L’École des cotes

FC Fredericia v Vejle Boldklub

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-13 17:00 UTC

Score final : FC Fredericia 2–2 Vejle Boldklub

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

56 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

FC Fredericia (Local)

Prévision 39.72%2.52cote équitable
EV -4.28%
Avantage -1.78%
Kelly -3.04%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.41

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.27%39.73%39.72%41.65%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.122.292.302.4147.17%43.59%43.48%41.49%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Vejle Boldklub (Visiteur)

Prévision 33.77%2.96cote équitable
EV +1.31%
Avantage +0.438%
Kelly +0.657%
Croissance +0.009%

avec la cote maximale 3.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.23%33.75%33.78%35.13%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.502.752.753.0040.00%36.39%36.36%33.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.51%3.77cote équitable
EV -1.91%
Avantage -0.516%
Kelly -0.707%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.58%26.52%26.50%28.06%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.463.503.7033.33%28.92%28.57%27.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
ATG (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 41.56%EV -7.46%E -3.20%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.28%EV +1.31%E +0.438%K +0.657%G +0.009%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.17%EV -1.91%E -0.516%K -0.707%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-13 16:20
Svenska Spel2.33I 42.92%NM 41.56%EV -7.46%E -3.20%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.28%EV +1.31%E +0.438%K +0.657%G +0.009%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.17%EV -1.91%E -0.516%K -0.707%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-13 16:19
Pinnacle2.41I 41.49%NM 40.17%EV -4.28%E -1.78%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.38%EV -2.06%E -0.711%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.45%EV -2.97%E -0.811%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-13 16:55
Casumo2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -10.64%E -4.73%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -2.06%E -0.711%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -4.56%E -1.27%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-13 16:20
Unibet (NL)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -10.64%E -4.73%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -2.06%E -0.711%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -4.56%E -1.27%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-13 16:20
BetRivers2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -10.64%E -4.73%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -2.06%E -0.711%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -4.56%E -1.27%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-13 16:20
Unibet (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -10.64%E -4.73%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -2.06%E -0.711%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -4.56%E -1.27%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-13 16:20
betPARX2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -10.64%E -4.73%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -2.06%E -0.711%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -4.56%E -1.27%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-13 16:20
Unibet2.23I 44.84%NM 41.62%EV -11.43%E -5.13%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.23%EV -2.74%E -0.951%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.15%EV -5.89%E -1.66%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-13 16:20
Grosvenor2.23I 44.84%NM 41.62%EV -11.43%E -5.13%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.23%EV -2.74%E -0.951%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.15%EV -5.89%E -1.66%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-13 16:20
1xBet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.43%EV -6.66%E -2.84%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.10%EV -3.08%E -1.07%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.47%EV -4.83%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-13 16:54
Marathon Bet2.32I 43.10%NM 40.19%EV -7.85%E -3.39%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.71%EV -3.75%E -1.32%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.10%EV -8.80%E -2.56%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-13 16:54
TABtouch2.23I 44.84%NM 41.48%EV -11.43%E -5.13%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -3.75%E -1.32%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -5.89%E -1.66%K -2.31%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-13 16:20
LeoVegas2.23I 44.84%NM 41.48%EV -11.43%E -5.13%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -3.75%E -1.32%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -5.89%E -1.66%K -2.31%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-13 16:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 41.33%EV -11.43%E -5.13%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.34%EV -3.75%E -1.32%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -7.21%E -2.06%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-13 16:20
Suprabets2.32I 43.10%NM 40.28%EV -7.85%E -3.39%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.25%EV -5.10%E -1.82%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.47%EV -6.42%E -1.82%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-13 16:54
Coolbet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.62%EV -4.68%E -1.95%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.44%E -1.94%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -4.56%E -1.27%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-13 16:45
DraftKings2.40I 41.67%NM 39.33%EV -4.68%E -1.95%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -5.44%E -1.94%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -7.21%E -2.06%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-13 16:45
FanDuel2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -6.66%E -2.84%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -5.44%E -1.94%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -7.21%E -2.06%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-13 16:54
Everygame2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -8.65%E -3.76%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -5.44%E -1.94%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -7.21%E -2.06%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-13 16:55
LiveScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -12.62%E -5.74%K -10.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -5.44%E -1.94%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -7.21%E -2.06%K -2.88%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-13 16:20
Virgin Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 41.60%EV -13.81%E -6.37%K -11.81%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.24%EV -5.44%E -1.94%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.16%EV -8.54%E -2.47%K -3.48%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-13 16:20
Betsson2.40I 41.67%NM 39.23%EV -4.68%E -1.95%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.87%EV -6.12%E -2.20%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -7.21%E -2.06%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-13 16:45
NordicBet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.23%EV -4.68%E -1.95%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.87%EV -6.12%E -2.20%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -7.21%E -2.06%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-13 16:55
LowVig.ag2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -4.68%E -1.95%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -7.13%E -2.59%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -12.51%E -3.79%K -5.44%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-13 16:00
BetOnline.ag2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -4.68%E -1.95%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -7.13%E -2.59%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -12.51%E -3.79%K -5.44%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-13 16:00
BetAnything2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -4.68%E -1.95%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -7.13%E -2.59%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -12.51%E -3.79%K -5.44%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-13 16:54
