La escuela de los momios

AGF Aarhus v Viborg FF

Inicio: 2026-02-22 17:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

59 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

AGF Aarhus (Local)

Predicción 55.27%1.81momio equitativo
EV -2.73%
Ventaja -1.55%
Kelly -3.59%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.76

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.15%55.29%55.27%56.16%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.541.681.681.7664.94%59.53%59.52%56.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Viborg FF (Visitante)

Predicción 21.24%4.71momio equitativo
EV +0.873%
Ventaja +0.184%
Kelly +0.233%
Crecimiento +0.002%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.63%21.18%21.29%22.96%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.704.344.404.7527.03%23.06%22.73%21.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 23.50%4.26momio equitativo
EV +0.095%
Ventaja +0.022%
Kelly +0.029%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.26

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.45%23.53%23.45%26.16%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.303.873.854.2630.30%25.82%25.97%23.47%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Coolbet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.09%EV -6.05%E -3.56%K -8.64%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.07%EV +0.873%E +0.184%K +0.233%G +0.002%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -6.01%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-22 15:14
PointsBet (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.83%EV -7.70%E -4.61%K -11.50%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV +0.873%E +0.184%K +0.233%G +0.002%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -10.71%E -2.82%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-22 15:14
Svenska Spel1.76I 56.82%NM 54.70%EV -2.73%E -1.55%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.93%EV -2.31%E -0.503%K -0.642%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.37%EV -7.19%E -1.82%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-21 17:30
ATG (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 54.70%EV -2.73%E -1.55%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.93%EV -2.31%E -0.503%K -0.642%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.37%EV -7.19%E -1.82%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-21 17:30
FanDuel1.67I 59.88%NM 56.16%EV -7.70%E -4.61%K -11.50%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.39%EV -2.31%E -0.503%K -0.642%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -6.01%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-22 15:14
Betr (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.68%EV -7.15%E -4.26%K -10.52%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -2.31%E -0.503%K -0.642%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -8.36%E -2.14%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-22 15:14
LowVig.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 56.09%EV -4.94%E -2.87%K -6.86%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.20%EV -3.37%E -0.742%K -0.950%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.70%EV -0.140%E -0.033%K -0.043%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-22 15:15
BetOnline.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 56.09%EV -4.94%E -2.87%K -6.86%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.20%EV -3.37%E -0.742%K -0.950%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.70%EV -0.140%E -0.033%K -0.043%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-22 15:15
Pinnacle1.72I 58.14%NM 56.07%EV -4.94%E -2.87%K -6.86%G +0.000%4.53I 22.08%NM 21.29%EV -3.80%E -0.839%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.26I 23.47%NM 22.64%EV +0.095%E +0.022%K +0.029%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-22 15:15
Unibet (NL)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.53%EV -4.39%E -2.54%K -6.01%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -4.44%E -0.986%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.50%EV -9.54%E -2.48%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-21 17:30
Unibet (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.53%EV -4.39%E -2.54%K -6.01%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -4.44%E -0.986%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.50%EV -9.54%E -2.48%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-21 17:30
Casumo1.73I 57.80%NM 54.53%EV -4.39%E -2.54%K -6.01%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -4.44%E -0.986%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.50%EV -9.54%E -2.48%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-21 17:29
betPARX1.73I 57.80%NM 54.53%EV -4.39%E -2.54%K -6.01%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -4.44%E -0.986%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.50%EV -9.54%E -2.48%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-21 17:30
BetRivers1.72I 58.14%NM 54.68%EV -4.94%E -2.87%K -6.86%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -4.44%E -0.986%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.43%EV -9.54%E -2.48%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-21 17:30
Bet Right1.66I 60.24%NM 55.20%EV -8.26%E -4.97%K -12.51%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -4.44%E -0.986%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -11.89%E -3.17%K -4.32%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-22 15:15
GTbets1.72I 58.14%NM 54.89%EV -4.94%E -2.87%K -6.86%G +0.000%4.44I 22.52%NM 21.26%EV -5.71%E -1.29%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 23.84%EV -6.95%E -1.76%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-22 15:15
DraftKings1.71I 58.48%NM 55.38%EV -5.49%E -3.21%K -7.74%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.52%EV -6.56%E -1.49%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.10%EV -3.66%E -0.894%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-22 15:14
