Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Fredericia v FC Copenhagen

Kickoff: 2026-05-03 14:00 UTC

Final: FC Fredericia 3–3 FC Copenhagen

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

57 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Fredericia (Local)

Prediction 17.67%5.66fair odd
EV +1.61%
Edge +0.280%
Kelly +0.339%
Growth +0.005%

assuming max odds 5.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.84%17.88%17.64%19.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.505.195.255.7522.22%19.28%19.05%17.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

FC Copenhagen (Visit)

Prediction 62.36%1.60fair odd
EV -3.97%
Edge -2.58%
Kelly -7.35%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.54

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.80%62.16%62.36%63.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.371.481.481.5472.99%67.66%67.57%64.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 19.97%5.01fair odd
EV -0.937%
Edge -0.189%
Kelly -0.237%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.96

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.32%19.95%20.00%20.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.204.584.604.9623.81%21.84%21.74%20.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: FC Fredericia (Local): 17.67%; FC Copenhagen (Visit): 62.36%; Draw: 19.97%. For FC Fredericia (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.66. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.61%.

Sportsbook Odds (57 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Svenska Spel🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.86%EV +1.61%E +0.280%K +0.339%G +0.005%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.95%EV -3.97%E -2.58%K -7.35%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.20%EV -4.13%E -0.861%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-03 13:15
ATG (SE)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.86%EV +1.61%E +0.280%K +0.339%G +0.005%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.95%EV -3.97%E -2.58%K -7.35%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.20%EV -4.13%E -0.861%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-03 13:15
Pinnacle🎯5.59I 17.89%NM 17.23%EV -1.22%E -0.218%K -0.265%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.36%EV -5.22%E -3.43%K -10.04%G +0.000%4.96I 20.16%NM 19.42%EV -0.937%E -0.189%K -0.237%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-03 13:55
1xBet🎯5.53I 18.08%NM 17.18%EV -2.28%E -0.412%K -0.503%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.93%EV -5.84%E -3.87%K -11.46%G +0.000%4.78I 20.92%NM 19.88%EV -4.53%E -0.948%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-03 13:50
Coolbet🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.31%EV -2.81%E -0.510%K -0.624%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.64%EV -5.22%E -3.43%K -10.04%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.05%EV -5.13%E -1.08%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-03 13:21
Casumo🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.13%EV -2.81%E -0.510%K -0.624%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.82%EV -6.47%E -4.31%K -12.93%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.05%EV -6.13%E -1.30%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-03 13:15
Unibet (SE)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.13%EV -2.81%E -0.510%K -0.624%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.82%EV -6.47%E -4.31%K -12.93%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.05%EV -6.13%E -1.30%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-03 13:15
Unibet (NL)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.13%EV -2.81%E -0.510%K -0.624%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.82%EV -6.47%E -4.31%K -12.93%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.05%EV -6.13%E -1.30%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-03 13:15
BetRivers🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.13%EV -2.81%E -0.510%K -0.624%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.82%EV -6.47%E -4.31%K -12.93%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.05%EV -6.13%E -1.30%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-03 13:15
betPARX🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.13%EV -2.81%E -0.510%K -0.624%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.82%EV -6.47%E -4.31%K -12.93%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.05%EV -6.13%E -1.30%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-03 13:15
FanDuel🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.99%EV -2.81%E -0.510%K -0.624%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.13%EV -7.71%E -5.21%K -16.07%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.88%EV -6.13%E -1.30%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-03 13:35
Unibet🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -2.81%E -0.510%K -0.624%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.86%EV -7.71%E -5.21%K -16.07%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.22%EV -8.13%E -1.77%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-03 13:15
Grosvenor🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -2.81%E -0.510%K -0.624%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.86%EV -7.71%E -5.21%K -16.07%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.22%EV -8.13%E -1.77%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-03 13:15
LeoVegas🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -2.81%E -0.510%K -0.624%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.02%EV -8.34%E -5.67%K -17.74%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -8.13%E -1.77%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-03 13:15
TABtouch🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -2.81%E -0.510%K -0.624%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.02%EV -8.34%E -5.67%K -17.74%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -8.13%E -1.77%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-03 13:15
Marathon Bet🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.28%EV -4.57%E -0.847%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.07%EV -7.71%E -5.21%K -16.07%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.65%EV -5.13%E -1.08%K -1.37%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-03 13:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 16.95%EV -4.57%E -0.847%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.14%EV -9.58%E -6.61%K -21.30%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -8.13%E -1.77%K -2.26%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-03 13:15
