La escuela de los momiosEspañol
FC Midtjylland v AGF Aarhus
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
FC Midtjylland (Local)
Predicción 46.57%2.15momio equitativo
EV -4.54%
Ventaja -2.21%
Kelly -4.32%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.05
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
45.18%46.58%46.55%47.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.791.961.962.0555.87%50.96%51.15%48.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
AGF Aarhus (Visitante)
Predicción 27.48%3.64momio equitativo
EV +4.41%
Ventaja +1.16%
Kelly +1.57%
Crecimiento +0.069%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.39%27.40%27.43%28.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.413.403.8032.26%29.30%29.41%26.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 25.96%3.85momio equitativo
EV -1.37%
Ventaja -0.360%
Kelly -0.488%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.39%26.01%26.02%27.65%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.483.503.8032.26%28.75%28.57%26.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (54 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| betPARX | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.42%EV -4.54%E -2.21%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.58%EV +4.41%E +1.16%K +1.57%G +0.069% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.00%EV -6.56%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-04-20 17:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.42%EV -4.54%E -2.21%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.58%EV +4.41%E +1.16%K +1.57%G +0.069% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.00%EV -6.56%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-04-20 17:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.28%EV -5.93%E -2.94%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.81%EV +1.66%E +0.449%K +0.616%G +0.010% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.90%EV -7.86%E -2.21%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-20 17:00 |
| Grosvenor | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.28%EV -5.93%E -2.94%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.81%EV +1.66%E +0.449%K +0.616%G +0.010% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.90%EV -7.86%E -2.21%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-20 17:00 |
| FanDuel | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -6.87%E -3.43%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV +1.66%E +0.449%K +0.616%G +0.010% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -11.75%E -3.46%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-20 16:59 |
| Casumo | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -8.73%E -4.45%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.70%EV +0.288%E +0.079%K +0.109%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.43%EV -7.86%E -2.21%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-20 17:00 |
| Unibet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.82%EV -9.19%E -4.71%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV +0.288%E +0.079%K +0.109%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -9.15%E -2.62%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-20 17:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.63%EV -9.19%E -4.71%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV +0.288%E +0.079%K +0.109%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -10.45%E -3.03%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-20 17:00 |
| Pinnacle | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.20%EV -4.54%E -2.21%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.58%EV +0.014%E +0.004%K +0.005%G +0.000% | 3.69I 27.10%NM 26.22%EV -4.22%E -1.14%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-20 16:59 |
| TABtouch | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.90%EV -10.12%E -5.25%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -1.09%E -0.301%K -0.417%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -9.15%E -2.62%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-20 17:00 |
| LeoVegas | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.90%EV -10.12%E -5.25%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -1.09%E -0.301%K -0.417%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -9.15%E -2.62%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-20 17:00 |
| GTbets | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.56%EV -8.73%E -4.45%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.11%EV -1.91%E -0.535%K -0.743%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.33%EV -8.11%E -2.29%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-20 16:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.49%EV -10.59%E -5.52%K -11.51%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.69%EV -2.46%E -0.693%K -0.964%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.82%EV -11.75%E -3.46%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-20 17:00 |
| 1xBet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.04%EV -5.93%E -2.94%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 26.92%EV -3.01%E -0.852%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.04%EV -5.26%E -1.44%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-20 16:59 |
| Suprabets | 1.99I 50.25%NM 46.93%EV -7.33%E -3.68%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.51I 28.49%NM 26.61%EV -3.56%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 26.46%EV -8.37%E -2.37%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-20 16:56 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.23%EV -4.54%E -2.21%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.83%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.70%EV -7.86%E -2.21%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-20 17:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.23%EV -4.54%E -2.21%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.83%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.70%EV -7.86%E -2.21%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-20 16:59 |
| Everygame | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.87%E -3.43%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -3.83%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -9.15%E -2.62%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-20 16:59 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.04%EV -8.26%E -4.19%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -3.83%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -9.15%E -2.62%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-20 17:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.04%EV -8.26%E -4.19%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -3.83%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -9.15%E -2.62%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-20 17:00 |
| Bovada | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.12%EV -9.19%E -4.71%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -3.83%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -10.45%E -3.03%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-20 16:51 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.89I 52.91%NM 47.71%EV -11.99%E -6.34%K -13.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -3.83%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -11.75%E -3.46%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-20 17:00 |
| Paddy Power | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -11.06%E -5.79%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -3.83%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -14.34%E -4.35%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-20 17:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.99I 50.25%NM 46.86%EV -7.33%E -3.68%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.80%EV -4.38%E -1.26%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.34%EV -8.11%E -2.29%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-20 16:59 |
| BetUS | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.94%EV -9.19%E -4.71%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -5.21%E -1.51%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -10.45%E -3.03%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-20 16:59 |
| BetAnything | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.94%EV -9.19%E -4.71%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -5.21%E -1.51%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -10.45%E -3.03%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-20 16:59 |