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.12%EV -7.15%E -4.26%K -10.52%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -6.56%E -1.49%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.45%EV -1.32%E -0.313%K -0.411%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-22 15:14
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 56.12%EV -7.15%E -4.26%K -10.52%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -6.56%E -1.49%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.45%EV -1.32%E -0.313%K -0.411%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-22 15:15
Marathon Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 55.96%EV -7.70%E -4.61%K -11.50%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -6.56%E -1.49%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -3.66%E -0.894%K -1.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-22 15:14
Suprabets1.68I 59.52%NM 55.50%EV -7.15%E -4.26%K -10.52%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -6.56%E -1.49%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -6.01%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-22 15:14
BetMGM1.71I 58.48%NM 54.39%EV -5.49%E -3.21%K -7.74%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV -6.56%E -1.49%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%EV -10.71%E -2.82%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-22 15:15
Everygame1.67I 59.88%NM 55.65%EV -7.70%E -4.61%K -11.50%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.12%EV -6.56%E -1.49%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -6.01%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-22 15:15
LeoVegas1.70I 58.82%NM 54.53%EV -6.05%E -3.56%K -8.64%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.07%EV -6.56%E -1.49%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.40%EV -10.71%E -2.82%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-21 17:30
Grosvenor1.70I 58.82%NM 54.53%EV -6.05%E -3.56%K -8.64%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.07%EV -6.56%E -1.49%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.40%EV -10.71%E -2.82%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-22 15:14
Unibet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.53%EV -6.05%E -3.56%K -8.64%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.07%EV -6.56%E -1.49%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.40%EV -10.71%E -2.82%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-21 17:29
TABtouch1.70I 58.82%NM 54.53%EV -6.05%E -3.56%K -8.64%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.07%EV -6.56%E -1.49%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.40%EV -10.71%E -2.82%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-21 17:29
SportsBet1.66I 60.24%NM 55.47%EV -8.26%E -4.97%K -12.51%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -6.56%E -1.49%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -8.36%E -2.14%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-22 15:14
LeoVegas (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.65%EV -7.15%E -4.26%K -10.52%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -6.56%E -1.49%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -11.89%E -3.17%K -4.32%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-21 17:30
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.61%EV -8.81%E -5.34%K -13.55%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -6.56%E -1.49%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -8.36%E -2.14%K -2.88%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-21 05:20
Bet Victor1.65I 60.61%NM 55.27%EV -8.81%E -5.34%K -13.55%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -6.56%E -1.49%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -10.71%E -2.82%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-22 15:15
1xBet1.69I 59.17%NM 55.56%EV -6.60%E -3.90%K -9.56%G +0.000%4.36I 22.94%NM 21.54%EV -7.41%E -1.70%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -3.66%E -0.894%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-22 15:14
Unibet (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.07%EV -6.05%E -3.56%K -8.64%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.52%EV -7.62%E -1.75%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.41%EV -6.01%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-20 05:35
Virgin Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 54.82%EV -8.26%E -4.97%K -12.51%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.92%EV -7.62%E -1.75%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -11.89%E -3.17%K -4.32%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-20 08:25
LiveScore Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 54.82%EV -8.26%E -4.97%K -12.51%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.92%EV -7.62%E -1.75%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -11.89%E -3.17%K -4.32%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-20 08:25
Betway1.70I 58.82%NM 54.35%EV -6.05%E -3.56%K -8.64%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.34%EV -8.05%E -1.86%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.31%EV -10.71%E -2.82%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-21 23:10
Paddy Power1.65I 60.61%NM 55.09%EV -8.81%E -5.34%K -13.55%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.99%EV -8.05%E -1.86%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -10.71%E -2.82%K -3.83%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-22 15:14
Codere (IT)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.96%EV -4.94%E -2.87%K -6.86%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.98%EV -8.68%E -2.02%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.06%EV -3.66%E -0.894%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-20 05:35
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 54.41%EV -6.60%E -3.90%K -9.56%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV -8.68%E -2.02%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -10.71%E -2.82%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-20 05:35
Bovada1.66I 60.24%NM 55.20%EV -8.26%E -4.97%K -12.51%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.31%EV -8.68%E -2.02%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -8.36%E -2.14%K -2.88%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-22 15:14
