -3.77%K -5.27%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-17 07:40
Winamax (DE)1.94I 51.55%NM 46.88%EV -8.97%E -4.63%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.87%EV -10.94%E -3.47%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.25%EV -6.98%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-17 07:50
PlayUp1.95I 51.28%NM 46.28%EV -8.50%E -4.36%K -8.95%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.65%EV -10.94%E -3.47%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.07%EV -10.70%E -2.97%K -4.12%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-17 07:40
Unibet (FR)1.87I 53.48%NM 46.78%EV -12.26%E -6.55%K -14.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.22%EV -12.35%E -3.99%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.00%EV -13.18%E -3.77%K -5.27%G +0.000%14.3%2026-05-17 07:50
NetBet (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 46.98%EV -14.13%E -7.72%K -17.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.73%EV -12.35%E -3.99%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.29%EV -15.66%E -4.61%K -6.53%G +0.000%16.3%2026-05-17 07:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 46.25%EV -14.13%E -7.72%K -17.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.30%EV -12.35%E -3.99%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.45%EV -20.62%E -6.44%K -9.37%G +0.000%18.2%2026-05-17 07:40
Winamax (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 46.76%EV -11.79%E -6.27%K -13.40%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.82%EV -13.77%E -4.51%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.42%EV -10.70%E -2.97%K -4.12%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-17 07:49
BoyleSports1.87I 53.48%NM 46.20%EV -12.26%E -6.55%K -14.09%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.79%EV -18.01%E -6.21%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.00%EV -10.70%E -2.97%K -4.12%G +0.000%15.7%2026-05-17 07:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook2.10I 47.62%NM 47.48%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.95%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.57%0.3%2026-05-17 08:15
Smarkets2.10I 47.62%NM 47.46%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.31%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.23%0.3%2026-05-17 08:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.28%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.58%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.14%0.7%2026-05-17 08:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.28%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.58%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.14%0.7%2026-05-17 08:16
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.28%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.58%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.14%0.7%2026-05-17 08:16