L’École des cotes

Brondby IF v FC Nordsjaelland

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-01 17:00 UTC

Score final : Brondby IF 1–1 FC Nordsjaelland

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Brondby IF (Local)

Prévision 42.64%2.35cote équitable
EV -2.35%
Avantage -1.03%
Kelly -1.82%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.29

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.48%42.58%42.71%43.84%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.002.152.152.2950.00%46.41%46.51%43.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

FC Nordsjaelland (Visiteur)

Prévision 32.90%3.04cote équitable
EV -1.29%
Avantage -0.429%
Kelly -0.643%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.88%32.93%32.84%34.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.502.802.803.0040.00%35.67%35.71%33.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 24.45%4.09cote équitable
EV -2.18%
Avantage -0.545%
Kelly -0.727%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.86%24.49%24.46%26.20%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.203.753.754.0031.25%26.69%26.67%25.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet2.29I 43.67%NM 41.52%EV -2.35%E -1.03%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.70%EV -9.84%E -3.59%K -5.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.77%EV -2.18%E -0.545%K -0.727%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-01 16:55
Pinnacle2.26I 44.25%NM 42.75%EV -3.63%E -1.61%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.86%EV -3.26%E -1.11%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 24.40%EV -3.16%E -0.798%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-01 16:55
ATG (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 43.46%EV -4.91%E -2.20%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.31%EV -1.29%E -0.429%K -0.643%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.23%EV -2.18%E -0.545%K -0.727%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-01 16:20
Svenska Spel2.23I 44.84%NM 43.46%EV -4.91%E -2.20%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.31%EV -1.29%E -0.429%K -0.643%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.23%EV -2.18%E -0.545%K -0.727%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-01 16:20
LowVig.ag2.22I 45.05%NM 42.83%EV -5.34%E -2.40%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.79%EV -4.58%E -1.58%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.38%EV -4.63%E -1.19%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-01 16:44
BetOnline.ag2.22I 45.05%NM 42.83%EV -5.34%E -2.40%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.79%EV -4.58%E -1.58%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.38%EV -4.63%E -1.19%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-01 16:44
BetAnything2.22I 45.05%NM 42.83%EV -5.34%E -2.40%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.79%EV -4.58%E -1.58%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.38%EV -4.63%E -1.19%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-01 16:44
NordicBet2.22I 45.05%NM 42.36%EV -5.34%E -2.40%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.88%EV -2.93%E -0.994%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.76%EV -10.74%E -2.94%K -4.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-01 16:49
Betsson2.22I 45.05%NM 42.36%EV -5.34%E -2.40%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.88%EV -2.93%E -0.994%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.76%EV -10.74%E -2.94%K -4.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-01 16:45
Coolbet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.16%EV -6.19%E -2.81%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.93%E -0.994%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -5.85%E -1.52%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-01 16:46
DraftKings2.20I 45.45%NM 42.94%EV -6.19%E -2.81%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.15%EV -6.22%E -2.18%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.92%EV -3.40%E -0.862%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-01 16:34
Unibet (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -6.19%E -2.81%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -7.87%E -2.81%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.01%EV -4.63%E -1.19%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-01 16:44
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 42.54%EV -6.19%E -2.81%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.84%EV -6.22%E -2.18%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -7.07%E -1.86%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-01 16:49
Everygame2.20I 45.45%NM 42.40%EV -6.19%E -2.81%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -6.22%E -2.18%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -8.29%E -2.21%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-01 16:44
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 42.15%EV -6.19%E -2.81%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.12%EV -7.87%E -2.81%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.73%EV -8.29%E -2.21%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-01 16:55
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -6.19%E -2.81%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.52%EV -9.51%E -3.46%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -8.29%E -2.21%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-01 16:45
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.19%E -2.81%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -7.87%E -2.81%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -11.96%E -3.32%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-01 16:45
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.19%E -2.81%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -7.87%E -2.81%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -11.96%E -3.32%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-01 16:44
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.19%E -2.81%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -7.87%E -2.81%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -11.96%E -3.32%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-01 16:44
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.19%E -2.81%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -7.87%E -2.81%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -11.96%E -3.32%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-01 16:45
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 41.50%EV -6.19%E -2.81%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -11.16%E -4.13%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.68%EV -9.52%E -2.57%K -3.53%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-01 16:55
Suprabets2.19I 45.66%NM 42.65%EV -6.62%E -3.02%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.77%EV -6.22%E -2.18%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.58%EV -7.07%E -1.86%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-01 16:46
Marathon Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.76%EV -7.04%E -3.23%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.71%EV -6.22%E -2.18%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -7.07%E -1.86%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-01 16:39
Casumo2.17I 46.08%NM 43.25%EV -7.47%E -3.44%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -4.58%E -1.58%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.38%EV -5.85%E -1.52%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-01 16:25
Unibet (NL)2.17I 46.08%NM 43.25%EV -7.47%E -3.44%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -4.58%E -1.58%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.38%EV -5.85%E -1.52%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-01 16:20
Unibet (SE)2.17I 46.08%NM 43.25%EV -7.47%E -3.44%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -4.58%E -1.58%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.38%EV -5.85%E -1.52%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-01 16:25
BetRivers2.17I 46.08%NM 43.25%EV -7.47%E -3.44%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -4.58%E -1.58%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.38%EV -5.85%E -1.52%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-01 16:20
betPARX2.17I 46.08%NM 43.25%EV -7.47%E -3.44%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -4.58%E -1.58%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.38%EV -5.85%E -1.52%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-01 16:25