LiveScore Bet🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 16.88%EV -4.57%E -0.847%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 62.86%EV -9.58%E -6.61%K -21.30%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.26%EV -10.12%E -2.25%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-03 13:14
Betsson🎯5.35I 18.69%NM 17.49%EV -5.46%E -1.02%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.38%EV -6.47%E -4.31%K -12.93%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.12%EV -7.13%E -1.53%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-03 13:45
NordicBet🎯5.35I 18.69%NM 17.49%EV -5.46%E -1.02%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.38%EV -6.47%E -4.31%K -12.93%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.12%EV -7.13%E -1.53%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-03 13:45
BetOnline.ag🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.74%EV -6.34%E -1.20%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.26%EV -5.84%E -3.87%K -11.46%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.00%EV -6.13%E -1.30%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-03 13:20
LowVig.ag🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.74%EV -6.34%E -1.20%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.26%EV -5.84%E -3.87%K -11.46%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.00%EV -6.13%E -1.30%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-03 13:20
Suprabets🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.59%EV -6.34%E -1.20%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.57%EV -7.09%E -4.76%K -14.47%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.84%EV -6.13%E -1.30%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-03 13:35
Virgin Bet🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.00%EV -6.34%E -1.20%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 62.99%EV -10.83%E -7.57%K -25.19%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.02%EV -10.12%E -2.25%K -2.89%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-03 13:15
DraftKings🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.95%EV -7.23%E -1.38%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.41%EV -5.84%E -3.87%K -11.46%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.63%EV -4.13%E -0.861%K -1.09%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-03 13:30
Unibet (UK)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -7.23%E -1.38%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.44%EV -6.47%E -4.31%K -12.93%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -5.13%E -1.08%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-03 13:35
Everygame🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -7.23%E -1.38%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.44%EV -6.47%E -4.31%K -12.93%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -5.13%E -1.08%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-03 13:35
Betr (AU)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.80%EV -7.23%E -1.38%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.31%EV -6.47%E -4.31%K -12.93%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.89%EV -6.13%E -1.30%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-03 13:20
Betway🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.65%EV -7.23%E -1.38%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -6.47%E -4.31%K -12.93%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -10.12%E -2.25%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-03 13:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.65%EV -7.23%E -1.38%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -6.47%E -4.31%K -12.93%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -10.12%E -2.25%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-03 13:20
Bet Right🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.50%EV -7.23%E -1.38%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.08%EV -7.71%E -5.21%K -16.07%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -10.12%E -2.25%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-03 13:20
Bet Victor🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.28%EV -7.23%E -1.38%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 62.56%EV -9.58%E -6.61%K -21.30%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.16%EV -10.12%E -2.25%K -2.89%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-03 13:55
PMU (FR)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 16.92%EV -8.11%E -1.56%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 62.85%EV -12.70%E -9.07%K -31.75%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.23%EV -13.12%E -3.02%K -3.92%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-03 13:15
GTbets🎯5.13I 19.49%NM 18.32%EV -9.35%E -1.82%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.82%EV -5.22%E -3.43%K -10.04%G +0.000%4.73I 21.14%NM 19.87%EV -5.53%E -1.17%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-03 13:50
BetMGM🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.79%EV -11.64%E -2.33%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.42%EV -4.60%E -3.00%K -8.67%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.78%EV -5.13%E -1.08%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-03 13:20
betfred_uk🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -11.64%E -2.33%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -6.47%E -4.31%K -12.93%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -10.12%E -2.25%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-03 05:34
Bovada🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -11.64%E -2.33%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 61.81%EV -7.71%E -5.21%K -16.07%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.89%EV -8.13%E -1.77%K -2.26%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-03 13:39
BetUS🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -11.64%E -2.33%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 61.81%EV -7.71%E -5.21%K -16.07%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.89%EV -8.13%E -1.77%K -2.26%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-03 13:40
BetAnything🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -11.64%E -2.33%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 61.81%EV -7.71%E -5.21%K -16.07%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.89%EV -8.13%E -1.77%K -2.26%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-03 13:40
