La escuela de los momios

FC Fredericia v Vejle Boldklub

Inicio: 2026-04-13 17:00 UTC

Final: FC Fredericia 2–2 Vejle Boldklub

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

56 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

FC Fredericia (Local)

Predicción 39.72%2.52momio equitativo
EV -4.28%
Ventaja -1.78%
Kelly -3.04%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.41

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.27%39.73%39.72%41.65%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.122.292.302.4147.17%43.59%43.48%41.49%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Vejle Boldklub (Visitante)

Predicción 33.77%2.96momio equitativo
EV +1.31%
Ventaja +0.438%
Kelly +0.657%
Crecimiento +0.009%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.23%33.75%33.78%35.13%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.502.752.753.0040.00%36.39%36.36%33.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.51%3.77momio equitativo
EV -1.91%
Ventaja -0.516%
Kelly -0.707%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.58%26.52%26.50%28.06%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.463.503.7033.33%28.92%28.57%27.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (56 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
ATG (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 41.56%EV -7.46%E -3.20%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.28%EV +1.31%E +0.438%K +0.657%G +0.009%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.17%EV -1.91%E -0.516%K -0.707%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-13 16:20
Svenska Spel2.33I 42.92%NM 41.56%EV -7.46%E -3.20%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.28%EV +1.31%E +0.438%K +0.657%G +0.009%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.17%EV -1.91%E -0.516%K -0.707%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-13 16:19
Pinnacle2.41I 41.49%NM 40.17%EV -4.28%E -1.78%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.38%EV -2.06%E -0.711%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.45%EV -2.97%E -0.811%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-13 16:55
Casumo2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -10.64%E -4.73%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -2.06%E -0.711%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -4.56%E -1.27%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-13 16:20
Unibet (NL)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -10.64%E -4.73%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -2.06%E -0.711%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -4.56%E -1.27%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-13 16:20
BetRivers2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -10.64%E -4.73%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -2.06%E -0.711%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -4.56%E -1.27%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-13 16:20
Unibet (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -10.64%E -4.73%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -2.06%E -0.711%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -4.56%E -1.27%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-13 16:20
betPARX2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -10.64%E -4.73%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -2.06%E -0.711%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -4.56%E -1.27%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-13 16:20
Unibet2.23I 44.84%NM 41.62%EV -11.43%E -5.13%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.23%EV -2.74%E -0.951%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.15%EV -5.89%E -1.66%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-13 16:20
Grosvenor2.23I 44.84%NM 41.62%EV -11.43%E -5.13%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.23%EV -2.74%E -0.951%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.15%EV -5.89%E -1.66%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-13 16:20
1xBet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.43%EV -6.66%E -2.84%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.10%EV -3.08%E -1.07%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.47%EV -4.83%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-13 16:54
Marathon Bet2.32I 43.10%NM 40.19%EV -7.85%E -3.39%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.71%EV -3.75%E -1.32%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.10%EV -8.80%E -2.56%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-13 16:54
TABtouch2.23I 44.84%NM 41.48%EV -11.43%E -5.13%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -3.75%E -1.32%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -5.89%E -1.66%K -2.31%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-13 16:20
LeoVegas2.23I 44.84%NM 41.48%EV -11.43%E -5.13%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -3.75%E -1.32%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -5.89%E -1.66%K -2.31%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-13 16:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 41.33%EV -11.43%E -5.13%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.34%EV -3.75%E -1.32%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -7.21%E -2.06%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-13 16:20
Suprabets2.32I 43.10%NM 40.28%EV -7.85%E -3.39%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.25%EV -5.10%E -1.82%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.47%EV -6.42%E -1.82%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-13 16:54
Coolbet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.62%EV -4.68%E -1.95%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.44%E -1.94%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -4.56%E -1.27%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-13 16:45
DraftKings2.40I 41.67%NM 39.33%EV -4.68%E -1.95%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -5.44%E -1.94%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -7.21%E -2.06%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-13 16:45
FanDuel2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -6.66%E -2.84%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -5.44%E -1.94%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -7.21%E -2.06%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-13 16:54
Everygame2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -8.65%E -3.76%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -5.44%E -1.94%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -7.21%E -2.06%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-13 16:55
LiveScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -12.62%E -5.74%K -10.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -5.44%E -1.94%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -7.21%E -2.06%K -2.88%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-13 16:20
Virgin Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 41.60%EV -13.81%E -6.37%K -11.81%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.24%EV -5.44%E -1.94%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.16%EV -8.54%E -2.47%K -3.48%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-13 16:20
Betsson2.40I 41.67%NM 39.23%EV -4.68%E -1.95%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.87%EV -6.12%E -2.20%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -7.21%E -2.06%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-13 16:45
NordicBet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.23%EV -4.68%E -1.95%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.87%EV -6.12%E -2.20%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -7.21%E -2.06%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-13 16:55
LowVig.ag2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -4.68%E -1.95%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -7.13%E -2.59%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -12.51%E -3.79%K -5.44%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-13 16:00
BetOnline.ag2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -4.68%E -1.95%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -7.13%E -2.59%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -12.51%E -3.79%K -5.44%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-13 16:00
BetAnything2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -4.68%E -1.95%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -7.13%E -2.59%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -12.51%E -3.79%K -5.44%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-13 16:54