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.37%EV -8.32%E -3.87%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.72%EV -6.22%E -2.18%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -4.63%E -1.19%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-01 16:35
PointsBet (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.37%EV -8.32%E -3.87%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.72%EV -6.22%E -2.18%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -4.63%E -1.19%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-01 16:35
betfred_uk2.15I 46.51%NM 42.71%EV -8.32%E -3.87%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.80%EV -7.87%E -2.81%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -8.29%E -2.21%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-01 16:49
Bet Right2.15I 46.51%NM 42.71%EV -8.32%E -3.87%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.80%EV -7.87%E -2.81%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -8.29%E -2.21%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-01 16:49
Bovada2.15I 46.51%NM 42.60%EV -8.32%E -3.87%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.30%EV -9.51%E -3.46%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.10%EV -7.07%E -1.86%K -2.53%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-01 16:53
BetUS2.15I 46.51%NM 42.60%EV -8.32%E -3.87%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.30%EV -9.51%E -3.46%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.10%EV -7.07%E -1.86%K -2.53%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-01 16:55
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -8.32%E -3.87%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -7.87%E -2.81%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -9.52%E -2.57%K -3.53%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-01 16:49
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 42.03%EV -8.32%E -3.87%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -9.51%E -3.46%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -11.96%E -3.32%K -4.60%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-01 16:44
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.48%EV -8.32%E -3.87%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.03%EV -11.16%E -4.13%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -14.41%E -4.12%K -5.76%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-01 16:55
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 41.48%EV -8.32%E -3.87%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.03%EV -11.16%E -4.13%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -14.41%E -4.12%K -5.76%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-01 16:55
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.48%EV -8.32%E -3.87%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.03%EV -11.16%E -4.13%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -14.41%E -4.12%K -5.76%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-01 16:55
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 41.48%EV -8.32%E -3.87%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.03%EV -11.16%E -4.13%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -14.41%E -4.12%K -5.76%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-01 16:54
Unibet2.14I 46.73%NM 43.50%EV -8.75%E -4.09%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.32%EV -5.23%E -1.82%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.18%EV -5.85%E -1.52%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-01 16:24
Grosvenor2.14I 46.73%NM 43.50%EV -8.75%E -4.09%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.32%EV -5.23%E -1.82%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.18%EV -5.85%E -1.52%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-01 16:20
LeoVegas2.14I 46.73%NM 43.21%EV -8.75%E -4.09%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.45%EV -6.22%E -2.18%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.34%EV -7.07%E -1.86%K -2.53%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-01 16:25
TABtouch2.14I 46.73%NM 43.21%EV -8.75%E -4.09%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.45%EV -6.22%E -2.18%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.34%EV -7.07%E -1.86%K -2.53%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-01 16:25
LeoVegas (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.45%EV -9.60%E -4.53%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.32%EV -6.22%E -2.18%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -7.07%E -1.86%K -2.53%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-01 16:20
LiveScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.29%EV -10.45%E -4.98%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -7.87%E -2.81%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -8.29%E -2.21%K -3.02%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-01 16:25
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.17%EV -10.45%E -4.98%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.58%EV -11.16%E -4.13%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.25%EV -4.63%E -1.19%K -1.60%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-01 16:44
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -10.45%E -4.98%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.54%EV -9.51%E -3.46%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.85%EV -11.96%E -3.32%K -4.60%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-01 16:49
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -10.45%E -4.98%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.71%EV -11.16%E -4.13%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.23%EV -14.41%E -4.12%K -5.76%G +0.000%13.2%2026-05-01 16:49
Virgin Bet2.07I 48.31%NM 43.50%EV -11.73%E -5.67%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -7.87%E -2.81%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.34%EV -9.52%E -2.57%K -3.53%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-01 16:20
Betclic (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.77%EV -12.59%E -6.14%K -11.99%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.08%EV -12.80%E -4.83%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 24.15%EV -11.23%E -3.09%K -4.27%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-01 16:47
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.69%EV -12.59%E -6.14%K -11.99%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.66%EV -14.45%E -5.56%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.65%EV -9.52%E -2.57%K -3.53%G +0.000%14.3%2026-05-01 16:44
PMU (FR)2.02I 49.50%NM 43.30%EV -13.87%E -6.86%K -13.59%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.40%EV -11.16%E -4.13%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.30%EV -11.96%E -3.32%K -4.60%G +0.000%14.3%2026-05-01 16:20
NetBet (FR)2.02I 49.50%NM 42.63%EV -13.87%E -6.86%K -13.59%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.12%EV -14.45%E -5.56%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.26%EV -13.19%E -3.71%K -5.17%G +0.000%16.1%2026-05-01 16:49
Unibet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.84%EV -14.72%E -7.36%K -14.72%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.47%EV -11.16%E -4.13%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.69%EV -9.52%E -2.57%K -3.53%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-01 16:44
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 42.86%EV -14.72%E -7.36%K -14.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.29%EV -17.74%E -7.10%K -11.83%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.86%EV -8.29%E -2.21%K -3.02%G +0.000%16.7%2026-05-01 16:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 41.92%EV -14.72%E -7.36%K -14.72%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 31.88%EV -13.46%E -5.12%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.20%EV -21.75%E -6.80%K -9.88%G +0.000%19.3%2026-05-01 16:44
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.50%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.78%0.9%2026-05-01 16:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.50%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.78%0.9%2026-05-01 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.50%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.78%0.9%2026-05-01 16:55
Matchbook2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.50%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.78%0.9%2026-05-01 16:55
Smarkets2.28I 43.86%NM 42.79%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.52%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.70%2.5%2026-05-01 16:55