| NordicBet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -5.93%E -2.94%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -6.58%E -1.94%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV -5.26%E -1.44%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-20 17:00 |
| Sky Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.33%EV -11.06%E -5.79%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.02%EV -6.58%E -1.94%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.65%EV -16.94%E -5.29%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-04-20 17:00 |
| DraftKings | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -6.87%E -3.43%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -7.95%E -2.37%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -3.96%E -1.07%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-20 17:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -6.87%E -3.43%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -9.33%E -2.83%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -3.96%E -1.07%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-20 16:59 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -6.87%E -3.43%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -9.33%E -2.83%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -3.96%E -1.07%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-20 16:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.53%EV -9.19%E -4.71%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -9.33%E -2.83%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -1.37%E -0.360%K -0.488%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-20 17:00 |
| Betway | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -9.19%E -4.71%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.33%E -2.83%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -9.15%E -2.62%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-20 17:00 |
| Bet Victor | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -9.19%E -4.71%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.33%E -2.83%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -9.15%E -2.62%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-20 16:59 |
| 888sport | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -6.87%E -3.43%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -9.33%E -2.83%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -14.34%E -4.35%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-20 17:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -6.87%E -3.43%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -9.33%E -2.83%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -14.34%E -4.35%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-20 17:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -6.87%E -3.43%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -9.33%E -2.83%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -14.34%E -4.35%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-20 17:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 47.38%EV -16.64%E -9.30%K -21.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.70%EV -9.33%E -2.83%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 26.92%EV -18.24%E -5.79%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 17.9% | 2026-04-20 17:00 |
| betfred_uk | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -6.87%E -3.43%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -10.70%E -3.29%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -6.56%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-20 16:58 |
| Bet Right | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.31%EV -7.80%E -3.94%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -10.70%E -3.29%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -6.56%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-20 16:59 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.65%EV -9.66%E -4.98%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.85%EV -10.70%E -3.29%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.50%EV -7.86%E -2.21%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-20 17:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.01%EV -9.19%E -4.71%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -10.70%E -3.29%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -11.75%E -3.46%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-20 16:59 |
| Neds | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.01%EV -9.19%E -4.71%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -10.70%E -3.29%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -11.75%E -3.46%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-20 16:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.01%EV -9.19%E -4.71%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -10.70%E -3.29%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -11.75%E -3.46%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-20 17:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.86I 53.76%NM 47.18%EV -13.38%E -7.20%K -15.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.00%EV -10.70%E -3.29%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.81%EV -11.75%E -3.46%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-04-20 16:58 |
| William Hill | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -6.87%E -3.43%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -12.08%E -3.77%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -9.15%E -2.62%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-20 16:59 |
| Betsson | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.65%EV -9.19%E -4.71%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -12.08%E -3.77%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.92%EV -5.26%E -1.44%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-20 17:00 |
| PlayUp | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -6.87%E -3.43%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -12.08%E -3.77%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -11.75%E -3.46%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-20 17:00 |
| Coral | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.45%EV -9.19%E -4.71%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -12.08%E -3.77%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -14.34%E -4.35%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-04-20 17:00 |
| BetMGM | 1.91I 52.36%NM 45.96%EV -11.06%E -5.79%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.43%EV -12.08%E -3.77%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.60%EV -14.34%E -4.35%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-04-20 17:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.89I 52.91%NM 46.41%EV -11.99%E -6.34%K -13.47%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.41%EV -12.08%E -3.77%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.18%EV -13.05%E -3.89%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-04-20 16:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 46.25%EV -14.78%E -8.08%K -17.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.45%EV -12.08%E -3.77%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.30%EV -19.54%E -6.30%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 18.2% | 2026-04-20 17:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 46.69%EV -12.45%E -6.62%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.87%EV -13.45%E -4.27%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.44%EV -10.45%E -3.03%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-04-20 17:00 |
| BoyleSports | 1.87I 53.48%NM 46.44%EV -12.92%E -6.91%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.01%EV -14.82%E -4.78%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.54%EV -11.75%E -3.46%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-04-20 17:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.12% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.09% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.79% | 0.9% | 2026-04-20 17:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.12% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.09% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.79% | 0.9% | 2026-04-20 17:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.12% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.09% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.79% | 0.9% | 2026-04-20 17:00 |
| Matchbook | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.96% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.33% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.70% | 1.2% | 2026-04-20 17:00 |
| Smarkets | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.62% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.65% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.72% | 3.9% | 2026-04-20 17:00 |