L’École des cotes

AGF Aarhus v Viborg FF

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-22 17:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

59 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

AGF Aarhus (Local)

Prévision 55.27%1.81cote équitable
EV -2.73%
Avantage -1.55%
Kelly -3.59%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.76

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
53.15%55.29%55.27%56.16%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.541.681.681.7664.94%59.53%59.52%56.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Viborg FF (Visiteur)

Prévision 21.24%4.71cote équitable
EV +0.873%
Avantage +0.184%
Kelly +0.233%
Croissance +0.002%

avec la cote maximale 4.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.63%21.18%21.29%22.96%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.704.344.404.7527.03%23.06%22.73%21.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 23.50%4.26cote équitable
EV +0.095%
Avantage +0.022%
Kelly +0.029%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.26

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.45%23.53%23.45%26.16%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.873.854.2630.30%25.82%25.97%23.47%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (59 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.09%EV -6.05%E -3.56%K -8.64%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.07%EV +0.873%E +0.184%K +0.233%G +0.002%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -6.01%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-22 15:14
PointsBet (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.83%EV -7.70%E -4.61%K -11.50%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV +0.873%E +0.184%K +0.233%G +0.002%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -10.71%E -2.82%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-22 15:14
Svenska Spel1.76I 56.82%NM 54.70%EV -2.73%E -1.55%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.93%EV -2.31%E -0.503%K -0.642%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.37%EV -7.19%E -1.82%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-21 17:30
ATG (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 54.70%EV -2.73%E -1.55%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.93%EV -2.31%E -0.503%K -0.642%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.37%EV -7.19%E -1.82%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-21 17:30
FanDuel1.67I 59.88%NM 56.16%EV -7.70%E -4.61%K -11.50%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.39%EV -2.31%E -0.503%K -0.642%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -6.01%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-22 15:14
Betr (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.68%EV -7.15%E -4.26%K -10.52%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -2.31%E -0.503%K -0.642%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -8.36%E -2.14%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-22 15:14
LowVig.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 56.09%EV -4.94%E -2.87%K -6.86%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.20%EV -3.37%E -0.742%K -0.950%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.70%EV -0.140%E -0.033%K -0.043%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-22 15:15
BetOnline.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 56.09%EV -4.94%E -2.87%K -6.86%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.20%EV -3.37%E -0.742%K -0.950%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.70%EV -0.140%E -0.033%K -0.043%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-22 15:15
Pinnacle1.72I 58.14%NM 56.07%EV -4.94%E -2.87%K -6.86%G +0.000%4.53I 22.08%NM 21.29%EV -3.80%E -0.839%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.26I 23.47%NM 22.64%EV +0.095%E +0.022%K +0.029%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-22 15:15
Unibet (NL)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.53%EV -4.39%E -2.54%K -6.01%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -4.44%E -0.986%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.50%EV -9.54%E -2.48%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-21 17:30
Unibet (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.53%EV -4.39%E -2.54%K -6.01%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -4.44%E -0.986%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.50%EV -9.54%E -2.48%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-21 17:30
Casumo1.73I 57.80%NM 54.53%EV -4.39%E -2.54%K -6.01%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -4.44%E -0.986%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.50%EV -9.54%E -2.48%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-21 17:29
betPARX1.73I 57.80%NM 54.53%EV -4.39%E -2.54%K -6.01%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -4.44%E -0.986%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.50%EV -9.54%E -2.48%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-21 17:30
BetRivers1.72I 58.14%NM 54.68%EV -4.94%E -2.87%K -6.86%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -4.44%E -0.986%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.43%EV -9.54%E -2.48%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-21 17:30
Bet Right1.66I 60.24%NM 55.20%EV -8.26%E -4.97%K -12.51%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -4.44%E -0.986%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -11.89%E -3.17%K -4.32%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-22 15:15
GTbets1.72I 58.14%NM 54.89%EV -4.94%E -2.87%K -6.86%G +0.000%4.44I 22.52%NM 21.26%EV -5.71%E -1.29%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 23.84%EV -6.95%E -1.76%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-22 15:15
DraftKings1.71I 58.48%NM 55.38%EV -5.49%E -3.21%K -7.74%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.52%EV -6.56%E -1.49%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.10%EV -3.66%E -0.894%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-22 15:14
