La escuela de los momios

Brondby IF v FC Nordsjaelland

Inicio: 2026-05-01 17:00 UTC

Final: Brondby IF 1–1 FC Nordsjaelland

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

57 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Brondby IF (Local)

Predicción 42.64%2.35momio equitativo
EV -2.35%
Ventaja -1.03%
Kelly -1.82%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.29

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.48%42.58%42.71%43.84%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.152.152.2950.00%46.41%46.51%43.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

FC Nordsjaelland (Visitante)

Predicción 32.90%3.04momio equitativo
EV -1.29%
Ventaja -0.429%
Kelly -0.643%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.88%32.93%32.84%34.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.502.802.803.0040.00%35.67%35.71%33.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 24.45%4.09momio equitativo
EV -2.18%
Ventaja -0.545%
Kelly -0.727%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.86%24.49%24.46%26.20%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.753.754.0031.25%26.69%26.67%25.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
1xBet2.29I 43.67%NM 41.52%EV -2.35%E -1.03%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.70%EV -9.84%E -3.59%K -5.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.77%EV -2.18%E -0.545%K -0.727%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-01 16:55
Pinnacle2.26I 44.25%NM 42.75%EV -3.63%E -1.61%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.86%EV -3.26%E -1.11%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 24.40%EV -3.16%E -0.798%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-01 16:55
ATG (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 43.46%EV -4.91%E -2.20%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.31%EV -1.29%E -0.429%K -0.643%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.23%EV -2.18%E -0.545%K -0.727%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-01 16:20
Svenska Spel2.23I 44.84%NM 43.46%EV -4.91%E -2.20%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.31%EV -1.29%E -0.429%K -0.643%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.23%EV -2.18%E -0.545%K -0.727%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-01 16:20
LowVig.ag2.22I 45.05%NM 42.83%EV -5.34%E -2.40%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.79%EV -4.58%E -1.58%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.38%EV -4.63%E -1.19%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-01 16:44
BetOnline.ag2.22I 45.05%NM 42.83%EV -5.34%E -2.40%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.79%EV -4.58%E -1.58%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.38%EV -4.63%E -1.19%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-01 16:44
BetAnything2.22I 45.05%NM 42.83%EV -5.34%E -2.40%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.79%EV -4.58%E -1.58%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.38%EV -4.63%E -1.19%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-01 16:44
NordicBet2.22I 45.05%NM 42.36%EV -5.34%E -2.40%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.88%EV -2.93%E -0.994%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.76%EV -10.74%E -2.94%K -4.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-01 16:49
Betsson2.22I 45.05%NM 42.36%EV -5.34%E -2.40%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.88%EV -2.93%E -0.994%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.76%EV -10.74%E -2.94%K -4.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-01 16:45
Coolbet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.16%EV -6.19%E -2.81%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.93%E -0.994%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -5.85%E -1.52%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-01 16:46
DraftKings2.20I 45.45%NM 42.94%EV -6.19%E -2.81%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.15%EV -6.22%E -2.18%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.92%EV -3.40%E -0.862%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-01 16:34
Unibet (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -6.19%E -2.81%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -7.87%E -2.81%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.01%EV -4.63%E -1.19%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-01 16:44
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 42.54%EV -6.19%E -2.81%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.84%EV -6.22%E -2.18%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -7.07%E -1.86%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-01 16:49
Everygame2.20I 45.45%NM 42.40%EV -6.19%E -2.81%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -6.22%E -2.18%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -8.29%E -2.21%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-01 16:44
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 42.15%EV -6.19%E -2.81%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.12%EV -7.87%E -2.81%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.73%EV -8.29%E -2.21%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-01 16:55
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -6.19%E -2.81%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.52%EV -9.51%E -3.46%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -8.29%E -2.21%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-01 16:45
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.19%E -2.81%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -7.87%E -2.81%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -11.96%E -3.32%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-01 16:45
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.19%E -2.81%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -7.87%E -2.81%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -11.96%E -3.32%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-01 16:44
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.19%E -2.81%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -7.87%E -2.81%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -11.96%E -3.32%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-01 16:44
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.19%E -2.81%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -7.87%E -2.81%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -11.96%E -3.32%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-01 16:45
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 41.50%EV -6.19%E -2.81%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -11.16%E -4.13%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.68%EV -9.52%E -2.57%K -3.53%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-01 16:55
Suprabets2.19I 45.66%NM 42.65%EV -6.62%E -3.02%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.77%EV -6.22%E -2.18%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.58%EV -7.07%E -1.86%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-01 16:46
Marathon Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.76%EV -7.04%E -3.23%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.71%EV -6.22%E -2.18%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -7.07%E -1.86%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-01 16:39
Casumo2.17I 46.08%NM 43.25%EV -7.47%E -3.44%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -4.58%E -1.58%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.38%EV -5.85%E -1.52%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-01 16:25
Unibet (NL)2.17I 46.08%NM 43.25%EV -7.47%E -3.44%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -4.58%E -1.58%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.38%EV -5.85%E -1.52%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-01 16:20
Unibet (SE)2.17I 46.08%NM 43.25%EV -7.47%E -3.44%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -4.58%E -1.58%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.38%EV -5.85%E -1.52%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-01 16:25
BetRivers2.17I 46.08%NM 43.25%EV -7.47%E -3.44%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -4.58%E -1.58%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.38%EV -5.85%E -1.52%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-01 16:20
betPARX2.17I 46.08%NM 43.25%EV -7.47%E -3.44%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -4.58%E -1.58%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.38%EV -5.85%E -1.52%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-01 16:25