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -8.65%E -3.76%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -7.13%E -2.59%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.21%E -2.06%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-13 16:54
betfred_uk2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -8.65%E -3.76%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -7.13%E -2.59%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.21%E -2.06%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-13 16:00
BetUS2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -8.65%E -3.76%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -7.13%E -2.59%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -8.54%E -2.47%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-13 16:54
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -8.65%E -3.76%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -7.13%E -2.59%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.86%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-13 16:54
GTbets2.39I 41.84%NM 39.00%EV -5.07%E -2.12%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 34.14%EV -7.80%E -2.86%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 26.86%EV -8.01%E -2.31%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-13 16:45
BetMGM2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -4.68%E -1.95%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -8.82%E -3.27%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -7.21%E -2.06%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-13 16:34
Betr (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.63%EV -6.66%E -2.84%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -8.82%E -3.27%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -4.56%E -1.27%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-13 16:00
PointsBet (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.63%EV -6.66%E -2.84%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -8.82%E -3.27%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -4.56%E -1.27%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-13 16:00
Bet Victor2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -8.65%E -3.76%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -8.82%E -3.27%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -7.21%E -2.06%K -2.88%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-13 16:54
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -8.65%E -3.76%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -8.82%E -3.27%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -9.86%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-13 16:45
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -8.65%E -3.76%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -8.82%E -3.27%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -9.86%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-13 16:45
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -8.65%E -3.76%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -8.82%E -3.27%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -9.86%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-13 16:45
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -8.65%E -3.76%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -8.82%E -3.27%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -9.86%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-13 16:45
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -8.65%E -3.76%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -8.82%E -3.27%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -12.51%E -3.79%K -5.44%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-13 16:55
Sky Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -10.64%E -4.73%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.99%EV -8.82%E -3.27%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.41%EV -13.84%E -4.26%K -6.15%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-13 16:55
PMU (FR)2.12I 47.17%NM 41.36%EV -15.80%E -7.45%K -14.11%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.47%EV -8.82%E -3.27%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.17%EV -11.19%E -3.34%K -4.76%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-13 16:19
Bet Right2.35I 42.55%NM 39.09%EV -6.66%E -2.84%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.66%EV -10.51%E -3.96%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -7.21%E -2.06%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-13 16:45
PlayUp2.30I 43.48%NM 39.30%EV -8.65%E -3.76%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.11%EV -10.51%E -3.96%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -9.86%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-13 16:55
Winamax (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.49%EV -8.65%E -3.76%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.93%EV -12.19%E -4.69%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.58%EV -5.89%E -1.66%K -2.31%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-13 16:34
Coral2.30I 43.48%NM 38.74%EV -8.65%E -3.76%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -12.19%E -4.69%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -12.51%E -3.79%K -5.44%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-13 16:35
Ladbrokes (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.74%EV -8.65%E -3.76%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -12.19%E -4.69%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -12.51%E -3.79%K -5.44%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-13 16:34
Neds2.30I 43.48%NM 38.74%EV -8.65%E -3.76%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -12.19%E -4.69%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -12.51%E -3.79%K -5.44%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-13 16:34
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.74%EV -8.65%E -3.76%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -12.19%E -4.69%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -12.51%E -3.79%K -5.44%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-13 16:45
Unibet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.95%EV -12.62%E -5.74%K -10.52%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.81%EV -12.19%E -4.69%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.24%EV -11.19%E -3.34%K -4.76%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-13 16:35
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 40.66%EV -14.61%E -6.79%K -12.70%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.62%EV -12.19%E -4.69%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.71%EV -9.86%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000%14.4%2026-04-13 16:55
Betclic (FR)2.22I 45.05%NM 39.52%EV -11.83%E -5.33%K -9.69%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 34.14%EV -13.21%E -5.14%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 26.35%EV -11.72%E -3.52%K -5.03%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-13 16:34
NetBet (FR)2.17I 46.08%NM 39.54%EV -13.81%E -6.37%K -11.81%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 33.65%EV -13.88%E -5.44%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.81%EV -15.16%E -4.74%K -6.89%G +0.000%16.5%2026-04-13 16:54
Winamax (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.04%EV -10.64%E -4.73%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.13%EV -15.57%E -6.23%K -10.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.83%EV -9.86%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-13 16:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 38.27%EV -12.62%E -5.74%K -10.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 33.67%EV -15.57%E -6.23%K -10.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.06%EV -20.47%E -6.82%K -10.23%G +0.000%18.8%2026-04-13 16:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.50I 40.00%NM 39.77%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.36%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.87%0.6%2026-04-13 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.48I 40.32%NM 39.96%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.26%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.78%0.9%2026-04-13 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.48I 40.32%NM 39.96%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.26%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.78%0.9%2026-04-13 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.62%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.24%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.14%1.0%2026-04-13 16:55
Smarkets2.48I 40.32%NM 39.73%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.28%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.99%1.5%2026-04-13 16:55