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.12%EV -7.15%E -4.26%K -10.52%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -6.56%E -1.49%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.45%EV -1.32%E -0.313%K -0.411%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-22 15:14
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 56.12%EV -7.15%E -4.26%K -10.52%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -6.56%E -1.49%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.45%EV -1.32%E -0.313%K -0.411%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-22 15:15
Marathon Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 55.96%EV -7.70%E -4.61%K -11.50%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -6.56%E -1.49%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -3.66%E -0.894%K -1.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-22 15:14
Suprabets1.68I 59.52%NM 55.50%EV -7.15%E -4.26%K -10.52%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -6.56%E -1.49%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -6.01%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-22 15:14
BetMGM1.71I 58.48%NM 54.39%EV -5.49%E -3.21%K -7.74%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV -6.56%E -1.49%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%EV -10.71%E -2.82%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-22 15:15
Everygame1.67I 59.88%NM 55.65%EV -7.70%E -4.61%K -11.50%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.12%EV -6.56%E -1.49%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -6.01%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-22 15:15
LeoVegas1.70I 58.82%NM 54.53%EV -6.05%E -3.56%K -8.64%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.07%EV -6.56%E -1.49%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.40%EV -10.71%E -2.82%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-21 17:30
Grosvenor1.70I 58.82%NM 54.53%EV -6.05%E -3.56%K -8.64%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.07%EV -6.56%E -1.49%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.40%EV -10.71%E -2.82%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-22 15:14
Unibet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.53%EV -6.05%E -3.56%K -8.64%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.07%EV -6.56%E -1.49%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.40%EV -10.71%E -2.82%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-21 17:29
TABtouch1.70I 58.82%NM 54.53%EV -6.05%E -3.56%K -8.64%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.07%EV -6.56%E -1.49%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.40%EV -10.71%E -2.82%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-21 17:29
SportsBet1.66I 60.24%NM 55.47%EV -8.26%E -4.97%K -12.51%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -6.56%E -1.49%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -8.36%E -2.14%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-22 15:14
LeoVegas (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.65%EV -7.15%E -4.26%K -10.52%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -6.56%E -1.49%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -11.89%E -3.17%K -4.32%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-21 17:30
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.61%EV -8.81%E -5.34%K -13.55%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -6.56%E -1.49%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -8.36%E -2.14%K -2.88%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-21 05:20
Bet Victor1.65I 60.61%NM 55.27%EV -8.81%E -5.34%K -13.55%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -6.56%E -1.49%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -10.71%E -2.82%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-22 15:15
1xBet1.69I 59.17%NM 55.56%EV -6.60%E -3.90%K -9.56%G +0.000%4.36I 22.94%NM 21.54%EV -7.41%E -1.70%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -3.66%E -0.894%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-22 15:14
Unibet (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.07%EV -6.05%E -3.56%K -8.64%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.52%EV -7.62%E -1.75%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.41%EV -6.01%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-20 05:35
Virgin Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 54.82%EV -8.26%E -4.97%K -12.51%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.92%EV -7.62%E -1.75%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -11.89%E -3.17%K -4.32%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-20 08:25
LiveScore Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 54.82%EV -8.26%E -4.97%K -12.51%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.92%EV -7.62%E -1.75%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -11.89%E -3.17%K -4.32%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-20 08:25
Betway1.70I 58.82%NM 54.35%EV -6.05%E -3.56%K -8.64%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.34%EV -8.05%E -1.86%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.31%EV -10.71%E -2.82%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-21 23:10
Paddy Power1.65I 60.61%NM 55.09%EV -8.81%E -5.34%K -13.55%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.99%EV -8.05%E -1.86%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -10.71%E -2.82%K -3.83%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-22 15:14
Codere (IT)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.96%EV -4.94%E -2.87%K -6.86%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.98%EV -8.68%E -2.02%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.06%EV -3.66%E -0.894%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-20 05:35
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 54.41%EV -6.60%E -3.90%K -9.56%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV -8.68%E -2.02%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -10.71%E -2.82%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-20 05:35
Bovada1.66I 60.24%NM 55.20%EV -8.26%E -4.97%K -12.51%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.31%EV -8.68%E -2.02%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -8.36%E -2.14%K -2.88%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-22 15:14
