La scuola delle quote

FC Midtjylland v AGF Aarhus

Inizio: 2026-04-20 17:02 UTC

Finale: FC Midtjylland 2–1 AGF Aarhus

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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54 bookmaker (14 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

FC Midtjylland (Casa)

Previsione 46.57%2.15quota equa
EV -4.54%
Vantaggio -2.21%
Kelly -4.32%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.05

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
45.18%46.58%46.55%47.90%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.791.961.962.0555.87%50.96%51.15%48.78%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

AGF Aarhus (Trasferta)

Previsione 27.48%3.64quota equa
EV +4.41%
Vantaggio +1.16%
Kelly +1.57%
Crescita +0.069%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.80

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.39%27.40%27.43%28.46%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.103.413.403.8032.26%29.30%29.41%26.32%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 25.96%3.85quota equa
EV -1.37%
Vantaggio -0.360%
Kelly -0.488%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.80

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
24.39%26.01%26.02%27.65%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.103.483.503.8032.26%28.75%28.57%26.32%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (54 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
betPARX2.05I 48.78%NM 47.42%EV -4.54%E -2.21%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.58%EV +4.41%E +1.16%K +1.57%G +0.069%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.00%EV -6.56%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-20 17:00
Svenska Spel2.05I 48.78%NM 47.42%EV -4.54%E -2.21%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.58%EV +4.41%E +1.16%K +1.57%G +0.069%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.00%EV -6.56%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-20 17:00
LiveScore Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 47.28%EV -5.93%E -2.94%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.81%EV +1.66%E +0.449%K +0.616%G +0.010%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.90%EV -7.86%E -2.21%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-20 17:00
Grosvenor2.02I 49.50%NM 47.28%EV -5.93%E -2.94%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.81%EV +1.66%E +0.449%K +0.616%G +0.010%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.90%EV -7.86%E -2.21%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-20 17:00
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -6.87%E -3.43%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV +1.66%E +0.449%K +0.616%G +0.010%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -11.75%E -3.46%K -4.90%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-20 16:59
Casumo1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -8.73%E -4.45%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.70%EV +0.288%E +0.079%K +0.109%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.43%EV -7.86%E -2.21%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-20 17:00
Unibet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.82%EV -9.19%E -4.71%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV +0.288%E +0.079%K +0.109%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -9.15%E -2.62%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-20 17:00
Unibet (NL)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.63%EV -9.19%E -4.71%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV +0.288%E +0.079%K +0.109%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -10.45%E -3.03%K -4.27%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-20 17:00
Pinnacle2.05I 48.78%NM 47.20%EV -4.54%E -2.21%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.58%EV +0.014%E +0.004%K +0.005%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 26.22%EV -4.22%E -1.14%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-20 16:59
TABtouch1.93I 51.81%NM 47.90%EV -10.12%E -5.25%K -10.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -1.09%E -0.301%K -0.417%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -9.15%E -2.62%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-20 17:00
LeoVegas1.93I 51.81%NM 47.90%EV -10.12%E -5.25%K -10.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -1.09%E -0.301%K -0.417%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -9.15%E -2.62%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-20 17:00
GTbets1.96I 51.02%NM 47.56%EV -8.73%E -4.45%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.11%EV -1.91%E -0.535%K -0.743%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.33%EV -8.11%E -2.29%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-20 16:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.92I 52.08%NM 47.49%EV -10.59%E -5.52%K -11.51%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.69%EV -2.46%E -0.693%K -0.964%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.82%EV -11.75%E -3.46%K -4.90%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-20 17:00
1xBet2.02I 49.50%NM 47.04%EV -5.93%E -2.94%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.92%EV -3.01%E -0.852%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.04%EV -5.26%E -1.44%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-20 16:59
Suprabets1.99I 50.25%NM 46.93%EV -7.33%E -3.68%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 26.61%EV -3.56%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.46%EV -8.37%E -2.37%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-20 16:56
BetOnline.ag2.05I 48.78%NM 46.23%EV -4.54%E -2.21%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.83%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.70%EV -7.86%E -2.21%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-20 17:00
LowVig.ag2.05I 48.78%NM 46.23%EV -4.54%E -2.21%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.83%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.70%EV -7.86%E -2.21%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-20 16:59
Everygame2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.87%E -3.43%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -3.83%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -9.15%E -2.62%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-20 16:59
Unibet (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 47.04%EV -8.26%E -4.19%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -3.83%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -9.15%E -2.62%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-20 17:00
ATG (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 47.04%EV -8.26%E -4.19%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -3.83%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -9.15%E -2.62%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-20 17:00
Bovada1.95I 51.28%NM 47.12%EV -9.19%E -4.71%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -3.83%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -10.45%E -3.03%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-20 16:51
Virgin Bet1.89I 52.91%NM 47.71%EV -11.99%E -6.34%K -13.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -3.83%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -11.75%E -3.46%K -4.90%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-20 17:00
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -11.06%E -5.79%K -12.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -3.83%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -14.34%E -4.35%K -6.24%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-20 17:00
Marathon Bet1.99I 50.25%NM 46.86%EV -7.33%E -3.68%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.80%EV -4.38%E -1.26%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.34%EV -8.11%E -2.29%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-20 16:59
BetUS1.95I 51.28%NM 46.94%EV -9.19%E -4.71%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -5.21%E -1.51%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -10.45%E -3.03%K -4.27%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-20 16:59
BetAnything1.95I 51.28%NM 46.94%EV -9.19%E -4.71%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -5.21%E -1.51%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -10.45%E -3.03%K -4.27%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-20 16:59