BetUS1.66I 60.24%NM 55.20%EV -8.26%E -4.97%K -12.51%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.31%EV -8.68%E -2.02%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -8.36%E -2.14%K -2.88%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-22 15:14
BetAnything1.66I 60.24%NM 55.20%EV -8.26%E -4.97%K -12.51%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.31%EV -8.68%E -2.02%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -8.36%E -2.14%K -2.88%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-22 15:15
PlayUp1.63I 61.35%NM 55.48%EV -9.91%E -6.08%K -15.74%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.03%EV -8.68%E -2.02%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.49%EV -9.54%E -2.48%K -3.35%G +0.000%10.6%2026-02-22 15:14
888sport1.70I 58.82%NM 54.33%EV -6.05%E -3.56%K -8.64%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -10.81%E -2.57%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -8.36%E -2.14%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-22 15:14
William Hill1.70I 58.82%NM 54.33%EV -6.05%E -3.56%K -8.64%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -10.81%E -2.57%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -8.36%E -2.14%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-22 15:14
Mr Green (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.33%EV -6.05%E -3.56%K -8.64%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -10.81%E -2.57%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -8.36%E -2.14%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-22 15:14
888sport (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.33%EV -6.05%E -3.56%K -8.64%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -10.81%E -2.57%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -8.36%E -2.14%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-22 15:14
Sky Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 54.26%EV -7.70%E -4.61%K -11.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.58%EV -10.81%E -2.57%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -11.89%E -3.17%K -4.32%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-22 15:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 53.29%EV -10.47%E -6.46%K -16.88%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.55%EV -10.81%E -2.57%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.16%EV -22.46%E -6.81%K -9.77%G +0.000%15.8%2026-02-22 15:14
Betclic (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 55.07%EV -10.47%E -6.46%K -16.88%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.76%EV -12.93%E -3.15%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.17%EV -9.54%E -2.48%K -3.35%G +0.000%12.1%2026-02-22 15:14
PMU (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 55.45%EV -14.89%E -9.67%K -27.57%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 20.83%EV -12.93%E -3.15%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.72%EV -15.41%E -4.28%K -5.93%G +0.000%17.1%2026-02-22 15:14
Parions Sport (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 54.59%EV -10.47%E -6.46%K -16.88%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 21.83%EV -13.99%E -3.45%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.58%EV -11.89%E -3.17%K -4.32%G +0.000%13.1%2026-02-22 15:14
Coral1.67I 59.88%NM 53.15%EV -7.70%E -4.61%K -11.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.19%EV -15.05%E -3.76%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.66%EV -15.41%E -4.28%K -5.93%G +0.000%12.7%2026-02-22 15:14
Ladbrokes (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 53.15%EV -7.70%E -4.61%K -11.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.19%EV -15.05%E -3.76%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.66%EV -15.41%E -4.28%K -5.93%G +0.000%12.7%2026-02-22 15:14
Neds1.67I 59.88%NM 53.15%EV -7.70%E -4.61%K -11.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.19%EV -15.05%E -3.76%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.66%EV -15.41%E -4.28%K -5.93%G +0.000%12.7%2026-02-22 15:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 53.15%EV -7.70%E -4.61%K -11.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.19%EV -15.05%E -3.76%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.66%EV -15.41%E -4.28%K -5.93%G +0.000%12.7%2026-02-22 15:14
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 54.61%EV -10.47%E -6.46%K -16.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.12%EV -15.05%E -3.76%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.28%EV -10.71%E -2.82%K -3.83%G +0.000%13.0%2026-02-20 05:35
Winamax (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 54.62%EV -10.47%E -6.46%K -16.88%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.69%EV -17.18%E -4.40%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.69%EV -8.36%E -2.14%K -2.88%G +0.000%13.0%2026-02-20 05:35
Winamax (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 53.77%EV -12.68%E -8.02%K -21.86%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 22.96%EV -21.43%E -5.79%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.27%EV -14.24%E -3.90%K -5.37%G +0.000%17.7%2026-02-20 05:35
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.77I 56.50%NM 55.86%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.60%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.54%1.1%2026-02-22 15:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.77I 56.50%NM 55.86%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.60%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.54%1.1%2026-02-22 15:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 55.86%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.60%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.54%1.1%2026-02-22 15:15
Matchbook1.77I 56.50%NM 55.86%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.60%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.54%1.1%2026-02-22 15:15
Smarkets1.75I 57.14%NM 56.38%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.13%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.49%1.4%2026-02-22 15:15