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.37%EV -8.32%E -3.87%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.72%EV -6.22%E -2.18%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -4.63%E -1.19%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-01 16:35
PointsBet (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.37%EV -8.32%E -3.87%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.72%EV -6.22%E -2.18%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -4.63%E -1.19%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-01 16:35
betfred_uk2.15I 46.51%NM 42.71%EV -8.32%E -3.87%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.80%EV -7.87%E -2.81%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -8.29%E -2.21%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-01 16:49
Bet Right2.15I 46.51%NM 42.71%EV -8.32%E -3.87%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.80%EV -7.87%E -2.81%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -8.29%E -2.21%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-01 16:49
Bovada2.15I 46.51%NM 42.60%EV -8.32%E -3.87%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.30%EV -9.51%E -3.46%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.10%EV -7.07%E -1.86%K -2.53%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-01 16:53
BetUS2.15I 46.51%NM 42.60%EV -8.32%E -3.87%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.30%EV -9.51%E -3.46%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.10%EV -7.07%E -1.86%K -2.53%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-01 16:55
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -8.32%E -3.87%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -7.87%E -2.81%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -9.52%E -2.57%K -3.53%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-01 16:49
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 42.03%EV -8.32%E -3.87%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -9.51%E -3.46%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -11.96%E -3.32%K -4.60%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-01 16:44
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.48%EV -8.32%E -3.87%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.03%EV -11.16%E -4.13%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -14.41%E -4.12%K -5.76%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-01 16:55
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 41.48%EV -8.32%E -3.87%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.03%EV -11.16%E -4.13%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -14.41%E -4.12%K -5.76%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-01 16:55
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.48%EV -8.32%E -3.87%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.03%EV -11.16%E -4.13%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -14.41%E -4.12%K -5.76%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-01 16:55
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 41.48%EV -8.32%E -3.87%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.03%EV -11.16%E -4.13%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -14.41%E -4.12%K -5.76%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-01 16:54
Unibet2.14I 46.73%NM 43.50%EV -8.75%E -4.09%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.32%EV -5.23%E -1.82%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.18%EV -5.85%E -1.52%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-01 16:24
Grosvenor2.14I 46.73%NM 43.50%EV -8.75%E -4.09%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.32%EV -5.23%E -1.82%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.18%EV -5.85%E -1.52%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-01 16:20
LeoVegas2.14I 46.73%NM 43.21%EV -8.75%E -4.09%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.45%EV -6.22%E -2.18%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.34%EV -7.07%E -1.86%K -2.53%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-01 16:25
TABtouch2.14I 46.73%NM 43.21%EV -8.75%E -4.09%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.45%EV -6.22%E -2.18%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.34%EV -7.07%E -1.86%K -2.53%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-01 16:25
LeoVegas (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.45%EV -9.60%E -4.53%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.32%EV -6.22%E -2.18%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -7.07%E -1.86%K -2.53%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-01 16:20
LiveScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.29%EV -10.45%E -4.98%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -7.87%E -2.81%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -8.29%E -2.21%K -3.02%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-01 16:25
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.17%EV -10.45%E -4.98%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.58%EV -11.16%E -4.13%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.25%EV -4.63%E -1.19%K -1.60%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-01 16:44
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -10.45%E -4.98%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.54%EV -9.51%E -3.46%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.85%EV -11.96%E -3.32%K -4.60%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-01 16:49
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -10.45%E -4.98%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.71%EV -11.16%E -4.13%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.23%EV -14.41%E -4.12%K -5.76%G +0.000%13.2%2026-05-01 16:49
Virgin Bet2.07I 48.31%NM 43.50%EV -11.73%E -5.67%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -7.87%E -2.81%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.34%EV -9.52%E -2.57%K -3.53%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-01 16:20
Betclic (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.77%EV -12.59%E -6.14%K -11.99%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.08%EV -12.80%E -4.83%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 24.15%EV -11.23%E -3.09%K -4.27%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-01 16:47
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.69%EV -12.59%E -6.14%K -11.99%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.66%EV -14.45%E -5.56%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.65%EV -9.52%E -2.57%K -3.53%G +0.000%14.3%2026-05-01 16:44
PMU (FR)2.02I 49.50%NM 43.30%EV -13.87%E -6.86%K -13.59%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.40%EV -11.16%E -4.13%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.30%EV -11.96%E -3.32%K -4.60%G +0.000%14.3%2026-05-01 16:20
NetBet (FR)2.02I 49.50%NM 42.63%EV -13.87%E -6.86%K -13.59%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.12%EV -14.45%E -5.56%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.26%EV -13.19%E -3.71%K -5.17%G +0.000%16.1%2026-05-01 16:49
Unibet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.84%EV -14.72%E -7.36%K -14.72%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.47%EV -11.16%E -4.13%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.69%EV -9.52%E -2.57%K -3.53%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-01 16:44
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 42.86%EV -14.72%E -7.36%K -14.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.29%EV -17.74%E -7.10%K -11.83%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.86%EV -8.29%E -2.21%K -3.02%G +0.000%16.7%2026-05-01 16:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 41.92%EV -14.72%E -7.36%K -14.72%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 31.88%EV -13.46%E -5.12%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.20%EV -21.75%E -6.80%K -9.88%G +0.000%19.3%2026-05-01 16:44
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.50%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.78%0.9%2026-05-01 16:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.50%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.78%0.9%2026-05-01 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.50%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.78%0.9%2026-05-01 16:55
Matchbook2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.50%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.78%0.9%2026-05-01 16:55
Smarkets2.28I 43.86%NM 42.79%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.52%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.70%2.5%2026-05-01 16:55