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -8.65%E -3.76%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -7.13%E -2.59%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.21%E -2.06%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-13 16:54
betfred_uk2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -8.65%E -3.76%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -7.13%E -2.59%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.21%E -2.06%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-13 16:00
BetUS2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -8.65%E -3.76%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -7.13%E -2.59%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -8.54%E -2.47%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-13 16:54
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -8.65%E -3.76%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -7.13%E -2.59%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.86%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-13 16:54
GTbets2.39I 41.84%NM 39.00%EV -5.07%E -2.12%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 34.14%EV -7.80%E -2.86%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 26.86%EV -8.01%E -2.31%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-13 16:45
BetMGM2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -4.68%E -1.95%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -8.82%E -3.27%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -7.21%E -2.06%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-13 16:34
Betr (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.63%EV -6.66%E -2.84%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -8.82%E -3.27%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -4.56%E -1.27%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-13 16:00
PointsBet (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.63%EV -6.66%E -2.84%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -8.82%E -3.27%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -4.56%E -1.27%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-13 16:00
Bet Victor2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -8.65%E -3.76%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -8.82%E -3.27%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -7.21%E -2.06%K -2.88%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-13 16:54
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -8.65%E -3.76%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -8.82%E -3.27%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -9.86%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-13 16:45
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -8.65%E -3.76%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -8.82%E -3.27%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -9.86%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-13 16:45
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -8.65%E -3.76%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -8.82%E -3.27%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -9.86%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-13 16:45
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -8.65%E -3.76%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -8.82%E -3.27%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -9.86%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-13 16:45
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -8.65%E -3.76%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -8.82%E -3.27%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -12.51%E -3.79%K -5.44%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-13 16:55
Sky Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -10.64%E -4.73%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.99%EV -8.82%E -3.27%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.41%EV -13.84%E -4.26%K -6.15%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-13 16:55
PMU (FR)2.12I 47.17%NM 41.36%EV -15.80%E -7.45%K -14.11%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.47%EV -8.82%E -3.27%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.17%EV -11.19%E -3.34%K -4.76%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-13 16:19
Bet Right2.35I 42.55%NM 39.09%EV -6.66%E -2.84%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.66%EV -10.51%E -3.96%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -7.21%E -2.06%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-13 16:45
PlayUp2.30I 43.48%NM 39.30%EV -8.65%E -3.76%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.11%EV -10.51%E -3.96%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -9.86%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-13 16:55
Winamax (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.49%EV -8.65%E -3.76%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.93%EV -12.19%E -4.69%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.58%EV -5.89%E -1.66%K -2.31%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-13 16:34
Coral2.30I 43.48%NM 38.74%EV -8.65%E -3.76%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -12.19%E -4.69%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -12.51%E -3.79%K -5.44%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-13 16:35
Ladbrokes (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.74%EV -8.65%E -3.76%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -12.19%E -4.69%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -12.51%E -3.79%K -5.44%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-13 16:34
Neds2.30I 43.48%NM 38.74%EV -8.65%E -3.76%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -12.19%E -4.69%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -12.51%E -3.79%K -5.44%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-13 16:34
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.74%EV -8.65%E -3.76%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -12.19%E -4.69%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -12.51%E -3.79%K -5.44%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-13 16:45
Unibet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.95%EV -12.62%E -5.74%K -10.52%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.81%EV -12.19%E -4.69%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.24%EV -11.19%E -3.34%K -4.76%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-13 16:35
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 40.66%EV -14.61%E -6.79%K -12.70%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.62%EV -12.19%E -4.69%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.71%EV -9.86%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000%14.4%2026-04-13 16:55
Betclic (FR)2.22I 45.05%NM 39.52%EV -11.83%E -5.33%K -9.69%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 34.14%EV -13.21%E -5.14%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 26.35%EV -11.72%E -3.52%K -5.03%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-13 16:34
NetBet (FR)2.17I 46.08%NM 39.54%EV -13.81%E -6.37%K -11.81%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 33.65%EV -13.88%E -5.44%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.81%EV -15.16%E -4.74%K -6.89%G +0.000%16.5%2026-04-13 16:54
Winamax (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.04%EV -10.64%E -4.73%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.13%EV -15.57%E -6.23%K -10.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.83%EV -9.86%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-13 16:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 38.27%EV -12.62%E -5.74%K -10.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 33.67%EV -15.57%E -6.23%K -10.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.06%EV -20.47%E -6.82%K -10.23%G +0.000%18.8%2026-04-13 16:55
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook2.50I 40.00%NM 39.77%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.36%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.87%0.6%2026-04-13 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.48I 40.32%NM 39.96%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.26%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.78%0.9%2026-04-13 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.48I 40.32%NM 39.96%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.26%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.78%0.9%2026-04-13 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.62%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.24%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.14%1.0%2026-04-13 16:55
Smarkets2.48I 40.32%NM 39.73%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.28%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.99%1.5%2026-04-13 16:55