PlayUp🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.09%EV -11.64%E -2.33%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 61.12%EV -7.71%E -5.21%K -16.07%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.79%EV -13.12%E -3.02%K -3.92%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-03 13:45
SportsBet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -11.64%E -2.33%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.19%EV -10.21%E -7.09%K -23.20%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -10.12%E -2.25%K -2.89%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-03 13:35
Paddy Power🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.83%EV -11.64%E -2.33%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.91%EV -10.21%E -7.09%K -23.20%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.26%EV -12.12%E -2.75%K -3.57%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-03 13:15
888sport🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.83%EV -11.64%E -2.33%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.91%EV -10.21%E -7.09%K -23.20%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.26%EV -12.12%E -2.75%K -3.57%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-03 13:50
William Hill🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.83%EV -11.64%E -2.33%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.91%EV -10.21%E -7.09%K -23.20%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.26%EV -12.12%E -2.75%K -3.57%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-03 13:49
888sport (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.83%EV -11.64%E -2.33%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.91%EV -10.21%E -7.09%K -23.20%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.26%EV -12.12%E -2.75%K -3.57%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-03 13:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.83%EV -11.64%E -2.33%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.91%EV -10.21%E -7.09%K -23.20%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.26%EV -12.12%E -2.75%K -3.57%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-03 13:50
NetBet (FR)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 17.49%EV -13.41%E -2.74%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 62.57%EV -14.57%E -10.64%K -39.38%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 19.94%EV -14.12%E -3.28%K -4.28%G +0.000%16.7%2026-05-03 13:50
Coral🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -15.18%E -3.16%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 60.80%EV -7.71%E -5.21%K -16.07%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.45%EV -12.12%E -2.75%K -3.57%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-03 13:41
Neds🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -15.18%E -3.16%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 60.80%EV -7.71%E -5.21%K -16.07%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.45%EV -12.12%E -2.75%K -3.57%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-03 13:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -15.18%E -3.16%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 60.80%EV -7.71%E -5.21%K -16.07%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.45%EV -12.12%E -2.75%K -3.57%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-03 13:41
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -15.18%E -3.16%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 60.80%EV -7.71%E -5.21%K -16.07%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.45%EV -12.12%E -2.75%K -3.57%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-03 13:40
Sky Bet🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.26%EV -15.18%E -3.16%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 60.87%EV -10.21%E -7.09%K -23.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.87%EV -16.12%E -3.84%K -5.04%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-03 13:15
Unibet (FR)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 18.48%EV -16.06%E -3.38%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 61.80%EV -11.45%E -8.07%K -27.27%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 19.72%EV -11.12%E -2.50%K -3.22%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-03 13:35
Winamax (DE)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.32%EV -16.94%E -3.61%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 61.36%EV -7.71%E -5.21%K -16.07%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.32%EV -6.13%E -1.30%K -1.66%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-03 13:35
Betclic (FR)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 18.71%EV -16.94%E -3.61%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.07%EV -10.21%E -7.09%K -23.20%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.22%EV -13.12%E -3.02%K -3.92%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-03 13:45
Winamax (FR)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 19.59%EV -20.48%E -4.55%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 60.81%EV -9.58%E -6.61%K -21.30%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.59%EV -10.12%E -2.25%K -2.89%G +0.000%13.4%2026-05-03 13:35
BoyleSports🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 19.51%EV -20.48%E -4.55%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 60.98%EV -10.21%E -7.09%K -23.20%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.51%EV -10.12%E -2.25%K -2.89%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-03 13:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.90I 16.95%NM 16.77%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.44%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.79%1.1%2026-05-03 13:41
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.90I 16.95%NM 16.77%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.44%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.79%1.1%2026-05-03 13:45
Matchbook6.00I 16.67%NM 16.47%1.55I 64.52%NM 63.76%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.77%1.2%2026-05-03 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.90I 16.95%NM 16.70%1.55I 64.52%NM 63.58%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.71%1.5%2026-05-03 13:55
Smarkets5.80I 17.24%NM 16.81%1.54I 64.94%NM 63.30%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.89%2.6%2026-05-03 13:55