BetUS1.66I 60.24%NM 55.20%EV -8.26%E -4.97%K -12.51%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.31%EV -8.68%E -2.02%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -8.36%E -2.14%K -2.88%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-22 15:14
BetAnything1.66I 60.24%NM 55.20%EV -8.26%E -4.97%K -12.51%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.31%EV -8.68%E -2.02%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -8.36%E -2.14%K -2.88%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-22 15:15
PlayUp1.63I 61.35%NM 55.48%EV -9.91%E -6.08%K -15.74%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.03%EV -8.68%E -2.02%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.49%EV -9.54%E -2.48%K -3.35%G +0.000%10.6%2026-02-22 15:14
888sport1.70I 58.82%NM 54.33%EV -6.05%E -3.56%K -8.64%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -10.81%E -2.57%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -8.36%E -2.14%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-22 15:14
William Hill1.70I 58.82%NM 54.33%EV -6.05%E -3.56%K -8.64%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -10.81%E -2.57%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -8.36%E -2.14%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-22 15:14
Mr Green (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.33%EV -6.05%E -3.56%K -8.64%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -10.81%E -2.57%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -8.36%E -2.14%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-22 15:14
888sport (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.33%EV -6.05%E -3.56%K -8.64%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -10.81%E -2.57%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -8.36%E -2.14%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-22 15:14
Sky Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 54.26%EV -7.70%E -4.61%K -11.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.58%EV -10.81%E -2.57%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -11.89%E -3.17%K -4.32%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-22 15:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 53.29%EV -10.47%E -6.46%K -16.88%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.55%EV -10.81%E -2.57%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.16%EV -22.46%E -6.81%K -9.77%G +0.000%15.8%2026-02-22 15:14
Betclic (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 55.07%EV -10.47%E -6.46%K -16.88%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.76%EV -12.93%E -3.15%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.17%EV -9.54%E -2.48%K -3.35%G +0.000%12.1%2026-02-22 15:14
PMU (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 55.45%EV -14.89%E -9.67%K -27.57%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 20.83%EV -12.93%E -3.15%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.72%EV -15.41%E -4.28%K -5.93%G +0.000%17.1%2026-02-22 15:14
Parions Sport (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 54.59%EV -10.47%E -6.46%K -16.88%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 21.83%EV -13.99%E -3.45%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.58%EV -11.89%E -3.17%K -4.32%G +0.000%13.1%2026-02-22 15:14
Coral1.67I 59.88%NM 53.15%EV -7.70%E -4.61%K -11.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.19%EV -15.05%E -3.76%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.66%EV -15.41%E -4.28%K -5.93%G +0.000%12.7%2026-02-22 15:14
Ladbrokes (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 53.15%EV -7.70%E -4.61%K -11.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.19%EV -15.05%E -3.76%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.66%EV -15.41%E -4.28%K -5.93%G +0.000%12.7%2026-02-22 15:14
Neds1.67I 59.88%NM 53.15%EV -7.70%E -4.61%K -11.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.19%EV -15.05%E -3.76%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.66%EV -15.41%E -4.28%K -5.93%G +0.000%12.7%2026-02-22 15:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 53.15%EV -7.70%E -4.61%K -11.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.19%EV -15.05%E -3.76%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.66%EV -15.41%E -4.28%K -5.93%G +0.000%12.7%2026-02-22 15:14
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 54.61%EV -10.47%E -6.46%K -16.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.12%EV -15.05%E -3.76%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.28%EV -10.71%E -2.82%K -3.83%G +0.000%13.0%2026-02-20 05:35
Winamax (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 54.62%EV -10.47%E -6.46%K -16.88%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.69%EV -17.18%E -4.40%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.69%EV -8.36%E -2.14%K -2.88%G +0.000%13.0%2026-02-20 05:35
Winamax (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 53.77%EV -12.68%E -8.02%K -21.86%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 22.96%EV -21.43%E -5.79%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.27%EV -14.24%E -3.90%K -5.37%G +0.000%17.7%2026-02-20 05:35
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.77I 56.50%NM 55.86%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.60%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.54%1.1%2026-02-22 15:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.77I 56.50%NM 55.86%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.60%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.54%1.1%2026-02-22 15:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 55.86%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.60%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.54%1.1%2026-02-22 15:15
Matchbook1.77I 56.50%NM 55.86%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.60%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.54%1.1%2026-02-22 15:15
Smarkets1.75I 57.14%NM 56.38%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.13%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.49%1.4%2026-02-22 15:15