NordicBet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -5.93%E -2.94%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -6.58%E -1.94%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV -5.26%E -1.44%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-20 17:00
Sky Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 46.33%EV -11.06%E -5.79%K -12.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.02%EV -6.58%E -1.94%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.65%EV -16.94%E -5.29%K -7.70%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-20 17:00
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -6.87%E -3.43%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -7.95%E -2.37%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -3.96%E -1.07%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-20 17:00
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -6.87%E -3.43%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -9.33%E -2.83%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -3.96%E -1.07%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-20 16:59
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -6.87%E -3.43%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -9.33%E -2.83%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -3.96%E -1.07%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-20 16:59
Unibet (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.53%EV -9.19%E -4.71%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -9.33%E -2.83%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -1.37%E -0.360%K -0.488%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-20 17:00
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -9.19%E -4.71%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.33%E -2.83%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -9.15%E -2.62%K -3.66%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-20 17:00
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -9.19%E -4.71%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.33%E -2.83%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -9.15%E -2.62%K -3.66%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-20 16:59
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -6.87%E -3.43%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -9.33%E -2.83%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -14.34%E -4.35%K -6.24%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-20 17:00
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -6.87%E -3.43%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -9.33%E -2.83%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -14.34%E -4.35%K -6.24%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-20 17:00
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -6.87%E -3.43%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -9.33%E -2.83%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -14.34%E -4.35%K -6.24%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-20 17:00
PMU (FR)1.79I 55.87%NM 47.38%EV -16.64%E -9.30%K -21.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.70%EV -9.33%E -2.83%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 26.92%EV -18.24%E -5.79%K -8.48%G +0.000%17.9%2026-04-20 17:00
betfred_uk2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -6.87%E -3.43%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -10.70%E -3.29%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -6.56%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-20 16:58
Bet Right1.98I 50.51%NM 46.31%EV -7.80%E -3.94%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -10.70%E -3.29%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -6.56%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-20 16:59
Winamax (DE)1.94I 51.55%NM 46.65%EV -9.66%E -4.98%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.85%EV -10.70%E -3.29%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.50%EV -7.86%E -2.21%K -3.08%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-20 17:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.01%EV -9.19%E -4.71%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -10.70%E -3.29%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -11.75%E -3.46%K -4.90%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-20 16:59
Neds1.95I 51.28%NM 46.01%EV -9.19%E -4.71%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -10.70%E -3.29%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -11.75%E -3.46%K -4.90%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-20 16:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.01%EV -9.19%E -4.71%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -10.70%E -3.29%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -11.75%E -3.46%K -4.90%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-20 17:00
Unibet (FR)1.86I 53.76%NM 47.18%EV -13.38%E -7.20%K -15.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.00%EV -10.70%E -3.29%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.81%EV -11.75%E -3.46%K -4.90%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-20 16:58
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -6.87%E -3.43%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -12.08%E -3.77%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -9.15%E -2.62%K -3.66%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-20 16:59
Betsson1.95I 51.28%NM 46.65%EV -9.19%E -4.71%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -12.08%E -3.77%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.92%EV -5.26%E -1.44%K -1.98%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-20 17:00
PlayUp2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -6.87%E -3.43%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -12.08%E -3.77%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -11.75%E -3.46%K -4.90%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-20 17:00
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 45.45%EV -9.19%E -4.71%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -12.08%E -3.77%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -14.34%E -4.35%K -6.24%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-20 17:00
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 45.96%EV -11.06%E -5.79%K -12.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.43%EV -12.08%E -3.77%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.60%EV -14.34%E -4.35%K -6.24%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-20 17:00
Betclic (FR)1.89I 52.91%NM 46.41%EV -11.99%E -6.34%K -13.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.41%EV -12.08%E -3.77%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.18%EV -13.05%E -3.89%K -5.55%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-20 16:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 46.25%EV -14.78%E -8.08%K -17.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.45%EV -12.08%E -3.77%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.30%EV -19.54%E -6.30%K -9.30%G +0.000%18.2%2026-04-20 17:00
Winamax (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 46.69%EV -12.45%E -6.62%K -14.15%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.87%EV -13.45%E -4.27%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.44%EV -10.45%E -3.03%K -4.27%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-20 17:00
BoyleSports1.87I 53.48%NM 46.44%EV -12.92%E -6.91%K -14.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.01%EV -14.82%E -4.78%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.54%EV -11.75%E -3.46%K -4.90%G +0.000%15.1%2026-04-20 17:00
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.12%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.09%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.79%0.9%2026-04-20 17:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.12%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.09%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.79%0.9%2026-04-20 17:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.12%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.09%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.79%0.9%2026-04-20 17:00
Matchbook2.06I 48.54%NM 47.96%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.33%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.70%1.2%2026-04-20 17:00
Smarkets2.02I 49.50%NM 47.62%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.65%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.72%3.9%2026-04-20 17:00